Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Wednesday - September 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
ASD-2   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    PK3 (4)-(6/2/4)-(6/4/3) 9 $0.20 $1.80 
ASD-3   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(6/4/3)-(6/7/8/4) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-4   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(6/7/8/4)-(1/2/3/8) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-5   WIN (6/7/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/8/4)-(6/7/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/8/4)-(6/7/8/4)-(6/7/8/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (6/7/8/4)-(1/2/3/8)-(2/1/3) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-6   WIN (1/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/8)-(1/2/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/8)-(1/2/3/8)-(1/2/3/8) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (1/2/3/8)-(2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ASD-7   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3) 18 $0.20 $3.60 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   09/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR PETUNIA Aug29 Jul29 Jul23 Jun24 Jun11 (cavanaugh perry)ALI RONALD 121 4.00 18% 4.70    
CYCLONE SORORITY Aug16 Aug01 Jul18 Jul05 Jun14 (brown shelley)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 1.60 41% 1.40    
MISS PARFAIT Aug28 Aug16 Aug01 Jul05 Jun14 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 121 12.00    
ASTARTOBE Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 Jun14 May22 (gourneau jerr)CUMBERBATCH R 121 8.00    
KIM'S TEXAS BLING Aug09 Aug01 Jul26 Jul05 Jun20 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 1.20    
 
ASD-2   09/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STONE CAFE Aug22 Aug08 Sep25 Aug22 Aug01 (zawislak dal)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 15.00    
SCR  UNBROKEN STAR Jul17 Jun19 Jun07 Apr18 Mar26 (brown jared)BALROOP SVEN 124 4.00    
LUCKY LUKE Aug23 Aug07 Jul26 Jul19 Jul03 (senebald donal)BELLE SHAVON 122 12.00    
DROP A CARIBOU Aug22 Jul24 Jul03 Jun21 Jun13 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 2.00 48% 1.10    
ITSTHATTIME Aug22 Aug07 May22 Sep13 Aug23 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 122 0.80    
 
ASD-3   09/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREAMER Aug23 Jul31 Jun14 Apr18 Mar26 (sanderson)CHADEE JR 123 2.00    
WITT NINE Aug23 Jul31 Jun21 Jun07 Sep26 (anderson carl)AEBLY FRASER 118 3.00 12% 7.60    
WITT'S MEMORIES Aug23 Jun28 Jun07 Sep28 Sep20 (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 123 25.00    
VALLENTAY Aug30 Aug22 Aug01 Jul05 Sep07 (jordan jennife)BELLE SHAVON 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
MUCHO EXPRESS Aug30 Jul31 Jun28 Jun20 Sep26 (ross courtney)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 12.00    
ANNAKHOZANA Aug30 Aug21 Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 1.60 57% 0.80    
 
ASD-4   09/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUN RIGHT Aug14 Jul24 Jun26 Jun07 May23 (morin shaun)CUMBERBATCH R 124 40.00    
LADY SUNSET Aug22 Aug02 Jul25 Jul04 Aug30 (stanford maria)BELLE SHAVON 121 30.00    
MR HANDS ON Aug22 Jul15 Jun24 Jun11 Dec03 (gardipy j)TARASENCO P 124 3.00 13% 6.80    
TOWARDS THE LIGHT Aug28 Aug14 Jul25 Jul12 Jul03 (ross cour)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 5.00 27% 2.80    
HIMELSTEIN Aug29 Aug14 Jul31 Jul03 Jun19 (mustard doug)CHOW CHAVION 124 8.00    
LUCKY BREAK Aug08 Aug02 Jul10 Jun28 Jun12 (gourneau )CHADEE JR 124 0.80 29% 2.40    
WARBRIDGE Aug28 Aug14 Aug08 Jun13 May30 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 124 10.00    
 
ASD-5   09/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUBD SAINT ANGEL Aug14 Aug02 Jul17     (fraser lorne)CHOW CHAVION 116 40.00    
  (by SINGING SAINT out of SWEET ANGEL GIRL by ARTIE SCHILLER)
I AM MILA Aug14 Jul24 Jul10 Jun19 May29 (jordan jennife)BELLE SHAVON 116 10.00    
  (by NONIOS out of I AM PERSNICKETY by MR. GREELEY)
NOIWONTBACKDOWN Aug22 Aug01 Jul19 Jul05 Jun20 (ross cour)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 4.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of ALMUSAFA by HAAFHD (GB))
GOTTALOVETHATGIRL Aug14         (brown jared)BUDHU ARTHUR 116 8.00 13% 6.90    
  (by GIRVIN out of BRATTOTHECORE by KATAHAULA COUNTY)
WITT'S JERRY Aug22         (gourneau jerr)CUMBERBATCH R 119 30.00    
  (by DRUMS OF THUNDER out of QUEEN'S MEMORIES by INDYGO SHINER)
FINALIZE Aug22 Aug01 Jul19 Jul05 Jun20 (brown shelley)AEBLY FRASER 119 1.80 35% 1.90    
  (by FREUD out of JAN BETH JO by CHIEF SEATTLE)
VIRAL Aug22 Aug01 Jul19 Jul05 May27 (gaskin steven)BALROOP SVEN 119 2.50 17% 5.00    
  (by GOTTCHA GOLD out of SUCKITUPBUTTERCUP by ESKENDEREYA)
CATCH THE DREAM Oct29 Oct14 Sep24     (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 116 12.00 14% 6.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of OUT OF THIN AIR by J BE K)
ASHES TO ASHES Aug14 Aug01 Jul17 Jul10 Jul04 (brown shelley)BYNOE DAMARIO 116 15.00    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of AUTUMN ASH by TAPIT)
 
ASD-6   09/06/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXCHEQUER Aug14 Jul25 Jul03 Jun19 May30 (tourangea)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 1.60 38% 1.60    
CLUB CHAMP Aug22 Jul24 Jul10 Jun27 Jun12 (brown jared)BALROOP SVEN 124 4.00 32% 2.10    
GOLDENEYED Aug22 Jul24 Jul03 Jun12 May29 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 122 10.00 9% 10.00    
MAGIC CARPET Aug21 Jul12 Jul05 Jun28 May01 (cavanaugh perry)ALI RONALD 124 8.00    
LAB RAT Aug23 Aug07 Jul31 Jul11 Jun23 (gourneau jerry)CARRENO J 124 4.50    
RIGGED RIGHT Aug23 Aug07 Jul24 Jul12 Jun28 (rowe michael)AEBLY FRASER 119 15.00    
CAPTIVE KITTEN Aug28 Jul31 Jul11 Jul03 Jun13 (morse victo)BADALOO DOUGLAS 119 25.00    
NORTH FORK Aug28 Aug14 Jul26 Jul11 Jun20 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
LOOKIN HIGH Aug29 Aug14 Jul31 Jul24 Jul11 (cole terry)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 20.00    
 
ASD-7   09/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($16.5K) 3 F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUSSIAN PEARL (NZ) Aug23 Aug08 Jul24 Jul11 Jun27 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 10.00 13% 6.60    
LADY COP Aug22 Aug08 Jul25 Jul11 Jun20 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 119 2.00 64% 0.60    
DIANE'S WISH Aug09 Jul24 Jul11 Jun21 May29 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
DANZIGS STAR STORM Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 Jun28 Jun20 (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 112 5.00    
DIAMOND GRAND Aug09 Aug02 Jul10 Jun02 May13 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 20.00    
SPARKLING SILVER Aug23 Aug02 Jul12 Jun19 Jun07 (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 119 4.50    
I'VE GOT ALL NITE Aug23 Aug02 Jul17     (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 119 25.00    
SCR  THE COMRIE RULE Aug23 Aug02 Jul10 Jun28 Jun07 (brown allen)ALI RONALD 119 30.00    
WHERE'S THE PUMPS Aug09 Aug02 Jul10 Jun27 Apr29 (brown jared)BUDHU ARTHUR 119 6.00    
10  SILVERCREEK LADY Aug09 Jul12 Jun27 Sep27 Sep05 (brown jared)CARRENO J 119 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.