Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - June 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(1/4/2)-(3/6/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(3/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(3/6/4)-(5/4/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(5/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(5/4/7/1)-(2/6/7/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/1)-(5/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/1)-(5/4/7/1)-(5/4/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/7/1)-(2/6/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7/1)-(2/6/7/3)-(5/8/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/3)-(2/6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/3)-(2/6/7/3)-(2/6/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/7/3)-(5/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7/3)-(5/8/4)-(5/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (5/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/4)-(5/8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/8/4)-(5/8/4)-(5/8/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/8/4)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/8/4)-(5/4/3)-(7/4/10) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-7   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/8/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/8/3)-(5/4/8/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(7/4/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/4/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/10)-(7/4/1/8/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/10)-(7/4/1/8/10)-(7/4/1/8/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   06/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOWN HOT May16 Apr25 Apr05 Mar13   (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of AFRICAN RAINBOW by KINSHASA)
MEGS GOLDEN BOY Jun21 May30       (boykins kevi)LEWIS M 117 8.00 13% 6.50    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of MEGSTONE by STROLL)
RUDD'S ROCKET May16 Apr25 Mar28 Jan24 Dec15 (gillespie a)ACOSTA D 122 4.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of CLASSY DI by CHARITABLE MAN)
PRIME SHOPPING Jun07 May16 Apr11     (contreras j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 0.40 61% 0.60    
  (by TONALIST out of HOLIDAY SHOPPING by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
A FAIR NOTION May30 May03 Mar13     (collins tim)REYNOLDS AUSTIN 122 15.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of AUTUMN AFFAIR by BLACK TIE AFFAIR (IRE))
CASTLE OF CORK Apr25 Apr11       (lucas ant)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 10.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of LADY JILLET by WINDSOR CASTLE)
 
CT-2   06/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADVANCE CASH Jun18 May11 Mar13 Feb22 Feb02 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 124 1.60 33% 2.10    
PRIZE FIGHTER Jun08 May11 Apr20 Apr13 Mar27 (ramos mi)BOCACHICA O 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
GABRIEL'S WING May30 May09 Apr06 Mar23 Mar02 (figgins o)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.50    
RIDICULOUS Jun07 May24 Apr12 Mar15 Feb22 (brown w)ACOSTA D 122 2.50 16% 5.30    
IMPERIAL KING May24 Apr13 Jan05 Sep06 Aug17 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 5.00    
THE GREAT GAZOO May25 May04 Apr06 Mar22 Mar03 (peltroche vane)CHILO MAXIMO 120 15.00    
SCR  RUN TO DAYLIGHT Jun08 May03 Apr05 Mar16 Feb29 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
 
CT-3   06/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TOHONORSTELLE May30 Apr26 Apr05 Mar16 Feb04 (kee wil)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 20.00    
LIFE AT BOTH ENDS Jun07 May03 Apr04 Mar15 Feb22 (mcmahon i)ACOSTA D 118 4.50    
TIDBIT Jun06 May16 Apr25 Mar27 Mar13 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 118 2.00 53% 0.90    
MONSTER SUMMER Jun15 May24 Aug18 Aug11   (reynolds jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
PAYNT YOUR WAY May02         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.20    
LOVE NOTION Jun06 May27 May16 Apr25 Mar14 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 124 15.00 16% 5.10    
FEATHER WISH Jun15 May30 May10 Jun22 Jun03 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 10.00    
 
CT-4   06/27/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DERBY DAY DREAMS Jun15 May25 Jan18 Dec14 Nov29 (barber c)BOCACHICA O 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
JEFFERSON NATIVE Jun15 Mar21 Feb29 Nov29 Nov16 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 120 8.00    
BAYTOWN FROSTY May06 Apr21 Mar21 Mar02 Feb08 (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50    
COMPANY CLOWN May17 Apr26 Feb03 Dec14 Nov17 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 120 6.00 30% 2.30    
IBRIM Jun02 May14 Apr28 Apr08 Feb10 (hetrick n)AVILES YAN 124 1.40 36% 1.70    
BAYTOWN BEAR May22 May06 Apr21 Nov20 Oct25 (mcentee paul)WHITACRE GRANT 120 15.00    
GOLDEN G Jun02 Apr11 Mar13 Feb15 Feb08 (gillespie a)ACOSTA D 120 4.00 5% 17.30    
 
CT-5   06/27/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRIT ON THE WIND Jun06 May16 Apr04 Feb24 Jan13 (hurley jack)BOCACHICA O 118 5.00    
ANOTHER FINE JUBA Jun06 May23 May04 Mar06 Feb16 (boggs joanna)LEWIS M 113 2.50 40% 1.50    
MISS INTENSITY Jun06 Nov08 Oct27 Sep15 Aug31 (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
STORMI VANNA May24 May02 Apr04 Mar06 Feb14 (locklear )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00    
BLUSHING BIP BOP Jun06 May24 May02 Apr11 Mar14 (stehr jos)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 118 10.00    
TRUE BUCKPASSING Jun14 May30 May09 Apr18 Mar14 (sanders)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 3.50 21% 3.90    
S S CASINO GIRL Jun06 Mar27 Mar06 Feb14 Jan24 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 4.50 15% 5.70    
GREY FLAMINGO May16 Apr04 Feb24 Feb14 Jan24 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00    
 
CT-6   06/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUBA'S HAT TRICK Jun08 May18 Apr26 Apr05 Oct14 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00    
SCR  CHANGE YOUR LUCK Jun15 May31 May18 Apr19 Apr13 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
SCR  LOST WEEKEND Jun15 Jun07 May23 May09 Apr19 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 120 30.00    
C R'S MANDATE Jun06 Mar14 Feb22 Jan11 Dec08 (schian)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
JUBAWITHATWIST Jun08 May11 Apr27 Apr06 Nov25 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 116 1.60 26% 2.80    
SUMMONING DENIS Jun06 May24 Apr13 Mar23 Mar02 (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 5.00    
DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Jun06 May17 Apr26 Apr04 Mar14 (atkins micha)LEWIS M 115 30.00    
JUDGEMENT DAY Jun06 May09 Mar09 Feb01   (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 116 1.80 24% 3.20    
 
CT-7   06/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY INVASION Apr20 Mar30 Mar01 Feb07 Dec06 (joy j)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
BUBBA GRUMP May16 Nov06 Sep09 Aug17 Jul21 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00    
YOUTHINKTHATSFUNNY May09 Mar22 Feb07 Dec07 Oct28 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
HERO'S MAN May16 Mar11 Dec07 Oct25 Aug19 (meyers sh)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 6.00 11% 7.80    
NO CHANGE Apr20 Mar30 Nov18 Oct14 Aug25 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.80 59% 0.70    
FANCY CONCHO May16 Oct14 Sep09 Aug25 Jul21 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 6.00    
RUNALDO May16 Apr27 Mar22 Feb23 Feb02 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 5.00    
JUNGLE BEAST Apr12 Mar22 Dec07 Nov18 Oct14 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 4.50    
 
CT-8   06/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUDY'S ARMY May23 May04 Apr11 Mar21 Oct22 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00    
HIALEAH NATIVE May31 Apr18 Mar28 Mar13 Feb10 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 12.00    
SCR  CHICA CHUCK Jun15 May26 May05 Feb02 Jan14 (maldona)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 15.00    
CAPTAIN CREED May04 Apr18 Mar27 Jan25 Nov18 (runco c)LEWIS M 117 4.50 34% 1.90    
SCHMEAR Jun06 May16 Apr25 Apr04 Mar13 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00    
MON GATEAU Jun20 May31 May10 Mar28 Mar07 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00    
SIMPLY JACK May31 May10 Apr26 Dec09 Sep20 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
NICKEL NICKEL Jun14 May22 May04 Apr19 Mar16 (jones michael )CHILO MAXIMO 122 4.00    
RUBYS FLASH Jun06 Mar29 Feb24 Jan30 Jan07 (maldonado jon)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 6.00    
10  BON BUENO May16 Apr25 Apr04 Feb16 Feb01 (gillespie a)HO WESLEY 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KEANU May16 Apr05 Feb27 Feb14 Nov05 (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 122 12.00    
SCR  GABRIEL SEVEN Jun15 May12 Apr12 Mar10 Feb09 (robb j)HO WESLEY 118 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.