Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Thursday - July 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (9/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/4/1)-(9/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/4/1)-(9/7/4/1)-(9/7/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-2   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-3   WIN (8/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/3)-(8/1/9/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/1/3)-(8/1/9/3)-(8/1/9/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-4   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-5   WIN (6/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/4/1)-(6/5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/4/1)-(6/5/4/1)-(6/5/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-6   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/10/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/10/3/6)-(2/1/10/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MTH-7   WIN (9/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/2/3)-(9/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/2/3)-(9/7/2/3)-(9/7/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-8   WIN (2/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/4)-(2/8/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/8/4)-(2/8/3/4)-(2/8/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   07/04/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARISIAN VIBE Jun22 Apr24 Apr02 Mar19 Feb28 (ramirez )HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  MOVING IN STEREO Nov04 Sep09 Sep02 Aug19 Jul23 (harris holl)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 10.00    
3  FLIP MY ID May25 Apr13 Mar16 Dec24 Nov25 (breen j)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00    
4  AWESOMENEWYEAR Jun12 May13 Nov07 Sep21 Sep14 (collazo )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 112 4.00 14% 6.00    
5  CEDAR VALLEY May27 May06 Apr23 Apr02 Mar07 (linder j)MARIN SAMUEL 119 5.00    
6  COLLIN'S GREY LADY Jun17 Jun03 May07 Apr30 Apr02 (pattershall mar)RUIZ ELISEO 121 15.00    
7  BEN'S SUNNY ISLAND Jun20 Jun08 Nov24 Nov02 Sep15 (rodriguez ru)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 1.80 21% 3.70    
SCR  THREATLEVELMIDNITE (GB) May25 Apr24 Oct13 Sep08 Aug06 (delgado jorge)RENDON JAIRO 121 3.00    
9  EXPLOSIVE EXCHANGE May25 Apr05 Jan21 Sep04 Aug16 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 121 3.50 29% 2.50    
 
MTH-2   07/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIKRAM Jun16 May25 Apr21 Mar14 Sep10 (hernande)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  NO SALT Jan04 Dec03 Nov02 Oct17 Sep10 (volk scott)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.00    
3  KING OF HOLLYWOOD Jun15 Jun01 May11 Mar03 Jan27 (hernand)GONZALEZ LUIS 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  DURKIN'S CALL Jun22 Jun01 May25 Apr26 Apr14 (serey j)RIVERA D 121 10.00    
5  ITWASTHEDEVILSIDEA Jun03 Apr30 Jul19 Jun27 Jun07 (linder jr)RUIZ ELISEO 122 6.00    
6  GOLDEN JUAN Jun15 Jun01 May25 Apr13 Mar30 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  ASSEMBLY POINT (BRZ) Jun25 May11 Apr24 Apr08 Mar20 (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 122 5.00    
 
MTH-3   07/04/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANADOR (FR) Jun08 Apr13 Mar16 Feb25 Jan31 (dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 121 4.50 21% 3.90    
SCR  CLASSY MISS Jun03 May13 May04 Apr16 Mar27 (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 121 10.00    
3  CREME CARAMEL Jun10 Jun03 May13 Apr17 Mar26 (martinez alex)OCASIO M 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  CINDY'S SONG Jun08 May04 Apr20 Apr06 Mar13 (gonzalez oscar)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00    
5  DISTORTED VIEW Jun17 May20 Apr17 Feb28 Feb05 (linder loui)NUNEZ Y 121 8.00    
6  NEVER SO LUCKY (IRE) Jun08 May12 Feb24 Jan26 Jan05 (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 6.00    
7  UP HER SLEEVE Oct26 Sep03 Aug06 Jul09 Jun11 (levine bruce)JUAREZ NIK 121 4.00    
8  BIZYMALINE Jun08 May10 Apr12 Mar23 Feb24 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.00 52% 0.90    
9  RED WIND Jun08 May12 Dec10 Nov25 Nov02 (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 121 5.00 ★    
 
MTH-4   07/04/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65.625K) 2 ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRETTY SIXXY         (grullo)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 20.00    
  (by DON SIX out of PRETTY VENEZUELA by BIRDSTONE)
2  ST. ERLING Jun21         (milne joa)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 117 3.50 47% 1.10    
  (by FROSTED out of SPUN SILVER by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  LIVALISCIOUS         (spina charle)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 4.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of WINILISCIOUS by LAWYER RON)
4  J J ZO ZO         (sanchez l)RENDON JAIRO 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of LOST PRINCESS by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
5  SMUGGLER'S GOLD         (lynch cathal)BRAVO J 117 4.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ROMNEY MARSH by MIDSHIPMAN)
6  U DIRTY DOG Jun02         (spina charles)CAMACHO SAMY 117 3.00 29% 2.50    
  (by WEST COAST out of POOCHY by OFFLEE WILD)
SCR  DUMB MONEY         (sacco gregory )MARIN SAMUEL 117 8.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of CYCLICAL by MORE THAN READY)
8  HOWLER         (lynch cathal)JUAREZ NIK 114 15.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of COLLUSIVA by SHAMARDAL)
9  DOIN THIS         (huston ro)VARGAS A 117 10.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of THIS IS NICE by EXCEED AND EXCEL)
 
MTH-5   07/04/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EGYPTIAN QUEST Dec05 Oct27 Oct12 Jul14   (crook-demasi kat)JUAREZ NIK 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of EGYPTIAN MAGIC by ESKENDEREYA)
2  BIG Z OG May27 Aug22       (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 119 4.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of TERFAASHAH by DAAHER)
3  CURLIN'S HUSTLE May18 Oct05       (hills ti)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of SILVER HUSTLER by POLITICAL FORCE)
4  MAXIMILLIONS DREAM May18 Oct01       (d'angelo jos)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 6.00 22% 3.50    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of DENALI TIZADREAM by COLONEL JOHN)
5  HORSEPOWER Sep10 Aug20 Jul08     (orseno josep)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of BEAR'S LIGHTNING by MARIA'S MON)
6  SEBASTIANTHE FIRST May26 Apr17 Aug24     (delgado h)RENDON JAIRO 119 3.00 29% 2.40    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of HOT SPARK by SCAT DADDY)
7  BLUE MARBLE Dec29 Dec02 Oct20 Oct05   (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 119 15.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of AVENDESORA by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
8  BE THERE May27 May12 Apr21 Mar16 Dec23 (abreu r)CAMACHO SAMY 123 4.50    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of TIN TYPE GAL by TAPIT)
 
MTH-6   07/04/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52.5K) 2 F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ PURPLE         (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 117 3.00 26% 2.80    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of PURPLE LIGHTS by GRAYDAR)
2  ME GOVERNOR Jun16         (david carlos)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.00 51% 1.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MOCHA CHIP by TRAPPE SHOT)
3  QUEEN FOR A NIGHT         (smith g)CAMACHO SAMY 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of JITNEY by UTOPIA (JPN))
SCR  BELLA ARTISTE         (spina charles)RENDON JAIRO 117 6.00    
  (by ROWAYTON out of SHES GOT THE LOOK by ADIOS CHARLIE)
5  BUGGED OUT         (sweezey j)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 117 10.00    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of MY SAVING GRACE by SUPER SAVER)
6  WINNING SHOT         (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 117 15.00 ★    
  (by GAME WINNER out of SHE BE WILD by OFFLEE WILD)
7  A COZY THING         (einhorn kim)JUAREZ NIK 117 10.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of ONETHINGORANOTHER by ITSMYLUCKYDAY)
8  LADY CATALINA Jun16         (rabadan)GONZALEZ LUIS 117 12.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of LADY DANCEALOT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
9  TAKE A TOLL         (hills ti)HERNANDEZ J 117 10.00    
  (by MITOLE out of GOT A GLOW by DEHERE)
10  AUTHENTICATE NOW         (dini mike)BRAVO J 117 6.00 ★    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of ANYHOW by TIZNOW)
 
MTH-7   07/04/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADIOS BUCCANEER Apr14 Dec21 Dec03     (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00    
2  FRIZZANTE Jun23 May22 Apr21 Mar27 Mar06 (sacco )ROJAS EDUARDO 117 4.50 5% 19.00    
3  PAL Jun21 May26 Oct13 Sep03 Aug27 (frangella ja)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SEARCY Jun09 Mar28 Jan28 Dec09 Oct01 (schultz l)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 117 10.00    
5  ICE THE KICKER Jun05 May02 Apr04 Feb29 Feb01 (david a)BRAVO J 117 3.50    
6  HARD SPUN FANTASY Jun22 May26 Apr27 Apr04 May04 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 119 4.00    
7  RAPTURE BAY May12 Apr12 Mar02 Feb10 Jan06 (delgado jorge)RENDON JAIRO 117 3.00 7% 12.70    
8  ARROW SPEED Jun20 Jun02 Apr20 Mar27 Dec02 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 117 6.00    
9  LIVE HIGH LIVE LOW May17 May02 Mar16 Feb29 Jan13 (weaver georg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.50 61% 0.60    
SCR  SHOGUN BE FAST Jun22 Apr24 Mar24 Feb13 Sep17 (synnefias pan)OLVER MADISON 117 5.00    
SCR  GENERAL'S DUTY May05 Apr19 Jan25 Nov09 Oct12 (cibelli jane)RENDON JAIRO 121 3.50    
 
MTH-8   07/04/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAJUN VIBES Jun02         (sacco )ROJAS EDUARDO 119 15.00    
2  NO SURRENDER Jun28 May27 Mar28 Feb10 Jan19 (rodriguez rudy)RENDON JAIRO 121 2.50 43% 1.30    
3  LONG ASTRIDE Jun09 May18 Mar08 Feb18   (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 ★    
4  SMOOTH PLAYER Jun08 May18 Mar24 Feb10 Jan14 (avila c)GONZALEZ CESAR 109 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  ROSSINGTON Jun17 Feb25 Feb05 Dec29 Nov27 (linder loui)VASQUEZ WILFRED 119 6.00    
SCR  LAKE CHAPALA Jun16 Jun08 May27 Mar03 Jul08 (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
7  IMAGINIZED Jun16 Jun08 May18 Mar29 Mar09 (gonzalez claud)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.50    
8  THE HEIGHTS Jun16 Jun08 May18 Apr13 Mar01 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 123 3.50 29% 2.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.