Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delaware Park
Wednesday - July 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DEL-1   WIN (3/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/4)-(3/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/4)-(3/2/1/4)-(3/2/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/1/4)-(8/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1/4)-(8/5/7)-(1/9/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-2   WIN (8/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/7)-(8/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/5/7)-(8/5/7)-(8/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/5/7)-(1/9/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/5/7)-(1/9/5)-(2/3/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DEL-3   WIN (1/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/9/5)-(1/9/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/9/5)-(1/9/5)-(1/9/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/9/5)-(2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/9/5)-(2/3/4)-(2/7/3/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-4   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(2/7/3/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(2/7/3/11)-(7/2/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-5   WIN (2/7/3/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/3/11)-(2/7/3/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/3/11)-(2/7/3/11)-(2/7/3/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/3/11)-(7/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3/11)-(7/2/8)-(1/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-6   WIN (7/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/8)-(7/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/8)-(7/2/8)-(7/2/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/8)-(1/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/2/8)-(1/7/6)-(1/8/4/7/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
DEL-7   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/6)-(1/8/4/7/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
DEL-8   WIN (1/8/4/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/4/7/2)-(1/8/4/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/4/7/2)-(1/8/4/7/2)-(1/8/4/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DEL-1   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVINE PROMISE Jun24         (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 6.00 14% 6.40    
2  CHASING ARTEMIS Nov21 Oct28 Oct02 Sep14 Sep04 (sanchez-salomon)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 4.00 29% 2.40    
3  PROVIDING Aug13 Jul14 Jun02     (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 2.00 31% 2.30    
4  DESTINED TO DANCE Jun09 May27 Mar17 Mar10   (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  BOUNTY KILLAH Jul01 Jun10 Jun02 May22 May14 (richards m)MENDOZA JHONATAN 119 3.00    
6  TOUCH OF MADNESS Oct26         (crook-de)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 8.00    
7  MOLLIE TAPPER Jun25         (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 119 8.00    
 
DEL-2   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 WET FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHIEF RON Jul01 Jun14 May25 Apr23 Mar12 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 120 6.00    
2  ON THE MARK Jul02 May04 Mar31 Mar04 Feb12 (sanchez-sal)CONCEPCION AXEL 112 10.00    
3  BORRACHO Jun14 May25 May04 Apr13 Mar18 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 4.00    
SCR  JOHN THE BEAR Jun11 May25 Apr29 Feb26 Feb18 (allen ferris)CEDENO CAROL 120 10.00    
5  JEOPARDY JAMES Jul24 Jun30 Apr16 Mar12 Jan17 (alvarado diane)MENA E 120 6.00 25% 3.00    
6  DOLLARIZATION Jun26 May30 Dec18 Nov23 Oct18 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00    
7  HOLY SYNCHRONICITY Jul02 Jun17 May19 Apr29 Apr07 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 122 6.00 12% 7.10    
8  STAGE LEFT May29 May13 Apr29 Apr20 Mar24 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 122 1.60 31% 2.30    
 
DEL-3   07/19/2023 4950ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEACE FIRE Jul08 Jun23 May27 Apr12 Mar05 (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 118 6.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  SEA IMAGE Jul05         (strauss bev)MARIN A 118 20.00    
SCR  LADY LANCER Jul05 Jun22 Jun10 May31 May07 (sepulveda ca)ARROYO S 118 8.00    
SCR  CHOOSELOV Jun10 May27 May06 Apr04   (lopez r)ALICEA JEREMY 111 20.00    
5  SK'S HEART Jun24 May26 May13     (howard c)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 20.00 18% 4.60    
6  FIRE AT MIDNIGHT Dec31 Dec04 Nov21 Oct28 Oct06 (gorham michael )MENA E 123 15.00    
7  BEST WORST IDEA Jul07 Jun10 May24 Apr16 Mar17 (ramirez a)HIRALDO JOHN 118 4.50    
SCR  BET THE HOWES Jun22 May27 May08 Mar26 Dec22 (cibelli jane)CEDENO CAROL 118 12.00    
9  SULLIVAN STREET Jul02 May27 Jan29 Jan22 Oct06 (eppler mary)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  LOOKIN AT KISSES Jul01 Jun03 Apr15 Mar01 Feb08 (werneth rober)MARTIN MATTIE 116 20.00    
SCR  SAVANNAH'S SUGAR Jul08 Jun22       (lopez mari)MENDOZA JHONATAN 118 20.00    
SCR  ARIANA VALENTINA Jul08 Jun22 Jun10 May31 Sep01 (aguayo ramo)MARIN A 123 8.00    
SCR  LILLI ROSE Jun26 May22 Feb08     (wagner kari)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 10.00    
SCR  CARBONEL         (schistl rafa)TROTMAN KEIMAR 123 10.00    
 
DEL-4   07/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STACKS OF SILVER Oct01 Aug25 Jul27 Jul08 Jun11 (capuano gar)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.00    
2  JARDANI Jul03 May27 May05 Apr13 Mar10 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.00 38% 1.60    
3  CONSPIRACY FACT Jun28 May31 Apr22 Apr02 Mar12 (compton greg)CEDENO CAROL 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
4  WINTER'S GHOST May05 Apr16 Mar31 Mar19 Feb15 (rigattieri john)MENA E 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MISSION KEY Jun30 Jun17 May31 Oct01 Sep01 (aguayo ramo)MARIN A 116 10.00    
6  DEEP FAITH Jun02 May13 Dec21 Nov30 Oct26 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00    
SCR  KHOZY MY BOY Jun28 May15 Jan15 Nov25 Oct16 (alvarado di)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 120 8.00    
 
DEL-5   07/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN JELLY BEAN May06         (lake a)CEDENO CAROL 119 10.00    
  (by NO NEVER NO MORE out of POWER BID by TOUCH GOLD)
2  MO TRAFFIC Jul08 May03       (alvarado di)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 1.50 44% 1.30    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of MO WICKED by UNCLE MO)
3  CHERISHED WISH         (lawrence lee)ROSE J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of LOAN GUARANTEE by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  TIPSY GIRL Dec12 Nov23       (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 8.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of SIEGE by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  EVERY TIME Apr22 Apr01 Feb12 Nov04 Oct08 (brion ker)CARRASCO R 119 8.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CORAL WAY by SMOKE GLACKEN)
SCR  IRISH COCO Apr26 Apr04       (hendriks m)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 6.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of GREAT LOVE STORY by GREAT NOTION)
7  DELTA CHARM Jun22 Jun03       (smith g)HIRALDO JOHN 119 4.00 34% 1.90    
  (by KHOZAN out of JIM'S LONESA by PUT IT BACK)
8  HOT BOTTOM GIRL Mar03 Jan21 Nov13 Oct14 Aug24 (kelly blake)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 6.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of LA FLAMME by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
9  PINK SUNSET Jul05 Jun17 Jun03 Sep23   (pham van)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 112 20.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of TOUGH ISSIE by GOOD AND TOUGH)
SCR  ANGIE FROM KULM May05 Oct07       (danner ke)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of DAKOTA SIS by EDDINGTON)
11  IN HER CUPS Jul06 Jun04 Oct30 Sep18 Aug20 (manchio ro)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of DYNAMATIC by DYNAFORMER)
 
DEL-6   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND SPUN Jun01 Apr02 Dec17 Nov25   (alvarado di)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 114 8.00    
2  SANSA ARIEL Jun24 May25 Sep22 Aug10 Jul24 (lynch cathal)ARROYO S 118 3.00 21% 3.70    
3  TOUISSET Jul05 Jan07 Dec03 Nov03 Oct12 (gorham michael )MENA E 118 8.00    
4  MY CAJUN LADY Jul05 Nov01 Sep03 Aug12 Jul16 (allard edward )CEDENO CAROL 118 8.00    
SCR  YOU'RE THE ONE Jun30 Jun10 Sep14 Aug31 Jul28 (ashby lynn)ALICEA JEREMY 111 8.00 6% 16.70    
SCR  NAUGHTY NAN Jul02 May29 May07 Apr02 Mar03 (barr h)CRUZ ANGEL 118 10.00    
7  BIOGENIC BABE Jun25 May30 Apr21 Mar25 Mar02 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 1.50 29% 2.50    
8  BLAZE ON Dec02         (wagner kari)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 10.00 21% 3.80    
 
DEL-7   07/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 WET FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($38.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SYSTEMIC RISK Jul05 Jun04 May16 Nov21 Sep28 (aristone philip )CASTILLO A 121 3.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  TRULY AMBITIOUS Jul05 Jun17 May31 Mar10 Feb18 (husted ra)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 15.00    
3  SHINELIKEADIAMOND Jul05 Jun14 Apr30 Apr16 Feb25 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 1.50    
4  ANIMAL PRINCESS May31 Apr12 Sep17 Sep03   (cruz jaime)SOLIS MARTIN 121 20.00    
SCR  EXPECT OURS Jun01 May20 Sep23 Sep05 Jul19 (brinkman brett)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 5.00    
6  ASUE Jun28 Jun15 Dec01 Nov09 Oct22 (stites w)CRUZ ANGEL 121 6.00 21% 3.80    
7  INSIGHTFUL Jul05 Jun14       (nambo cesar)MENA E 121 8.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  SCAMPER ALONG Jun25 Dec03 Nov14 Oct27 Oct12 (downing wil)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 5.00    
9  CHLOE ROSE May19 Mar24 Mar10 Jan20 Dec16 (dunham berna)TROTMAN KEIMAR 121 4.50    
SCR  COLETTE'S SPIRIT Jul04 Jun18 Jun05 May22 Apr25 (sanchez-piner)ALICEA JEREMY 114 20.00    
SCR  PROPER GRAMMAR May12 Nov19 Oct07 Aug21 Jul30 (pregman john)ARROYO S 121 15.00    
 
DEL-8   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOST A LEGEND Jul02 Jun09 May28 May04 Mar24 (perez carlos)ARROYO S 123 6.00 39% 1.60    
2  NOTION TO TAPIT Jun17 Jun01 May11 May04 Apr13 (serey mario)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  HE'S ON FIRE Jul07 Jun23 May18 Apr29 Apr16 (mancilla carlos)MONTERREY R 118 8.00    
4  PRUSSIAN BLUE May11 Apr13 Mar17 Feb24 Feb01 (swan kirsten)SWAN KIRSTEN 113 12.00 17% 4.90    
5  CODE NAME BRODY Jun15 Nov05 Oct06 Sep15 Aug25 (cronk samuel)TROTMAN KEIMAR 123 10.00    
6  TROPHY ROOM Jun17 Jun02 Apr29 Apr07 Mar24 (klesaris rober)CEDENO CAROL 118 3.00    
7  SEEING RED Jul07 Jun21 Jun01 May11 Dec07 (simone v)ROSE J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  SUTTON VALLEY Jun15 May25 Apr16 Mar26 Mar05 (rodriguez)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 5.00 18% 4.70    
9  SUPERSTITIEUX Jul09 Jun17 May28 May18 May05 (serey j)ALICEA JEREMY 116 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.