Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - May 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (3/6/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/8/1)-(3/6/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/8/1)-(3/6/8/1)-(3/6/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/8/1)-(8/5/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/8/1)-(8/5/4/7)-(5/2/8/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-2   WIN (8/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/4/7)-(8/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/4/7)-(8/5/4/7)-(8/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/4/7)-(5/2/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/5/4/7)-(5/2/8/6)-(8/1/4/3/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-3   WIN (5/2/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/8/6)-(5/2/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/8/6)-(5/2/8/6)-(5/2/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/8/6)-(8/1/4/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/2/8/6)-(8/1/4/3/7)-(7/1/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-4   WIN (8/1/4/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/4/3/7)-(8/1/4/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/4/3/7)-(8/1/4/3/7)-(8/1/4/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/1/4/3/7)-(7/1/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/1/4/3/7)-(7/1/3)-(7/8/1/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-5   WIN (7/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/3)-(7/1/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/3)-(7/1/5/3)-(7/1/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/3)-(7/8/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3)-(7/8/1/5)-(5/2/3/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-6   WIN (7/8/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/1/5)-(7/8/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/1/5)-(7/8/1/5)-(7/8/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/1/5)-(5/2/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/8/1/5)-(5/2/3/6)-(3/6/5/7/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (5/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/6)-(5/2/3/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/6)-(5/2/3/7/6)-(5/2/3/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/2/3/6)-(3/6/5/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3/6)-(3/6/5/7/2)-(5/2/9/1/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (3/6/5/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/7/2)-(3/6/5/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/7/2)-(3/6/5/7/2)-(3/6/5/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/5/7/2)-(5/2/9/1/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-9   WIN (5/2/9/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/9/1/7)-(5/2/9/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/9/1/7)-(5/2/9/1/7)-(5/2/9/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   05/03/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TESTA DURA Mar24 Nov10 Oct05 Sep22 Aug31 (manning j)BRACHO A 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  VITTORIANO         (gardea ab)HERRERA R 120 15.00    
3  CATALINA EXPRESS Mar29 Aug31 Aug19 Aug04 Jun23 (rodriguez a)OCASIO JONATHAN 125 2.50 27% 2.70    
4  Z RACES Apr12 Mar22 Mar03 Jun25 May19 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 120 12.00    
5  IN THE BLUE         (harney heat)QUINONEZ ALONSO 125 10.00    
6  MR. DEMEANOR Apr12 Mar20       (exposito adolf)SUAREZ JESUS 125 6.00 19% 4.20    
7  VINDICATED TIGER Apr13 Mar29 Oct20 Sep17 Sep01 (o'connell)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 2.00    
8  COASTAL RIVER         (ellebracht gar)LINDSAY CHAD 120 6.00 13% 7.00    
 
TAM-2   05/03/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT-12:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREATIVPERFORMANCE Apr21 Mar27 Mar10 Feb09 Jan31 (bennett geral)IORIO MELISSA 113 4.00    
2  BRYCENS GOLD Mar06 Feb25 Feb10 Jan22 Jan06 (tsirigotis ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 30.00    
3  REAL MIKEY Apr14 Mar15 Mar03 Feb18 Feb03 (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 126 6.00    
4  NINETYNINECARATS Apr24 Apr10 Mar22 Feb18 Jan31 (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 2.50 8% 11.10    
5  ALWAYS CONNECTED Apr14 Mar29 Mar15 Feb28 Feb07 (richards )MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 3.00 21% 3.70    
6  APPLE LOVER Mar29 Mar02 Feb25 Feb09 Oct12 (simo)MCINTOSH J 124 10.00    
7  POLA OF TROUBLE Apr14 Apr06 Mar13 Mar03 Feb16 (cascalla)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  THANK THE ACADEMY Sep23 Aug25 Jul28 Jul01 Jun04 (agostini art)MENESES MARCOS 124 3.50 47% 1.10    
 
TAM-3   05/03/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY GIRL COCO Apr10 Mar20 Feb25 Feb09 Jan26 (morales g)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 4.50    
2  HEAVENS EXPRESS May28 Apr15 Mar08 Feb18 Dec10 (guciardo kath)IORIO MELISSA 113 6.00 18% 4.40    
3  JUST MERCY Apr14 Mar20 Mar02 Feb11 Jan21 (agostini art)MENESES MARCOS 118 4.00    
4  ALLONS Mar30 Jan26 Dec13 Aug12 Jul01 (creel rick)ALONSO LUIS 118 10.00    
5  CALLAS Apr12 Mar10 Feb11 Jan19 Dec01 (house gary)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50 33% 2.00    
6  SYLLABUS Apr14 Jan27 Jan19 Dec08 Sep29 (dominguez luis)MENDEZ KEVIN 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  ARMONIA Apr21 Apr14 Mar30 Mar20 Feb01 (roque elis)OLIVERO A 118 4.50    
8  BEASTIE GIRL Apr14 Mar30 Jan27 Jan19 Nov22 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 118 6.00 13% 6.50    
 
TAM-4   05/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOPHISTICATED CAT         (dini mike)MENESES MARCOS 120 6.00 18% 4.60    
2  PRINCESS BU CHERRO Apr24 Apr06 Mar10 Feb09 Jan17 (bennett geral)IORIO MELISSA 115 6.00    
3  LUNA AMARILLA Apr17 Mar23 Mar03 Feb03 Jan20 (marrer)ROJAS EDUARDO 125 10.00 7% 12.90    
4  I LOVE VENEZUELA Feb07 Dec01 Nov04 Jul21   (yanez reynaldo)CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00 17% 4.80    
5  FAMILY STASH Apr10 Mar02 Feb09 Jan14 Dec16 (dobber arnoud)LUGO D 125 20.00    
6  BAHAMIAN HALO Apr24 Apr06       (house gary)DELGADO DAVID 118 30.00    
7  LITTLE CARLEY Jul29 Jul07       (mcgoey monica)DIAZ S 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  GRAND LADY INDY Apr06 Mar17 Mar02 Feb18 Jan24 (cordero a)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 2.50 34% 1.90    
9  ABOVE THE SKY Mar27 Mar10       (nunez maurici)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 3.50    
 
TAM-5   05/03/2024 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME PIC Apr03 Feb03 Jan13 Oct11 Sep27 (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 118 4.00 14% 6.20    
2  GLORIOUS WAVE Apr10 Mar30 Mar06 Feb14 Jan27 (rodriguez an)BATISTA A 118 30.00    
3  EAST WING Apr19 Mar30 Apr14 Mar12 Jan14 (marrero nestor)SUAREZ JESUS 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  SPEIGHTFUL SIS Apr17 Mar16 Feb16 Jan19 Sep17 (richards )MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 5.00    
5  BAHAMIAN MOON Mar17 Feb09 Jan19 Dec06 Nov12 (smith robert )IORIO MELISSA 113 1.40 ★    
6  LOVIELEE Mar16 Jan06 Dec26 Aug31 Aug17 (gardea abr)URDANETA J 118 20.00    
7  BODACIOUS BREN Feb09 Jan24 Jan14 Dec15 Nov04 (hayford jennif)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 60% 0.70    
8  BAND SWEETHEART Mar30 Mar02 Jan20 Jan05 Dec20 (cudworth paul)COTTO L 118 8.00    
 
TAM-6   05/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NOELLE         (harney heathe)SANTOS ADEMAR 125 12.00 10% 9.20    
SCR  CAMDYN RACE         (mcgoey monic)BATISTA A 125 15.00    
SCR  PARACAS         (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 120 10.00    
4  SMOKIN SISTER Dec15 Sep07       (smith rob)RODRIGUEZ A 120 12.00    
5  ITRIEDSELLINGHER Apr19 Mar21 Feb28 Feb08 Jan21 (o'connell)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  STAR OF SARAH Apr21 Apr07 Mar16 Feb03 Jan14 (lilly p)IORIO MELISSA 118 3.50    
7  BEAUTIFUL ASTRAY Apr17 Mar03 Aug09 Feb12 Dec01 (amaya gustavo)LUGO D 125 3.00 47% 1.10    
8  CAJUN EXPECTATION Apr21         (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 125 6.00 11% 7.70    
9  BEAUTIFULLYPERFECT Apr07 Mar22 Feb18 Jan14 Dec22 (mcgoey monica)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 6.00    
10  APPLE SAUCY Apr21 Mar23 Apr29 Mar16 Feb18 (yanez reynal)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 6.00    
 
TAM-7   05/03/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ ENOUGH Apr12 Mar08 Jan25 Nov19 Oct27 (allinson ver)BATISTA A 124 10.00    
2  NOBLE TESS Apr21 Apr12 Mar02 Jan19 Dec31 (smith g)FERRER C 126 3.50 19% 4.20    
3  LIGEIA Apr20 Mar30 Mar09 Feb21 Jan05 (granitz antho)IORIO MELISSA 119 4.00 15% 5.50    
4  DIAMONDS FOR LILY Apr07 Nov23 Nov09 Oct05 Sep06 (dye steven)FUENTES MARIO 124 6.00    
5  ALEXA'S DREAM Apr07 Mar16 Jan31 Jan21 Dec09 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
6  VINGATIVA Apr26 Apr12 Mar24 Feb15 Jan10 (simone micha)MENESES MARCOS 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  ROUBAIX Jan26 Dec29 Dec01 Sep04 Aug10 (richards )MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 3.50 ★    
8  KILLARGUE'S GIRL Apr17 Mar30 Feb21 Jan31 Dec31 (miranda lu)ALONSO LUIS 124 30.00    
9  LOVE UNLIMITED Apr13 Mar30 Feb24 Nov11 Sep08 (werneth r)RODRIGUEZ A 124 15.00    
 
TAM-8   05/03/2024 5400ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VILLAGE PREACHER Apr26 Mar22 Feb25 Feb02 Dec22 (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 119 20.00    
2  LORD BARNA Apr05 Feb25 Feb14 Jan07 Dec30 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  DOIN'ITTHERIGHTWAY Apr20 Apr13 Mar30 Mar08 Feb14 (simone michael)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.50 30% 2.30    
4  BIG BUCKSALOT Apr12 Mar20 Mar08 Feb02 Dec27 (gatis)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 6.00    
SCR  WORLDS ON HIGH Apr20 Mar22 Mar08 Feb14 Feb04 (raven kerri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 5.00 13% 6.40    
6  STREET GLIDE Apr20 Mar27 Feb09 Jan27 Sep15 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 119 4.50 24% 3.20    
7  CUPID'S DUDE Apr12 Mar30 Feb14 Jan26 Nov04 (hayford jenni)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 4.50 7% 13.10    
SCR  WINTER'S GHOST Mar30 Feb25 Jan20 Jan12 Dec16 (rigattier)MALDONADO GABRIEL 114 8.00    
9  RARE JEWEL Apr13 Mar20 Feb18 Jan27 Jan03 (agostini art)MENESES MARCOS 119 4.00    
10  GREYZER Apr20 Dec01 Nov25 Oct20 Sep27 (de ka)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 30.00    
 
TAM-9   05/03/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATTRAYANT Apr14 Mar08 Jan21 Dec24 Dec02 (lerma)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of ELEGANT SUPERMODEL by LOPE DE VEGA)
2  RED ROADSTER Apr17 Jan27       (hunt donald)SPIETH S 120 5.00 24% 3.20    
  (by LORD NELSON out of RIDGESTER by CACTUS RIDGE)
3  ZIMBAWEE Apr17         (torres pablo )GONZALEZ ALEX 120 20.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of JULIETTE AVA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  CANDY MO         (avila c)MENESES MARCOS 120 10.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  NOBLE FACTOR Apr06 Mar10 Feb03 Dec22   (rodriguez dar)IORIO MELISSA 115 3.00 43% 1.30    
  (by THE FACTOR out of PRINCESS TAYLOR by SINGSPIEL)
6  FRED GEORGE (IRE) Oct13         (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 6.00    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  RUBY'S BIG RED Apr13 Apr04 Mar09     (seale christ)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of RUBY ON MY MIND by CONGRATS)
8  LAST RUN Apr17 Apr06 Mar23 Mar01 Feb23 (james ger)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 15.00    
  (by BATTALION RUNNER out of CARMENS HALO by HALO'S IMAGE)
9  FLICKER (GB)         (clement chr)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 4.50 7% 13.10    
  (by SHOWCASING out of CASCELLA by IFFRAAJ)
SCR  PATRIOT BLUECHIP Apr12 Mar10 Jan26     (guciardo kat)BATISTA A 120 30.00    
  (by NOBLE BIRD out of ASHLEY RIVER by DEPUTY WILD CAT)
11  ZEKE'S HEART Feb24         (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of EMERALD GAL by GILDED TIME)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.