Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Monday - June 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (2/5/3)-(1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(1/3)-(5/4) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
ASD-2   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(5/4)-(4/6/5) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
ASD-3   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(4/6/5)-(7/1/3) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-4   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (4/6/5)-(7/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(7/1/3)-(7/6/1) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-5   WIN (7/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/3)-(7/1/3)-(7/1/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (7/1/3)-(7/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3)-(7/6/1)-(1/6/4/3) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-6   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/1)-(7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (7/6/1)-(1/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ASD-7   WIN (1/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/3)-(1/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/3)-(1/6/4/3)-(1/6/4/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   06/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRANKS RELOAD Jun03 May21 Sep20 Sep11 Aug21 (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 4.00    
VICTORY LINE Jun03 Apr30 Apr16 Feb28 Feb09 (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 124 0.80 41% 1.40    
CANYOUHEARMENOW Jun03 May21 Nov10 Oct20 Oct06 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
LOVE OURS Jun03 Sep13 Aug28 Aug23 Jul31 (pruitt)PATTERSON R 122 6.00    
SHIRLEY'S SHERMAN Jun03 May21 Sep13 Aug21 Jul18 (desjarlais ryan)ALI RONALD 122 3.00 13% 6.40    
 
ASD-2   06/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOLLIPOP KID Jun05 May27 Oct15 Sep30 Sep13 (brown shell)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 117 1.60 33% 2.00    
ADJOURNMENT May27 Sep18 Aug29 Aug07 Jul26 (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 7.00    
FINALIZE Jun05 May27 Oct08 Sep30 Sep20 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 124 3.00 6% 14.90    
SCR  BRONZE ONE May20 Jan21 Jan05 Dec10 Nov19 (anders)PATTERSON R 122 5.00    
JOHNNY PAYCHECK Jun05 Apr02 Feb18 Feb11 Jan27 (brown jared)DAWKINS DANE 124 2.50    
 
ASD-3   06/17/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIXIE MO Jun03 Oct07 Sep12 Aug22 Aug08 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 6.00    
SCR  REASONABLY LOVELY Jun03 May20 Apr14 Mar30 Mar17 (keplin jr)ALI RONALD 121 4.00    
JJ'S AMERICAN DIVA Jun03 May28 Apr12 Mar22 Mar08 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 1.80    
WOKE JOKE Jun05 May27 May04 Apr21 Apr07 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SPUN LINE Jun04 May21 Jun06 Apr01 Feb07 (brown jared)DAWKINS DANE 121 1.20 46% 1.20    
 
ASD-4   06/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY LUKE Jun03 Sep06 Aug23 Aug07 Jul26 (delaronde lee)BELLE SHAVON 122 8.00    
SPIRE Jun04 Jan30 Dec17 Oct01 Sep10 (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 3.50    
BIG INVESTMENT May27 Dec15 Dec01 Nov12 Nov03 (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 124 2.50    
YOLA Jun04 May20 Apr11 Mar18 Feb25 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 1.60 31% 2.20    
GOLD SPECIAL Jun04 Sep20 Sep11 Aug28 Aug14 (pruitt)PATTERSON R 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
MARK YE WELL Jun03 May20 Aug23 Aug07 Jul19 (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 6.00 29% 2.50    
 
ASD-5   06/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEXAS RAIN Aug23 Aug02 Jul18 Jun27 Jun06 (duncan)LEWIS ANTHONY 121 8.00 9% 10.00    
MECHANIC SUSIE May27 Aug23 Aug08 Jul24 Jul11 (dickey el)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 3.50    
I'VE GOT ALL NITE Jun03 May20 Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 (hartmann jamie)BALROOP SVEN 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WHERE'S THE PUMPS May18 Oct15 Sep06 Aug09 Aug02 (brown jared)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 118 6.00    
RUSSIAN PEARL (NZ) Jun03 May20 Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 121 15.00    
SCR  MAJESTIC GIG May12 Apr28 Apr14 Mar15 Feb16 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 2.50    
LADY COP Jun03 May20 Sep20 Sep06 Aug22 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 121 2.00 62% 0.60    
 
ASD-6   06/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNAWAY A. TRAIN May21 Apr26 Apr07 Mar17 Mar01 (gourneau jerry)BALROOP SVEN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WATERS OF MEROM Jun05 Apr14 Mar15 Feb25 Dec27 (cole ter)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 8.00    
SCR  MO ARETHA May28 May21 Oct09 Sep12 Aug30 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 118 15.00    
SCARLETT'S FLOWER Jun10 May28 Sep20 Aug30 Aug09 (jordan jennife)DAWKINS DANE 123 20.00    
S C ANGEL Jun10 May28 Apr21 Apr12 Mar29 (gourneau jerr)CUMBERBATCH R 123 1.60    
AYY LADIES Jun05 Jan30 Dec04 Nov22 Nov07 (brown )PATTERSON R 123 4.00 26% 2.90    
LIPSTICK LADY Aug29 Aug14 Aug01 Jul18 Jul04 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 3.00 38% 1.60    
LADY NYLA Jun05 Sep13 Sep04 Aug16 Aug01 (delaronde lee)BELLE SHAVON 123 10.00    
 
ASD-7   06/17/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEBADAS Sep03 Jul30       (hrymak bren)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 118 1.80 33% 2.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of SARDINIA by TAPIT)
HAPPY BIRTHDAY         (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 25.00    
  (by EDISON out of BODGITS LADY by CAPTAIN BODGIT)
SCR  PAM'S AWESOME Aug21         (gaskin)PATTERSON R 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of CALAMARI by BAHRI)
HYPER HOLIDAY Jun03 May20 Nov10 Oct19   (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 117 6.00 7% 13.70    
  (by HYPER out of ENGLISH HOLIDAY by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
WHITNEY'S WISH         (brown shelley)BYNOE DAMARIO 117 15.00    
  (by OLD FORESTER out of LISTENTOTHELADY by BODEMEISTER)
LOLA LEE Jun03         (gaskin steven)DAWKINS DANE 117 4.00 28% 2.60    
  (by RELOAD out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  BLUE TANGO (GB) Jun03 May20 Nov03 Oct19 Sep21 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 117 15.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of DANCE CHIC TO CHIC by FORESTRY)
SCR  TREE HUGGER Jun03 May20 Jan15 Dec26 Nov17 (anderson )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 3.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of FAITH IN ME by MR. GREELEY)
MYSTERY DANCE Jun04         (gaskin steven)BALROOP SVEN 117 30.00    
  (by MANK out of WITH IT'S FEET by CAPE CANAVERAL)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.