Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Wednesday - July 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (2/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/7)-(2/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/7)-(2/1/7)-(2/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/7)-(5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7)-(5/3/4)-(9/7/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-2   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(9/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(9/7/3/5)-(6/4/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-3   WIN (9/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/3/5)-(9/7/3/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/7/3/5)-(9/7/3/6/5)-(9/7/3/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/7/3/5)-(6/4/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/7/3/5)-(6/4/2/3)-(2/1/7/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LAD-4   WIN (6/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/2/3)-(2/1/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2/3)-(2/1/7/5)-(7/3/6/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LAD-5   WIN (2/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/5)-(2/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/5)-(2/1/7/5)-(2/1/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/7/5)-(7/3/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7/5)-(7/3/6/2)-(8/4/5/2/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-6   WIN (7/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2)-(7/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/6/2)-(8/4/5/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LAD-7   WIN (8/4/5/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/2/10)-(8/4/5/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/2/10)-(8/4/5/2/10)-(8/4/5/2/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   07/17/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG SCULLY Jun25 May16 Mar14 Jan11 Dec14 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.50 17% 4.70    
2  CUSTOM BLUE GRASS Feb03 Jan12 Dec02 Nov10 Oct13 (winslow ja)RAMIREZ JR 115 6.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  RISKY PRIORITY Jul09 May20 May07 Mar10 Feb23 (broberg karl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50    
4  ADIOS CARLOS Jun25 Mar21 May15 Feb04 Oct20 (broberg )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 10.00    
5  HEZA PRIORITY May27 Mar06 Feb22 Feb09 Jan04 (gibson jonas)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 3.00    
SCR  HALF AGAIN May09 Apr18 Mar16 Feb18 Jan25 (duhon paul)FUSILIER C 120 8.00    
7  HAIL STATE Jun25 Jun03 Mar30 Mar15 Feb24 (hibdon n)WADE LYNDIE 122 4.00 7% 12.80    
 
LAD-2   07/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRAIRIE DOLLAR Jun03 Feb25 Feb18 Jan05 Dec07 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 10.00    
2  AWE SHACKLE May28 May08 Feb22 Feb08 Feb11 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.50    
3  WINDCRACKER May04 Mar24 Feb25 Feb10 Feb02 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.00 27% 2.70    
4  COMPUTATION Jun11 Jun03 May18 Feb03 Jan13 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  ASSET BASIS Jun18 May28 Apr22 Mar26 Feb10 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 122 1.80 39% 1.50    
SCR  VIOLENT RIVER Jul04 Jun19 May15 Apr27 Mar16 (gibson jonas)RENGIFO JOHAN 122 6.00    
 
LAD-3   07/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VETERAN'S HOLIDAY Jun24 Jun11 May18 Jan28 Jan12 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 12.00    
2  PREFERITO DA BARBI Jun24 Jun11 May13 Mar22 Feb18 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 10.00    
3  CINCO RICHIE Jun28 Jun08 May04 Apr18 Jul28 (broberg karl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50 8% 11.10    
4  ALL TOGETHER Jun24 Jun05 May06 Feb23 Feb02 (beavin judy)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 15.00    
5  LIVINGSTON Jun24 May21 May04 Mar15 Oct21 (brober)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  LITTLE FRAPPUCINO Jun05 May06 Apr26 Mar30 Mar02 (asmussen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 5.00 ★    
7  LITTLE ROCKY Jun24 May24 May11 Apr25 Mar03 (claire alexis)WADE LYNDIE 124 4.00 15% 5.90    
8  EASY BIG BOY Jun24 May07 Apr15 Mar21 Mar14 (dixon tim)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50    
9  AROLLERCOASTERRIDE Jul02 Jun22 May27 Apr21 Mar09 (diodoro rober)LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.50 54% 0.90    
 
LAD-4   07/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRIED PEPPER Jun18 May18 Feb02 Dec28 Nov24 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
2  POMEROY HAZE Jun23 May31 May22 May10 Apr05 (govea cesar)WADE LYNDIE 122 4.50 11% 8.10    
3  ZONG TOUGH Jun08 May22 May07 Mar13 Feb18 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  PUDDING Jun21 May10 Apr07 Jul28 Jul08 (jacks e)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
5  MIRI A COINCIDENCE Apr28 Mar28 Feb16 Jan05 Jul30 (prather john )LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00    
6  EYE DEE KAY Jun08 Mar22 Mar09 Feb18 Jan25 (modica oscar)VARGAS P 122 6.00 33% 2.00    
7  WISE ANCHOR Jun08 May22 May08 Mar06 Feb01 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 3.00    
 
LAD-5   07/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAX IS G MONEY Jun06 Apr26 Mar21 Feb12 Jan21 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.50 20% 4.00    
2  GOTTA KEEP HIM Jun12 May08 Apr26 Apr05 Mar21 (foster m)WADE LYNDIE 120 3.00 39% 1.50    
3  KING ARTHUR RIDGE Jun28 Jun01 May04 Apr05 Mar29 (rangel r)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 4.50    
4  BRAZIL NUT Jun23 May31 May04 Mar30 Mar22 (jacks e)GREEN AUBRIE 124 10.00    
5  SILVER TONE Jun25 Jun04 May07 Apr07 Mar10 (romero gerald)LOZADA CARLOS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  CARTHAGE CAJUN Jun29 May31 May08 Apr05 Mar20 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 4.00    
7  BEN DREAMING Mar29 Feb10 Jan27 Dec17 Jul08 (cates al)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 6.00 16% 5.20    
 
LAD-6   07/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO WEEKS NOTICE May14         (vincent jarvi)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 15.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of REFRESHING by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT)
2  DROMAS Jul04 Jun04 Apr13 Mar06 Feb04 (savoie sherma)LOZADA CARLOS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DIVIDE AND CONQUER out of VIDI VICI by YES IT'S TRUE)
3  MIDNIGHT AVENGER Jun28 May31 May08 Apr12 Mar21 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00 26% 2.80    
  (by FLATTER out of MIDNIGHT SWEETIE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
4  CATHY'S BOY Jun28 May31 May08 Mar21 Feb22 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 2.50    
  (by FLATTER out of FAITH IN CATHY by HOLD ME BACK)
5  REV TOO Jun25 May27 Apr21     (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 3.50    
  (by OUTWORK out of NOMINATIVE by JOHAR)
6  OUTWORKALLDAY Jun27 Mar21       (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 23% 3.30    
  (by OUTWORK out of ALL DAY DONNA by VALUE PLUS)
7  YOU'RE ON MUTE Jun25 Jun12 May04 Apr14 Feb11 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 2.00 27% 2.70    
  (by ENTICED out of C M VICTORIA ROSE by THUNDER GULCH)
 
LAD-7   07/17/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I DONT KNOW EITHER Jul02 Jun17 Jun08 May22 May13 (gomez jorge)FLORIAN JOSE 114 15.00    
2  DEROUTANTE Jul01 Jun19 Aug12 Jul24 Jul04 (meaux h)WADE LYNDIE 119 12.00 8% 12.30    
3  BLESS D'SOUTH Jul01 May24 Apr27 Mar13 Feb16 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 119 8.00    
4  SWIZZLECITY Jul01 Jun08 May15 May04 Mar13 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 6.00 18% 4.60    
5  SAVANNAH'S HERE Jun19 Jun08 Feb21 Feb09 Jan13 (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 119 3.50 14% 5.90    
SCR  C C'S COWGIRL Jul02 Jun08 May15 Aug14 Jul17 (schmidt deni)MURRAY M 122 15.00    
SCR  SUPER ET Jul01 Jun12 May22 Jan25 Jan04 (hatcher natha)RENGIFO JOHAN 119 12.00    
8  TEXAS TWINKIES Jun30 Jun16 May05 Mar22 Dec17 (broberg karl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
9  ART QUEEN Jun16 Jun08 May19 May11 May03 (hibdon mark )NIEVES EMANUEL 118 10.00    
10  WILLAMINA Jul04 Apr20 Apr10 Feb29 Feb01 (wong jonathan)MUNOZ SERGIO 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  XTRA SPICY Jul07 Jun19 Mar02 Feb16 Nov09 (jacks e)GREEN AUBRIE 122 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.