Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Century Mile
Friday - July 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTM-2   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(2/4/6)-(4/2/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CTM-3   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTM-4   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-5   WIN (1/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/2)-(1/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/2)-(1/4/5/2)-(1/4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
CTM-6   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(7/8/1/6)-(5/1/7/8/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CTM-7   WIN (7/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/1/6)-(7/8/1/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/8/1/6)-(7/8/1/4/6)-(7/8/1/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/8/1/6)-(5/1/7/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CTM-8   WIN (5/1/7/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/8/4)-(5/1/7/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/8/4)-(5/1/7/8/4)-(5/1/7/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CTM-2   07/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL STATUS Jun29 Jun02 Aug12 Jul22 Jul02 (walper dea)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
BOOTIFUL ROSE Jun29 Jun01 May19 May04 Oct07 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 125 5.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  LIGHT FAST FEET May19 Oct15 Aug26 Aug12 Jul09 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 8.00    
THRILL OF THE NITE Jun29 May31 May19 May04 Oct07 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 1.80    
FLORAL Jun14 May31 May18 Nov04 Oct19 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 3.00    
EYESPYMYLITTLEEYE Jun29 Jun14 May18 Oct14 Oct07 (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 125 2.50 24% 3.10    
 
CTM-3   07/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCK CHALK Jun28 May24 May18 Apr13 Mar10 (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 123 6.00    
H K MELODY Jun28 Jun08 May25 Sep30 Sep17 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 2.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  PACHECO Jun22 Jun08 May18 Oct14 Sep30 (kettleson)ZENTENO JR 123 2.50    
LAST OF WAR Jun28 Jun14 Oct15 Oct08 Sep29 (heggie rod)CARTER KYLE 123 3.00 29% 2.40    
JUST LOUIE Oct10 Sep25 Sep11 Aug21 Aug07 (ladouc)STEADMAN LEON 123 15.00    
MOUNT LOKI Jun14 Aug07 Jul22 Jul08 Jun17 (kingston ro)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTM-4   07/12/2024 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Non-Graded Stake Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLUM BLUE Jun21 Oct21 Sep30 Sep16 Aug26 (hed)GONZALEZ ALONZO 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of POLITICAL AFFAIR by POLITICAL FORCE)
BIG HUG Jun21 Jun01 Oct01 Sep16 Aug26 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 122 2.50 15% 5.60    
  (by MR. BIG out of TEMEEKU by UNUSUAL HEAT)
BURROW DOWN Jun21 May31 Oct21 Sep18 Aug28 (robert)ASENCIO MARIANO 121 3.00    
  (by CONNECT out of TRUE ENDEAVOR by AFTER MARKET)
MISSCZECH Jun21 May31 May10 May01 Mar28 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 126 1.80 57% 0.80    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of ZAZZ by TAPIT)
MINE ME May31 May10 Oct21 Sep30 Aug26 (hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 118 10.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of FORGOTTEN MISS by QUEBEC DANCER)
HIGHER IMAGE Jul01 Jun14 May25 Jul22 Jun18 (vanoverscho)MARTI ALEXANDER 116 12.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of HIGH CHOLESTEROL by UNTIL SUNDOWN)
 
CTM-5   07/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRYNN'S DREAM Jun22 Oct07 Sep16 Sep01 Aug12 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.00 55% 0.80    
  (by GAYEGO out of DREAMING OF LEAH by CONGRATS)
DARE TO COMPARE Aug05         (smith k)NATERA KEIHTON 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of RON RHONDA by LAWYER RON)
MIDNITE SCORE Jun28 May25 May04     (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 1.60    
  (by MIDNITE POPPA out of QUEEN OF MONGOLIA by DIXIE UNION)
MWIBA         (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 120 4.00 8% 11.90    
  (by DIALED IN out of AFRICAN CHARM by JOHANNESBURG)
WE THE FRINGE         (biggs )STEADMAN LEON 120 10.00 7% 14.20    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of SAINT SASSY SUE by SAINT STEPHEN)
SIRACHA Sep23         (palma m)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 120 10.00    
  (by BAKKEN out of VELOSO RAPTOR by REGAL RANSOM)
CROWN OF CAIRO Jun22         (grieves ron)NELSON DANE 120 5.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of FANCY VINTAGE by HENNESSY)
 
CTM-6   07/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WRONG SPOT Jun21 Jun07 May19 May10 Apr12 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 8.00    
ESTIFRAAD Jun28 Jun01 May19 May04 Oct15 (humbke ch)ZENTENO JR 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
A MAN'S MAN Jul06 Jun01 Apr24 Dec31 Dec10 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 6.00 16% 5.40    
SIMPLY WICKED Jun21 May31 Feb19 Jan19 Sep28 (humbke ch)FLETCHER SAMANTHA 125 2.50    
VIATURE Jun28 Jun08 May24 Sep16 Aug25 (robert)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 12.00    
CAB SAV Jun21 Jun08 May18 Jul30 Jul16 (anderson gon)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.00 58% 0.70    
HALLISAR Jun29 Jun14 Jun08 May18 Apr12 (cone ro)CHASE RICHARD 115 20.00    
ROCKTILLYOUDROP Jun22 Jun08 May17 Jan13 Dec31 (cone rodney)HUGHES RASHEED 125 5.00    
 
CTM-7   07/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Century Mile Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCHARACTERISTIC Jun21 May31 Oct08 Sep10 Aug20 (vanoverscho)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 10.00 13% 6.80    
  (by TEXAS WILDCATTER out of MY KENTUCKY ROSE by MACHO UNO)
GLAVA Jun08 May31 May10 Oct21 Aug26 (anders)STEADMAN LEON 118 20.00    
  (by HE'S HAD ENOUGH out of ZENZELDA by REY DE CAFE)
VARATTI Jun29 Jun08 May18 Apr19 Mar08 (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 117 8.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ARTEMIS by CRUSADER SWORD)
AMERICAN BLAZE Jun15 May18 Oct21 Aug26 Jul22 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of BEAUTY N BALANCE by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
RIVERSIDE Jun21 Jun01 Apr24 Apr04 Feb20 (anderson gonzal)POON ANDREW 117 12.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of RAINIER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
FOUR O SIX CREED Jun28 Jun08 May17 Oct22 Oct01 (kingston kar)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of SHE'S ALL READY by GIROLAMO)
DECOY Jun21 May31 May10 Oct21 Oct08 (kettle)ASENCIO MARIANO 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
  (by AIKENITE out of WINE GLOW by TIZNOW)
GREAT ESCAPE (ARG) Jun21 Apr27 Mar23 Feb25 Aug26 (diodoro roberti)NELSON DANE 126 2.00 15% 5.50    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of CHICKASAW GAL by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SILENT RUNNER Jun21 Jun08 May24 May10 Nov12 (rycroft t)ZENTENO JR 123 5.00    
  (by SILENT NAME out of FLASHY CONSORT by BOLD N' FLASHY)
 
CTM-8   07/12/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARKING PERMIT Jun28 Jun01 May17 Aug25 Aug05 (walper deanna)CARTER KYLE 123 5.00 21% 3.80    
BODEMONSTER Jun08 Apr15 Mar25 Mar12 Feb27 (hedge rick)MARTIN ANDRE 125 15.00    
ATTENZIONE Jun28 May31 Apr06 Mar17 Feb24 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 12.00    
COUNTRIFIED Jun22 Jun08 May24 Oct08 Sep16 (frey carson)HUGHES RASHEED 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
KYSTONE Jun28 Jun01 Apr04 Mar21 Mar06 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 123 2.50 23% 3.30    
QUINTO SOL Jun29 Jun08 May24 May10 Oct15 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 20.00    
DERZKII Jun22 Jun01 May17 Dec15 Nov25 (brown j)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 125 10.00 20% 3.90    
ALL RUN Jun29 Jun01 May18 Jun30 Jun03 (davies dean)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 12.00 6% 16.60    
EL NOBLE Jun28 Jun01 May18 Sep16 Jul28 (pal)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 4.00    
10  H K RAPPER Jun28 May17 May04 Oct14 Oct01 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 123 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.