Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fresno
Friday - October 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FNO-1   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(1/3)-(5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FNO-2   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(5/4)-(1/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
FNO-3   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(1/5)-(7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FNO-4   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (1/5)-(7/6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(7/6/2)-(5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FNO-5   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/2)-(7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (7/6/2)-(5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2)-(5/4)-(6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FNO-6   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(6/2)-(4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
FNO-7   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (6/2)-(4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(4/6)-(1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FNO-8   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (4/6)-(1/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
FNO-9   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FNO-1   10/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOW ABOUT A FRESCA Sep11 Sep02 Aug12 Jun09 May19 (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 118 4.00    
2  SEVEN SISTERS Aug20 Aug05 Jul22 Jul03 May28 (morgan dan)CRUZ M 123 3.50 55% 0.80    
3  MISCHIEF MAMA Sep17 Sep09 Aug27 Aug11 Jul15 (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  COASTAL STARLITE Sep11 Aug27 Aug20 May21 May05 (mcdonald melanie )GAMEZ M 121 6.00    
5  ALL Jul28 May21 May05 Mar18 Mar05 (thomas rub)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 2.00 12% 7.30    
6  TWO TWELVE Sep10 Aug05 Jul29 Jun18 May29 (trujillo vi)GARCIA EPIFANIO 121 3.00    
 
FNO-2   10/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUTISM SHINE Sep18 Aug13 Jun10 Jun02 May04 (thomas rub)AMERICANO MANUEL 112 1.60 35% 1.90    
2  ESCAPE THE HEAT Sep10 Aug27       (trujillo )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 5.00    
3  A LOTTA NERVE         (paldanius shel)HERRERA HUGO 122 8.00 27% 2.70    
4  SOUTHERN BLESSING Sep25 Aug26 Aug04 Jul22 Jun11 (lenzini mich)OROZCO E 122 4.50    
5  FOREVER LOVELY May20 Mar04 Feb03 Jan16 Jan07 (bonde jeff)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 6.00    
SCR  SMILIN RUBY Sep25 Sep03       (thomas ruby)ROMAN A 122 3.00    
 
FNO-3   10/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRONZE ONE Sep18 Jul30 Jul23 May28 May13 (ramos jesus)PENA BRYAN 122 4.00    
2  TEAGANS ATM Sep18 Aug28 Aug04 Jul29 Jun16 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 6.00    
SCR  LET GEORGE DO IT Oct02 Sep18 Sep10 Sep04 Aug19 (perez ser)MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 8.00    
4  COBRE Aug13 Jul21 Jul02 Jun23 May14 (thomas jamey)OROZCO IRVING 122 1.80 34% 1.90    
5  AYRTON SENNA Oct02 Sep02 Jun17     (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 2.00 37% 1.70    
6  ZHIVAGO Aug27 Aug19 Aug13 Jul29 Jul21 (greiner gary)FLORES P 122 10.00    
 
FNO-4   10/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRANNIGAN Sep16 Aug27 Aug04 Jul22 Jul09 (perez ser)MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 8.00 30% 2.30    
2  FANTASTIC DREAM Sep11 Aug11 Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 (p)JIMENEZ LUIS 125 10.00    
3  STELLA BOY Aug26 Jul22 Jul03 Jun09 May06 (morgan dan)CRUZ M 122 2.50    
4  VINNIEBOB Sep18 Aug28 Aug12 Aug06 Jul23 (davis bo)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 1.80    
5  L L L COOL Sep17 Aug11 Jul03 Mar11 Feb12 (sadler w)ROMAN A 125 5.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  APPLE WARRIOR Sep25 Aug27 Aug06 Jul09 Jun25 (navarre jacqui)ALVARADO T 122 3.50    
 
FNO-5   10/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARBOR'S BEAUTY Sep10         (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 4.00    
  (by GIG HARBOR out of BANDON BEAUTY by MONSAJEM)
2  TIZTHEHARTOFDIXIE May13 Apr16 Mar18 Feb19 Jan14 (mcdonald melan)HERRERA HUGO 125 3.00 10% 9.40    
  (by SLEW'S TIZNOW out of CACICA DULIMA by THEWAYYOUARE)
SCR  HEY BARMAID Aug13 Jun17 May19     (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 122 6.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of SLEW TUNES by SLEWDLEDO)
4  ADAPTED MEMORY Sep16 Aug12 Jul07 May26 May05 (wright blaine)RADKE K 122 12.00    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of ADAPTABILITY by EDDINGTON)
5  JERSEY SUNSET Aug18 Jul27 Jul02 Jun04 May12 (stortz marcia)ROMAN A 122 8.00    
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of FREE SUNSET by SIERRA SUNSET)
6  SURFLINE Aug12 Jul22 Jun04 Mar31 May15 (drysdale ne)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 2.50 20% 3.90    
  (by IRISH SURF out of SINGITA by HOLY BULL)
7  BERRY VALLEY Sep03         (delima cliffo)OROZCO IRVING 125 4.50 46% 1.20    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of NOE VALLEY by ROYAL ACADEMY)
 
FNO-6   10/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THREAD COUNT Sep11 Aug26 Aug11 Jul23 Jun09 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 5.00    
2  JASMINE CHIEFTAIN Aug24 Jul30 Jun09 Aug26 Jul29 (mccanna tim)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 2.50    
SCR  DRESS REHEARSAL Sep17 Aug03 Jul09 Jun16 Jun03 (calvario )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 3.00    
4  BIG MAMA THORNTON Sep17 Sep10 Aug18 Aug04 Jul16 (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 125 5.00 26% 2.80    
5  NAN ELIZABETH Sep10 Aug26 Aug13 Aug04 Jul22 (gabriel luc)ORTIZ A 125 2.00 51% 1.00    
 
FNO-7   10/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOT CHICKS ONLY Aug26 Jul29 Jun03 May20 Apr28 (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 2.00    
2  WORTH LOOKING Sep09 Aug13 Jun25     (bainum kelly)ALVARADO T 122 3.00 27% 2.80    
3  SHARONA'S WILD BOY Aug28 Jul27 Jul04 Jun18 May20 (stortz marcia)ROMAN A 125 5.00    
4  WESTERN CAPE Sep23 Aug26 Aug12 Jul23 Dec10 (lenzini mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 6.00    
5  ELCONDOR Sep24 Aug28 Aug05 Feb04   (ramos jesus)PENA BRYAN 125 6.00    
6  THREEBROTHERS Sep11         (trujillo vict)OROZCO IRVING 122 4.00 48% 1.10    
 
FNO-8   10/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DULCE EMMA Jul22 Jun25 May29 May13 Apr21 (ramos jesus)ALVARADO T 125 5.00    
2  LADY WOLF Sep17 Jul02 Jun17     (stortz marcia)CRUZ M 122 12.00    
SCR  BABY KRISTEN Aug12 Jun18 May07 Mar12 Feb22 (bainum kelly)RADKE K 125 3.00    
4  MISS UNION Sep03 Jul22 Jun25 Jun03 May13 (tamayo isidro)ROMAN A 125 1.80 40% 1.50    
5  BUYBACK Jun24 May20 Apr29 Apr02 Aug14 (wright blai)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 4.50    
6  HOT RAGEOUS Sep04 Jun25 May21 Apr21 Apr02 (calvario )MARTINEZ CATALINO 125 4.00 24% 3.10    
 
FNO-9   10/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEL RAGAZZO Sep10 Aug26 Aug05 Jul07 Jun17 (gabriel luciano )PENA BRYAN 123 3.50 64% 0.60    
2  POUR ON THE COLE Aug26 Aug13 Aug03 Jul21 Jul02 (puentes j)MARTINEZ CATALINO 121 10.00    
3  BROOKYS TAPIT Aug03 Jul01 Jun02 May07 Apr22 (navarre jacqui)ALVARADO T 121 15.00 8% 11.70    
4  FRANKS FIX IT Sep10 Aug12 Jul30 Jul15 Jun18 (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 12.00 6% 15.70    
SCR  BABY FRANKIE Sep18 Sep10 Aug26 Jun17 May20 (gabriel luc)ORTIZ A 123 6.00    
6  GORDY'S BOY Sep23 Aug26 Aug13 Jul23 Jun25 (preciado)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 121 5.00    
7  BROKEN FINGER Sep23 Aug28 Aug13 Jul28 Jul01 (rivera leob)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 121 2.50    
8  MARKSMAN ON TARGET Sep17 Sep09 Aug19 Aug12 Jul28 (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 121 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.