Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Thursday - July 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (4/3/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/5)-(4/3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/5)-(4/3/2/5)-(4/3/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/2/5)-(7/4/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2/5)-(7/4/8/5)-(7/8/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
IND-2   WIN (7/4/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/8/5)-(7/4/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/8/5)-(7/4/8/5)-(7/4/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/8/5)-(7/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/8/5)-(7/8/4)-(2/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-3   WIN (7/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/4)-(7/8/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/4)-(7/8/4/6)-(7/8/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/8/4)-(2/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/8/4)-(2/7/1)-(6/1/5/8/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
IND-4   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/1)-(6/1/5/8/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1)-(6/1/5/8/3)-(4/6/2) 45 $1.00 $22.50 
IND-5   WIN (6/1/5/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/5/8/3)-(6/1/5/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/5/8/3)-(6/1/5/8/3)-(6/1/5/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/1/5/8/3)-(4/6/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5/8/3)-(4/6/2)-(9/8/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
IND-6   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(9/8/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(9/8/3)-(2/9) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
IND-7   WIN (9/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/8/3)-(9/8/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/3)-(9/8/4/7/3)-(9/8/4/7/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/8/3)-(2/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (9/8/3)-(2/9)-(8/1/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
IND-8   WIN (2/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/9)-(2/9) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/9)-(8/1/6/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
IND-9   WIN (8/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/6/5)-(8/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/6/5)-(8/1/6/5)-(8/1/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
IND-1   07/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($18K) Purse ($36.72K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIGHT KISS Jun18 May20 May01 Jan27 Dec01 (medina tomas)PARKER L 121 2.50    
MY MY MUNNY Jun08 May20 Apr23 Oct05 Sep17 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 3.00 15% 5.90    
LUCKY PHOENIX Jun18 May30 May16 Apr25 Feb29 (herrell r)CORREA L 121 4.50 22% 3.50    
GHOSTLY NIGHT Apr30 Apr10 Jan28 Jan06 Nov23 (shirer matt )BARBOSA CARLOS 114 3.50 35% 1.80    
SMART WITH HEART Jun27 Jun08 May12 Apr25 Jan19 (bahena ismael)SANJUR SANTO 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
QUILTER Nov15 Oct30 Oct05 Sep08 Aug26 (granitz)DE CRUZ 118 15.00    
MABEE LUCKYNWILD Jun18 May20 Apr30 Apr23 Mar15 (wisner tr)BERMUDEZ E 121 6.00    
 
IND-2   07/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO TRUST Jun17 May28 May01 Oct17 Sep13 (lauer mic)BEALMEAR C 114 4.00    
SALTY SUE Jun17 Jun04 May20 Apr30 Apr17 (fosdi)ULLOA PATRICIO 121 20.00    
EMPIRE SUNRISE May20 Nov16 Nov08 Oct18 Oct02 (fosdick steve)ROMAN A 121 8.00    
BICARB BETTY Jun19 May20 May01 Nov16 Nov08 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 121 3.00 15% 5.50    
QUEEN D Jun17 Apr30 Oct02 Sep14 Aug10 (mullins s)CORREA L 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FOREVER BLESSED May29 May07 Oct18 Oct02 Aug03 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 121 5.00    
CLASSIC KITTEN Jun04 May14 May01 Oct28 Oct04 (davis d)SANJUR SANTO 117 2.50 44% 1.20    
MARTZ ROSEY Jul10 Jun12 May22 May01 Apr17 (medina tom)ANDERSON MCKENNA 117 10.00 7% 12.50    
 
IND-3   07/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PONTMETOTHEBOURBON Jul09 Jun19 May30 Aug19   (herrell d)PEREZ E 120 15.00    
  (by GIO PONTI out of ALITTLEBOURBON by NOT BOURBON)
ERIN Jun05         (dunn step)BEALMEAR C 117 10.00    
  (by NORMANDY INVASION out of FACEY'S SPIRIT by PASS RUSH)
SCR  PERNICIOUS         (greenhi)DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
  (by BIRD SONG out of SMARTY BIRD by SMART STRIKE)
LITTLERANSOMSFIRE         (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of THALIAS FIRE by PHILANTHROPIST)
MOLLY'S AUSSIE Jun19 May16 Apr16     (dobbsjr e)PRESCOTT R 120 6.00    
  (by ASTERN out of LADY MOLLY by BROTHER DEREK)
RICH GIRLS DREAMS         (sanchez e)BERMUDEZ E 120 8.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of SULAFAH by BERNARDINI)
BEACH DANCER Jun05         (eggleston tim)SANJUR SANTO 120 0.80 52% 0.90    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of BEAR'S TRUE GAL by YES IT'S TRUE)
SECRET SAVIOR         (langemeier joh)DOYLE SOPHIE 120 5.00 22% 3.50    
  (by ALGORITHMS out of SAINT SAVIOR by YANKEE VICTOR)
 
IND-4   07/18/2024 4950ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.52K) 2 ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR BAHJY Jul02         (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BAHJATTY out of PROUD DREAMER by PROUD CITIZEN)
PROBATIONER Jun14 Jun05 May26     (caramori caio)SANJUR SANTO 120 1.80 33% 2.10    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of ON PROBATION by INTO MISCHIEF)
BAYTOWN BEATLE Apr21         (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 113 8.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SONG SUNG TRUE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
BOSS OF ALL BOSSES Jun20         (maker mic)BERMUDEZ E 120 3.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of TENSAS SALT by SALT LAKE)
SCR  RED SHAHEEN Jul02         (matejka pavel)KRIGGER K 120 15.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of GOLD EDGE by EDDINGTON)
SCR  BAYTOWN BARACUS Jun17 May14 Apr25 Apr05   (mcentee pa)ANDERSON MCKENNA 120 20.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of SANTINA DOND by EL PRADO (IRE))
SOUND CAUSE Jun21         (romans da)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 4.50 27% 2.80    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of QUEEN OF SCAT by KING OF SCAT)
SCR  VEHEMENTLY Jun04         (elliott)DE CRUZ 120 6.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of SHIMMERING MOON by MALIBU MOON)
 
IND-5   07/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHISEL Jul03 Jun18 May01 Apr08 Nov10 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 4.00 23% 3.40    
BIG ANCHOR Jul09 Jun19 May16 May07 Nov16 (medina tomas)MOJICA O 122 30.00    
C F V TEXAS RED Jul03 May13 Nov07 Oct30 Oct12 (gonzalez )BERMUDEZ E 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SECRETO DE AMORE Jul03 Jun08 May16 Apr25 Nov16 (duran antonio)SANJUR SANTO 122 5.00    
SECRET RENDEZVOUS May27 May14 Aug30 Aug02 Jul13 (lauer michael)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 4.50 15% 5.70    
CONCENTRATION Jun12 May16 Apr25 Mar02 Nov16 (lauer mic)BEALMEAR C 111 2.50 31% 2.20    
KNEEDEEPJUSTICE Jun20 May28 May21 Apr30 Apr17 (medina tomas)TERRAZA GERMAN 115 6.00    
CLASSIC EXPRESS Jul06 Jun10 May27     (leonard george)ROMAN A 118 10.00 6% 15.20    
SCR  PABLO'S SUN Nov17 Nov02 Sep20 Aug05 Jun10 (rechy chaz)ROMERO M 112 30.00    
10  FOXY BOXY Jul03 Nov07 Oct09 Sep07 Aug15 (mullins s)CORREA L 122 30.00    
 
IND-6   07/18/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($46.24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. MELO Jun19 May04 Apr16 Mar15 Feb15 (hernandez rey)SANJUR SANTO 120 6.00    
LOOKING GOOD LEWIS Jul10 Jun20 Jun06 Feb07 Dec29 (holde)ULLOA PATRICIO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SPANISH WELLS Jun29 Jun09 Apr27 Feb06   (forster g)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 4.50    
RAVIN'S TOWN Jun29 Jun02 May18 Apr14 Jul09 (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 118 2.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  PEACOCK ROAD Jul11 May28 May07 Mar20 Mar06 (hernandez)CORREA L 113 10.00    
FIVE O' SOMEWHERE Jul11 May29 May14 Apr16 Sep12 (spraggins)BERMUDEZ E 118 8.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  SAMBALOVER Jun11 Sep10 Aug03 Jul12   (lobo h)ROMAN A 118 12.00    
SCR  CEEPEEGEE May11 Apr07 Feb11 Dec08 Sep29 (moquett ronal)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 3.00    
SCR  KING ME Jun22 Jun14 May16 Apr16 Dec01 (littlefield de)DOYLE SOPHIE 122 30.00    
10  C. J'S STORM Jun26 Jun05 May04 Apr08 Nov15 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 1.80    
 
IND-7   07/18/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38.5K) 2 ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENGINE SOL Jun27 Jun05 May20     (egbert jame)ROMERO M 110 20.00    
  (by EUROPE out of COOL CORREDOR by EL CORREDOR)
TERMINALLY HANDSOM         (leonard george)ROMAN A 120 8.00    
  (by ISOTHERM out of SERENA'S HOPE by STRONG HOPE)
TO FLY AND FIGHT         (leonard geor)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS out of MISS BLOSSOM by MUNNINGS)
BOLD JUSTICE         (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 120 4.50    
  (by HARRY'S HOLIDAY out of PRAIRIE PRIZE by PURE PRIZE)
SLIGOTIME Jun27 Jun05       (haran joh)CORREA L 120 12.00    
  (by CSABA out of RAJA BREEZE by SHORE BREEZE)
MI SARGENTO Jun05         (duran antonio)PARKER L 120 15.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSONG out of LIL SUCRETTE by GEMOLOGIST)
POLAR DRIFT         (gorham )DE CRUZ 120 6.00    
  (by ISOTHERM out of BIG N LUCKY by POLLARD'S VISION)
STAR QUALITY (ARG)         (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSONG out of KITTY QUALITY by QUALITY ROAD)
MONARCH OF MOTION Jun27         (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
  (by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS out of MAGGIE SLEW by SEATTLE SLEW)
 
IND-8   07/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.52K) 3 ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRACK OF MY TEARS Jun26         (navarrete anna)SANJUR SANTO 122 20.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of REIGN OF TEARS by SALT LAKE)
TWO BEERS BY TEN May13 Apr30 Mar30 Mar01   (maker mic)BERMUDEZ E 122 3.00 66% 0.50    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of BAHAMA BABE by POINT OF ENTRY)
SCR  BOMB CYCLONE Jun20 Sep29       (molloy thomas)CANNON DECLAN 122 1.80    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of WOOD NOT by KISSIN KRIS)
SCR  MERLIN'S MAGIC Sep14 Aug31       (nihei mi)RODRIGUEZ A 122 10.00    
  (by FUSAICHI PEGASUS out of BLUE WHALE by CREATIVE CAUSE)
INDY CHARGE Jun27 May08 Apr14 Mar15 Jan31 (medina rober)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 6.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of AWESOME CLASS by AWESOME AGAIN)
RUNTOFIGHT Jun11 May29       (jura)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 15.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ELOQUENT TRIBUTE by TAPIT)
SCR  DADDY'S DINERO Mar08 Jan05 Oct24 Sep25   (vaughan e)BEALMEAR C 115 30.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of WHITE GOLD by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  KARADIA         (nihei michelle)PARKER L 122 12.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of SAUDIA by GONE WEST)
KENTUCKY GO GO Jun27         (o'neill doug)ROMAN A 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of ENERGIA FRIBBY by AGNES GOLD)
 
IND-9   07/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOUDER THAN WORDS Oct04 Aug23 Aug08 Jul15 Jun27 (granitz a)BERMUDEZ E 122 4.50 24% 3.10    
ACE REPORTER Jun26 May20 May06 Apr08 Nov16 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 5.00    
IMAGINE THE MOON Jun26 Jun05 May20 Oct28 Oct11 (duran antonio)PARKER L 119 6.00    
EYE SHADOW Jun26 Jun06 May22 May07 Apr17 (haran john)ROMERO M 105 20.00    
VERRY AMELIA Jun26 May06 Aug02 Jul05 May10 (duran antonio)SANJUR SANTO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
EKATI FLATTER Jun26 May06 Apr08 Dec14 Nov14 (klopp randy)ROMAN A 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
GIRLS ARE TUFFER Jun05 May06 Nov14 Oct28 Oct04 (greenhill j)CARMONA SERAFIN 112 15.00    
E'S MAGIC Jun26 May21 Jun08 May18 Oct05 (davis j)DE CRUZ 122 1.80 31% 2.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.