Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Thursday - August 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-1   WIN (3/6/7/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/8/9)-(3/6/7/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/8/9)-(3/6/7/8/9)-(3/6/7/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/7/8/9)-(7/6/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7/8/9)-(7/6/8/2)-(4/7/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-2   WIN (7/6/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/8/2)-(7/6/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/8/2)-(7/6/8/2)-(7/6/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/8/2)-(4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/8/2)-(4/7/3)-(5/7/3/9/12) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-3   WIN (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/3)-(4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/3)-(5/7/3/9/12) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/7/3)-(5/7/3/9/12)-(3/2/9/4/8) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
EVD-4   WIN (5/7/3/9/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/9/12)-(5/7/3/9/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/9/12)-(5/7/3/9/12)-(5/7/3/9/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/7/3/9/12)-(3/2/9/4/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3/9/12)-(3/2/9/4/8)-(1/3/4/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-5   WIN (3/2/9/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/9/4/8)-(3/2/9/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/9/4/8)-(3/2/9/4/8)-(3/2/9/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/9/4/8)-(1/3/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/9/4/8)-(1/3/4/2)-(8/2/1/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-6   WIN (1/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/2)-(1/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/2)-(1/3/4/2)-(1/3/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/4/2)-(8/2/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4/2)-(8/2/1/4)-(5/9/1/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
EVD-7   WIN (8/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/1/4)-(8/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/1/4)-(8/2/1/4)-(8/2/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/1/4)-(5/9/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
EVD-8   WIN (5/9/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/1/7)-(5/9/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/1/7)-(5/9/1/7)-(5/9/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   08/03/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARATOGA PASODOBLE Jul07 Jun10 May20 Apr26 Apr07 (fuselier jon)MAGNON H 123 15.00    
ELMO'S SECRET Jul03 Jun17 May29 Apr28 Mar30 (pish danny)MELANCON JANSEN 118 6.00    
ROSIE'S ANGUS Jun10 May18 Apr28 Mar19   (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
SIKARA SIKARA Jul06 Jun08 Apr29 Apr08 Feb23 (delhomme j)ALBERT S 110 20.00    
ATHENAIS Jul02 Jun09 May21 Mar23 Feb15 (breaux samue)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 1.80    
KHOZY TAP Jun12 Sep18 Sep04 Aug15 Jul09 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 5.00 26% 2.80    
FITTS N STARTS Jul20 Jun23 Dec18     (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 115 12.00 13% 6.60    
SANTANGELO Apr21 Mar30 Mar05 Feb12 Jan15 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
WORLD OF HURT Jul06 Jun03 May12 Apr26 Feb15 (brinkman bre)BARRERA J 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ENTITLEMENT Jul06 Apr26 Mar12 Jan27 Jan05 (david b)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 8.00    
 
EVD-2   08/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SARATOGA KAREN Jul20 Jul01 May20 Apr12 Feb22 (cox l)MCMAHON J 123 8.00    
ATALANTA ASTERIA Jun08 May12 Apr22 Feb18   (broberg karl)THORNTON G 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
GALAXY AFFAIR Feb22 Feb02 Jan12 Dec29 Dec02 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 15.00    
MAVE RUNNER Jul20 May19 Mar10 Dec09 Nov23 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 123 6.00    
DARING DARIAN Jul01 Jun10 May19 Apr12 Feb25 (charles jon)BALTHAZAR JARED 120 15.00    
SHEZA CAT Jul09 Jun25 Jun10 May13 May05 (pish danny)MELANCON JANSEN 123 3.50 12% 7.30    
TERRI GOT A FRIEND Jul13 Jun29 Jun02     (bernar)RUIZ GARCIA 118 5.00 62% 0.60    
MS. PRIESTLY Jul20 Jun29 Jun15 May26 Feb24 (chevis vinc)LEDET THEODRICK 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
THROUGH THE CRACKS Jul01 May20 May04 Apr19 Feb16 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 113 1.60    
 
EVD-3   08/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN OF THE MOON Jul07 Jun23 Jun04 May14 Mar12 (antwine)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 15.00    
CAJUN CATALINA Jul20 Jun17 Apr13 Feb03   (thomas lee)POMPELL L 118 4.50    
BANDIT'S PRIDE Jun17 Jun02 May05 Apr13 Mar15 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 113 4.00 13% 6.40    
STORMY VALENTINE Jul14         (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 118 2.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  BITSY PERFECTMATCH May28 May14 Apr15 Mar18 Feb26 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 10.00    
SCR  FRIENDLY ACES Nov03 Oct15 Aug25 Apr08 Feb17 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 123 20.00    
FOURALIVIA Jun23         (david b)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.50 31% 2.30    
THE CALLING STONE Jun03 May12 Apr08 Feb05 Jan15 (woodley j)THORNTON G 123 12.00    
 
EVD-4   08/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IZZY'S BABY BOY Jul22 Jul01 May19 Apr29 Mar18 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 118 3.00    
ARCTIC ROSE Jun09 Apr22 Mar24 Mar08 Feb21 (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 118 12.00    
SCHNELL Jun30 May12 Apr21 Mar15 Feb16 (ducoing sturges )ROSIER R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RECKLESS RANSOM Jun25 May04 Mar15 Feb02 Jan15 (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 6.00    
WIN YA WIN Jun30 May04 Apr19 Mar18 Jan26 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 5.00 59% 0.70    
HOT LE ROY Jul21 Jun29 Apr29 Mar24 Mar02 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 15.00    
NOSY BANKER Jul15 Jun23 Jun09 Apr21 Mar15 (fuselier jonah)FUSILIER C 123 4.00 8% 11.10    
WAITIN' ON A WOMAN Jun22 May26 Apr14 Feb11 Feb02 (mojica edi)MARQUEZ L 120 20.00    
CUSTOM BLUE GRASS Jul20 Jul08 Jun22 May19 May06 (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  GUITAR TRIBUTE Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 May25 May13 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 10.00    
SCR  KNOCKALITTLELOUDER Jul22 Jun10 May04 Apr21 Mar24 (ney john)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 20.00    
12  DRAFT CHOICE Jul13 Jun10 May04 Apr22 Feb18 (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-5   08/03/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASHEW Jul06 Jun02 May05 Feb15 Jan21 (gelner jay)ALBERT S 113 5.00    
HUSHED COURT ROOM Jul20 May29 May21 Apr01 Mar18 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 115 2.50 21% 3.80    
GLANCE Jun16 May13 Apr28 Feb20 Jan06 (richards cor)BARRERA J 113 3.00 43% 1.30    
EXACTA Jul03 Jun16 Jan15 Sep18 Aug21 (modica oscar)MELANCON G 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
GOODNIGHTLOVING Jul06 Apr28 Apr15 Feb11 Jan13 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 118 20.00    
SAINT KENNEDY Jul03 Jun05 May21 Sep19 Aug29 (antwine)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
CAVE CREEK Jul01 Jun23 Jun02 Apr28 Apr15 (dussette alvin)STOKES A 118 4.00    
ANGEL OF VERDUN Jun02 May05 Mar08 Feb09 Jan15 (schwandt emil)VARGAS P 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
KATIE'S KARAT Jul06 Apr28 Feb11 Jan28 Jan07 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 10.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  JERSEY HOTTIE Jul21 Jul06 May18 Apr28 Apr12 (cox l)MCMAHON J 115 8.00    
 
EVD-6   08/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAROLINA JACY Jul14         (landry ray)STOKES J 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of THOSE LION EYES by LION HEART)
FAST OUT Jul22         (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of FAST LANER by MUTAKDDIM)
MISS ST. CLAIRE Jul07 Jun23 May19 Apr27 Apr15 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 3.00 27% 2.80    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of BLANCO CANYON by LONE STAR SKY)
MAGIC GRAY         (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of FIFTYSHADESOFNAY by REDDING COLLIERY)
SCR  LUYV Jul09 Jun23 May28     (goins garland)THORNTON G 118 5.00    
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of SOUTHPINE by LAABITY)
BRIELLE EVANGELINE Jul09         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 8.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of PINT by AFTERNOON DEELITES)
TOP CON Jul14 Jun16       (meche shane)FUSILIER C 118 20.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of TOP FIGURE by BIG TOP CAT)
BROADWAY STAR         (cuccia j)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 4.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of CLOSING REPORT by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
LUCKY BEAD LADY Feb03         (delahoussaye gle)ROSIER R 118 12.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of SYNAPSE by SYNASTRY)
 
EVD-7   08/03/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DECCAN PRINCE (IRE) Jun11 Apr22 Mar26 Feb25 Feb03 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 113 4.50 19% 4.20    
PARROT HEAD Jul14 Jul02 Jun23 Jun15 May29 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 2.50 20% 4.10    
PEACOCK KITTEN Jul01 May25 Apr12 Feb24 Jan07 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 118 5.00    
INTIMIDATION Jul01 Jun17 Feb17 Jan25 Dec22 (magnon ryl)MARQUEZ L 118 10.00 7% 13.40    
SILENT POWER Jul01 May27 Apr14 Mar22 Feb20 (gelner j)FUSILIER C 120 8.00    
PACIFICISLANDTIME May27 Mar12 Feb21 Jan08 Dec09 (toups brent)POMPELL L 115 15.00    
ENTERTAINMENT Jun29 Jun15 Feb24 Dec22 Dec10 (brinkman bre)BARRERA J 113 12.00    
FIRST GLIMPSE Jul01 May25 Apr14 Mar10 Jan28 (bourgeois k)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  SECOND OF JULY Jun24 Jan08 Oct15 Sep08 Aug13 (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 12.00    
SCR  HOME VISIT Jul07 Jun23 May19 Apr20 Mar26 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 10.00    
 
EVD-8   08/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOUR DICE May06 Apr22 Apr02 Mar25 Mar05 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
NEPHI Jul14 Jun23 Jun10 May20 May11 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 2.50    
MECKES PRIORITY Jul06 Jun24 Jun12 Jun02   (dussette alv)MAGNON H 115 15.00    
WHISKEY RED Jun24 May13       (brinkman br)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 5.00    
BUD WON Jul21 Nov02 Oct19 Sep21   (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 4.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  MORO PHAROAH Jun16 Jun03 May19 May05 Mar05 (romero ter)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 20.00    
CALL ME FIREY Jul13 Jun09 May03 Apr20 Feb09 (dison m)POMPELL L 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
POPPA BEAR Jun03 May13       (woodley ca)ALBERT S 115 12.00    
GROSSE TETE IAN Jul22 Jun30 Jun02     (gelner scott)BARRERA J 118 3.00 32% 2.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.