Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Grants Pass
Monday - September 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GRP-1   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
GRP-3   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
GRP-5   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
GRP-7   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GRP-8   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GRP-1   09/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOY HOWDY Aug25 Aug12 Jul04 Jun17 Aug28 (cantrell mar)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 1.50 24% 3.10    
CAPES HOT ROCKET Aug25 Aug09 Jun24 Jun17 Aug26 (hurley )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 8.00    
STANLEY RYDER Aug26 Aug19 Jul04 Jun17 Sep17 (beckner t)IRONEYES R 121 6.00    
HASHTAG BAE Aug12 Aug09 Jun03 May20 Aug14 (hoover cindy)SMITH E 126 2.00 47% 1.10    
SMOKE AND BURN Aug25 Aug12 Jul28 Aug10 Jul24 (hurley de)JENSEN P 126 3.50    
 
GRP-3   09/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BABY CHOCOLATE Aug11 Jul12 Jul01 Jun21   (boyle mar)IRONEYES R 121 3.00 30% 2.40    
LADY RANGER Aug18 Aug05 Jul01 May14   (guerrero em)GUERRERO C 126 4.00    
SMILING SALSA Aug10 Jun25 May28 Aug07 Jul10 (harshman loe)SMITH E 126 2.00    
LUCINDA RELLA Aug27 Aug13 Jun24 May29 May13 (harwood )MURO ISIDRO 126 1.60    
GOOD JOB JACKIE Jun24 Jun17 Jun28 Jun21   (klapatc)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 8.00 27% 2.70    
 
GRP-5   09/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVER ROSE Aug26 Aug13 Jul28 May29 Apr15 (rosales jorge)ANAYA V 126 4.50    
BOB'S SNIPER Aug25 Aug18 Aug05 Jul22 Apr16 (perez se)AMADOR RUIZ 126 3.50    
SNICKER'N DAN Aug25 Aug19 Jul02 Jun18 Oct16 (beckner teri)SMITH E 126 3.00 15% 5.50    
MYSTIC WOOD FORCE Aug11 Jun17 Jun09 Aug10 Jul15 (rodriguez sau)LOPEZ E 126 8.00    
SCR  GENERAL THAYER Aug10 Jun25 Jun17 May13 Apr23 (beckner teri)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 2.50    
DARK AND DANDY Aug12 Jun25 Jun10     (rosales jo)ORANTES R 126 5.00 40% 1.50    
 
GRP-7   09/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Daily Courier Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PULPITS POWER Aug25 Aug20 Aug12 Jun25 Jun11 (still)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 126 3.50 15% 5.70    
  (by WAR POWER out of PARKER'S JEWEL by PARKER'S STORM CAT)
MR. MISCHIEF Nov20 Oct30 Oct09 Sep09 Aug28 (perez se)AMADOR RUIZ 126 2.50 17% 5.00    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of KHUN DOTS VARON by VRONSKY)
CODE CHARLIE Aug05 Jul14 Jun25 Jun09 Sep17 (kowals)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 4.50    
  (by DESERT CODE out of LA MIDNITE CLASSIC by ATTICUS)
FANTASTIC DAY Aug20 Aug11 Jul29 May20 Apr11 (rosales jorge)ANAYA V 126 2.00 35% 1.90    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of INDESCRIBABLE by PLEASANT TAP)
LIVE A GOOD LIFE Aug26 Aug19 Jul04 Jun18 Feb18 (hof d)SMITH E 126 8.00    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of LIFE IS A STONE by GLOBALIZE)
TIZ INDY Aug25 Aug20 Aug11 Jul02 Jun17 (rhodes dixie )LOPEZ E 126 6.00    
  (by TIZ WONDERFUL out of INDYCAT by CAT THIEF)
 
GRP-8   09/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENOR AT WAR Jul04 Jun24 Jun18     (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 124 10.00 10% 9.20    
  (by GIACOMO out of MIDDAY AFFAIR by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
OUR HY ROLLER Aug19 Aug06 Jul15     (baze robert)ANAYA V 126 8.00    
  (by SCOTS PINE out of MISS CURRENT SEA by PETERSBURG)
SMOKENSILVER Aug19         (beckner teri)SMITH E 124 2.50 10% 8.90    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of WILLAPA by GAME PLAN)
NEATAPAR Aug10 Jul02 Sep17 Sep02 Aug11 (cantrell marg)LOPEZ E 126 6.00    
  (by UNDERSTATEMENT out of RIO NEATA by BOCA RIO)
LET GEORGE DO IT Aug19 Jul28 Jul15 Jul01 Jun04 (perez se)AMADOR RUIZ 126 1.60 52% 0.90    
  (by JERANIMO out of ALPHABET KISSES by ALPHABET SOUP)
COLE'S DYNAMITE Aug19 Jul29 Jul15     (magal)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 4.00    
  (by PONTIFF out of ANOTHER WINTER by DEMON WARLOCK)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.