Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Sunday - July 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(2/3/6)-(4/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
EMD-2   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(4/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(4/7/1)-(4/1/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-3   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/1/2)-(4/7/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/1)-(4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1)-(4/1/5)-(3/5/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-4   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(3/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(3/5/4)-(7/4/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-5   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(7/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(7/4/3)-(5/7/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-6   WIN (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/3)-(7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/3)-(5/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3)-(5/7/6)-(1/6/7/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-7   WIN (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/6)-(5/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/6)-(5/7/6)-(5/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/6)-(1/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EMD-8   WIN (1/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   07/07/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 2 F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEB'S DIAMOND         (gibson vinc)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 119 3.50 ★    
2  LOVINGKINDNESS         (martinez david )LOPEZ KARLO 119 6.00    
3  LANI'S SWEETHEART Jun22         (martinez b)MATIAS J 119 4.00    
4  BELLE WEATHER         (velasquez rig)GUTIERREZ M 119 2.50 27% 2.70    
5  ARMY KNIFE         (carlson dou)DOLL-CARRIERE C 119 10.00    
6  RUBY RENDEZVOUS Jun22         (cryderma)AMADOR RUIZ 119 2.00 22% 3.60    
 
EMD-2   07/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREATIVE BID Jun28 Jun14 May31 Apr23 Apr04 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00    
2  MEANT FOR ME Jun16 Jun08 May19 Apr04 Mar20 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
3  CORN POP Jun23 Jun08 May25 Apr30 Apr10 (velasquez rig)GUTIERREZ M 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
4  I'M NOBLE Jun02 May04 Apr18 Mar28 Mar04 (toye joe)CRUZ M 125 8.00    
5  OVERLY FAST Jun16 Jun02 May04 Sep17 Sep09 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 122 3.00    
6  HAPPY DOES Jun16 Jun02 Apr13 Mar22 Mar02 (mccanna tim)REYES R 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-3   07/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUMPING RIVER Jun22 Jun08 May18     (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  SECRET HOTTIE Jun14 May19 Aug26 Aug12 Jul14 (jenne bonnie)GUTIERREZ M 125 2.00 ★    
3  CLEARWATER BELLE Sep16         (gibson howard )REYES R 125 15.00    
4  MOCKTAILS ANYONE Jun09 May19 Aug06 Jul09 Jun17 (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 121 2.50 63% 0.60    
5  KOOL KADILLAC Jun09         (cryderman candi)LOPEZ KARLO 121 10.00    
6  BELLAREIGN May26 Oct01       (bozell alan)MARTIN A 125 8.00    
7  COASTAL GIRL Jun22 Jun09 May11 Sep10 Aug27 (bullock steve)CRUZ M 121 4.50 11% 8.20    
 
EMD-4   07/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAU MISCHIEF Jun22 Jun01 May19 Apr15 Mar27 (bean a)LOPEZ KARLO 125 10.00 26% 2.90    
2  HEY SEQUOIA Jun22 Jun09 May25 Oct09 Oct01 (cryderman cand)ENRIQUEZ D 122 2.50    
SCR  WEAR THE CROWN Jun29 Jun01 May18 Apr15 Mar26 (toye joe)REYES R 122 4.50    
4  ATOMIC CANDY Jun29 Jun15 May20 May06 Apr01 (silva-martine)GUTIERREZ M 122 4.00 28% 2.60    
5  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Jun09 May18 Apr29 Apr22 Mar25 (christian s)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  WARRENS CANDY MAN Jun28 Jun08 Apr18 Mar22 Mar09 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 125 6.00    
7  SUMMER SHANDEE Jun29 Jun09 May31 May19 May04 (gabriel )AMADOR RUIZ 122 3.50    
 
EMD-5   07/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZIPPIN SEVENZ Jun09 Sep17 Aug26 Jul23 Jun04 (bozell alan)CRUZ M 122 8.00    
SCR  TIZZY TWISTER Jun14 Apr28 Mar29 Feb16 Jan15 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 122 1.80    
3  FRISCO FRILLS Jun28 Jun16 Jun08 May18 Sep17 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 3.00 48% 1.10    
4  YOU GO GIRL Jun09 May19 Apr13 Mar02 Feb10 (bullock steve)REYES R 125 4.50 10% 9.40    
5  CREME DE MENTHE (IRE) Jun07 May11 Apr10 Mar28 Feb29 (lucarelli frank)LOPEZ KARLO 125 4.00 21% 3.80    
6  OUR LYLA GRACE Jun22 Jun07 May19 Sep10 Aug13 (cryderman candic)MAWING A 122 5.00    
 
EMD-6   07/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A SKIP IN THE PARK Jun23 Jun01 May12 Sep03 Aug20 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 125 3.50    
2  GUNNIN FOR GOLD Jun07 May11 Jan08 Dec11 Jun24 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 125 10.00    
3  FIREWALKER Jun07 May04 Sep17 Aug20 Jul30 (belvoir howa)MARTIN A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  EL BROMISTA Jun08 May11 Feb25 Feb04 Jan08 (wright blaine)LOPEZ KARLO 125 2.00 31% 2.30    
5  ITS KRAKEN TIME Jun23 May26 Sep17 Aug27 Aug05 (wisdom anne)REYES R 122 8.00    
SCR  MISTER MIDAS May26 May11 Jun25 May27 May14 (cryderman can)GUTIERREZ M 122 15.00    
7  MR. CAPTAIN JACK Apr29 Apr15       (lawrence heath)MAWING A 125 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
EMD-7   07/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST King County Express Purse ($50K) 2 C/G PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SI THAT TIGER Jun09         (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 119 8.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of ROS'S GIRL by ROSBERG)
2  BODI ZAFA         (wenzel tom)MAWING A 119 8.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of LIGHTNING DOVE by UNCLE MO)
3  HE'S NOT TALKING         (jenne bonnie)MATIAS J 119 6.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of NO TALKING BACK by FLATTER)
4  DA SMOKE Jun09         (wisdom anne)MONTALVO C 119 4.00    
  (by CONVEYANCE out of DA BURN by FORESTRY)
5  BIG BOWIE May04 Apr11       (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 2.50 49% 1.10    
  (by MR. BIG out of BE MY BABY by OGYGIAN)
6  IMPASSABLE (IRE)         (belvoir howard)KRIGGER K 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BARKLEY out of STAR PROTOCOL by HE'S TOPS)
7  VIVACIOUS TRIBUTE Jun09         (wright blaine)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00 27% 2.80    
  (by TOM'S TRIBUTE out of VIVACIOUS BEAUTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
EMD-8   07/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUES RAPPER Jun28 Jun14 May31 Apr23 Apr04 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 2.50 37% 1.70    
2  HADLEES HONOR Jun16 Jun08 May19 Oct08 Sep25 (crowe shelly)CRUZ M 122 8.00    
3  SPORT COAT Jun28 May25 May18 May04 Apr09 (hernandez mig)GUTIERREZ M 125 3.00    
4  NYQUILER Jun28 Jun08 May19 Mar19 Mar06 (rosales jo)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  DARK MYSTERY Jun09 May25 Mar22 Mar01 Feb10 (gabriel luc)ORTIZ A 122 5.00    
6  UNCLE JUJU Jun15 May31 May12 Apr15 Apr02 (gibson f)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00 21% 3.80    
7  VALIDATE Jun28 Jun16 May31 May12 Sep17 (silva-martinez a)MONTALVO C 125 4.50 12% 7.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.