Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Saturday - July 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (10/11/7/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/11/7/5/4)-(10/11/7/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/10/11)-(4/5/7/10/11)-(4/5/7/10/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/7/10/11)-(1/2/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/11/7/5/4)-(7/2/1/5)-(9/2/1/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-2   WIN (7/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/5)-(7/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/7)-(1/2/5/7)-(1/2/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/1/5)-(9/2/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1/5)-(9/2/1/5)-(1/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-3   WIN (9/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/1/5)-(9/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/9)-(1/2/5/9)-(1/2/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/5/9)-(1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/2/1/5)-(1/2/4)-(5/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-4   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(5/4/3)-(1/2/8) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-5   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(1/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(1/2/8)-(10/8/11/9/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LRL-6   WIN (1/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/8)-(1/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/8)-(1/2/8)-(1/2/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/8)-(4/8/9/10/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/2/8)-(10/8/11/9/4)-(6/3/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LRL-7   WIN (10/8/11/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/8/11/9/4)-(10/8/11/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/9/10/11)-(4/8/9/10/11)-(4/8/9/10/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/8/9/10/11)-(3/4/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/8/11/9/4)-(6/3/4)-(9/5/2/3/11) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LRL-8   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(2/3/5/9/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
LRL-9   WIN (9/5/2/3/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/2/3/11)-(9/5/2/3/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/2/3/11)-(9/5/2/3/11)-(9/5/2/3/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   07/08/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 35 ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THEOLOVESAWINNER Jun16 Jun09 May19 Sep07 Aug22 (cooney susa)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 10.00    
2  WILL'S MUSIC Jun09 May04       (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 20.00    
3  ACT LIVELY Jun09         (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 120 15.00    
4  ELFUEGOMASBRILANTE Jun21 Jun02 May26 May06 Apr15 (shuman)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  ENERGY EFFICIENT Jun25 Nov04 Oct13 Sep24 Aug29 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 15.00 6% 15.00    
6  SWING SAMMY Jun16 May25       (bailes )BRICENO GREGOR 116 6.00    
7  PIETRELCINA May26 Apr07 Mar15     (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 120 4.00 16% 5.40    
8  QUALITY ART Jun16 May26 May11 Apr20   (magee kieron)KARAMANOS A 120 3.50    
9  RECTOR May26 May06 Mar10 Feb05   (meyers madi)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 116 15.00    
10  MARYLAND MOON Jun17 May06 Mar31 Mar10 Feb26 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 120 6.00 28% 2.60    
11  COVERT KAT Jun09 May19 Feb10 Jan13 Dec08 (trombetta m)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.50 25% 3.00    
12  ELON         (bentley fe)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 30.00    
SCR  PRALINE'S CAT May31 Apr23 Apr07 Mar25 Mar08 (posadas ped)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 20.00    
 
LRL-2   07/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT-12:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FASHIONATTA May07 Mar11 Feb03 Dec20 Sep09 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 5.00 21% 3.90    
2  ELLIE VICTORINA Jun18 May18 May07 Mar31 Mar24 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 120 1.80 22% 3.60    
3  EXCLUSIVE ROSE Jun18 May14 Apr08 Mar24 Feb04 (juarez calixto)DELGADO A 120 30.00    
4  LADY CAGE FIGHTER May28 Jun12 May29     (lawrence ja)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 8.00    
5  SHAKE IT GIRL Jun22 Jun02 May12 Apr06 Mar01 (p)RODRIGUEZ MARIA 110 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  ICESTORMING Jun17 Mar31 Mar03 Feb10 Jan21 (smith d)AVILES YAN 116 4.00    
7  SAPPHIRE BEAUTY Jun17 May28 May07 Apr01 Mar11 (frock charle)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 2.00 27% 2.60    
 
LRL-3   07/08/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 35 M/F PT- 1:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEW ROME Jun16 Jan01 Dec04     (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 120 4.50 12% 7.60    
2  ABSTRACT MOMENT Jun17 Dec15 Oct21 Sep14 Aug10 (payne beale)KARAMANOS A 126 2.00 14% 6.10    
3  BIZZY BIZZY Jun04 Jan29 Jan13 Dec29 Nov19 (haughton)BUTTERFLY L 122 12.00    
SCR  SPUN IN A MILLION Jun10 Feb26       (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 30.00    
5  CORA'S CHOICE Jun25 May14 Apr30 Apr14 Feb18 (shankle joa)CONCEPCION AXEL 111 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  WARWICK RIVER Oct06         (allen ferris)AVILES YAN 116 12.00    
SCR  FREE ADMISSION Jun17 Apr14 Sep11 Aug20 Jul15 (salzman joh)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 116 3.00    
8  GINAMAYA Jun17 Apr02 Feb26     (graham robi)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 6.00    
9  SOUPER TROPICAL Jun10 May19 Dec18 Dec04 Nov11 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 120 1.80 49% 1.00    
 
LRL-4   07/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PAPER MANSION Jun17 Jul30 Jun28 Jun13 May23 (ness j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 2.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  SHESASUPERFREAK Jun18 May22 Apr12 Mar21 Nov29 (ness j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 2.00    
2  ROCK ROSE Jun11 Apr30 Mar18 Feb20 Jan16 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 24% 3.10    
3  CANOODLE Jun04 Dec04 Oct23 Oct02 Sep10 (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 119 4.50    
4  COMPLETE SURPRISE Jun10 May05 Aug06 Jun09 May20 (frock charl)RAMGEET R 123 12.00 10% 9.00    
5  COMBAT QUEEN Jun04 Apr02 Mar18 Feb20 Dec16 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 123 3.00    
SCR  MY FLICKER May28 May05 Apr13 Mar18 Feb20 (gaudet lace)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.00    
 
LRL-5   07/08/2023 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRASH TALKIN LARRY Jun24 Jun04 Mar10 Jan14 Dec17 (corrales jose)ACOSTA D 123 10.00    
2  RICCIO Jun17 Mar18 Feb18 Dec30 Nov12 (sillaman ric)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 4.50    
3  MISSION MAN Jun21 May19 Mar19 Dec10 Oct29 (hendriks mclane)RUIZ JORGE 117 30.00 20% 4.10    
4  CIRCLING THE DRAIN May20 Apr15 Mar18 Feb20 Jan29 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 1.40 22% 3.50    
5  CRABS N BEER Jun17 Dec18 Nov14 Oct22 Oct01 (brion ker)CARRASCO R 126 2.50 37% 1.70    
6  SAMUI SUNSET Jun18 Jun02 May24 Nov12 Oct22 (walters henry)BOYCE FOREST 123 5.00    
SCR  TAKE CHARGE TOO May04 Mar26 Dec30 Dec09 Nov25 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 10.00    
 
LRL-6   07/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE HATE ME Jun19 May05 Apr20 Mar28 Mar15 (ness j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 2.50 47% 1.10    
2  MY LAST MISSION Jun17 May20 May02 Dec11 Nov27 (pecoraro ant)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 4.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  STARDUST ZIGGY Jun21 May31 May05 Mar25 Mar10 (smith d)AVILES YAN 113 30.00    
SCR  MILITARY HOP Jun11 May28 May07 Apr29 Apr06 (maldonado jonath)ACOSTA D 119 3.50    
5  AMEDEUS MUSIC May29 May13 Mar24 Jan12 Dec31 (de ho)CARRASCO R 122 5.00    
6  ASKIN FOR A BASKIN Jun23 May25 May05 Mar26 Mar07 (sanchez-sal)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 4.50    
7  HEADS OR TAILS May29 Apr16 Mar05 Dec10 Nov12 (roadcap jer)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 15.00    
8  GALLANT GOLD Jun23 May29 Apr29 Apr13 Apr01 (salzman jo)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 8.00 7% 14.00    
 
LRL-7   07/08/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 35 ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OCCASIONAL MOON Jul07 Jun21 May29 May05 Mar31 (maldonado jonath)ACOSTA D 120 3.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of OCCASIONALLY by TIZNOW)
SCR  SHERIFF RONNIE Jul07 Jun16 May20 May14 Apr06 (sanchez-salomo)ROSADO JOHAN 120 2.50    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of HEART LAKE by UNBRIDLED)
3  CINDER HILLS         (wyatt j)DELGADO A 120 20.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of MAKADA by HARD SPUN)
4  SNEAKING SUSPICION Jun17 May26 Apr30 Nov27 Oct28 (cooney susa)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of EMERALD SONG by EUROSILVER)
SCR  WICKED SECRET Jul03 May18 Nov03 Sep28 Aug31 (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 10.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MUM by TAPIT)
6  FARINGDON May25         (toner jam)CARRASCO R 120 4.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of FARINGDON CIRCLE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  KING COVEE         (bailes r)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 15.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of REGAL ROMA by REGAL RANSOM)
8  THE JACKAL         (mcgaughey cla)LYNCH FEARGAL 120 3.00 21% 3.70    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of SWEET ASSASSIN by TAPIT)
9  MO MONEY MO BETTA Jun09 May25 Mar04 Oct30 Jul30 (rivera justin)AVILES YAN 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of SHEISBOLDADVICE by WOODMAN)
10  FERAL'S JOY Jun17 May07 Apr15 Jul31   (duarte jorge )KARAMANOS A 120 2.50 38% 1.70    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of HUNGRY ISLAND by MORE THAN READY)
11  HARD TRAVELER Jun16 May29 Aug09 Jul01 May21 (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 126 8.00 15% 5.60    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of BITTERROOT by NOT FOR LOVE)
12  SIG May29 Apr20       (rivera jus)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 12.00    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of SUEDE SHOE by PULPIT)
 
LRL-8   07/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($55K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGHWAY BOUND Nov24 Oct27 Oct07 Sep08 Aug19 (breen j)KARAMANOS A 123 4.50    
2  WISH FOR PEACE Jun28 Jun06 May22 Apr20 Mar25 (stites flin)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 10.00    
3  ALL THREES May25 Apr29 Apr13 Mar24 Mar04 (smith hamil)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 2.50 25% 3.10    
4  YODEL E. A. WHO Jun09 May25 Apr29 Apr15 Mar27 (ness j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 3.50 13% 6.70    
5  SOUTHERN DISTRICT May29 May06 Mar19 Feb02 Jan14 (de ho)CARRASCO R 123 6.00    
6  GALERIO Jun17 May29 May06 Apr20 Jan21 (cash norman )BARBOSA JEIRON 123 2.00 36% 1.80    
 
LRL-9   07/08/2023 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALLOWAY PEAK Jun16 May25 Nov25 Nov07 Oct19 (lawrence ja)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 3.50    
2  UNCAPTURED STORM Jun03 May12 Apr16 Mar25 Mar10 (farrior ant)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 6.00 5% 18.60    
3  DAREDAVITE Jun23 May25 May11 Mar25 Feb17 (albert )BRICENO GREGOR 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  NICKY BEAR Jun10 May25 May05 Dec30 Nov07 (milosevic m)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 6.00    
5  SEVILLE ROW Jun24 May25 May05 Nov14 Oct22 (stettinius s)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 4.50 18% 4.50    
6  HONOR MY WORLD Jun24 May27 Nov14 Oct22 Oct08 (horner g)RUIZ JORGE 122 30.00    
7  TRANSFER THE FUNDS Jun22 May24 May11 Apr05 Mar11 (buckley)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 30.00    
8  SOUTHPAW MIKE Jun25 May25 Apr01 Feb26 Feb17 (sanchez-salomo)ROSADO JOHAN 120 5.00    
9  BEE MAJOR Jul27         (de ho)CARRASCO R 126 4.00 53% 0.90    
10  UNORTHODOX Jun30 May27 May05 Feb20 Dec19 (rubley)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 10.00    
11  PRINCE OF PORTLAND Jun24 Dec18 Nov27 Nov14 Oct22 (aguirre anthony )AVILES YAN 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.