Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Friday - July 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EVD-1   WIN (8/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/5/2)-(8/7/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/5/2)-(8/7/5/2)-(8/7/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/5/2)-(7/6/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/7/5/2)-(7/6/5/2)-(5/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-2   WIN (7/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/5/2)-(5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5/2)-(5/1/4)-(1/3/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-3   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(1/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(1/3/7)-(7/9/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
EVD-4   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/7)-(1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/7)-(7/9/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7)-(7/9/3)-(4/7/10/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-5   WIN (7/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/9/3)-(7/9/8/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/9/3)-(7/9/8/3)-(7/9/8/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/9/3)-(4/7/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/9/3)-(4/7/10/6)-(1/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-6   WIN (4/7/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/10/6)-(4/7/10/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/7/10/6)-(4/7/10/1/6)-(4/7/10/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/7/10/6)-(1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/10/6)-(1/3/2)-(9/2/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-7   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(9/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(9/2/4/7)-(4/6/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-8   WIN (9/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/4/7)-(9/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/4/7)-(9/2/4/7)-(9/2/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/2/4/7)-(4/6/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
EVD-9   WIN (4/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/7)-(4/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/3/7)-(4/6/3/7)-(4/6/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   07/12/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TARAASHOQ May10 Apr17 Feb29 Jan13 Nov30 (escobar alison)STOKES J 121 20.00    
2  MY PAL SWEET May22 May01 Mar22 Feb24 Jan18 (thomas lee)CARRENO J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  DUMBSTRUCK Jun06 Apr25 Mar24 Feb09 Jan07 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 8.00    
SCR  CAJUN AMI Jun15 Jun01 May17 Apr19 Feb10 (landry r)THORNTON G 118 12.00    
5  RIVER RAFT Jun15 May17 Apr05 Feb21 Aug13 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  OLD SOT Mar04 Feb19 Jan08 Nov27 Oct26 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 20.00    
7  FIRST CLASS HARLOW May30 May11 Apr25 Mar20 Feb29 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 2.50 10% 9.00    
8  OVERANALYTICAL Jun14 May30 Dec07 Oct11 Sep12 (wilson shane)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.00 64% 0.60    
9  INSIGNIS May11 Jan12 Nov23 Oct20 Sep07 (delany sara)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 15.00    
10  WOOD RIVER Jun29 Jun15 May18 Apr19 Feb23 (segura kearn)BARRERA J 118 4.00    
 
EVD-2   07/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET WINE Jun22 May29       (thomas lee)MAGNON H 120 20.00    
2  KAT'S PRINCESS Jun14 May30 May01 Apr10 Jan11 (toups brent)POMPELL L 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  GRACE AND MERCY         (david b)VARGAS P 120 5.00    
4  MISS DEALORITY         (klanfer ala)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 15.00    
5  USAIN D'ORO Jun22 May31 May01 Mar02   (courville ricky)MCMAHON J 124 6.00 20% 3.90    
6  KISSTER May31 May14 Mar25     (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.00 25% 2.90    
7  LADY CHERYL'S SONG Jun22 May29 May04 Apr13 Mar24 (averett ronn)BARRERA J 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
8  POT'S PAYCHECK Jun15 May29 May01 Mar24 Feb16 (jackson)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 2.50    
 
EVD-3   07/12/2024 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NANA'S CORN MUFFIN May29 Apr20 Apr05 Feb17 Dec29 (landry r)THORNTON G 117 4.00 34% 1.90    
2  CORA PEARL May29 Jan05 Dec08 Sep08 Aug19 (brinkman bre)MAGNON H 121 2.50    
3  MISS SHIPMAN Apr20 Feb22 Jan12 Dec19 Feb18 (briley lonnie)STOKES J 121 3.00    
4  SHELLEY'S MONEY May29 Feb03 Dec29 Dec07 Jul11 (duhon joseph)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SASSI STRUTTER Jun21 May29 Jan19 Dec13   (thomas lee)BARRERA J 117 1.80 34% 1.90    
SCR  CABO COWGIRL May29 Jan26 Dec29 Jun11   (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 117 20.00    
 
EVD-4   07/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUNTLEIGH May29 May10 Apr24 Mar30 Mar03 (ducoing sturge)THORNTON G 121 2.50 45% 1.20    
2  LASSIE MY GIRL Jun14 May29 May03 Mar16 Feb17 (wilson melto)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 4.00    
3  IM SINGLED UP Jun14 May11 Apr25 Mar07 Feb15 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 121 5.00 12% 7.10    
4  CASHMERE BABY May03 Mar28 Mar08 Feb18 Jan05 (swearingen h)CARRENO J 121 15.00    
5  ROLL GYPSY ROLL Jun27 May15 May04 Feb16 Feb02 (larrosa juan )LOZADA CARLOS 121 4.50    
SCR  NEED SOME MONEY Jun22 May24 Feb22 Feb03 Sep21 (chatters ben)QUILES ANTONIO 124 3.00    
7  TRUE PRINCESS May05 Apr05 Jan26 Dec14 Nov10 (briley lonni)BARRERA J 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-5   07/12/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 F PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SIR SAWYER         (castille carrol)ROSIER R 118 20.00    
  (by IRON FIST out of CLEVER SERVE by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
2  QUITE THE CATCH         (latour )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
  (by REQUITE out of EXCEEDEXPECTATIONS by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  IMPERIAL FAIRYTALE         (reeves jeff)SANTIAGO EDWARD 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IMPERIAL HINT out of BRUSHFIREFAIRYTALE by NAJRAN)
4  ALYSE PARKER         (courville ri)MAGNON H 118 12.00    
  (by YORKTON out of HURRICANE SHEILA by CONGRATS)
5  MOMENT TO PREACH Jun28 Jun01       (pomier chase)BARRERA J 118 15.00    
  (by LONE SAILOR out of PREACH IT by SAINT BALLADO)
6  ATTILA THE SPUN Jun14         (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 4.50    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of BIG GAME BABY by GOLD TRIBUTE)
7  RUN RECKLESS RUN Jun28         (ali andrea )RAMIREZ PAULINA 118 4.00 51% 1.00    
  (by COUNT ALEXANDER out of RECKLESS GIRL by HALF OURS)
8  MY OTHER HALF         (landry r)THORNTON G 118 5.00 ★    
  (by HALF OURS out of THOSE LION EYES by LION HEART)
9  DEVIL'S POOL         (johnson b)WADE LYNDIE 118 3.00 26% 2.90    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of ZIP HER UP by CITY ZIP)
SCR  DREAMCHASER JEWELS         (castille carrol)STOKES J 118 20.00    
  (by IRON FIST out of ROMAN JEWELS by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
SCR  TAKE MY CANDY         (ali ancil)CARRENO J 118 10.00    
  (by COUNT ALEXANDER out of RUN RHEA RUN by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
 
EVD-6   07/12/2024 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOTABLE QUEEN Jun21 May29 Apr18 Jan27 Dec31 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 4.50 ★    
2  RUMPUS Jun21 Jun05 May27 May12 May03 (govea cesar)WADE LYNDIE 121 5.00    
3  BLACK ACE Apr27 Feb09 Jan13 Dec07 Nov21 (alberto anto)BARRERA J 121 20.00    
4  SAINT EROS GIRL Jun21 May10 Apr25 Mar21 Feb29 (terre david)MCMAHON J 121 3.50 46% 1.20    
5  CANT ATTACK ARCH Apr27 Mar16 Jan05 Nov21 Oct12 (jeansonne ju)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 15.00    
6  OUR GAL LAYLA Jun22 May23 May01 Apr10 Mar24 (ramirez eduar)LOZADA CARLOS 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  MRS. KATZ Jun15 May04 Apr18 Mar22 Mar03 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 120 2.50 25% 2.90    
SCR  ALEXAPLAYBORNTORUN Jun28 May08 Apr20 Mar03 Sep04 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 118 12.00    
9  SUZY DOLL'S READY Jun21 May24 May08 Feb07 Jan13 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 118 10.00    
10  MS CARROLL COUNTY May29 May03 Apr13 Mar16 Feb17 (dixon tim)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00 5% 18.80    
 
EVD-7   07/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAMER NATE Jun01 Mar23 Mar02 Feb09 Jan19 (briley lonni)BARRERA J 120 1.80 36% 1.80    
2  JOSAN Jun28 May30 Apr27 Mar24 Feb21 (morrell cynthi)GREEN AUBRIE 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  CONNECTIQUE Jun14 Apr19 Mar06 Feb01   (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 8.00 24% 3.20    
4  PURRRFECT RHYTHM Jun28 May10 Apr17 Mar10 Feb24 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 124 3.50    
SCR  CATCHIN DRAMA May30 Apr24 Apr05 Feb29 Feb16 (morrell cynt)MAGNON H 124 15.00    
6  VEGA STAR May30 May10 Mar22 Mar02 Feb17 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.00    
7  TITANIUM DEAL Jun28 Jun01 May02 Apr12 Mar08 (richard russe)LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.50    
 
EVD-8   07/12/2024 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREE DROP MADDY May19 Feb25 Jan26 Dec09 Nov17 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 118 4.00    
2  RUE LALA Jun06 May03 Mar24 Feb25 Feb03 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 2.50 20% 4.00    
3  LOVELYREDSTILETTOS May11 Apr10 Mar14 Feb09 Jan26 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 118 12.00    
4  SUMMER SHOES Apr28 Mar02 Jan13 Dec16 May04 (swearingen h)CARRENO J 121 15.00 19% 4.20    
5  JUMPIN JUDY Jun06 Apr10 Feb13 Jan05 Dec02 (alberto anto)BARRERA J 121 4.50    
SCR  GUITAR SOLO May03 Apr05 Feb03 Dec31 Dec09 (landry allen)MAGNON H 114 12.00    
7  SIX STRING Jun06 May15 Apr05 Feb17 Jan19 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  FOURALIVIA May15 Mar24 Feb10 Jan15 Dec14 (david b)THORNTON G 118 20.00    
9  SWEET TEMPERAMENT Jun06 Feb13 Jan06 Dec08 Nov11 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 3.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  FLASHY MEG Jun01 Feb03 Jan05 Dec15 Oct12 (segura kearn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 6.00    
 
EVD-9   07/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COURTLY DOC Jun06 May17 Apr20 Feb24 Feb07 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 118 3.00    
2  CARRY ON Jun22 Jun08 May10 Apr07 Mar09 (gonzalez v)MCMAHON J 121 20.00    
3  WATRUGONNADOKAREN May31 Feb09 Jan19 Dec29 Nov18 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 12.00 9% 10.60    
4  BAR TAP Jun22 Apr26 Mar14 Mar02 Feb15 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 2.50 29% 2.50    
5  ELI'S GIRL May24 May08 Apr25 Dec15 Oct12 (ramirez eduardo)POMPELL L 121 6.00    
6  CASHEW Jun08 May24 Apr19 Feb10 Dec06 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 121 5.00 24% 3.20    
7  BEYOND THE HYPE Jun19 May31 May18 Apr26 Mar01 (melancon don)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  J Z'S FIRST May24 Apr11 Mar02 Feb09 Jan19 (schwandt emile)STOKES J 121 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.