Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Grants Pass
Sunday - June 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GRP-1   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
GRP-2   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-9   WIN (8/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/4)-(8/2/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GRP-10   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GRP-1   06/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT SYMPHONY Oct09 Sep25 Sep11 Aug26 Aug20 (beckner ter)GUERRERO C 126 3.00    
MO SUGAFOOT Oct02 Sep25 Sep18 Sep11 Aug25 (beckne)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.00    
SWISS SCRIPT Oct01 Sep03 Aug10 Jul01 Aug27 (boyle mary)RUIZ G 126 3.50 26% 2.90    
SOFIA STRONG Jun08 Mar21 Mar12 Feb14 Dec12 (harshman loegan)ELLIS DEVON 126 2.50    
CHIEFS LIL PEARL Oct09 Sep25 Sep10 Aug09 Jun18 (boyle mar)JENSEN P 126 4.00 28% 2.60    
 
GRP-2   06/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANTASTIC SECRET Oct08 Sep17 Aug26 Aug20 Jul28 (mcdevitt tiffan)ELLIS DEVON 126 4.50 17% 5.00    
HYPHY Oct01 Sep17 Sep03 Aug20 Jul01 (maelfe)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 2.50    
ANTECEDENCE Oct08 Sep25 Aug25 Jul29 Jun25 (magallanes)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO 126 3.50    
HEY WILMAAA Oct02 Sep17 Aug26 Aug20 Jul02 (beckner ter)GUERRERO C 126 3.00 46% 1.20    
TEASPOON OF PEPPER Jan14 Jan01 Dec02 Nov11 Oct29 (maelfeyt bruno)RUIZ G 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
ELECTRIC ELIZABETA Oct02 Sep17 Aug27 Aug19 Aug12 (hurley de)JENSEN P 126 8.00    
 
GRP-9   06/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEEL NERVES Oct02 Sep11 Aug25 Aug18 Aug09 (hurley den)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO 126 8.00    
SPANISH CHANNEL Oct08 Sep25 Aug18 Jul21 Jul07 (beckner ter)GUERRERO C 126 3.50 11% 8.50    
WARNING SOUND Oct08 Sep25 Sep17 Aug26 Aug18 (hurley denn)IBARRA SALVADOR 126 15.00    
LADY RANGER Sep25 Sep04 Aug18 Aug05 Jul01 (guerrero emilio)RUIZ G 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
DONTFORGETHESUGAR Jun09 Oct09 Oct02 Sep17 Sep09 (harshman loegan)ELLIS DEVON 126 4.00    
SCR  SASSY EINSTEIN Oct02 Sep18 Aug27 Aug13 Jul29 (stillwell)JENSEN P 126 6.00    
LUTE'S DIAMOND Oct02 Sep11 Aug25 Aug18 Jul28 (beckner l)ACEVES E 126 10.00    
CALIFORNIA HALO Sep11 Aug18 Jul30 Jul08 Jun17 (harris)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 2.50 60% 0.70    
 
GRP-10   06/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR MAKUNOUCHI Oct08 Sep17 Jul09 Jun03 Apr16 (mccracken rober)RUIZ G 126 4.00    
  (by GIACOMO out of BIG ADVENTURE by MR. BIG)
PRIME TIME PORTA Oct08 Jul08       (guerre)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 124 2.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of ROMANTIC INTENTION by SUAVE)
LIL BIT OF HEAVEN Oct01         (guerrero d)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO 124 8.00 19% 4.30    
  (by AL FAATIK out of BELLA FABIELA by PARKER'S STORM CAT)
IKE BUTTE Oct09 Jul02 Jul09 Jun18 Jan23 (cantrell )JENSEN P 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GIACOMO out of ADAPTABILITY by EDDINGTON)
TIZ CURLY JOE Jun09 Jun07 Sep01 Aug26 Aug12 (stewart scott)ELLIS DEVON 126 1.60 51% 0.90    
  (by OUTRAGEOUS LIMIT out of SWISS CAUSE by CREATIVE CAUSE)
SENOR AT WAR Sep04 Jul04 Jun24 Jun18   (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 126 8.00    
  (by GIACOMO out of MIDDAY AFFAIR by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.