Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Tuesday - August 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   WIN (6/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/1/3)-(1/4/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1/3)-(1/4/3/6)-(6/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-2   WIN (1/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/3/6)-(6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3/6)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-3   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(6/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(6/4/7/3)-(7/9/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-4   WIN (6/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/3)-(6/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/3)-(6/4/7/3)-(6/4/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/7/3)-(7/9/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7/3)-(7/9/5/8)-(2/4/8/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LAD-5   WIN (7/9/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/5/8)-(7/9/5/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/9/5/8)-(7/9/5/4/8)-(7/9/5/4/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/9/5/8)-(2/4/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/9/5/8)-(2/4/8/1)-(2/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-6   WIN (2/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/8/1)-(2/4/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/8/1)-(2/4/8/1)-(2/4/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/8/1)-(2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LAD-7   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/6/5)-(2/3/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   08/20/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEONARDO CREED Jul04 Jun16 May12     (love alan)LOZADA CARLOS 120 6.00 6% 15.90    
STATLER Jun26 May28 May18 May04 Apr13 (martin kevin)HERNANDEZ V 120 5.00    
MUCHO MACHO CAM Aug05 Jul14 Jun15 May25 May04 (love alan)RAMIREZ JR 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
SWEET PRESENT Aug05 Jul02 Jun12 Feb22 Dec10 (gomez jorge)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 4.50    
CATHY'S BOY Aug05 Jul17 Jun28 May31 May08 (wilson shane)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 2.00 26% 2.90    
GET RIPPED Aug05 Jul04 Jun19 May27 May12 (jacks ka)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
RODE BOSS Jun13 May18 Mar26 Mar12 Feb18 (hatcher nathan)FLORIAN JOSE 115 15.00    
 
LAD-2   08/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NUNOFTHISNUNOFTHAT Jul31 Apr28 Mar28 Mar01 Feb02 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.50 30% 2.30    
ANGEL AND ME Aug10 Jul06 May03 Apr12 Nov21 (west henry)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 6.00    
SHEZA CAT Jul31 Jul04 Jun03 May25 Apr20 (fogarty )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 2.50 13% 6.70    
PNEUMA Jul31 Jun11 May20 May03 Apr04 (witt i)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
LASSAROCK Feb15 Feb02 Jan12 Jan14 Dec26 (hirdes joh)RAMIREZ JR 119 15.00    
MEGANS MILLIONS Jul31 Jul10 Jun11 Jun03 May13 (mojica edith )RENGIFO JOHAN 121 8.00 9% 10.70    
THURSDAY MORNING Mar01 Feb11 Dec15 Nov16 Oct27 (soto fermi)BARRIENTOS ANGEL 124 10.00    
 
LAD-3   08/20/2024 4950ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAR READY Aug07 Jun17 May07 Mar20 Mar01 (balderas a)RAMIREZ JR 117 12.00    
SCR  FRAN'S STAR Jul29 Jul13 May02 Mar23 Feb02 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00    
MYSTERIOUS SPIRIT Jul10 May18 Jan18 Jan01 Dec07 (foster m)WADE LYNDIE 122 3.50    
AMERICAN DOLLARS Jul23 Jun25 May04 Feb10 Jan26 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50 29% 2.50    
J B GRAY Aug05 Jul02 Jun12 May27 Apr26 (balderas)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
LE MONSTRE RAPIDE Jul02 Jun13 May25 Mar10 Feb08 (wilson shane)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.00 30% 2.30    
 
LAD-4   08/20/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUKE OF BLUE RIDGE Jul15 Jun10 Feb17 Jan20 Dec15 (beavin judy)GREEN AUBRIE 122 4.50    
HAIL THE CAT Jun05 Mar06 Feb16 Jan25 Dec16 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 117 10.00    
LIL WOADIE Jul30 Jul02 May20 May06 Mar16 (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
CRYPTOZONIC Jul03 May22 Jan25 Dec30 Nov23 (foster m)WADE LYNDIE 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
JOHNNYSJOURNEY Aug05 Jul09 Sep12 Sep02 Jul23 (nelson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 6.00    
HELAIRE Jul23 Jul03 Jun10 May13 Mar16 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
JUJU NINETEEN Jul15 May07 Mar07 Feb13 Jan27 (savoie sherman)SINGH R 122 4.00 11% 8.30    
 
LAD-5   08/20/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONEY PAT Jul17 Jul01 Jun12 Apr02 Mar23 (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 120 8.00    
TAKE IT TO COURT Jul01 Jun08 May04     (garcia)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 5.00    
DEES LITTLE GIRL Jun11 May29       (vincent jarvis)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 15.00    
CHARMING LEAH Aug06 Jun22 Jun07 May19 Mar30 (jacks ka)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 4.00    
POWER OF PRAYERS         (west patricia )SUAREZ ANGEL 120 4.50 10% 8.70    
BALITRIX Jul30 Jul10 Jun08 May20   (vincent ja)RAMIREZ JR 115 10.00    
UTSIRA Aug06 Jun28 Jun07 May19 May05 (cravens ronn)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 2.50 58% 0.70    
KOLLYNS JULIE Jul07 Jun22 May19 Apr21 Mar29 (mallery von)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
CALLIN FOR DOLLARS Aug12 Jul07 Jun07 Mar28 Feb23 (jacks e)WADE LYNDIE 124 3.50 11% 8.00    
 
LAD-6   08/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MILA'S KAT Jun22 Feb02 Nov30 Nov10 May27 (latour nichol)VARGAS P 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
TWO JET Aug05 Jul13 Jun20 May08 Apr12 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
DREAM TOWN Feb02 Jan05 Dec08 Oct26 Jun10 (rangel r)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
COMMUNICATIONISKEY Aug05 Jul16 Jun25 Jun08 May13 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 118 3.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  EMMAS RULER Jul03 Jun17 May08 Jan05 Dec07 (de beauville )RENGIFO JOHAN 122 5.00    
SCRAPBOOK Aug06 Jul01 Jun18 May28 May15 (beavin judy)SINGH R 122 10.00    
SUMITUP Apr17 Mar14 Feb25 Dec22 Jul24 (dandridge )RAMIREZ JR 117 6.00    
EUROSTORM Jul01 Jun11 May28 May20 Apr25 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 4.00 14% 5.90    
 
LAD-7   08/20/2024 4950ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUSHING BELLE Jul13 Jun14 Jun01 May04 Apr18 (love alan)LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00    
BERLAINE Jul20 Jun03 Apr25 Apr05 Mar13 (claire alexis)WADE LYNDIE 118 2.50 39% 1.50    
CORA'S LEGACY Jul09 Jun14 May04 Apr24 Mar13 (wilson shane)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 3.00 24% 3.30    
XTRA SPICY Aug05 Jul07 Jun19 Mar02 Feb16 (jacks kare)RAMIREZ JR 117 4.00    
RUN DREAMING Jul24 May22 May04 Mar15 Feb08 (foster joseph )MUNOZ SERGIO 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
KENTUCKY CAJUN May29 Mar14 Nov17 Aug26   (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 4.50    
C. C. HARBOR Jun03 May04 Mar28 Feb23 Feb04 (cates al)GREEN AUBRIE 122 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.