Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Saturday - July 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(3/5)-(1/5/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
EMD-2   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/5)-(1/5/7/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(1/5/7/4)-(7/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
EMD-3   WIN (1/5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/4)-(1/5/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/4)-(1/5/7/4)-(1/5/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/7/4)-(7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7/4)-(7/5/6)-(4/7/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-4   WIN (7/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/6)-(7/5/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/6)-(7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/5/6)-(4/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6)-(4/7/2/6)-(2/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-5   WIN (4/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/2/6)-(4/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/2/6)-(4/7/2/6)-(4/7/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/2/6)-(2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2/6)-(2/4/5)-(3/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-6   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(3/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(3/4/2)-(9/4/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-7   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/2)-(9/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EMD-8   WIN (9/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/3/1)-(9/4/3/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/4/3/1)-(9/4/3/1/2)-(9/4/3/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   07/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARTHUR SPOONER Jun29 Jun15 Jun01 May04 Dec10 (gibson howar)OROZCO E 122 4.50    
2  ABRAAJ MIRAGE Jun28 Jun01 May19 May05 Apr22 (bean a)KRIGGER K 122 4.00    
3  NEW EVERY MORNING Jun30 Jun01 May12 Apr18 Apr02 (cryderman cand)REYES R 122 6.00 26% 2.90    
4  DENNARD Jun15 Jun01 Sep10 Sep03 Aug18 (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
5  SMOOTH PAPA Jun30 Jun22 Jun02 May25 May02 (fearon john)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  RHODIUM RUNNER Jun02 May19 Apr30 Apr11 Mar18 (christian shawn)LOPEZ KARLO 122 1.80    
 
EMD-2   07/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Irish Day Purse ($50K) 3 C/G PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINER LEAGUE Jun16 May18 Sep17 Aug05 Jul22 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 123 1.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of SUBTLE STEP by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  SIR ARGENTO Jul06 Jun15 Jun01 May11 Jul09 (cryderman candic)MAWING A 119 8.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of PACKED POWDER by THE WHITE FOX)
3  WHISKEYJACK Jul03 Oct01       (harwood m)ZUNINO L 119 1.60 40% 1.50    
  (by RISE UP out of OUR LINDSAY by VICTORY GALLOP)
4  JULLIAN IN PARIS Jun29         (wenzel tom)MATIAS J 119 20.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of MOTIVATE by UNCLE MO)
5  TOUGHERTHANTHEREST Jun16 Jan14 Dec02 Nov11 Sep03 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of CAT TEN by GREATNESS)
 
EMD-3   07/13/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ FOR REAL Jun23 Jun07 May26 Apr29 Apr10 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 125 2.50 52% 0.90    
2  REALREALGOOD Jun23 Jun08 Apr29 Mar20 Mar05 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 4.00    
3  MISCHIEF MAMA Jun30 Jun16 Jun07 May18 Oct14 (gibson f)LOPEZ KARLO 125 3.50    
SCR  FOGGY BOTTOM Jun23 Jun08 May25 Aug13 Jul29 (simkins rosie)KRIGGER K 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  WARREN'S MEMORABLE Jun30 May25 May12 Oct09 Sep17 (tubbs scott)REYES R 125 8.00 18% 4.40    
6  SHES GOT THE POWER Jun23 Jun07 May12 Mar18 Feb12 (crowe shel)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 4.50    
7  LUVAHAPPYENDING Jun30 Jun23 Jun09 Oct29 Oct15 (perez se)AMADOR RUIZ 125 8.00 5% 18.90    
 
EMD-4   07/13/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCEOFTHEROSES         (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 120 12.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  MIDNIGHT APPROVAL         (birdwell tena)LOPEZ KARLO 120 10.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of SEALEDWITHAPPROVAL by WITH APPROVAL)
3  WILLIAM PORTER         (gibson vince)MONTALVO C 120 8.00 ★    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of PRIVATE FORTUNE by PRIVATE GOLD)
4  TIZ GRAZEN         (wright blaine)REYES R 120 5.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of TIZARAE by TIZNOW)
5  CANDY CABALLO         (wenzel tom)MAWING A 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of VIVA MALALA by MALIBU MOON)
6  WEST COAST BULL         (bullock steve)KRIGGER K 120 3.50 7% 13.70    
  (by COAST GUARD out of MARQUET FORMULA by MARQUETRY)
7  SI THAT TIGER Jun09         (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 120 2.00 35% 1.90    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of ROS'S GIRL by ROSBERG)
 
EMD-5   07/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVERSIFUL Mar27 Mar14 Sep16 Aug27 Jul22 (toye joe)CRUZ M 125 5.00    
2  BARRISTER PROOF Jun15         (gilmour jim)MATIAS J 121 10.00 12% 7.20    
3  CALORESE Jun01 Aug19 Aug05 Jul22   (patino f)AMADOR RUIZ 121 15.00    
4  STREET MOGUL Jun29 Jun15 May31 Sep16 Aug20 (perez hilario)KRIGGER K 125 2.50 32% 2.10    
5  MR. EXECUTIVE Jun29 Jun01 Sep03 Aug06 Jul09 (wright blaine)REYES R 121 4.00    
6  PHAROAHS LIST Sep15 Aug24       (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  KNIGHTLINE Jun29 Jun01 May11 Sep03 Aug27 (gibson f)LOPEZ KARLO 121 1.80 27% 2.70    
 
EMD-6   07/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  REGULATION DAZED Jun29 Jun15 Jun02 Mar22 Feb18 (silva-marti)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 2.50    
2  KHAIKY'S COMMAND Jun22 Apr29 Feb28 Feb06 Jan13 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 122 4.50 37% 1.70    
3  TAINO HOUSE Jun29 Jun21 Jun02 May18 Mar18 (hernandez migu)REYES R 122 1.80    
4  MY SUNSHINE Jun22 Jun09 May31 May19 May04 (silva-martinez a)MONTALVO C 125 3.50 23% 3.30    
5  CLAYTON DELANEY Jun22 Jun01 May18 Aug25 Aug13 (crowe shelly)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 7% 13.10    
6  TAPIT AT MIDNIGHT Jun02 May04 Sep09 Aug26 Jul30 (johnston kimberl)ZUNINO L 122 15.00    
 
EMD-7   07/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHELBY GOLD Jun28 Jun08 Dec02 Nov18 Sep17 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 125 4.50    
2  DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV Jun23 May04 Apr02 Mar20 Feb29 (silva-martinez)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  RESERVOIR Jun22 Jun09 May12 Oct09 Oct02 (dronen sam)REYES R 122 2.50 63% 0.60    
4  LUCY L Jun23 Jun07 Apr22 Mar19 Feb27 (velasquez rig)GUTIERREZ M 125 3.00 14% 6.20    
5  RAFANELLI Jun23 Jun01 May12 Apr14 Mar10 (balcom cliff)LOPEZ KARLO 125 12.00    
6  JUSTIN'S LADY Jun28 Apr10 Mar21 Feb22 Feb06 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 8.00    
7  BIG MAMA THORNTON Jun08 May26 Apr22 Apr08 Feb29 (bean a)KRIGGER K 125 4.00 ★    
 
EMD-8   07/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POCKET KNIFE Jun16 Jun02 May18 Sep16 Aug19 (carlson a)ZUNINO L 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  SPORTY NUGGET Jun21 Jun01 Jan26 Jan01   (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 12.00 ★    
3  MONEY IS TIME May20 Apr28 Mar28 Feb18 Feb04 (rosales jor)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  DEVIL D' ORO May31 May10 Apr04     (evans justin)KRIGGER K 121 3.00 15% 5.80    
5  ALWAYS GALLANT Jul03 Jun14 Jun02 May19 Apr16 (martinez b)MATIAS J 121 10.00    
6  JUST PIN ME Jun29 Jun14 May26 May11 Oct01 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 125 10.00    
7  MY MOTORHOME Jun29 Jun14 May18 May04 Mar22 (nunnally jennife)MAWING A 121 6.00    
8  BABY MARTINI Jun29 Jun02 Sep17 Sep02 Aug12 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 125 5.00    
9  BULLETPROOF TOO May04 Apr21 Mar09 May19 May05 (gilmour jim)MONTALVO C 125 5.00 58% 0.70    
10  GORMLEY GAL Jun21 Jun01 May18     (crowe shelly)REYES R 121 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.