Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sunland Park
Friday - February 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SUN-1   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(1/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
SUN-2   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(8/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(8/1/6/2)-(3/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SUN-3   WIN (8/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/6/2)-(8/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/6/2)-(8/1/6/2)-(8/1/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SUN-4   WIN (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/1)-(3/7/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/1)-(3/7/5/1)-(3/7/5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
SUN-5   WIN (1/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/7)-(1/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/7)-(1/5/4/7)-(1/5/4/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SUN-6   WIN (1/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/7)-(1/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/7)-(1/4/2/7)-(1/4/2/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SUN-7   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/2/3)-(6/7/2/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3)-(3/4/7/8)-(3/8/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SUN-8   WIN (3/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/8)-(3/4/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/8)-(3/4/7/8)-(3/4/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/7/8)-(3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SUN-9   WIN (3/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/4)-(3/8/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/8/4)-(3/8/4/1)-(3/8/4/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SUN-1   02/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONE MOUNTAIN GIRL Dec05 Nov14 Oct13 Sep03 Jul23 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 124 1.60 40% 1.50    
  (by GALLANT SON out of QUICK GLORY by SWISS YODELER)
2  GIRVINITALLSHESGOT         (bolen b)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of MS HALLIE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
3  MYTEBQUIK         (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 124 4.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of VINDYS MIGHTY QUIK by VINDICATION)
4  YUMIKO'S CANDY         (hudson)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 6.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of YUMIKO'S STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
5  EVERLEIGH'S QUEEN         (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 3.50 21% 3.90    
  (by EDDINGTON out of RIVERBOAT QUEEN by PREMIERSHIP)
6  MOLLY'S ROSE         (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 5.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of MY ROSE by FRENCH LEGIONAIRE)
 
SUN-2   02/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORM BAYOU Feb02 Jan18 Aug26 Jun11 May20 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 0.80 49% 1.00    
2  GOLDEN MERGER Jan19 Dec19 Dec11 Nov20 Oct27 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 124 2.50    
3  SMOOTH BLUES Jan11 Dec11 Oct20 Sep23 Sep03 (vaughn)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 15.00    
4  STORMIN FAST Feb15 Feb01 Oct13 Sep09 Aug26 (rojero luis)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 12.00    
5  AMERICAN SOLO Feb08 Dec20 Nov14 Oct08 Sep09 (gonzalez carlos )MEDELLIN A 124 5.00 24% 3.20    
6  LUCK IN MY EYES Feb08 Jan12 Dec04 Oct28 Jun18 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SUN-3   02/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RECKLESS HOT ROD         (lambert cas)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 4.00 22% 3.50    
  (by PUNCTUATE out of ANGEL AT HOME by SEEKING A HOME)
2  EL PATO         (cross gary)ROSENDO J 124 4.50 7% 13.00    
  (by MR. TRIESTE out of DUCKSARFLYN by FIREJACK)
3  GEEBEESBIGBOY Feb01 Dec05 Aug04 Jul15 May21 (aldavaz herm)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 8.00    
  (by MUSAITER out of VALUE THIS GIRL by SON OF THE WEST)
4  MISTER WU Feb01         (lambert t)VERGARA P 124 8.00    
  (by ROLL ON DIABOLICAL out of RATE RISE by HIGH YIELD)
5  HELLO WALTZ Feb01 Jan19 Dec04 Nov13 Jul31 (young a)TORRES J 124 6.00    
  (by COMFORT out of WALTZING ROSE by HENNY HUGHES)
6  BLOOMING RESOURCE         (danley fr)AMAYA RUIZ 124 6.00 8% 11.90    
  (by INFINITE RESOURCE out of BLOOMING HEAT by SOUTHWESTERN HEAT)
7  ROLL PENNY ROLL         (danley i)JUAREZ J 124 5.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of A PENNY LANE by DEVON LANE)
8  BOLD MONEY         (gonzalez r)TOHILL S 121 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of AFLEET TEE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
 
SUN-4   02/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COPPER STATE Dec13 Nov04       (summer)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SMILING RULER Feb01 Nov26 Oct21 Sep22   (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 4.00    
3  SAGA (NZ) Jan18 Dec18 Dec04 Nov07 Oct11 (bolen b)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 3.50 52% 0.90    
SCR  ANGELA'S ANGEL Feb01 Dec20 Oct25 Jul26 Jul16 (marquez jose)MEDINA ANTHONY 124 15.00    
5  STELLA BOY Jan18 Dec18 Oct25 Oct06 Aug26 (baldwin lynette)CARRENO J 124 4.00 ★    
6  THIRSTY MOE Jan26 Jan05 Sep08 Aug25 Jun11 (gonzale)FUENTES T 121 10.00    
7  PASS IT AROUND Jan25 Dec20 Jun02 May07 Apr02 (green greg)PEREZ A 124 2.00 20% 3.90    
8  R K KAIROS Jan19 Apr02 Feb19     (fournier ro)ORTEGA O 124 20.00    
 
SUN-5   02/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($27.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARQUIS LIGHTS Feb01 Jan05 Dec19 Nov27 Nov07 (chavez arturo)CARRENO J 119 3.50 38% 1.60    
2  RISKY REVENGE Feb08 Jan25 Jul22 Jun24 Apr02 (gonzales j)ROSENDO J 124 2.50    
3  LONZO WHO Feb08 Jan25 Dec18 Oct29 Oct15 (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 124 4.00    
4  DAUX Jan05 Sep24       (marr j)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 4.50 17% 4.80    
5  DADDY WHAT IF Jan26 Jan11 Nov28 Oct11 Jul15 (cross gary)MEDELLIN A 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
6  IZERIGHT Dec11 Nov27 Oct15 Aug26 Apr22 (gutierrez qu)PEREZ A 124 8.00    
7  PROBATE Jan26 Jan05 Dec12 Nov06 Oct06 (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
SUN-6   02/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STILL IN THE TRAP Feb02 Dec18 Nov20 Oct07 Sep03 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 124 1.80 35% 1.90    
2  TIGHT FITTIN JEANS Dec19 Nov27 Nov07 Oct22 Sep24 (green greg)PEREZ A 119 8.00 12% 7.10    
3  SMARTSREALGOOD Feb02 Nov27 Nov06 Oct07 Sep10 (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 4.00    
4  GO RED RASCAL Jan25 Dec05 Sep03 Jun11 Mar07 (munoz g)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 10.00 16% 5.50    
5  DIABOLICAL STORM Feb09 Jan18 Nov27 Nov06 Oct15 (fincher w)VERGARA P 124 2.50    
6  ANTONIOS MARK Feb02 Jan18 Dec18 Nov27 Nov06 (barton dall)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 5.00    
7  MCMERCELUS Feb09 Dec19 Nov27 Nov20 Apr22 (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SUN-7   02/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BEACH STORM Feb08 Feb02 Dec18 Nov13 Sep20 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 6.00    
2  BIG CREED Dec18 Nov21 Apr29 Mar27 Feb18 (marlin i)CARRENO J 124 5.00 ★    
3  NACHO GRANDE Jan19 Dec12 Jul29 Jul09 Sep25 (quiroz)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  MAUI SUNRISE Feb01 Dec11 Nov20 Sep27 Aug26 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 119 15.00    
5  WE NEED MARKETING Oct07 Aug25 Jul08 Jun24 May12 (cappellucci dick)VALDEZ S 124 3.00    
6  MY GOOD GOOD BOY Feb02 Jan05 Nov20 Nov06 Oct14 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 2.50 62% 0.60    
7  REIGN OVER ME Feb09 Jan11 Dec12 Nov14 Oct28 (quiroz filibert)VERGARA P 124 4.50 8% 11.20    
8  MIST N SEVEN Feb15 Feb01 Jan11 Dec18 Nov27 (martinez a)TORRES J 124 15.00    
 
SUN-8   02/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JUST AWESOME M Oct21 Sep30 Jul08 Apr15 Apr02 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 20.00    
2  MAGIC IS FLYING Jan18 Nov13 Oct21 Sep30 Apr29 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 5.00    
3  BLUEGRASS FAITH Jan12 Dec18 Nov20 Oct07 Sep16 (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 124 3.50 50% 1.00    
4  MITHQAAL Feb02 Jan26 Jan11 Mar11 Dec01 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 6.00 14% 6.00    
5  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Feb02 Jan11 Dec18 Oct21 Oct06 (christian billy)CARRENO J 124 8.00    
6  ANOTHERFORBROOKS Jan26 Jan11 Dec05 Oct15 Oct08 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 3.00    
7  BIG LEAGUE BENNY Feb15 Jan25 Dec11 Oct27 Oct06 (trujillo jeffrey)TOHILL S 124 4.50 11% 7.70    
8  JON L Feb08 Jan25 Jan11 Dec05 Nov14 (barrios)FUENTES T 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SUN-9   02/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUSTICE DEPARTMENT Jan19 Dec19 Sep01 Aug13 Jun24 (summers nancy)TOHILL S 124 3.00 ★    
2  KAE GAE Jan19 Nov20       (long vaughn)ROSENDO J 121 10.00    
3  FAST TRAFFIC Feb09 Jul04 Jun17 May12 Apr16 (summers nancy)VERGARA P 124 3.50 36% 1.80    
4  BRAND LOYALTY Dec05 Nov14       (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119 8.00 9% 10.00    
5  RANGER REX Aug25 Jul15 Jan28 Dec14 Nov05 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 124 8.00    
6  OTTOMAN EMPIRE Nov20 Oct29 May06 Apr21 Mar12 (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 5.00    
7  MALMO Jan26 Dec18 Oct01 Sep16 Feb28 (green greg)MEDELLIN A 124 12.00    
8  AMERICAN OUTLAW Feb09 Jul21 Jun25 May06 Apr14 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 124 4.00 28% 2.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.