Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Grants Pass
Saturday - June 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GRP-1   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-2   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-4   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-7   WIN (2/6/3/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/3/8/4)-(2/6/3/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
GRP-8   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GRP-1   06/15/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELLE VICTOIRE Jun08 Sep03 Aug09 Jul01 Jun17 (crystal dustie)ELLIS DEVON 126 2.50    
2  CHIQUITA PIQUITA Jun17 Aug28 Aug14 Jul30 Jun20 (cox sammi)JENSEN P 126 4.50    
3  MISCHIEF MAME Oct09 Sep25 Sep11 Aug09 Jul08 (harris)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 2.00 32% 2.10    
4  HEAVENS TO BETSY Oct09 Sep18 Sep03 Aug26 Aug18 (mcdevitt t)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO 126 3.00 35% 1.90    
5  ALY'S NATION Jun08 Oct02 Sep11 Oct16 Sep04 (kowalsky harley)RUIZ G 126 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
GRP-2   06/15/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAY OF THE SEA Jun09 May25 May12 Apr14 Mar16 (lyons s)ELLIS DEVON 126 3.00    
2  LEAD ACTRESS Oct02 Sep18 Sep03 Aug18 Jul12 (maelfe)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 121 5.00 15% 5.80    
3  BANDON BRIDGE Sep17 Aug26 Aug19 Jul29 Jul01 (beckner ter)GUERRERO C 121 4.00    
4  TOO TALL TO CALL Oct09 Jul13 Sep09 Aug26 Aug13 (maelfeyt bruno)RUIZ G 126 4.50 5% 19.00    
5  MACHO CHROME Jun08 May26 May12 Jul09 Jun10 (magallanes)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO 126 1.20 59% 0.70    
 
GRP-4   06/15/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOOLISH TO DECEIVE Aug09 Jul04 Jun17 Sep04 Sep02 (crystal dustie)ELLIS DEVON 126 4.00 34% 1.90    
2  MYSTIC WOOD FORCE Jun07 May25 Oct08 Sep18 Sep04 (rodriguez s)IBARRA SALVADOR 121 3.50    
3  LOOKIN FOR GOLD Aug10 Aug10 May02 Apr04 Mar15 (dickin)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SPEEDY TOM Oct08 Sep25 Sep11 Aug25 Aug18 (guerrero emilio)RUIZ G 126 2.00 36% 1.70    
5  HYDROGEN May18 Oct09 Oct01 Aug26 Aug12 (lowe nick)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO 126 4.00    
6  NATIONHEART Sep24 Aug20 Jul28 Jul08 Jul01 (beckner ter)GUERRERO C 126 4.50    
 
GRP-7   06/15/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIGHTY GYPSY Feb25 Feb06       (lyons kendra)GARCIA G 126 4.50    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of MIDNIGHT GYPSY by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
2  ZEPHYR CAT Oct01 Sep18 Sep03 Aug09 Jul01 (hurley de)JENSEN P 126 6.00 30% 2.40    
  (by SIERRA SUNSET out of STARRY CAT by TABASCO CAT)
3  SAINT HELEN Oct08 Oct01 Sep18 Sep11 Aug26 (beckne)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 8.00 17% 4.70    
  (by ACCLAMATION out of MONSTRO NESS by ROCK HARD TEN)
4  MANUELS TABLE Jun07 Oct01 Sep11 Aug12 Aug09 (mcdevitt tif)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PEPPERED CAT out of TABLE FOR ONE by RIO VERDE)
5  DASHINGMOONLIGHT Sep03 Jul01 Jun17     (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 126 15.00    
  (by GIACOMO out of CHURCHBELLSRINGING by IN EXCESS (IRE))
6  HOLDMYGOLDMISSY Sep16         (beckner l)ELLIS DEVON 126 3.50 23% 3.30    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of MS. MISSY MIESQUE by MINGUN)
7  JEWELED AGAIN May26 Apr30 Sep10 Aug27 Aug11 (magallanes)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO 124 12.00    
  (by PONTIFF out of LIVE LIKE MIKE by DEMON WARLOCK)
8  MORDIGAN         (dickinson j)IBARRA SALVADOR 121 10.00 6% 16.80    
  (by DOMINO JOHNSON out of COUNTESS CAPOTE by CAPOTE'S PROSPECT)
SCR  WHISKEY OUTLAW May14 Mar19       (guerrero emilio)RUIZ G 126 2.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SUZY MALIBU by MALIBU MOON)
 
GRP-8   06/15/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COWLITZ Oct02 Sep17 Sep03 Aug25 Aug20 (beckner ter)GUERRERO C 121 3.00 55% 0.80    
2  LIVE A GOOD LIFE Jun07 Oct09 Sep25 Sep04 Aug26 (harshman loegan)ELLIS DEVON 126 2.00 19% 4.40    
3  GENERAL THAYER Aug10 Jun25 Jun17 May13 Apr23 (beckner te)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO 126 2.50    
4  CABALLERANGO Oct09 Oct01 Sep25 Sep10 Aug19 (boyle )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 4.00 5% 19.00    
5  STANLEY RYDER Oct09 Sep18 Sep04 Aug26 Aug19 (beckner ter)IBARRA SALVADOR 121 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.