Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Wednesday - August 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MNR-2   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/8/1)-(3/8/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (3/1)-(9/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(9/1/7)-(6/4/1/5) 24 $2.00 $48.00 
MNR-3   WIN (9/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/7)-(9/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (9/1/7)-(6/4/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-4   WIN (6/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/1/5)-(6/4/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/4/1/5)-(6/4/1/5)-(6/4/1/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/1/5)-(2/4/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MNR-5   WIN (2/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MNR-6   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/3/4) 18 $2.00 $36.00 
MNR-7   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(5/3/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-8   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   08/07/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHWAY ROBBERY Jul31 Jul14 Jun30 Jun18 Jun03 (sipp k)LEON A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of JAY AT NINE by STORM CAT)
BETHPAGE Jul14 Jun18 May19 Apr30 Dec04 (baird mi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 2.00 53% 0.90    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of THE CRANE by TIZNOW)
CANDY O         (crago terry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 12.00 14% 6.10    
  (by TAPWRIT out of CANDYSTAND by CANDY RIDE)
SCR  JAMMER INSURANCE Jun18         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 116 1.40    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of BOOS by DREAM AHEAD)
IMAGINE RITA May10 Oct18 Sep21 Aug11 Aug03 (boyce bri)HERNANDEZ H 123 15.00    
  (by IMAGINING out of LOVELY SENORITA by NOT FOR LOVE)
SCR  DEGAGE         (murtough st)BARRIOS RICARDO 116 12.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of SACRIFICE by TEMPLE CITY)
SENZA FINE Jun21 May24 Jan26     (runco c)HO WESLEY 116 8.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of ENDLESS SEA by MT. LIVERMORE)
SCR  WORKING ON IT Jul20 May30       (collins tim)TAPARA BRANDON 116 15.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of EXUBERANTE by GALILEO)
DELIA'S PRIDE Aug30 Aug14 Aug01 Jan21   (sipp bu)BRAVO MISAEL 118 30.00    
  (by PROSPECTIVE out of IBCNU by REPENT)
 
MNR-2   08/07/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($21.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOMEBODYLOVESYOU Jul17 Jul02 Jun11 Jun03 Apr28 (van denni)VEGA L 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  AGUILA DEL RIO Jul10 Jun30 Jun17 Jun02 May20 (adams hanna)GONZALEZ KEVIN 116 20.00    
STRYDA Jul04 Jun01 Oct14 Sep07 Aug25 (johnson jamey)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50 69% 0.50    
MORNIN' BOSS Jul16 Jun23 Jun09 May07 Apr22 (clouston edw)TAPARA BRANDON 120 5.00    
SCR  DADDY CLASSY DILL Jul16 Jul02 Jun11 Jun09 May14 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 115 3.50    
SCR  MOMMY BERTA Oct10 Sep11 Aug30 Jul11 Oct31 (crago terr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 30.00    
SASSY BABE Jul02 Jun19 May29 Apr25 Nov17 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 120 10.00    
PRIVATE CREDIT Jul11 Jun18 May30 Oct12 Sep13 (hendriks ri)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.00    
 
MNR-3   08/07/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COOL FRONT Jul18 Jun25 Jun08 May12 Mar15 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 120 6.00 21% 3.90    
SCR  WALKIN PRINCESS Aug09 Jul17 Oct05 Sep18 Aug17 (logston christo)LEON A 120 20.00    
DANCE STEP Jul01 May28 May14 Apr30 Mar24 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 120 8.00    
PRINCESSTAPITURE Jul13 Jun28 May25 May11 Apr10 (andrade hugo)NEGRON LUIS 120 12.00    
SCR  JOY IN THE BATTLE Jul01 Jun26 Jun16 Jun04 Jan28 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 115 1.40    
SHOW ME THE BEST Jul09 Jun23 Jun03 Dec05 Nov13 (jenkins wa)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 8.00    
MAUREENLOVESFRANK Jul09 May28 May12 Apr30 Mar13 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 15.00 5% 17.90    
SCR  GIRL BYE Jul19 Jun30 Jun09 May14 Apr30 (fletcher jeff)YARANGA Y 120 6.00    
ONE NIGHT STAND Jul17 Jun23 Jun10 May21 May06 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 5.00 39% 1.60    
 
MNR-4   08/07/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALEROSO Jul22 Jul09 Jun25 Dec04 Nov08 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 10.00 9% 9.80    
FORLOVEOFCOUNTRY Jun12 May30 May17 May04 Mar21 (murtough )HERNANDEZ H 120 3.50    
CONGRATS THIS Jul24 Jul14 Jun23 Jan01 Dec06 (van denni)VEGA L 120 6.00    
YOUVESAIDITALL Jul14 Jul03 Jun17 Jun02 Feb15 (clouston edw)TAPARA BRANDON 120 4.50 19% 4.40    
MACHO SMOKE Jul21 Jul08 Jun25 Jun09 May21 (montano wil)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
MALTHAEL Jun26 May30 Apr25 Mar30 Mar16 (west m)BRACHO A 120 1.60 41% 1.50    
ICY STORM May29 May06 Apr24 Apr08 Mar06 (stansbury julie)NEGRON LUIS 120 5.00    
 
MNR-5   08/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STUNNING HERO Jul23 Jul09 Jun30 Jun17 Jun04 (stanoszek sara)WHITACRE B 123 5.00    
VORTEX (GB) Jul16 Jun26 May27 Mar08 Feb18 (barker jame)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 0.80 42% 1.40    
CRUZIN FOR CHAOS Jul14 Jul01 Jun02 Jan24 Nov07 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 116 8.00 10% 8.80    
LOTS OF MISCHIEF Jul14 Jun30 Jun03 Apr28 Feb12 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 120 3.50 19% 4.40    
LUVTHEONEURWITH Jul24 Jul14 Jun26 Jun04 May26 (gilbert timothy)VEGA L 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
CLASSIC FILM Sep03 Aug27 Aug09 May05 Mar10 (cordero-)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 120 12.00    
TAPAWAY Jul24 Jun29 Jun20 Jun08 May24 (vickers richar)GILBERT KYLE 120 30.00    
 
MNR-6   08/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R B'S BIG MOMENT Jul01 Jun17 May26 May05 Apr03 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 116 1.60    
UNCAPTURED FAITH Jul30 Jul23 Jul16 Jul01 Jun23 (wade ju)BRAVO MISAEL 115 3.00    
BLUE TWIRLIN Jun23 Jun03 May19 Apr28 Mar16 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 4.50 14% 6.40    
SCR  SALTY SAUL Aug02 Jun21 May31 Apr06 Mar28 (tobin edwi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 10.00    
OUT OF ROMANCE Jul17 Oct25 Oct04 Sep10 Aug28 (howard will)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 20.00    
BIG BANG BLUE Jul17 Jul01 Jun09 May27 Apr28 (bernardini jay )LEON A 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
 
MNR-7   08/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEACEFUL WARRIOR Jul09         (johnson jennif)GILBERT KYLE 119 5.00 17% 4.80    
WHY WINCHILL WHY Jul14 Jul03 Jun18 Apr28 Dec13 (meeks karl)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 10.00    
IT'S ONLY MONEY Jul03 Jun21 May19 Jul06 Jun10 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
GOLDEN ARROW (IRE) Jun20 Mar29 Mar08 Feb01 Nov29 (runco c)HO WESLEY 120 3.00    
GIACOMO CASANOVA Jul03 Jun18 May11 Mar30 Mar14 (baird mi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 111 1.40 44% 1.30    
BABY DOG Jul14 Jul03 Jun19 Jun04 May19 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 116 4.50    
 
MNR-8   08/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NECCO Jul03 Jun18 May29 May16 Mar21 (murtough )HERNANDEZ H 120 6.00    
SCR  IMMORAL May25 May10 Apr16 Mar18 Mar02 (jansen kenny)VEGA L 120 4.00    
PUNCTUALITY Jul23 Jul15 Jun19 May26 Nov29 (barker jame)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 5.00 18% 4.60    
OLD FORTY FIVE Jul23 Jun30 Jun03 May14 Apr30 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 5.00 5% 17.90    
ROLL ME OVER Jul10 Jun17 May26 Apr30 Apr23 (cuttino marion )NEGRON LUIS 120 2.50 39% 1.50    
ALDRINALINE Jul12 Jun29 Jun20 May25 Mar13 (brown ronne)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.00    
VAPORIZED Jul23 Apr23 Dec11 Nov26 Nov13 (mcgaffic gre)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.