Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - June 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (6/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/4/1)-(6/5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/4/1)-(6/5/4/1)-(6/5/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/4/1)-(2/7/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4/1)-(2/7/4/3)-(4/3/1/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/3)-(2/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/3)-(2/7/4/3)-(2/7/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/4/3)-(4/3/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4/3)-(4/3/1/8)-(1/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/3/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/1/8)-(4/3/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/1/8)-(4/3/1/8)-(4/3/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/1/8)-(1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1/8)-(1/4/5)-(6/7/2/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(6/7/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(6/7/2/9)-(4/5/3/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (6/7/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/2/9)-(6/7/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/2/9)-(6/7/2/9)-(6/7/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/2/9)-(4/5/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/2/9)-(4/5/3/6)-(3/7/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/3/6)-(3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3/6)-(3/7/5)-(8/4/7/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/2/5)-(3/7/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/7/5)-(8/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (8/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/7/6)-(8/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/7/6)-(8/4/7/6)-(8/4/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   06/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALTY SAUL May31 Apr06 Mar28 Mar07 Feb16 (tobin )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
I SHALLBE RELEASED Apr27 Dec07 Nov15 Oct26 Oct07 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50    
PRACTICALLY THERE May31 May11 Apr19 Mar29 Dec09 (campbell larry)CHILO MAXIMO 122 5.00    
DUNDER BOSS May24 Apr26 May12 Apr13 Mar19 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 122 3.50 17% 4.90    
MISS WAVE Mar21 Feb21 Jan24 Nov08 Oct14 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 122 2.00 22% 3.50    
CALYPSO GHOST May31 May11 Apr13 Mar29 Mar23 (harting chri)LEWIS M 117 2.50 28% 2.60    
SO RED THE ROSE Apr06 Mar07 Feb16 Jan26 Jan05 (obed-letts ke)ADAMS L 115 30.00    
 
CT-2   06/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACKYSINTHECASTLE May23 May02 Mar27 Mar09 Feb29 (comi w)LEWIS M 115 10.00    
SNEAKY LYNK Jun01 May25 May11 Apr12 Mar21 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 124 1.80 45% 1.20    
VIENNA'S TWIRL May10 Apr20 Mar23 Mar02 Feb09 (keller christ)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
SMOKIN LADY May23 Apr06 Mar14 Mar01 Jan03 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 116 3.00 10% 8.90    
COUSIN WINNIE Jun13 May11 Apr18 Mar27 Jul22 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 12.00    
DIVA ROSE Apr11 Mar23 Feb28 Jan31 Jan10 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 124 8.00    
INTERCEPTION Jun06 May16 Apr26 Feb21 Feb03 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 2.50 14% 6.30    
 
CT-3   06/21/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIO'S TOUGH COOKIE         (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 118 6.00 12% 7.50    
DIVA'S DEMON         (stehr jos)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 118 10.00    
SALTY STARKEY         (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 5.00 12% 7.20    
TUP'S TO TAKE May30 May03 Apr11 Mar21   (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 2.50 40% 1.50    
JUBA'S MOCHA Jun01 Apr26 Mar28 Mar08 Feb17 (brown a)CHILO MAXIMO 122 3.50    
GETTIN SPICY Jun01 Apr26 Apr06 Mar28 Mar15 (boykins kevi)LEWIS M 117 20.00    
CANDY OUTLINE Jun01 May10 Apr25 Apr13 Mar28 (jones e)PELTROCHE F 118 3.00    
MADMAN JONES Jan24 Dec02       (mcclure dia)REYNOLDS AUSTIN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-4   06/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALTESE ROSE May03 Mar22 Feb15 Nov24   (haynes m)ACOSTA D 124 2.00 43% 1.30    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of MALTESE GOOGOL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
DIAMOND'S CABARET May31 Apr21 Mar22     (jones e)CRUZ ANGEL 118 1.60    
  (by JUSTIFY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  WORKING ON IT May30         (collins tim)LEWIS M 113 20.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of EXUBERANTE by GALILEO)
SENZA FINE May24 Jan26       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 4.50 20% 3.90    
  (by UNION RAGS out of ENDLESS SEA by MT. LIVERMORE)
SUGAR MOMMA May30 May03       (fulmer allison)BOCACHICA O 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of CHOCOLATE SMOOTHIE by GHOSTZAPPER)
LADY TOURIST Jun06         (locklear )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 15.00    
  (by TOURIST out of CARA DURA by WAR FRONT)
LOKI'S LIGHTNING May24 May04 Aug21 Jul31 Jul10 (carlisle john )REYNOLDS C 124 4.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of BEAR'S LIGHTNING by MARIA'S MON)
 
CT-5   06/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTUNATA ITALIA May31 Apr19 Mar29 Mar08 Feb16 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00    
FLAT DISCOUNT Jun08 May31 May14 Apr19 Mar29 (ginter raymo)LEWIS M 115 8.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  SHINELIKEADIAMOND May09 Feb18 Jan13 Dec10 Dec03 (comi w)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
RIDE THE RAPIDS May31 Apr19 Mar29 Mar08 Feb15 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 4.50    
SWEET HEIDELBERG Jun14 May27 May16 May03 Apr13 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 120 6.00    
WATERLOO ROSE May31 May11 Apr27 Mar29 Mar06 (o'neill t)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 124 1.80 50% 1.00    
ROCK ROSE May31 Nov27 Oct26 Aug31 Jul29 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00 9% 10.00    
NO MORE MASK Apr21 Mar30 Mar15 Mar03 Feb11 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 12.00    
A LITTLE BIT CRAZY May31 May17 Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 (shanley timothy)ACOSTA D 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-6   06/21/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THANK YA PETE May31 May10 May04 Aug26 Aug17 (cooney susan )CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 4.00    
MIMS HAT TRICK May31 Jun15 May26 Apr21 Mar01 (boyce l)ADAMS L 113 20.00    
RUN DIEM Z Jun07 May27 Apr04 Sep18 Aug16 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 3.50 7% 14.00    
LANDON JACK May31 May10 Apr19 Mar30 Feb24 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 50% 1.00    
BODYSLAM Jul28 Jun30 Jun22 May29 Apr27 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 122 3.00 14% 6.20    
ICY STARE May16 Apr25 Feb21 Feb08 Jan18 (jones roylan)LEWIS M 112 30.00 5% 19.00    
SMOKIN SMITTY Jun06 May31 May10 May04 Apr19 (campbe)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 20.00    
GOLDEN ADAGE May31 May09 Apr18 Mar23 Mar15 (caison l)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00    
 
CT-7   06/21/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S ONLY MONEY May19 Jul06 Jun10 Jan28 Jan04 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
WHALE OF A RUN May31 May10 Apr28 Mar29 Mar06 (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 5.00    
MIC'D UP Apr19         (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 1.20 61% 0.60    
IRISH WIZARD May31 May10 Apr19 Jan03 Dec02 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 122 4.50    
EL PACHO Nov29 Oct28 Sep08 Aug17 Mar10 (reyes )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SEATTLE PRINCE May30 May03 Apr13 Mar13 Feb14 (craig e)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
SWIPED THE CASTLE Jun01 May02 Jan03 Dec02   (jackson angel)RIVERA JAVIER 120 4.00 8% 11.50    
 
CT-8   06/21/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMANTIC WARRIOR         (lewis r)MAWING A 124 15.00    
  (by DECLAN'S WARRIOR out of ROMANTIC TWIST by WILD RUSH)
SCR  SHOOK ME ALL NIGHT Feb02 Jan24       (perry lawrence )PELTROCHE F 118 12.00    
  (by JUBA out of SUZY MOONLIGHT by BLAME)
BEST HOP IS A DROP         (atkins mic)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 118 15.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of SCARLETT D'HEREA by DEHERE)
PARK AVE PRINCE         (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 3.00 15% 5.60    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of PARKAVENUEPRINCESS by ASCOT KNIGHT)
GOLDEN ASSET May17 Mar28 Mar15 Mar06 Dec02 (rangel )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 12.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PRECIOUS ASSET by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
BID ON BLUE May10 Apr19       (brown a)CHILO MAXIMO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of SYNERGIST by SMOOTH BID)
MEGS GOLDEN BOY May30         (boykins kevin)ACOSTA D 118 10.00 11% 7.90    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of MEGSTONE by STROLL)
BIG BOY OVI May17 May03 Apr19     (sandoval michael)CULLUM W 118 1.80 42% 1.40    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PRINCESSOFTHELAND by EL CORREDOR)
BIG JOE B May30 May10       (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 4.00    
  (by LONG RIVER out of CALLY DRIVE by TALE OF THE CAT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.