Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Sunday - December 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(3/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(3/4/8)-(5/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-2   WIN (3/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/8)-(3/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/8)-(3/4/8)-(3/4/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/8)-(5/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/8)-(5/6/3)-(3/7/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-3   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(3/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(3/7/4)-(8/1/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-4   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/4)-(8/1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4)-(8/1/3/5)-(4/1/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-5   WIN (8/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/3/5)-(8/1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/3/5)-(8/1/3/5)-(8/1/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/3/5)-(4/1/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/3/5)-(4/1/3/6)-(2/3) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
LRL-6   WIN (4/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/6)-(4/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/6)-(4/1/3/6)-(4/1/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/3/6)-(2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3/6)-(2/3)-(4/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-7   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(4/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LRL-8   WIN (4/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/5)-(4/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/8/5)-(4/8/5)-(4/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   12/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL WHISPER Nov26 Oct27 Oct13 Sep17 Jul16 (howard david )TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.00 54% 0.90    
2  MYSTIC SEAPORT Nov17 Oct26 Oct18 Aug31 Aug05 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 1.40    
3  UTTERLY ENCHANTING Nov24 Oct14 Sep13 Jul22 Jun10 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 123 5.00 17% 4.70    
SCR  ISABELLA'S GLORY Nov17 Oct29 Sep22 Aug19 Jul21 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 123 4.50    
5  CLICK TO CONFIRM Jan07 Dec18 Nov26 Nov12 Oct20 (ness jamie)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 4.00    
6  SISTER SUPREAM Nov04 Oct18 Sep06 Aug19 Jul27 (gorham michael )MENA E 126 15.00    
 
LRL-2   12/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REDWHITEANDTACOS Nov25 Nov05 Jul13 Jun30 May11 (horn eli)RODRIGUEZ L 113 30.00    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL STAR Nov05 Oct28 Oct06 Sep28 Sep19 (maldonado jon)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 10.00    
3  POUNDING MUSIC Nov17 Oct26 Oct14 Sep30 Sep01 (albert l)BOYCE FOREST 123 1.40 38% 1.60    
4  THUNDER BUGGY Nov05 Oct13 Jul14 Jul01 Jun09 (machado a)CARRASCO R 123 6.00 31% 2.20    
5  VIKING QUEEN Nov25 Nov05 Oct27 Oct13 Sep22 (garibay andres)MENA E 123 1.80    
6  IRISH LACE Nov17 Nov04 Oct26 Oct18 Sep15 (sanchez-sal)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 15.00    
7  MERGER OF EQUALS Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 Sep01 Jul20 (corrales jose)CHAVEZ ANDRES 116 12.00    
8  RED WIND Nov25 Nov02 Oct06 Sep17 Sep02 (gonzal)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 10.00 7% 13.10    
 
LRL-3   12/10/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING COVEE Nov26 Oct28 Aug31 Aug12 Jul22 (bailes w )CARRASCO R 125 3.00    
2  JOLLY BY GOLLY Nov26 Oct21 Oct07 Sep02 Aug12 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 125 8.00    
3  SUCCEED Nov18 Nov07 Sep24 Aug26 Aug07 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 122 15.00 7% 12.40    
4  VICTORS VALIANT Nov06 Oct21 Oct10 Sep11 Oct03 (gaudet lace)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.00    
5  AGARRAMESIPUEDES Nov26 Oct31 Oct03 Sep02 Jul08 (gonzal)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 1.80 44% 1.30    
6  STORMING CHROME Nov18 Nov02 Sep10 Jul23 Jul13 (mckenzie dani)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 6.00 14% 6.20    
 
LRL-4   12/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLIMSY (GB) Nov19 May04 Mar04 Feb03 Jan20 (voss katha)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 12.00    
2  DIVINE ROMANCE Nov24 Oct15 Oct21 Sep25 Sep10 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 121 15.00    
3  WHATSYOURBIGIDEA Nov11 Sep29 Aug26     (gaudet lacey)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 1.80 38% 1.70    
4  BLOME Nov18 Sep05 Aug04 Jun21 May30 (montoya m)CARRASCO R 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  RECKLESS KELLY Nov24 Nov04 Oct08 Sep07 Aug04 (gorham michael )MENA E 125 30.00    
6  TRITONE GAL Nov24 Oct29 Oct15 Sep16 Sep09 (magana )BRICENO GREGOR 122 2.50    
7  CLASSY NANCY Jan13 Dec12 Nov02 Oct19 Oct06 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 2.00 37% 1.70    
 
LRL-5   12/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPICY MARGARITA Nov24 Nov17 Oct12 Sep15 Aug25 (ginter raymon)ROJAS MARTINA 118 3.00 22% 3.60    
2  I HAVE COURAGE Nov16 Oct01 Sep01 Aug25 Aug03 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 123 6.00    
3  SHINELIKEADIAMOND Dec03 Nov20 Oct23 Sep09 Aug02 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 3.50 9% 10.50    
4  TWEET AWAY ROBIN Nov25 Oct13 Sep29 Aug25 Jun23 (nazari)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 8.00    
5  MATTITUDE Nov26 Nov04 Oct23 Sep10 Jul30 (bailes robe)KARAMANOS A 123 30.00 6% 16.60    
6  SPEAK YOUR MIND Nov24 Oct25 Sep15 Aug10 Jul15 (cooney )BRICENO GREGOR 123 30.00    
7  SMOOTH PEBBLE Aug12 Jun15 Mar11 Jan14 Oct29 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 123 8.00    
8  WATCH YOUR TONE Mar18 Feb10 Jan22 Nov13 Oct23 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 1.60 38% 1.70    
 
LRL-6   12/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REMEMBERING WILBUR Dec01 Nov16 Nov03 Oct26 Oct14 (sanchez-sal)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.50 16% 5.20    
2  NORTHERN THUNDER Nov19 Nov03 Oct27 Oct12 Sep24 (mohan r)ROJAS MARTINA 118 15.00    
3  EDDIE THE GREAT Nov26 Nov05 Oct05 Sep14 Aug03 (gonzalez claudi)MENA E 123 3.50 11% 8.50    
4  OXIDE Nov03 Oct21 Oct12 Jun18 May07 (gaudet lacey)CHAVEZ ANDRES 116 2.00 35% 1.80    
5  BERMONDSEY Nov17 Nov02 Sep16 Aug17 Jul27 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 10.00    
6  MIRACLE SILVER Nov19 Oct27 Oct19 Sep29 Sep16 (nazario pe)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 30.00 7% 13.00    
7  VIRGINIA FULLA Oct20 Oct12 Sep24 Sep03 Aug20 (mckenzie )HERNANDEZ F 123 12.00    
8  ANTIPOISON Nov26 Nov19 Nov03 Oct14 Oct06 (sanchez-)RODRIGUEZ L 113 20.00    
9  FORLOVEOFCOUNTRY Nov19 Oct12 Sep16 Jul21 May29 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 8.00    
SCR  MUNDO MIX Dec01 Nov16 Oct20 Oct04 Sep16 (gayle webs)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 8.00    
 
LRL-7   12/10/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAGRADA RAY Nov04 Oct12 Sep15 Aug12 Jul14 (capuano gary )TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 10.00    
2  MARTINI MARTIN Nov26 Oct26 Sep10 Aug18 Jul23 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.00 27% 2.80    
3  BROTHER BRAD Nov04 Oct18 Sep16 Aug03 May31 (alvarado diane)PEREZ XAVIER 123 15.00 22% 3.50    
4  MARGIE'S FUN SON Oct20 Sep30 Aug19 Jul16 Jun03 (cox kenneth)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 20.00    
SCR  JACK'S LEGEND Nov18 Oct14 Aug31     (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 122 1.80    
6  HAY CHIEF Nov25 Nov16 Oct28 Oct19 Oct08 (sanchez-salomon)MENA E 122 1.60    
 
LRL-8   12/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 35 M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VISUAL ILLUSION Nov18 Oct25 Sep24 Aug20   (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 5.00    
2  GINAMAYA Oct07 Sep15 Jul08 Jun17 Apr02 (graham rob)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 12.00    
SCR  FREE ADMISSION Nov26 Nov03 Oct12 Sep02 Jul21 (salzman john )TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 2.00    
4  PUNKIN Nov18 Oct15 Sep24 Aug20 Aug06 (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 125 3.00 31% 2.20    
5  PREAKNESS PARTY         (dilodovico)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 121 12.00 15% 5.70    
6  PALMARY Nov26         (capuano phill)ROJAS MARTINA 116 10.00    
7  HERE WE GO AGAIN Nov29 Nov18 Sep09 Jul13 Nov06 (horn eli)RODRIGUEZ L 111 30.00    
8  VIXSINZKELTKBANSHE Nov26 Nov03 Oct12 Apr30   (trombetta michae)CRUZ ANGEL 125 3.50 31% 2.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.