Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Lone Star Park
Sunday - June 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LS-1   WIN (3/1/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/8)-(3/1/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/8)-(3/1/5/8)-(3/1/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/5/8)-(4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LS-2   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(2/9/8/3)-(7/1/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-3   WIN (2/9/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/8/3)-(2/9/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/8/3)-(2/9/8/3)-(2/9/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/9/8/3)-(7/1/2/3)-(8/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-4   WIN (7/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/3)-(7/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/3)-(7/1/2/3)-(7/1/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/3)-(8/4/7)-(8/4/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-5   WIN (8/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/7)-(8/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/4/7)-(8/4/7)-(8/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LS-6   WIN (8/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/6)-(8/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/6)-(8/4/5/6)-(8/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-7   WIN (4/5/2/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/2/8/10)-(4/5/2/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/2/8/10)-(4/5/2/8/10)-(4/5/2/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2/8/10)-(2/1/6)-(4/1/9/7/6) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LS-8   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(4/1/9/7/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
LS-9   WIN (4/1/9/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/9/7/6)-(4/1/9/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/9/7/6)-(4/1/9/7/6)-(4/1/9/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LS-1   06/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEAK SOFTLY         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 1.80 30% 2.40    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of PHYLLIS SASSY GIRL by CONCERTO)
CHAINSAW CITY         (davis h)DIEGO V 119 8.00    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of COAL AND ICE by TAPIT)
THAROLITE May20         (asmussen stev)CABRERA DAVID 119 2.00 44% 1.30    
  (by KANTHAROS out of AREOLITE by TAPIT)
CLEARLY COPPER         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 4.50    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of CLEARTAP by TAPIT)
MILLIE G         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GENTLEMEN'S BET out of KITTY'S DREAM by EXCHANGE RATE)
NATURAL TOUCH         (pish danny)ERAMIA E 119 8.00    
  (by TEXAS CHROME out of LETTHEGRAYRUNAWAY by HALF OURS)
KOLLYNS JULIE May20         (mendoza e)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 12.00    
  (by TONALIST out of WILD ABOUT JASS by BLUEGRASS CAT)
GYPSAN         (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of GYPSY GREY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
LS-2   06/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ BODHI BOY May27 May11 Mar12 Feb26 Feb11 (pish danny)ALVAREZ L 118 3.00 28% 2.60    
  (by HALF OURS out of CADEBRIE by TIZNOW)
MR. VALENTINO May11 Apr15 Mar31 Mar17 Feb24 (keen da)GONCALVES R 118 3.50    
  (by REVOLVING out of FLAIR FOR FASHION by OLD FASHIONED)
GOLD CAPO May07 Apr29 Apr13 Apr07 Feb17 (echeverri)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BETA CAPO out of SATIN GOLD by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
BINDING HEART Jul09         (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
  (by BIND out of CASSIENGRACIE by ZANJERO)
TEXAN FARMER May07 Mar19       (t)DE CRUZ 118 5.00    
  (by HYPERION TAP out of PURE MOTHER by PURE PRIZE)
SCR  HYPERION NORTH Apr15 Mar17 Mar05 Feb26 Jan28 (torr)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HYPERION TAP out of LEGACY'S HOPE by ALDEBARAN)
MUD ON MY BOOTS May27 Apr13 Mar31     (echeverria )BARANDELA SOFIA 113 8.00    
  (by BETA CAPO out of EARLY M by EARLY FLYER)
LAST FLASHY         (young scot)ERAMIA E 118 6.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of FAST N FLASHY by GRAND SLAM)
 
LS-3   06/04/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEAD OVER BOOTS May14 Apr22 Apr13 Mar10 Feb26 (echeverri)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 6.00    
FAST TRACK May14 Apr22 Apr02 Mar05 Jan28 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 117 4.00 34% 1.90    
SWIFT RED BIRD May14 Apr13 Jul22 Jul03   (bustamante ray)MORA GERARDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
MORE THAN SHAKIN May12 Apr27 Apr14 Mar26 Mar04 (payne dan)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 119 12.00    
SALT N LIME May14 Apr02 Feb11 Jan28 Jul04 (diodoro robe)FUENTES A 117 3.00    
SCR  PHUNK May14 Apr15 Mar26 Mar04 Feb11 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 119 12.00    
SCR  SHACKED STATESIDE May14 Apr13 Mar19 Mar05 Feb11 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 117 4.50 8% 11.60    
MISSISZIPPY BLING May27 May14 Apr13 Mar19 Mar10 (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 12.00 6% 14.50    
DIAMONDS N ACES May14 May06 Mar19 Feb12 Jan08 (bryant all)DIAZ RENE 122 5.00 28% 2.60    
10  HAWKEYE GIRL Mar10 Nov26 Oct14 Sep14 Jul22 (echev)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 117 30.00    
 
LS-4   06/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOO INTIMIDATING May20 May07       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 1.60 19% 4.30    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of CLEVER INTIMIDATOR by INTIMIDATOR)
DARYLS TRUMP CARD         (castellanos j)CABRERA DAVID 119 20.00 7% 13.70    
  (by TEXAS RED out of BEL AIR KID by LEMON DROP KID)
SONNY BOB         (pish dann)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 119 12.00 7% 13.70    
  (by MR. BESILU out of AWESOMELY PERFECT by AWESOME OF COURSE)
HE'S CHARMING May20 May07       (gelner jayd)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 8.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of REALLY CHARMING by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
MY BUDDY MEL         (pish danny)ERAMIA E 119 10.00    
  (by TONALIST out of TILDE by SWISS YODELER)
SPECIAL MEMORY May20 May07       (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 5.00    
  (by SPECIAL RATE out of JULIE'S MEMORY by ETESAAL)
VICTORY FOR VETS         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of DIAMONDINTHESTREAM by SMART STRIKE)
GOING TO SANANTONE         (cappellucci )FUENTES A 119 6.00    
  (by ARCHWARRIOR out of CRUDE by WILDCAT HEIR)
 
LS-5   06/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HAMAZING WISDOM May13 Apr27 Apr14 Mar23 Feb26 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 120 5.00 31% 2.20    
DEANOS CAPE May14 Apr29 Apr14 Apr01 Mar10 (broberg karl)FUENTES A 123 2.50    
SCR  HECOULDGOALLTHEWAY May14 Apr29 Apr14 Apr02 Mar24 (castellanos)WETHEY JR 120 12.00    
FEARLESS PRINCE May07 Apr14 Mar18 Mar10 Feb19 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 3.50 19% 4.20    
LOUIS LE GRANDE May07 Apr29 Apr14 Mar18 Mar04 (davidson ni)ELLIOTT S 120 12.00    
RIVER KAT Mar10 Feb19 Jan21 Dec03 Nov05 (keen dallas)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 8.00    
KENTUCKY PEERLESS May27 May11 Apr29 Apr14 Mar28 (govea cesar)DIAZ RENE 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
DOBBINS G Apr29 Mar10 Jan08 Dec08 Nov02 (gustafson au)ALVAREZ L 123 3.00 23% 3.40    
 
LS-6   06/04/2023 7260ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TATANKA Apr22 Apr08 Mar05 Oct20 Sep25 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 120 4.50    
JOHAN ZOFFANI (IRE) May11 Apr08 Feb24 Nov08 Oct27 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 120 5.00    
SCR  ROCKET J. Apr06 Mar16 Jan27 Dec08 Dec01 (moriarty p)JUDE JOHN 120 30.00    
SEDUCTIVE U S A May06 Apr08 Mar05 Feb24 Jan28 (g)DE CRUZ 120 2.50 19% 4.30    
MIDAS CAT May14 Mar11 Mar03 Feb10 Nov07 (eoff terry)ERAMIA E 120 15.00 13% 6.50    
MOOJAB JR May06 Apr13 Mar25 Mar03 Feb18 (butle)MANRRIQUE JOSE 120 20.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  THUNDERSHOOK May11 Apr16 Apr07 Mar19 Feb20 (villafranco f)CABRERA DAVID 120 8.00    
KAZAN (IRE) May06 Mar31 Mar11 Feb17 Jan27 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 2.00 23% 3.30    
GOSPEL MUSKETEER May08 Apr26 Mar21 Jan21 Dec15 (williams steve)QUINONEZ S 120 15.00    
 
LS-7   06/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINNY'SSPECIALSTAR May18 Apr27 Apr16 Feb23 Feb09 (swift dale )BARANDELA SOFIA 114 10.00    
DEVITO May18 Apr23 Apr16 Mar19 Mar11 (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 3.00 12% 7.30    
HOLIDAY RUN May18 Apr07 Feb26 Jul08   (gelner ja)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 119 15.00    
SPARRA May07 Mar19 Mar05 Jan28   (bryant george )MORA GERARDO 119 2.50 39% 1.60    
BEYOND INFINITY (FR) May27 May11       (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 124 5.00 14% 5.90    
XANDER S May21 Apr15 Mar31     (padilla carl)ALVAREZ L 119 12.00    
WITT'S ROJO May06         (davidson s)ERAMIA E 119 15.00    
MORO'S BULL CREEK May21 Apr27 Apr16 Mar24 Feb17 (m)DE CRUZ 124 3.50 9% 10.00    
WITT SWEET SIXTEEN May18 Apr23 Apr13 Mar31   (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 119 15.00    
10  HAKEEM'S DREAM         (swift a)JUDE JOHN 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-8   06/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAHOMEY May06 Apr07 Mar23 Feb26 Jan22 (hewitt michae)CABRERA DAVID 121 4.00 12% 7.50    
TIZ LIFE Apr30 Feb20 Nov19 Oct27 Aug19 (craddock k)ERAMIA E 121 5.00 19% 4.40    
PALATIAL TIMES May06 Apr13 Apr01 Mar22 Jan28 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 2.50    
SCR  BIZZY LEGS Apr30 Mar31 Jan28 Jan06 Nov19 (davidson brent)ELLIOTT S 121 3.00 28% 2.50    
DRIVEHAPPY May06 Apr13 Mar03 Feb17 Feb04 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 121 6.00    
OLIVER Mar24 Feb10 Jan20 Nov19 Oct27 (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
IMPLICATOR May06 Feb20 Nov19 Oct27 Oct20 (baldillez alejand)DIEGO V 121 15.00    
MAU MAU (BRZ) May06 Apr13 Feb11 Dec17 Nov18 (a)DE CRUZ 121 15.00    
 
LS-9   06/04/2023 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'LL DO May13 Apr13 Feb11     (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 119 3.00 24% 3.10    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of TIZNOW'S SMILE by TIZNOW)
CITY NIGHTS (IRE) Jan21         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 10.00    
  (by FAIRY KING out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SPIN TO WIN May08 Sep01       (young scot)ERAMIA E 124 10.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of PAYING OFF by MALIBU MOON)
DAWSON CITY May13 Apr13 Mar18 Feb05   (ashford)GONCALVES R 119 4.00 32% 2.20    
  (by LAOBAN out of SWEET SARANNA by FOREST DANGER)
FREEPORT May27 May06 Apr16 Apr07 Mar12 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 10.00    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of SCARLETT'S IMAGE by YES IT'S TRUE)
MOHAYMEN HOLIDAY Oct18 Oct11 Jul24 Jun25   (green greg)MORA GERARDO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of FUNFORTHEHOLIDAYS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
KERAUNOS May13         (willis mind)WETHEY JR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EXCAPER out of CITY THUNDER by CITY ZIP)
SCR  LIVINGSTON May06         (broberg karl)FUENTES A 119 6.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MAY NIGHT by GULCH)
MIAMI MOONLIGHT May18 May06       (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 119 8.00 20% 4.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of GOODNESS PREVAILS by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
SCR  NORBERT         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 4.50    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of OH WHAT A PRIZE by BLAME)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.