Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Friday - July 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (4/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/4/6)-(2/6/8/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/3)-(8/10/6/2)-(2/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-2   WIN (8/10/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/10/6/2)-(8/10/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/8/10)-(2/6/8/10)-(2/6/8/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/10/6/2)-(2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/10/6/2)-(2/5/3)-(10/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-3   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(2/6/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(10/6/2)-(1/3/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-4   WIN (10/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/6/2)-(10/6/9/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/10)-(2/5/6/9/10)-(2/5/6/9/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/6/10)-(1/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (10/6/2)-(1/3/7)-(3/10/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-5   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/7)-(1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/7)-(1/2/3/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7)-(3/10/2/1)-(6/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-6   WIN (3/10/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/10/2/1)-(3/10/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/10)-(1/2/3/10)-(1/2/3/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/3/10)-(2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/10/2/1)-(6/2/3)-(1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-7   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(1/3)-(4/5/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-8   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(3/4/5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
LRL-9   WIN (4/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   07/21/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESPRESSO LUNGO Jun24 Jun11 May31 May12 Mar19 (salazar)BRICENO GREGOR 126 3.00 16% 5.20    
2  NOBLE PRENDERGAST Jul06 Feb11 Jan14 Nov18   (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 3.50    
3  MY SLICK NICK Jun22 Jun10 May25 May05 Apr21 (stahlin john)LOPEZ ANTONIO 126 12.00 7% 13.10    
4  CYPRES STATION Jun02 May11 Apr13 Mar25   (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 120 5.00 37% 1.70    
5  SPIRITUAL GHOST May14 May05 Jan16 Jan06 Dec18 (buckley rick)DELGADO A 122 20.00    
6  I'M NOT A BABY Jun25 Jun05 Feb04 Dec31 Nov24 (bailes r)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 4.00 10% 9.40    
7  JONES FALLS Jun17 Jun03 May25 May05 Jan22 (mohan david)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 2.50    
 
LRL-2   07/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 35 M/F PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MASHUA Jun17 May25 Dec29 Nov19 Oct29 (capuano phi)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 2.00    
2  GAZALANI Jun10 May19 Nov26     (mcclure l)ACOSTA D 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALWAYS FORWARD Jul09 May27 Mar05 Feb12 Dec31 (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 120 20.00    
4  PRINCESS LEXI Jun17 May25 Mar26 Mar03 Feb05 (mcfarlane bran)ROSADO JOHAN 116 8.00    
SCR  DANCINONTHEBEACH         (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.50    
6  LILY MOR Jun10 May07 Apr02 Mar01   (cox ke)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GINAMAYA Jul08 Jun17 Apr02 Feb26   (graham robi)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 2.50    
8  FREE ADMISSION Jun17 Apr14 Sep11 Aug20 Jul15 (salzman joh)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 2.00 51% 1.00    
SCR  SPUN IN A MILLION Jun10 Feb26       (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 30.00    
10  JANE STREET Jul02         (hohlbei)BRICENO GREGOR 122 5.00 25% 2.90    
11  LUCINA Jun17 Dec04 Nov14     (salzman john )ALVELO C 126 12.00    
12  NO SHARING Jun25 Jun04 May18     (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 120 6.00    
 
LRL-3   07/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AMERICAN UNITY Jul03 Jun07 May25 May06 Jun24 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.80    
SCR  HURRICANE HIGHWAY Jul04 May19 Mar31     (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.80    
2  TATE Jun29 May20 Apr20 Mar31 Mar10 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 2.50 56% 0.80    
3  NORTHERN THUNDER Jun18 Jun04 May29 May04 Apr02 (mohan david)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  UP AGAINST IT May12 Apr14 Mar12 Feb20 Jan29 (graham ro)HERNANDEZ F 123 12.00    
5  SHADY MUNNI Jun09 May27 Apr13 Mar31 Feb19 (sanchez-sal)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 3.00 14% 5.90    
6  GALATIANS Jun04 May18 Apr02 Feb19 Jan29 (eppler e)CRUZ ANGEL 123 4.50    
7  FORLOVEOFCOUNTRY May29 May12 Apr14 Mar12 Feb20 (allen ferri)ALVELO C 123 10.00    
 
LRL-4   07/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 35 ALL PT- 1:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAR DOWN EXPRESS Jun25 Jun17 Jun02 May13 May04 (magee kiero)CONCEPCION AXEL 111 6.00    
2  HARNESS CREEK Oct09 Sep24 Aug19     (rawlings a)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  BATTLE OF BASTOGNE Jun09         (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 126 6.00    
SCR  MENO Jun17 May29 May13     (testerman valor)MONTERREY R 120 3.00    
5  CALMING STORM May25 May04       (bailes )ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 6.00 ★    
6  PAY ZONE May25 Apr15       (weaver george)LYNCH FEARGAL 120 2.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  FIRE AND KNIVES         (merryman w)ACOSTA D 120 20.00    
8  SURPRISE HELLO Jul02 Jun09 May19 May04 Feb18 (mcclure diana )BOYCE FOREST 126 6.00    
9  LUNAR DASH Aug17 Jul30 Jul15 Jun25 Jun04 (howard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 2.50 ★    
10  BOX N BEN Jun03 May13 May04 Apr14 Mar11 (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 2.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  LIL BUDDY         (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 120 30.00    
 
LRL-5   07/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($54K) 3 ALL PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELDEST SON Jun24 May14 Apr15 Mar11 Jan01 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 1.80 57% 0.80    
2  NEW YORK PANTHER Jun24 Jun03 May18 Apr29 Apr07 (mckenzie da)CONCEPCION AXEL 112 20.00    
3  UNCLE JAKE Apr08 Mar10 Jan29     (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 121 1.60 12% 7.40    
SCR  LAMARVELOUS Apr30 Feb20 Jan21 Nov20   (eppler )ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 20.00    
5  WICKED SECRET Jul03 May18 Nov03 Sep28 Aug31 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 124 12.00    
6  GOODAFTERNOONOSCAR Jun10 Apr30 Apr06 Mar11 Feb19 (mancilla carl)LYNCH FEARGAL 121 3.00    
7  NO EASY DAYS May14 Mar11 Feb12 Jan27 Nov27 (dilodovico damon)CRUZ ANGEL 121 10.00 7% 13.40    
 
LRL-6   07/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVIL PAYS IN GOLD Jul01 May29 Apr29 Mar25 Mar10 (howard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  FASHIONISTA Jul02 Jun10 May25 Apr02 Nov05 (allen ferri)ALVELO C 126 10.00 22% 3.50    
3  RAMADHAAN (IRE) May02 Mar31 Mar22 Mar03 Feb05 (farrior ant)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 3.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  CORINNA Jun22 Oct30 Sep29 Sep01 Jul28 (matz michae)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.50    
SCR  LADY MOSLER Jun09 May12 Apr07 Feb26 Dec02 (dilodovico damon)CRUZ ANGEL 126 4.50    
SCR  STORMIN' AMANDA Jul01 Jun09 May27 Mar17 Feb24 (salazar)BRICENO GREGOR 116 20.00    
7  QUEEN TAPITURE Jul01 Jun09 Jun02 May26 May05 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 116 12.00    
8  MISS ANTIETAM Jun25 May27 Apr16 Mar03 Jan16 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 30.00    
9  ISABELLA'S GLORY Jun23 May28 May04 Apr07 Mar04 (corrales j)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 4.00    
10  FIVECOMMATWO Jun23 May29 May13 May06 Mar19 (corrales jose)ACOSTA D 116 10.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  WILL OR WON'T Jul03 Jun13 May31 May12 Apr14 (stites flin)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 12.00    
SCR  PERFECTLY GOLDEN Jun10 May24 Apr22 Mar16 Feb26 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 5.00    
SCR  MURPH Jul12 Jun23 May20 Apr20 Dec09 (magana j)MONTERREY R 126 10.00    
 
LRL-7   07/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($54K) 3 F PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET SHUGS Jul02 Jun23 May07 Apr15 Apr02 (cash l)CRUZ ANGEL 117 8.00    
2  HAPPY CLOUDS Jul02 Jun10 Apr14 Mar18 Mar03 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 1.80 29% 2.50    
3  LIQUIDATOR Jul02 Jun10 May19 Apr14 Mar25 (albert lind)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 124 1.60 21% 3.70    
4  MYSTIC MALIBU Jun15 May18 May04     (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 121 30.00    
5  HIDEWRIGHT AWAY Jul02 Jun10 Jun01 May12 Apr21 (cash norman)CONCEPCION AXEL 112 10.00    
6  MISS GEORGIE Dec30 Nov12 Sep30 Sep04 Aug20 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 121 2.50 30% 2.40    
 
LRL-8   07/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOFAR Jun25 Jun09 Apr02 Feb20 Jan27 (merryman mi)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  RESIDENT LIBERAL Jun09 Dec11 Nov18 Nov07 Oct16 (walters j)DELGADO A 119 30.00    
3  WICKED MAD Jun25 May28 Jan11 Nov24 Nov05 (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 10.00 23% 3.30    
4  FERMAT Jun18 Jun02 May12 Nov07 Oct16 (mcmullen maril)ROSADO JOHAN 123 20.00    
SCR  GUNSLINGER (IRE) Jul09 Jun09 May24 May12 Sep16 (magee kieron)LYNCH FEARGAL 126 4.00    
6  GOD IS LOVE Jun03 May14 Feb26 Feb05 Jan06 (perri gina)MONTERREY R 126 5.00    
SCR  TIJUANA BRASS Jun09 Aug31 Aug09 Jul08   (valvo zoe)ACOSTA D 123 3.00    
SCR  SIR TERRE Jun25 Jun09 May27 May05 Feb15 (farrior ant)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 2.50    
 
LRL-9   07/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD TIME VIXEN Jun23 May26 May04 Apr15 Mar26 (kee wil)BRICENO GREGOR 123 15.00    
2  BAD TEMPER Jul07 Jun10 May28 May07 Apr20 (parker m)DELGADO A 126 2.50    
3  ESPERANNNA Jun10 May26 May06 Apr14 Mar17 (mohan david)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 4.50 7% 12.70    
4  CARTWHEEL Jun24 Jun01 May02 Apr14 Mar28 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.00 49% 1.00    
5  TEQUILA FOG Jul08 Jun17 May27 May06 Apr15 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 4.00 15% 5.70    
6  LOVE IS STRONG Jun29 May26 Apr07 Mar17 Feb26 (mckenzie danie)ROSADO JOHAN 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  FLOATING BY Jul08 May27 May20 Apr29 Mar24 (stahlin john)LOPEZ ANTONIO 123 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.