Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - August 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/2/6)-(3/1/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(7/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(7/6/4/1)-(6/7/4/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (7/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/1)-(7/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/1)-(7/6/4/1)-(7/6/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/4/1)-(6/7/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4/1)-(6/7/4/1)-(2/6/4/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/1)-(6/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/1)-(6/7/4/1)-(6/7/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/4/1)-(2/6/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4/1)-(2/6/4/5)-(3/5/1/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/5)-(2/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/5)-(2/6/4/5)-(2/6/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/4/5)-(3/5/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/5)-(3/5/1/6)-(7/2/5/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/6)-(3/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/6)-(3/5/1/6)-(3/5/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/1/6)-(7/2/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1/6)-(7/2/5/3)-(1/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (7/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/5/3)-(1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5/3)-(1/3/5)-(3/1/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(3/1/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-8   WIN (3/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/9)-(3/1/7/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/9)-(3/1/7/6/9)-(3/1/7/6/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   08/01/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HURRICANE ALERT Jul20 Jun18 Jun01 May11 Mar08 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 2.50 24% 3.20    
CURB THAT TIGER Jul06 Jun13 May23 May02 Mar21 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00    
PINNACLE REEF Jul06 May25 May03 Mar13 Feb21 (runco jeff )ROBLES O 113 2.00 51% 1.00    
TIME TO CHOOSE Jul20 Jun28 May23 Apr19 Mar14 (reyes d)LARROSA G 122 6.00    
ON A WHIM Jul19 Jul05 Jun07 May18 May02 (murtaugh andre)REAP E 124 12.00    
NEVERFOLD Jun28 Jun15 May25 May03 Apr14 (mcgill sylvester)ACOSTA D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
MEETMARYSMAN Jul06 May25 May03 Apr26 Mar21 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
 
CT-2   08/01/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKAAN Jun15 May30 Apr12 Feb09 Dec15 (soldo elaine)ACOSTA D 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
BELLAFLEET Jan04 Nov09       (pickett cry)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 118 15.00    
RAGAZZA MIA Feb14 Jan03 Nov08 Oct19   (runco jeff )ROBLES O 111 3.00    
KLUVYAMEANANDNASTY         (atkins michae)ADAMS L 117 15.00 17% 5.00    
MISS PEARL HART Jul06 Jun06 Apr20 Apr13 Mar08 (comi ralph)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 118 2.50    
NO BODY LIKES ME         (haynes m)RODRIGUEZ V 118 5.00 26% 2.90    
GOLD ALLIANCE Jul12 Jun21 May26 Jul15 Jul02 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 2.00 26% 2.80    
 
CT-3   08/01/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPADINE Jul11 Nov30 Nov04 Sep15 Aug26 (jones micha)ROBLES O 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
TAPACHILL Jul26 Jul12 May31 Feb21 Jan26 (shanley tim)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 116 15.00    
OBOY Jul12 Jun20 May31 Mar17 Feb16 (gamber )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 20.00    
IRISH KING Jul13 Jun01 May18 Apr20 Nov22 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
COUNT DADDY Jul21 Jul13 Jun23 Jun09 May26 (magee kie)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 111 6.00    
RUSH CENTER Jun16 Jun03 May14 May04 Apr08 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.60 47% 1.10    
CATCHING STARS Jul21 Jun21 May05 Apr21 Nov26 (robb j)HO WESLEY 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
CT-4   08/01/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DICE ARM Jun15 May30 May10 Apr14 Jan07 (keller)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 8.00    
BATTLE TESTED Jun23 Mar16       (feliciano m)ACOSTA D 118 1.80 43% 1.30    
WAC IS FAST Jul18 Jun28 Jun06 May24 May03 (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 118 8.00    
EXTRA DIRTY Jun23 Jun07 May04 Apr12 Feb11 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 118 10.00 8% 11.10    
DEE DEE SIX Jul06 Jun15 May24 May03 Mar27 (cipriano robert)BOCACHICA O 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
MADAM LEOTA Feb03 Dec16 Oct13     (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 1.60 18% 4.60    
I'M FRIESAN Jul06 Jun15       (contreras j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 12.00    
 
CT-5   08/01/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRUMPY'S BUDDY Jun28 Jun07 May24 May09 Apr13 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00 9% 9.70    
DOCTOR PARDO Jul06 Jun15 May25 May03 Apr13 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00    
STROLLINGINTHEWIND Jun15 Jun03 May03 Apr13 Mar23 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.20 48% 1.10    
COMMON PROSPERITY Jun20 May31 May16 May03 Apr12 (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 5.00    
RAINBOW DAY Jul11 Jun20 May09 Apr18 Mar21 (runco jeff )ROBLES O 111 8.00 11% 8.10    
DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Jun27 Jun06 May17 Apr26 Apr04 (atkins)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
NICO LUCKY Jul11 Jun13 May18 May10 May04 (harting chris)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00    
AIR MEDAL Jul12 Jun20 May31 May10 Apr19 (laguna )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 20.00    
 
CT-6   08/01/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRAZY ANITA         (gomez r)BOCACHICA O 119 12.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of DEPUTY JOLIE by DEPUTY RUMMY)
PIPE DREAMIN Feb23         (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 119 6.00 14% 6.10    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of VIA AURELIA by MARQUETRY)
FAR MORE Feb14 Dec09 Nov02 Oct13 Sep15 (groves janice)MAWING A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LANGFUHR out of ANNAPOLIS HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
CANDY TRICKS Jul11 Apr18 Mar20 Feb23 Feb16 (sigler )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 112 2.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of TRICKY WINDSOR by WINDSOR CASTLE)
CHEAP CARLISLE         (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 10.00 9% 10.70    
  (by STORMY'S MAJESTY out of SHEFOGGEDMYGLASSES by PROUD AND TRUE)
HOLIDAY ODDS         (jones micha)ROBLES O 112 8.00    
  (by DESPITE THE ODDS out of HOLIDAY MAGICIAN by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
MENDYS HONEY         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 119 1.80 35% 1.80    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of HONEY CHILE by INVISIBLE INK)
KYOTO KAT Apr28         (schottroffe e)THORPE DARIUS 124 20.00    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of GRACEADIEU by CAPTAIN RED)
 
CT-7   08/01/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HESSICA Jul11 Jun22 May30 May03 Apr11 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 1.00 50% 1.00    
HIDEWRIGHT AWAY Jul25 Jul11 Jun17 Jun01 Mar22 (binning matt)LEWIS M 117 1.80    
YOU CAN'T WIN Jun12 May30 Apr25 Apr06 Mar23 (haynes m)ACOSTA D 116 10.00 14% 5.90    
CEDAR'S WISH Jul04 Jun13 Jun01 Mar29 Feb15 (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 124 6.00    
TRAIN WRECK Jul11 Jun22 Jun06 May07 Mar01 (lane j)CULLUM W 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
QUEEN JELLY BEAN Jul11 May02 Apr11 Mar01 Feb15 (reynolds jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00    
 
CT-8   08/01/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRY TOUGH         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 119 2.00 29% 2.40    
  (by OUTWORK out of FADE TO BLACK by LASTING APPROVAL)
COUNT THE FLOWERS Jul11 Jun08 May30 May09   (atkins mic)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 124 30.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of PLUNGEINTHEMOAT by WINDSOR CASTLE)
AIM'S REDIRECT Jul11 Jun20 May30 May09 May02 (regget)ARAUJO VICENTE 119 2.50 43% 1.40    
  (by REDIRECT out of EVEN AIM by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
CITY OF ARCHES Jul11         (stehr p)RODRIGUEZ V 119 30.00    
  (by SIENTE EL TRUENO out of BREEZY ARCH by ADMIRALTY ARCH)
GHOSTLY ANNA May24 Apr27 Apr19 Mar08 Feb10 (atkins william)REAP E 119 6.00    
  (by GHOSTLY MINISTER out of ADDING ALPHA by EVEN THE SCORE)
SHESA BABE         (barber donald )CHILO MAXIMO 124 12.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of LIL BALDIE by RUGBY)
CRAFTY CANDYGRAM Feb23         (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 119 3.50    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of SHEZA CRAFTY CAT by FIBER SONDE)
SUGAR CANE JANE         (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 10.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  THE GODMOTHER         (gomez r)LARROSA G 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUBA out of DREAMS OF FREEDOM by DENIS OF CORK)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.