Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Century Mile
Friday - May 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTM-2   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(2/3)-(4/1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CTM-3   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
CTM-4   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-5   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(1/7)-(1/6/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CTM-6   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(1/7/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/7)-(1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/7)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CTM-7   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CTM-2   05/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIGERITO May18 Apr12 Mar10 Mar01 Oct06 (smith robe)LAHOE RUJA 125 4.50 5% 19.00    
LIL ZAPPER May10 Oct21 Oct08 Sep23 Sep01 (humbke chery)NATERA KEIHTON 125 1.60 32% 2.10    
SMART CAT May18 Oct14 Sep23 Sep09 Aug26 (rycroft t)ZENTENO JR 123 3.50    
INDEPENDENCE NEIGH May10 Aug25 Jul28 Jul16 Jul08 (reid colton)BRYAN D 123 8.00 25% 3.00    
MONEY MUNCHER May10 Oct22 Oct01 Sep01 Jul30 (nichol)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 1.80    
 
CTM-3   05/24/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TUCKER TIME Oct21 Oct14 Sep16 Aug26 Aug12 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.00    
FIRECRACKER STAND May19 Oct08 Jun04 Mar18 Mar08 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 4.50 47% 1.20    
JERSEY SHADOW Oct07 Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 Jun19 (oberholtzer kev)CARTER KYLE 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
MOONSHINE NOW Oct21 Oct08 Sep24 May27 Apr19 (smith c)CHASE RICHARD 120 3.00    
SMASH FACTOR May19 Apr21 Apr03 Mar10 Feb17 (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 125 1.60    
 
CTM-4   05/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDIE SOCKS Oct15 Sep24 Aug19 Aug05 Jul07 (kingston rob)HUGHES RASHEED 118 2.50 22% 3.50    
NIGHTFALL Oct08 Sep10 Jul30 Jun30   (palma mil)ZENTENO JR 123 10.00    
ROCK CHALK May18 Apr13 Mar10 Jun17 Mar19 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 123 2.00    
QUEEN RHONDA Oct15 Sep30 Sep17 Sep01 Aug18 (smith k)CARTER KYLE 118 1.80 55% 0.80    
MILITARY SASS May17 Oct22 Sep24 Sep01 Aug13 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTM-5   05/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIATURE Sep16 Aug25 Jul22 Jul01 Jun17 (robertson je)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
TOOL TIME May04 Oct21 Oct07 Sep10 Aug11 (anderson gonzal)POON ANDREW 123 8.00 18% 4.70    
STONE CARVER Apr11 Mar20 Oct08 Sep24 Aug25 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 1.60 42% 1.40    
READYTOTAPNSING Oct22 Oct01 Sep23 Sep09 Aug25 (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 123 2.00    
COUNTRIFIED Oct08 Sep16 Aug25 Aug06 Jul22 (kingston rob)HUGHES RASHEED 123 3.00    
 
CTM-6   05/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KELROSIE         (rycroft tim)CARTER KYLE 120 5.00 26% 2.90    
SMOKIN JOY Oct07 Oct01 Sep16 Sep01 Aug19 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 8.00    
TENDER LOVE Oct15 Oct01 Sep23 Aug13 Jul29 (leech wil)ZENTENO JR 125 2.50    
LIGHTERANQUICKER Aug19 Aug04       (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 4.00    
SCR  ANNA'S GIRL Mar16 Feb10 Jan26 Jan01   (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 3.50    
SWEETSINGINGANGEL Sep23         (kettleson al)HUGHES RASHEED 120 4.50    
CARO'S MAGIC         (kettles)CHASE RICHARD 115 10.00 26% 2.90    
 
CTM-7   05/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HYPERFOCUS Aug06 Jul22 Jul01 Jun17 May26 (palma )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.00 48% 1.10    
QUINTO SOL May10 Oct15 Sep24 Aug26 Aug06 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 5.00    
SILENT RUNNER May10 Nov12 Oct29 Sep03 Aug05 (rycroft tom)NATERA KEIHTON 125 3.00    
WHERE'S THE GOLD Oct21 Oct07 Sep24 Aug26 Jul30 (gilkyson )ZENTENO JR 125 6.00    
MUDINATOR Sep16 Aug19 Jul29 Jul22 Jul01 (russell monica)BRYAN D 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
SOLO RING Sep16 Aug06 Jul22 Jul01 Jun16 (walper deanna)CARTER KYLE 125 2.50 23% 3.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.