Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Friday - March 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/2)-(7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/2)-(3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2)-(3/2)-(7/6/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-2   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/2)-(7/6/2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(7/6/2/1)-(5/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-3   WIN (7/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/1)-(7/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/1)-(7/6/2/1)-(7/6/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/2/1)-(5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2/1)-(5/2/6)-(5/4/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-4   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(5/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(5/4/3/7)-(5/1/4/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-5   WIN (5/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/7)-(5/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/7)-(5/4/3/7)-(5/4/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/3/7)-(5/1/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3/7)-(5/1/4/8)-(2/7/4/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LRL-6   WIN (5/1/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/8)-(5/1/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/8)-(5/1/4/8)-(5/1/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/4/8)-(2/7/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4/8)-(2/7/4/5)-(4/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-7   WIN (2/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/4/5)-(4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4/5)-(4/5/6)-(4/1/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-8   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(4/1/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-9   WIN (4/1/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/8/2)-(4/1/8/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/8/2)-(4/1/8/7/2)-(4/1/8/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   03/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPICY MARGARITA Feb11 Dec10 Nov24 Nov17 Oct12 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
LADY SERENITY Feb04 Jan28 Jan07 Dec29 Dec01 (salzman john )ROJAS MARTINA 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
GOLDEN CAN Dec31 Nov24 Nov17 Oct29 Oct08 (mcmahon tho)CHAVEZ ANDRES 112 8.00    
WINKIWINKI Feb01 Dec23 Dec09 Aug09 May08 (alvarado dia)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 20.00    
MAMA G'S WISH Dec31 Nov24 Nov04 Oct13 Sep16 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 2.50    
SCR  OLIVE KAT Feb11 Jan20 Nov03 Sep24 Sep17 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 20.00    
ROYAL WHISPER Jan28 Dec23 Dec10 Nov26 Oct27 (gorham michael )MENA E 123 1.40 49% 1.00    
 
LRL-2   03/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($49K) 4UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOX N BEN Feb04 Dec31 Dec09 Oct07 Aug19 (mckenzi)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 20.00    
DARK TIMBER Feb07 Jan08 Dec18 Dec05 Nov04 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.50 26% 2.80    
DISPUTED CLAIM Feb02 Dec22 Dec08 Nov09 Oct14 (geralis emanu)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  NASTY HABIT Feb05 Dec17 Nov19 Apr14   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 2.00    
SCR  NAKED AND FAMOUS Aug03 Jul20 May29 May12 Mar11 (de ho)CARRASCO R 123 15.00    
ARDEN'SLUCKYTOBE Feb02 Jan05 Dec08 Oct20 Sep29 (mcclure dia)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 126 1.40    
 
LRL-3   03/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($41K) 3 ALL PT- 1:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEIL TO THE KING Dec17 Dec03 Nov11 Oct21   (capuano philli)TORREALBA JG 115 8.00 10% 9.10    
MEDAGOOCH Feb04 Dec31 Nov24 Nov03   (bailes rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 3.00 20% 4.00    
LITTLE MAN GAVIN         (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 124 5.00    
BLUE KINGDOM         (feliciano ben)ALVELO C 124 10.00    
KEIGS Feb11         (valvo )ARAUJO VICENTE 124 20.00    
GLASS OF COURAGE Feb11 Feb02 Jan07 Dec16 Oct29 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
PEALING LAD Feb04         (perkins ben)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
BANDITSGOLDENCHILD         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 10.00    
 
LRL-4   03/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($49K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIDEWRIGHT AWAY Feb04 Dec31 Aug13 Aug05 Jul21 (ginter raymo)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 12.00    
SWEET SHUGS Feb04 Dec16 Nov18 Oct21 Oct06 (ginter raymon)ROJAS MARTINA 118 3.00 14% 6.10    
I HAVE COURAGE Feb11 Feb02 Jan07 Dec10 Nov16 (sullivan ellio)TORREALBA JG 118 20.00    
TOUISSET Feb04 Dec30 Dec09 Nov10 Oct11 (gorham michael )MENA E 123 4.00    
BRZINA Jan28 Nov26 Nov18 Oct28 Oct06 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.60 55% 0.80    
HOW SWEET SHE IS Oct24 Oct06 Sep03 Aug18 Jul09 (trombetta mic)CHAVEZ ANDRES 116 6.00 10% 9.20    
SCR  GRACEFUL ROSE Feb23 Dec31 Nov24 Oct11 Jul30 (gorham e)CRUZ ANGEL 123 5.00    
 
LRL-5   03/01/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  GET SET Jan31 Jan01 Nov20 Oct18 Sep20 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00    
SCR  CAUGHTANDCOLLECTED Jan09 Dec26 Nov21 Oct13 Sep28 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00    
SUMO (ARG) Feb11 Jan06 Dec17 Nov23 Oct28 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 5.00    
LOOSE GOOSE Dec16 Nov24 Nov04 Oct20 Sep26 (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 123 20.00 11% 8.10    
MASAI MAN Feb02 Jan26 Jan10 Nov15 Oct23 (ginter raymo)BATISTA A 123 15.00 22% 3.50    
NO EASY DAYS Feb02 Jan12 Dec31 Dec08 Oct28 (mckenzie dani)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 1.80 37% 1.70    
CASANOVA KITTEN Jan13 Dec21 Dec08 Nov29 Oct25 (magee kieron)ROJAS MARTINA 118 2.50    
CHELONIAN Feb02 Dec31 Nov03 Sep04 Jul19 (gaudet lacey)CHAVEZ ANDRES 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
BRETT'S WORLD Feb19 Dec27 Dec13 Nov06 Oct20 (bravo-estra)RAMOS C 118 20.00    
 
LRL-6   03/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47K) 3 F PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUDD'N N PIE Sep22         (vera miguel)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 8.00 23% 3.40    
  (by UNIFIED out of PLUM by PURE PRIZE)
HANNAH GOOD Jan06         (russell brittany)CRUZ ANGEL 124 12.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of CHIMICHURRI by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
GATE SONG Dec29         (allard edward )BOYCE FOREST 124 5.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of SHANANIES SONG by ELTISH)
PROFITUNITY Feb10         (alvarado dia)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 10.00 18% 4.70    
  (by BUCCHERO out of PICK THE DOUBLE by DOUBLE HONOR)
CRUSADER RABBIT         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 1.60 31% 2.20    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CONSTELLATION by BELLAMY ROAD)
ROYAL RIBBON Dec02 Nov11 Sep10     (ladauceur h)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 6.00    
  (by SILENT NAME out of CAMARIA by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  DETERMINED CANDY         (schoentha)CARRASCO R 124 4.50    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of FUN IN THE DESERT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SHINING SPIRIT Jan12 Dec08 Nov04     (gorham michael )MENA E 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of STREET TALK by STREET CRY (IRE))
VINO DOLCE Feb10         (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 124 15.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of CONQUEST RAMPAGE by QUALITY ROAD)
 
LRL-7   03/01/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($49K) 3 ALL PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAP COM Jan07 Dec02 Nov17 Oct28 Oct08 (trombetta)CARRASCO R 121 8.00    
PRADO ROAD Dec17 Oct14 Sep30     (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 121 1.80 31% 2.30    
HAD TO HAVE HIM Jan27 Jan12 Nov24     (salzman)BRICENO GREGOR 121 4.00    
I KNOW MAP Feb14 Dec22 Nov24 Oct26   (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00 17% 4.90    
SINCERITO Jan28         (feliciano ben)ALVELO C 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
BRUDER Feb04 Jan13 Nov24     (bailes rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 8.00    
WORKISLIFE Feb11 Dec21 Dec01 Nov12 Oct25 (geralis emanu)KARAMANOS A 124 3.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  FORCE OF JUSTICE Feb04 Jan14 Dec22 Dec08 Oct08 (salzman john )ROJAS MARTINA 112 20.00    
 
LRL-8   03/01/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JARDANI Feb14 Jan05 Dec03 Oct26 Sep10 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 3.50    
CROSSLAND Feb18 Feb02 Dec08 Nov09 Oct21 (hohlbei)BRICENO GREGOR 123 3.00    
SCR  SHELLBACK Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 Jun17   (gorham michael )MENA E 123 30.00    
FRIGHTLAND Feb11 Dec22 Dec03 Nov09 Sep02 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 2.50 41% 1.40    
DOLICE VITA Feb17 Jan05 Dec03 Oct14 Sep30 (capuano philli)BOYCE FOREST 126 1.40 24% 3.20    
ALOTTACENTS Jan27 Dec31 Dec15 Nov23 Nov10 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-9   03/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3 ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RETURN FIRE Feb03 Jan13 Dec23 Dec15 Dec02 (sanchez-sal)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 4.00 7% 12.60    
THUNDERSLAM Feb03 Dec31 Dec14 Nov10 Oct01 (singh somraj)AGUILAR JEAN 113 30.00 5% 19.00    
GINO THINKABOUTIT Dec20 Dec08 Nov16 Oct28   (mcmahon h)CARRASCO R 120 8.00    
NEVER GREW UP Feb09 Jan06 Dec08 Nov03 Oct15 (magee kieron)ROJAS MARTINA 119 3.50 64% 0.60    
MIKE THE BOMB Feb09 Jan12       (bourne willi)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 20.00    
NOT THISTIMERANDY Nov16         (bourne william )MENA E 120 20.00    
UNCLE CHINITO Jan31 Dec30 Dec08 Nov03 Aug03 (aguirre antho)ALVELO C 120 5.00    
MALIBU'S BOSS MAN Feb21 Feb02 Jan07 Dec16 Nov24 (beattie m)CRUZ ANGEL 124 3.00 7% 13.70    
SCENIC MOON Oct22 Oct01 Sep08     (robb j)TORREALBA JG 119 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.