Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Albuquerque
Saturday - September 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ALB-6   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ALB-7   WIN (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/6)-(3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ALB-8   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ALB-9   WIN (8/9/2/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/2/1/3)-(8/9/2/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/2/1/3)-(8/9/2/1/3)-(8/9/2/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/9/2/1/3)-(3/9/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ALB-10   WIN (3/9/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/8/5)-(3/9/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/8/5)-(3/9/8/5)-(3/9/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ALB-6   09/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUTUMN TOUCH Dec12 Oct30 Sep30 Aug20 Aug07 (chavez arturo)CARRENO J 121 15.00    
2  ALLERGIC TO LOGIC Jul28 Jul08 May13 Apr08 Mar05 (gonzalez jos)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 4.50 13% 6.40    
3  KELL'S KISS Sep02 May14 Apr29 Apr22 Apr09 (gherardi ja)TORRES J 124 3.50    
4  THE TIME'S RIGHT Aug05 Jul14 May14 Nov21 Oct17 (duarte javier)MEDELLIN A 121 2.50 7% 14.20    
5  CREATING MEMORIES Sep02 Aug05 Jul01 Jun17 May05 (barraza rafael )LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00    
6  GREATEST GLORY Aug06 Jun11 May05     (a)DE CRUZ 124 6.00 45% 1.20    
7  PIPER ROSE Aug24 Aug02 Jul08 Jun10 May05 (woolley l)HEBERT J 121 8.00    
 
ALB-7   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THATGIRL'SONFIRE Sep03 Jun23 Sep17 Aug19 May27 (chavez arturo)CARRENO J 121 15.00    
2  MARKED BY A STORM Jul14 Jun23 Apr09 Mar26 Feb14 (chavez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 8.00    
3  HOLOTTALUTE Sep03 Jul22 Jul08 Mar26 Feb26 (hone bart)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 2.50 41% 1.50    
4  EVANGELINA WHO Jun24 Mar21 Feb28 Feb19 Jan24 (cross gary)HEBERT J 121 6.00    
5  SHOULDABEENACOWGAL Jun24 May21 Apr22 Feb28 Feb19 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 121 4.50    
6  FIRST AGAIN Jul22 Jun24 May20 Apr22 Apr02 (m)DE CRUZ 119 3.50 10% 9.30    
7  DESERT SPIRIT (IRE) Sep03 Jul23 Jan29 Dec01 Oct30 (fincher t)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 3.00 25% 3.00    
 
ALB-8   09/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINEARSPEED Sep03 Jul31 Jul10 Jun19   (barraza rafa)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 3.50    
2  ORTH Apr07 Feb19 Dec02 Nov04 Oct02 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 4.50    
3  PIRATE MISCHIEF May06 Apr01 Mar26 Mar12 Feb25 (leon alexis)MARQUEZ LARRY 124 15.00    
4  LAUGHING STORM Jun25 May29 Dec06 Nov08 Oct16 (dimas robert)MEDINA ANTHONY 124 6.00    
5  AUSPICE Sep03 May06 Mar05 Feb07 Dec12 (chacon sebedeo )ROSENDO J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MALMO Feb28 Jan31 Nov22 Oct25 Oct11 (f)DE CRUZ 122 3.00 19% 4.40    
7  FLEET OF FLAGS Jan29 Dec21 Nov22 Sep18 Aug20 (hone bart)MEDELLIN A 122 2.50 55% 0.80    
 
ALB-9   09/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Casey Darnell Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE MARK Aug26 Jan29 Jan03 Dec12 Oct30 (fincher w)HEBERT J 121 10.00 7% 12.80    
  (by MARKING out of CHERRY ONE by SIR CHEROKEE)
2  DIABOLICAL STORM Jul22 Jun11 Oct30 Sep04 Jul30 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 12.00 10% 9.40    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of DIABOLICAL DAME by DIABOLICAL)
3  SAMBAS MARK Jul23 Jun25 Mar26 Feb28 Jan17 (fincher w)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MARKING out of SAMBA QUEEN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
4  NONAME BANDIT Jun10 May13 Apr22 Apr02 Mar14 (henry l)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 25.00    
  (by HARRIS out of ASK ME LATER by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
5  BYE BYE MATTY P Jul22 Jun24 Apr22 Mar12 Feb14 (gonzalez )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 15.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of KIZKA by DANZIG)
6  NO PASA NADA Jul22 Apr08 Mar12 Jan29 Jan15 (gonzalez jos)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 2.50    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of CHARLOTTE'S DRONE by B. G.'S DRONE)
7  DELBERT TOO Jun24 May20 Apr22 Apr08 Mar12 (quiroz filiberto)MEDELLIN A 121 3.50    
  (by MARKING out of ON STRIDE by GHOSTLY MOVES)
8  THRUTHESTORM Jul23 Mar26 Feb28 Jan08 Dec12 (f)DE CRUZ 122 5.00 40% 1.50    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of THRUTHELOOKINGLASS by ALYDAR)
9  STRAWBERRY WHISKY Apr08 Mar26 Feb28 Jan29 Oct30 (trujillo celi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 4.50 15% 5.70    
  (by FUSAICHI ZENON out of STRAWBERRY PET by PETIONVILLE)
10  TUCUM Aug04 Jul14 Jun11 May20 Apr08 (buechler s)RODRIGUEZ H 121 20.00    
  (by KING BULL out of LAST DANZ by DANZATORE)
 
ALB-10   09/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASK OFF Sep02 Jul08 Apr23 Apr09 Mar14 (v)DE CRUZ 124 6.00    
2  SOLID GOLD BAR Sep07 Jul28 Jun23 May07 Nov01 (barrio)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 12.00    
3  SEEULATERGATOR Jul23 Jul09 Apr16 Apr09 Nov30 (long vaughn)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00 31% 2.20    
4  BRICKHOUSE May06 Mar26 Mar20 Mar06   (leon alexis)MARQUEZ LARRY 121 10.00    
5  DIABOLICAL MIGHT Jul08 Apr29 Apr02 Mar21 Mar12 (morales danny)ROSENDO J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  EMPEROR'S CHOICE May07 Apr02 Mar25 Mar04 Feb26 (leon alex)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 121 15.00    
7  SHANGHAI MIKE Sep01 May14 Apr15 Feb21 Jan24 (duarte javier)MEDELLIN A 124 3.00    
8  BLUEGRASS FAITH Sep01 Aug04 Jun23 May13 Apr29 (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 124 3.50 11% 8.00    
9  AWESOME STORM Aug25 Jul29 May06 Feb12 Jan15 (rojero lu)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 29% 2.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.