Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Friday - August 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-1   WIN (2/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/6)-(2/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/6)-(2/7/5/6)-(2/7/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/5/6)-(5/2/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5/6)-(5/2/6/9)-(5/6/10/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
EVD-2   WIN (5/2/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/6/9)-(5/2/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6/9)-(5/2/6/9)-(5/2/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/6/9)-(5/6/10/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6/9)-(5/6/10/2)-(2/7/4/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
EVD-3   WIN (5/6/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/10/2)-(5/6/10/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/6/10/2)-(5/6/10/2/7)-(5/6/10/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/6/10/2)-(2/7/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/10/2)-(2/7/4/5)-(5/8/6/4/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-4   WIN (2/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/9/5)-(2/7/4/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/7/4/5)-(5/8/6/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4/5)-(5/8/6/4/9)-(3/1) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
EVD-5   WIN (5/8/6/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/6/4/9)-(5/8/6/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/6/4/9)-(5/8/6/4/9)-(5/8/6/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/8/6/4/9)-(3/1) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (5/8/6/4/9)-(3/1)-(1/9/7/6) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
EVD-6   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/1)-(1/9/7/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(1/9/7/6)-(3/8/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
EVD-7   WIN (1/9/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/7/6)-(1/9/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/7/6)-(1/9/7/6)-(1/9/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/9/7/6)-(3/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/9/7/6)-(3/8/5)-(6/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-8   WIN (3/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/5)-(3/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/8/5)-(3/8/5)-(3/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/8/5)-(6/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
EVD-9   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   08/02/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKY HIGH SUSAN Jul05 Jun07 Apr20 Feb29 Dec30 (delany sarah)BARRERA J 118 3.00    
FRONT AND SILVER Jul11 Jun28 May08 Apr13 Feb23 (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 114 4.50 49% 1.10    
PLANTS AND BIRDS Jul05 May10 Apr24 Mar13 Feb23 (cuccia j)STOKES J 121 6.00    
THAT IS AWESOME Jul25 Jul05 May31 May01 Apr13 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 15.00    
COPPER MOON Jun28 May31 May18 Mar10 Feb24 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 118 4.00 7% 13.00    
BOLD EXAGGERATION Jun07 May13 Apr06 Mar01 Feb08 (delany sarah)VARGAS P 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
NEW DESTINY Jul05 Jun21 Jun07 May17 Apr26 (larrosa jua)SANTIAGO EDWARD 113 2.50 23% 3.40    
MRS. NECAISE Jun21 May15 Apr20 Mar13 Feb15 (ladner herman)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 20.00    
SCR  ENTITLEMENT Jul05 Jun14 May02 Apr06 Mar01 (david b)VARGAS P 118 8.00    
 
EVD-2   08/02/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARK THE MOOSE Jul20 Jun27 May25 Apr18 Mar03 (terre david)BARRERA J 121 15.00    
SILVER WINGS Jul11 Jun28 May23 Apr11 Mar22 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 121 3.00 12% 7.70    
SCR  HALF OURS N STORMY Jul19 May15 Apr19 Feb03 Jan04 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 118 8.00    
HIS GIANT Jun13 May18 Mar30 Mar02 Feb24 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 20.00    
PRADO'S PRIORITY Mar01 Jan25 Jan12 Dec08 Nov04 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 118 2.50 57% 0.80    
RECKLESS RANSOM Jun25 May15 Mar14 Feb07 Dec21 (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 4.00 9% 10.80    
SCR  STREET ART Jun21 May18 Feb02 Jan04 Dec14 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 121 4.50    
MUCHO MARVIN Jul06 May18 May01 Feb22 Feb01 (courville ri)MAGNON H 118 15.00    
HEARTTHROB HALO Jul19 Jun08 May25 May15 Apr13 (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-3   08/02/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STRUTTIN APRIORITY Jun27 Jun15 May16 Sep09 Aug10 (thomas lee)FUSILIER C 118 3.50    
ZIPPY TOGA Jun27 May11 Apr25 Feb24 Jan18 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
JOSAN Jul12 Jun28 May30 Apr27 Mar24 (morrell cynt)MAGNON H 118 15.00    
ALL COUNTRY Jul19 Mar24 Feb10 Jan12 Dec20 (laday ashton)STOKES J 118 12.00    
SILENT REASON Jun23 May08 Apr05 Feb07 Jan07 (wong jonathan)MCMAHON J 117 2.50 48% 1.10    
PINCH HITTER Jul05 May16 Nov09 Oct14 Sep12 (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 121 4.50 17% 4.90    
BOBBY MERLOT Jul05 Jun20 May09 Apr17 Feb24 (ramsay-bank)MELANCON JANSEN 121 8.00    
GOTTA DEAL Jun24 Jun12 May29 May09 Apr27 (washington ri)LOZADA CARLOS 118 20.00    
TALK OF THE TOWN Jul11 Jun27 Jun13 May24 May01 (ducoing sturg)VARGAS P 121 15.00    
10  SOUTH SIDE Jun20 May29 May09 Apr25 Feb29 (bourgeois keit)THORNTON G 121 5.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  HALF CRAZY Jun15 May29 May11 Apr25 Apr12 (courville ri)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 20.00    
SCR  CARLOS'S MAMA Jun15 May29 May11 Mar20 Mar08 (bernard joh)SANTIAGO EDWARD 113 20.00    
 
EVD-4   08/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KELLYS THE BOSS Jul04 May31 Apr13 Feb24 Feb10 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 15.00    
CASHEW Jul12 Jun08 May24 Apr19 Feb10 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 121 3.00 28% 2.60    
MIDNIGHT TRIP Jul16 Jul01 Jun18 Jun04 May20 (del cid)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 2.00    
MISS CHARLIE GRAS May25 Apr20 Feb03 Jan19 Dec15 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 4.50 23% 3.30    
BRAVE OLLIE Jul19 Jun20 May15 Feb22 Jan26 (mojica edith)QUILES ANTONIO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
BEYOND D'ORO Jul13 Jun20 May22 Apr13 Jan05 (simon lest)MARQUEZ L 121 15.00    
LA TRESS GRAY Dec18 Nov17 Jun29 Jun01 Apr20 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 121 8.00 24% 3.20    
HOLY WAR Jun27 Jun17 May28 May08 Apr26 (west henry)MUNOZ SERGIO 113 20.00    
BOURN Jun08 May16 Apr21 Oct27 Oct01 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 5.00    
 
EVD-5   08/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS MOCCASINS Jul20 May30 Feb08 Jan11   (zenon charles)PEREZ CARLOS 124 15.00    
VINCENT'S GEM Jul18 Jun29       (broussard vinc)MUNOZ SERGIO 119 20.00    
FIVE LEAF CLOVER Jul20 Jun29 Jun06 Apr10 Feb03 (chevis a)FUSILIER C 120 4.00    
DR. BOO Jul20 Jun27 May25 May04 Apr13 (chatter)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00 7% 13.40    
MALLORY'S INDIAN Jun22         (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 120 4.50 52% 0.90    
HARD CANDY KISSES Jul18 Jun29 Jun08 Apr18   (averett ronn)BARRERA J 120 3.00 8% 10.90    
LIL LILAH ANN Feb21         (zenon shelt)MELANCON JANSEN 124 20.00    
C C LLAM Jul20 Jun27 May31 May17 Apr05 (mojica a)CARRENO J 120 3.50 9% 10.60    
TIME TO CLOSE Jul06 Jun22 Feb15 Jan25 Dec27 (celestine charles )STOKES J 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  LONG LEGGED LADY Jul06 May30 Apr24 Apr10 Feb21 (pomier chas)SANTIAGO EDWARD 115 10.00    
 
EVD-6   08/02/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Louisiana Stallion Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JET ROCKET Jun29 Jun14 May18 Apr11 Mar20 (ducoing sturge)THORNTON G 118 5.00 6% 15.20    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of HOT ROCKET by LEMON DROP KID)
TOMMIE G Jun20 Jun01 May02 Mar23 Feb24 (west patrici)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 2.00    
  (by COURT VISION out of ADRIANNE G by INDYGO SHINER)
CLEARLY A TEST Jun01 May03 Mar23 Feb24 Feb04 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 1.60 60% 0.70    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of TESTING ONE TWO by STAR GUITAR)
ISLAND GOLD Jul13 Jun01 May03 Mar24 Feb29 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 116 2.50    
  (by WHENCE out of GRACEFUL TOUCH by TOUCH GOLD)
SCR  MISS ROSIE Jul18 May08 Feb03     (gelner scott)MCMAHON J 116 12.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of CITY RUN by CHEROKEE RUN)
 
EVD-7   08/02/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHROME BABY Jul06 Jun18 May03 Apr06 Feb24 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 121 2.00 64% 0.60    
READY TO PURRFORM Jun04 May02 Mar02 Apr20 Jan21 (noel dane)MCMAHON J 121 5.00    
COSMIC TRAIN Jul06 Jun01 May04 Apr13 Feb22 (delhomme jer)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 4.50    
CHENTI Jun28 Oct21 Jun10 May20 May05 (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 121 10.00    
CALICOCO Jul06 Mar23 Mar02 Jan13 Dec09 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 3.50    
FORTUITY Jul04 Jun14 May18 Apr13 Feb12 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
BRIAN'S IRON MIKE Jul06 Jun01 May04 Apr11 Mar23 (landry r)THORNTON G 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DRILLING REPORT Jun27 May31 Apr19 Feb24 Jan13 (cuccia j)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 20.00    
PARROT HEAD Jun14 Mar10 Dec22 Aug19 Aug03 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 12.00 7% 14.20    
 
EVD-8   08/02/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Non-Graded Stake Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FAST MEDICINE Jul27 Jun29 Jun14 May26 May11 (broberg karl)BARRERA J 116 5.00    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of CORRECT CALL by BUCKPOINT (FR))
DEVIL'S POOL Jul24 Jul12       (johnson b)WADE LYNDIE 118 10.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of ZIP HER UP by CITY ZIP)
SECRET FAITH Jul13 Jun14       (gelner j)MCMAHON J 120 2.00 57% 0.80    
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of ST. JEAN by MACHO UNO)
CANDY GIRL MISS         (zenon charles)STOKES J 116 20.00    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of TOO MUCH TO BEAR by TOO MUCH BLING)
CALL ME SUSAN Jun28         (wilson shane)NIEVES EMANUEL 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of RANSOM RED by RED ROCKS (IRE))
BELLA SORELLA Jun28 Jun14       (devereux patr)VARGAS P 118 8.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of SIBLING WAR by BROTHER DEREK)
SCR  MY OTHER HALF Jul12         (landry r)THORNTON G 116 3.00    
  (by HALF OURS out of THOSE LION EYES by LION HEART)
QUITE THE CATCH Jul12         (latour )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 4.00 22% 3.60    
  (by REQUITE out of EXCEEDEXPECTATIONS by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
EVD-9   08/02/2024 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKEY G Jul19 Jul05 Jan13 Dec02 Nov17 (gelner scott)MCMAHON J 117 6.00    
BOOTLEGGER BAY         (averett ronnie)FLORIAN JOSE 112 10.00 27% 2.70    
SPIRITUAL MIRAGE Dec28         (klanfer ala)MELANCON JANSEN 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EL GABRIELO Jun19 May14 Mar29 Feb22 Jan19 (del eric)QUILES ANTONIO 124 4.00    
THE LAST CAT Jul19 Jul05 Jun13 May29 May09 (delahoussaye t)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 20.00    
WILD APRIORITY Jul04 Jun14 May09     (thomas lee)FUSILIER C 121 2.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  CAPITAN GEORGE Jun19 Jun03 May14 Feb17 Dec23 (del cid)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 1.80    
I NITA WARRIOR Jul05 May18 May01 Apr17 Feb22 (reeves jeffery )POMPELL L 117 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.