Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sweetwater Downs
Saturday - September 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SWF-4   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
SWF-5   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(5/6/7/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
SWF-6   WIN (5/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/1)-(5/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/1)-(5/6/7/1)-(5/6/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SWF-7   WIN (2/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/3)-(2/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/3)-(2/1/7/3)-(2/1/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SWF-10   WIN (4/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/6)-(4/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/8/6)-(4/8/6)-(4/8/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SWF-4   09/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO SOCKS MAC Jul30 Jul23 Jul15 Jul09 Jul02 (dennis clift)CARILLO DANIEL 126 4.50    
BRUIN MAGIC Aug27 Jul30 Jul23 Jul08 Jun25 (schindler je)BETHKE A 126 2.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  OH BE ONE Sep08 Sep02 Aug20 Aug05 Jul02 (openshaw )KELLENBERGER KODY 126 8.00    
SHACKALOV Sep03 Sep01 Aug19 Oct01 Sep02 (pope stuart)CERVANTES OSCAR 126 5.00    
KEARNEY Sep02 Jun25 Jun16 May28 May20 (ibanez albert)JIMENEZ DAVID 126 2.00 36% 1.70    
THREE TIME CHARMER Jul29 Jul09 Jun17 Jun03 May21 (thompson grady)LARSEN S 126 3.50    
 
SWF-5   09/09/2023 2310ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLIE MO Sep03 Aug19 Aug06 Jul09 May28 (dominguez c)DOMINGUEZ URIEL 126 3.00    
SCR  GETTINHOT'NHERE Jul29 Jul15 Jun25 Apr21 Apr02 (gibbs tyler)CERVANTES OSCAR 126 2.50    
GOLD STAR STUDENT Aug18 Jul22 Jun16 May27 May20 (tsosie te)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 126 4.00    
WAYLAY Sep04 Aug05 Jul29 Jul09 Jun24 (hadley to)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 3.50 41% 1.50    
WASSUP BRO Sep01 Aug19 Oct01 Sep03 Aug20 (mitchell r)LUSK TYSON 126 4.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  AGAVE KID Sep02 Mar19 Feb27 Feb02 Jan05 (ibanez albert)JIMENEZ DAVID 126 4.50    
 
SWF-6   09/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOPHITA Jul30 Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 Oct01 (taylor jo)RIVAS CARLOS 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
CLIPPERVILE GIRL Sep02 Aug19 Aug06 Jul30 Jul16 (scudder m)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 4.50    
EVIE Aug07 Jun18 Jun09 Jun04 May19 (ibanez albert)JIMENEZ DAVID 126 10.00    
B D R BEANIE BABY Jul22 Jul01 Jun04 Oct02 Sep04 (hansen l)VIRGEN JESUS 124 6.00    
BIRDEAUX Sep02 Aug18 Jul30 Jul15 Jun24 (hadley tori)FINN AISLINN 124 4.00 39% 1.50    
FAST SOPHIA Sep02 Jul30 Jul16 Jul08 Jun17 (thompson grady)LARSEN S 126 3.00 25% 2.90    
SWEET LADY LANA Aug27 Jul30 Jul09 Jun16 Feb25 (matt trys)DE TORRE 126 3.50 10% 8.80    
TOURIST LIKE ME Jul30 Jul16 Jun17 Apr29 Apr15 (jones antho)PADILLA ANSELMO 126 10.00    
 
SWF-7   09/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLUORITE Aug19 Jul16 Jul08 May28 Oct02 (dominguez c)DOMINGUEZ URIEL 121 3.50 18% 4.60    
  (by LAUGH TRACK out of MAZZY (ARG) by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
WE WANT ANOTHER Sep01 Aug18 Jul30 Jul16 Jul08 (tsosie te)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 4.00 25% 2.90    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of TENDER AND TRUE by GALILEO (ARG))
LEAP DAY Sep03 Jul30       (tsosie terri)BETHKE A 124 8.00 13% 6.80    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of SLY STAR by COLONEL JOHN)
DIABLOS MOON Aug27 Jul30 Jun18 Jun04 Sep25 (graber jessic)JIMENEZ DAVID 126 10.00    
  (by POINT DEFIANCE out of SPECTACULAR VOW by BROKEN VOW)
AX 'S SHORE Aug10 Jul30 Jul08 Jun25 Jun18 (dennis clift)CARILLO DANIEL 126 5.00    
  (by AXIOMATIC out of SOUNDLESS SHORE by LATIGO SHORE)
THE BUSINESS MAN Aug19 Aug04 Jun16     (brown ros)RIVAS CARLOS 124 3.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of MISS SIZZLE by FIRST DEFENCE)
MIDNIGHT KID         (openshaw james)RAMOS MANUEL 124 12.00 15% 5.60    
  (by RICHARD'S KID out of KISS AT MIDNIGHT by DECARCHY)
IM THE ONLY BEWARE Aug27 Jul30 Jul15 Jun17 Jun04 (hall dru)FINN AISLINN 126 6.00    
  (by YOU BETTOR BEWARE out of DROP OF VANILLA by REVERSAL)
SCR  PADDYS FOUR ROSES Sep02 Jun17 Jun04     (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 126 8.00    
  (by TROJAN NATION out of GOT ROSES by NIGHT CEREMONY)
 
SWF-10   09/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST John Schiffer Memorial Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAYETTE WARRIOR Sep03 Aug19 Jul30 Jul09 Jun25 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 128 3.00    
  (by EXCHANGE RATE out of LEGENDARY PEACE by PEACE RULES)
SCR  AFTER BURN Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 Jul09 Jul02 (womochil )BOBROFF JACQUELYN 128 15.00    
  (by AFFIRMATIF out of MS J J R by KANTHAROS)
STREET BEHAVIOR Aug19 Aug06 Jul30 Jul02 Jun04 (giles rae)RIVAS CARLOS 128 4.50    
  (by STREET SENSE out of EXOTIC BEHAVIOR by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
BARBIERE Aug19 Aug06 Jul15 Jun25 May29 (tsosie terr)CERVANTES OSCAR 128 4.00 34% 2.00    
  (by LAST DRAW out of CREME RINSE by LAHOOQ)
KEENEYE GEORGE Sep04 Aug13 Jul23 Jun24 Apr24 (gibbs tyl)KELLENBERGER KODY 128 8.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of KISSMEIMDANISH by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
FURLONGIN FOR LUV Aug27 Aug06 Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 (hall dru)FINN AISLINN 128 12.00 18% 4.50    
  (by DON'TSELLMESHORT out of EXCESSIVE CINDI by IN EXCESS (IRE))
SUPERMAN SHAQ Aug19 Aug05 Sep18 Aug13 Jul23 (dominguez c)DOMINGUEZ URIEL 128 8.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of DRUMETTE by HENNY HUGHES)
BAYTOWN MACCA Sep03 Aug05 Apr23 Jan31 Nov22 (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 128 5.00 20% 4.10    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of MAJESTIC LADY by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.