Handicappers' Racing Form

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Lethbridge
Saturday - October 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

LBG-1   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
LBG-2   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
LBG-3   Win (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LBG-4   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
LBG-5   Win (1/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LBG-6   Win (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LBG-7   Win (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LBG-9   Win (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
LBG-1   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCING ZAZINGA Sep09 Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 Jul15 (robson travi)APANGO JOSE 124 5.00    
SAYITALL Sep16 Sep03 Jul31 Jul18 Jul04 (mooney bill)BUGEAUD L 124 4.50 35% 1.80    
ONE SHOT TO WIN Sep23 Sep17 Jul29 Jul16 Jul31 (schmitt bill)SIMPSON W 124 8.00    
SECRET AVENGER Aug29 Aug14 Aug01 Jul18 Jul04 (gardipy jr)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  CLAIRESSENCE Aug14 Aug31 Aug02     (daniels anthony)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 3.00    
ANN OF WAR Sep23 Sep09 Aug27 Aug13 Jul29 (bugeaud mike)GORDON GARFIELD 124 10.00    
 
LBG-2   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($6.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNTESS CAT Sep16 Aug18 Jul28 Jun17 Nov04 (giesbrecht)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 6.00    
MERMAID KISSES Sep30 Aug22 Jul30 Jul23 Jul15 (tirk madison)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 6.00    
FRAN FROM PERU Sep24 Sep16 Sep03 Aug19 Aug05 (magnuson lyle)GORDON GARFIELD 124 3.00 11% 8.40    
SEVEN POINTS Sep16 Jun27 Jun14 Jun06 Apr18 (oberholtzer daniel)BUGEAUD L 124 1.80    
TEGAN'SBESTWILKO Sep24 Sep16 Sep03 Aug13 Jul30 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 1.00 57% 0.80    
 
LBG-3   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMY SUMMIT Sep23 Aug25 Aug06 Sep24 Sep11 (brown r)SIMPSON W 124 4.50    
KALUGA BOB Sep04 Aug27 Jul23     (bensmiller)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 5.00 10% 9.00    
STARWALKER Sep23 Sep10 Aug13 Jul30 Jul09 (rutherford e)APANGO JOSE 124 3.00    
R B EYE Sep16 Aug25 Jul23 Jun23 May29 (fike jordie)GORDON GARFIELD 124 10.00 8% 11.20    
JERSEY SHADOW Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 Jun19 Jun05 (oberholtzer)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
KOVACS Sep23 Aug27 Aug13 Aug06 Jul22 (gwilliam bob)ALLEN LARRIS 124 6.00    
 
LBG-4   10/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST ACTRA Alberta Bred Farewell Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOUND TO BE SMART Sep25 Sep10 Aug31 Aug03 Jul26 (mike christopher )APANGO JUAN 124 5.00    
KVOTHE Sep24 Sep17 Sep03 Aug20 Aug06 (smith rusty)ALLEN LARRIS 124 8.00 13% 6.80    
RISING REVOLUTION Sep24 Sep09 Aug19 Jul22 Jul09 (rutherford elly)SIMPSON W 124 3.00    
DANZA UNBRIDLED Sep23 Sep09 Sep03 Aug20 Jul28 (rycroft cl)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.50 58% 0.70    
SCR  BOESER Sep09 Aug19 Jul09 Jun10 Oct08 (rutherford ell)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 4.50    
 
LBG-5   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRET HAVEN Sep23 Sep17 Sep01 Aug11 Jul15 (brown r)SIMPSON W 124 2.00 38% 1.60    
BOOGIE BUG Sep04 Aug21 Jul30 Jul22 Jul15 (daniels anthon)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 12.00    
LLYRA Sep16 Sep09 Aug27 Aug13 Jul29 (mcconaghie )STEWART BLANDFORD 124 6.00 8% 11.60    
WICKED WOMAN Sep29 Sep16 Sep03 Aug19 Aug05 (clarke chandra)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 4.00 15% 5.70    
SHOUT Sep29 Sep16 Sep09 Aug27 Aug19 (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 8.00    
MISS DIRECTED Sep09 Jun23 Jun10 May28 Oct09 (poirier john)POWELL ANDRE 124 10.00    
ZIPPORAH Sep13 Aug28 Jul31 Jul04 Jun14 (weaselhead)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 7.00 10% 9.20    
CHICLE SPARKS Sep16 Sep09 Aug27 Aug05 Jul22 (mohindee mankumar)APANGO JUAN 124 3.00    
 
LBG-6   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.2K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LANDRY KYLE Sep24 Sep16 Sep03 Aug20 Aug13 (clarke chandra)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 6.00 19% 4.20    
ROTTEN TO THE CORE Sep30 Sep16 Sep03 Aug13 Jul30 (mcconaghie )STEWART BLANDFORD 124 8.00    
SIZZLE N SUSIE Sep16 Sep03 Aug05 Jul15 Jul08 (blattler cod)APANGO JOSE 124 3.00    
GET BAKK Sep17 Sep03 Aug13 Jul22 May27 (rycroft cl)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.00    
SHELLPHONE Sep24 Sep03 Aug20 Aug13 Jul30 (weaselhead godfre)APANGO JUAN 124 10.00 17% 4.90    
ASTARTOBE Sep19 Sep06 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 (daniels anthon)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 4.50 31% 2.30    
 
LBG-7   10/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Bullys Futurity Purse ($11K) 2 ALL PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISTORTED ROSE         (robson travis)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 10.00    
E PAY ALL THE WAY Sep23 Sep01 Aug05     (adams les)POWELL ANDRE 124 5.00    
DARE MIGHTY THINGS Sep23 Sep01 Aug19     (o'hagan collee)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 1.00 58% 0.70    
VAPER         (perry carl)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KATNISS FIRE         (robson travi)APANGO JOSE 124 3.00    
LOVEMOR         (bugeaud mike)BUGEAUD L 124 8.00    
KALLIE CHICK         (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 1.80 19% 4.20    
 
LBG-9   10/07/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REALLY SLOW Sep30 Sep12 Aug29 Aug21 Jul19 (tirk madis)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.00    
EQUIVOCATOR Sep30 Aug27 Aug06 Jul23 Oct01 (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 8.00    
OLD DOUBLE DIAMOND Sep30 Sep23 Sep10 Aug20 Aug13 (clarke chandra)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 2.50 29% 2.50    
FLASH OF GLORY Sep30 Sep23 Sep16 Sep04 Aug13 (little no)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 7.00    
COZY BEAR Sep17 Sep09 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 4.00 18% 4.60    
OCANERA Sep16 Aug20 Aug06 Jul22 Jun24 (oberholtzer d)GORDON GARFIELD 124 10.00    
G'S TURN May22 May12 May06 Apr23 Apr14 (bigsky arnold)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 12.00 17% 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.