Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Wednesday - August 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(3/2/4)-(2/7/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-2   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(2/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(2/7/1)-(1/7/8) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-3   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/1)-(1/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1)-(1/7/8)-(1/6/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-4   WIN (1/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/8)-(1/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/8)-(1/7/8)-(1/7/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/8)-(1/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/8)-(1/6/3)-(2/1/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-5   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3/5)-(1/6/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(2/1/5)-(9/5/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-6   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(9/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (9/5/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/2/1)-(9/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/2/1)-(9/5/2/1)-(9/5/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   08/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WHOOSH Jul24 Jul03 Jun16 Jun03 May21 (tapsas ilia)VASQUEZ WILFRED 125 3.50    
STAY FUNNY Jul15 Jun26       (perez ruper)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 3.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  UNCLE ARLYS         (beattie t)VARGAS L 122 8.00    
PENTATONIC Jun11 May22 May02 Mar22 Mar09 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
TIZ MARKS SPIRIT Jun08 May12 Mar29 Mar16 Feb16 (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MY BOY TULLIO Jul10 Jun26 Jun10 May21   (padilla)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 6.00    
HOPPY TIME Jul03 Jun11       (kravets bru)ROBLES O 115 8.00    
 
PEN-2   08/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROAN FOR THE ROSE Jul12 Jul03 Jun13 Mar22 Mar01 (moreno tito)RAMOS O 121 30.00    
CHARLIE SHOWTIME Jul01 May29       (catalano)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 113 6.00 25% 3.10    
ROCKET DRAGON Jul13 Jun19 May18 May04 Mar08 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.00 37% 1.70    
DIAMOND HEIST Mar22 Feb23 Feb09 Jan25 Jan12 (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
EDDIE W Jun24 May14 Mar27 Mar05 Feb20 (aristone phil)RANGEL JOEZER 118 4.00    
LILTONYTWOPHONES Jun19 Jun04 May02 Mar27 Mar15 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 121 4.50    
GAME SEVEN Jul10 Jun26 May06 Apr10 Mar06 (solis jac)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.50    
 
PEN-3   08/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEL REY DOLLY Jul10 Jun18 May29 Apr24 Apr03 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
DECOUPAGE Jul27 Jun11 May18 May04 Apr16 (diaz jorge)BEATO INOEL 121 8.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  SEEKING THE DREAM Jul02 May21 Feb21 Jan31 May25 (solis jac)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.50    
SCR  HIDDEN CACHE Jul24 Jun17 May22 May14 Mar19 (caban e)ORTIZ JOSHUA 115 4.00    
PEARLS AND HEELS Jul23 Mar05 Feb20 Jan31 Jan01 (hawthorne b)BURNHAM MATILDA 114 15.00    
MATTY BO Jul23 Jun17 May20 Apr23 Apr02 (diaz jorge)AGUILAR JEAN 112 6.00    
BUCKS SOME Jul09 Jul02 Jun08 May20 Apr24 (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 121 6.00 19% 4.20    
SHELL BELLE Jul23 Jun29 Apr23 Apr16 Mar18 (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 121 5.00    
SCR  WICKED STREET Jun19 May31 Mar08 Feb07 Nov20 (beattie cody)TORRES JOMAR 121 8.00    
 
PEN-4   08/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TERMSOFENGAGEMENT Jul12 May23 May09 Feb20 Jan25 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 125 3.50 46% 1.20    
JOVA Jul24 Jul08 Jun26 Jun08 May26 (diaz jorge)CASTILLO A 119 8.00    
SCR  DON'T LOSEMYMONEY Jul11 Jun26 May30 May02 Mar21 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 30.00    
DREAM KNIGHT Jul17 Jun25 Jun04 Apr07 Mar06 (guerrero gu)RIVERA D 121 3.50    
SCR  HARLEY'S CHARLY Jul23 Jun25 Jun18 May07 Apr08 (padilla)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 6.00    
LIVING WATER Jul17 May23 May15 Apr26 Apr13 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 121 3.00    
SASSY LAD Jul04 Jun13 May24 May10 Mar07 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 123 4.00 22% 3.50    
UPSTATE AND BACK Jul24 Jul04 Oct09 Aug09 Jul27 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-5   08/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANSA ARIEL Apr14 Mar22 Mar07 Feb25 Jan14 (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 121 2.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  LADYNESS Jul18 Jul05 Jun12 May23 May04 (boyer jr)FLORES E 123 15.00    
DISCO DAISY Jul03 May29 May04 Apr04 Mar22 (kravets bru)ROBLES O 114 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CELTIC REVIVAL Jul18 Jun19 May17 Mar22 Feb23 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 121 3.50    
HOP TO A DECISION Jul24 May15 May03 Apr22 Mar06 (harigeorgio)BURNHAM MATILDA 114 15.00    
DOWSER Mar13 Mar06 Feb08 Jan25 Oct27 (rideout ronal)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 3.00 35% 1.90    
ALL HAIL MO Jul22 Jul03 Jun18 Nov28 Nov14 (diaz jorge)AGUILAR JEAN 114 8.00    
LONDON LADY Jul18 Jul05 May17 May03 Mar07 (kravets b)VARGAS L 121 8.00    
ESTA CHUCK Jul05 May03 Mar07 Nov15 Oct26 (jacklin the)CALDERON OLIVER 121 50.00    
 
PEN-6   08/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KENTUCKY REIGN Jul24 Jul10 Jun25 Jun12 May23 (bobadilla f)CORA D 123 3.50 22% 3.60    
DANCING NANCY Jul19 Jun01 Apr17 Mar13 Feb15 (brion keri)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  MARTINI'S BANK Jul24 Jun27 Jun06     (sinnefia )VARGAS L 120 2.50    
FORCEZILLA Jul05 Jun13 May23 Dec20   (davis jr)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00    
BUCKFAST ABBEY Jul24 Jun25 Jun12 May23 Apr11 (agnew naois)INIRIO J 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SOMETHING SILLY Jul24 Jul11 Jun20 Jun01 May16 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00    
CARSONS COOL WOMEN Jun25 Apr14 Mar29 Mar06 Feb09 (lucas bonni)CALDERON OLIVER 120 12.00    
 
PEN-7   08/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIME OF OUR LIVES Jul05 Jun27 May30 May16 Nov09 (graci kim)VARGAS L 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
ROYAL UPSTART Jul22 Jul02 Jun18 May14 Apr29 (solis jacinto)BEATO INOEL 122 3.50 19% 4.10    
SCR  EARLY Jun25 Jun06 May16 May08   (crane clovis)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 20.00    
BID FOR THE CROWN Jun28         (rideout ron)INIRIO J 125 30.00    
SAVE THE MISCHIEF Jul05 Jun16 May18 Apr02 Dec14 (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
TRACE MARTINIS Jul05 Jun13 May23 May09   (johnson carlo)TUNON JORDANO 122 30.00    
SISTER EVE Jul16 Jul04 Jun17 May27   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00    
SCR  INDY'S GOLDEN GIRL Jul09 Jun06 May17 May25 May11 (crane clovis)CORA D 125 6.00    
CITY OF LONDON Jul19 Jun12 May17 Dec28 Nov30 (salvaggio m)SALGADO ANTHONY 125 4.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  BANKERS ROSE GOLD May23 Apr29 Mar29 Mar06 Feb09 (lucas bo)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.