Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Woodbine
Sunday - May 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WO-1   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/5/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (4)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 2 $0.20 $0.40 
    DD (4)-(5/8/7/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4)-(5/8/7/3)-(3/8/2/1) 16 $0.20 $3.20 
WO-2   WIN (5/8/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/7/3)-(5/8/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/7/3)-(5/8/7/3)-(5/8/7/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (5/8/7/3)-(3/8/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/7/3)-(3/8/2/1)-(1/6) 32 $0.20 $6.40 
WO-3   WIN (3/8/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/2/1)-(3/8/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/2/1)-(3/8/2/1)-(3/8/2/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (3/8/2/1)-(1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/8/2/1)-(1/6)-(1/8) 16 $0.20 $3.20 
WO-4   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6/8/9/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(1/6/8/9/3)-(1/6/8/9/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (1/6)-(1/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(1/8)-(3/9/2) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
WO-5   WIN (1/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/8)-(1/8/3/2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/8)-(1/8/3/2/7)-(1/8/3/2/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (1/8)-(3/9/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/8)-(3/9/2)-(2/7/8/5) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
WO-6   WIN (3/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/9/2)-(3/9/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/9/2)-(3/9/2)-(3/9/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (3/9/2)-(2/7/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/9/2)-(2/7/8/5)-(6/5/1) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
WO-7   WIN (2/7/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/8/5)-(2/7/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/8/5)-(2/7/8/5)-(2/7/8/5) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (2/7/8/5)-(6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/8/5)-(6/5/1)-(1/2/12) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
WO-8   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (6/5/1)-(1/2/12) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
WO-9   WIN (1/2/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/12)-(1/2/12/13/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/12)-(1/2/12/13/3)-(1/2/12/13/3) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WO-1   05/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORPHAN HALLIE Apr23 Dec09 Nov19 Oct17 Aug16 (raghunath)WILSON JAYNE 122 10.00    
2  HARDWARE GAP Dec11 Nov03 Oct22 Sep30 Sep04 (agostino ge)MORENO OMAR 122 8.00    
3  WOOD BE WILD Dec03 Nov04 Oct21 Oct07 Aug28 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.00    
4  ALLEN DIGGS Apr22 Mar01 Dec16 Sep04 Jul31 (tharrenos wi)KIMURA KAZUSHI 125 2.00 65% 0.50    
5  PRINCE SUSSEX Apr23 Nov27 Nov04 Oct21 Oct07 (chubb beverley)JADOO STEVE 122 6.00 ★    
6  LUV TO WIN Sep02 Aug05 Jul10 Jun26   (mcknight norman)DEFREITAS C 123 8.00 ★    
SCR  LAKE SHORE DRIVE Apr23         (mcknight nor)WALCOTT W 122 3.00    
 
WO-2   05/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR GRAYVENSCROFT Apr30 Nov27 Nov04 Oct15 Sep25 (colbourne gor)JOHNSON DEVON 123 20.00    
2  LIL GREEN MACHINE Apr30 Mar26 Mar11 Jan15 Apr16 (mustoe cindy)MUNOZ LARRY 123 10.00    
3  BOLD RELOAD Dec11         (katryan ab)CAMPOS LUIS 123 10.00 5% 18.80    
4  MORNING THOUGHTS Dec09 Nov18 Aug14 Jul22 Jul01 (dipaol)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 6.00    
5  NAVAL OFFICER Feb26 Feb09 Feb01 Jan05 Dec11 (drexler martin)CIVACI SAHIN 125 2.50 54% 0.90    
6  NO MORE May01 Dec06 Nov23 Nov09 Oct31 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 8.00    
7  TWO YEAR CONTRACT Apr23 Nov26 Nov06 Sep23 Sep02 (dunslow mike)KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 3.50 10% 9.20    
8  LORD M Apr16 Mar19 Mar12 Feb11 Jan21 (mck)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 3.00 10% 8.90    
SCR  STORMIN' HUMOR Oct24 Oct17 Oct04 Sep06 Jul26 (glennon c)SALLES LEO 123 20.00    
 
WO-3   05/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($54.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESOLATOR Dec11 Nov26 Nov06 Oct23 Sep03 (grant carlos)MORAN DAVID 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  TAKE A CHANCE Nov13 Sep11 Jul22 Jun26 May20 (ritchie sara)KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 4.00 10% 8.80    
3  HICKSY Dec09 Nov18 Oct09 Sep10 Aug18 (attard ke)WILSON JAYNE 123 2.00 36% 1.70    
4  DRAGON'S BREW Dec10 Nov13 Oct23 Oct02 Sep03 (tiller rob)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 123 3.00    
5  DECIMATOR Nov13 Oct23 Oct02 Aug14 Jul28 (dixon patrick)VIVES SOFIA 118 10.00    
6  MR CROWLEY Dec10 Nov27 Nov06 Oct09 Sep13 (dre)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 8.00    
7  HIT THE POINT Nov26 Nov11 Nov04 Oct15 Sep24 (armata)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 118 20.00    
8  FORESTER'S TURN Apr29 Dec10 Nov25 Nov04 Oct23 (armata v)SALLES LEO 123 6.00 26% 2.90    
 
WO-4   05/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILENT GHOST Sep15 Aug27 Aug11 Jun30 Jun18 (chircop s)WILSON JAYNE 122 3.50 46% 1.20    
2  IVY'S STAR Dec01 Nov17 Nov04 Oct20 Sep15 (cotey david)CHERNETZ SKYE 122 20.00    
3  WICKED MIAH Dec11 Nov17 Oct28 Sep09 Aug20 (holder tedston)BYNOE DESEAN 117 20.00 ★    
4  MORE SAVVY Apr22 Dec01 Oct17 Sep27 Aug25 (siddo barr)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 122 10.00    
5  PINO IN A PURSE May06 Feb05 Jan08 Dec16 Nov04 (wright mich)WENC C 122 3.00    
6  LADY MAEVE (IRE) Dec01 Nov05 Oct08 Sep15 Aug06 (vassilieva k)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
7  HASN'T HIT ME YET Apr29 Oct29 Oct03 Sep13 Aug29 (maynard desmond)CRAWFORD J 122 20.00    
8  MACHISIMA Mar19 Feb15 Jan18 Dec29 Nov04 (armata)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 6.00 ★    
9  SIMPLE SOUVENIR May06 Mar31 Mar22 Mar09 Mar01 (chircop steven)VIVES SOFIA 117 8.00 ★    
 
WO-5   05/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($65.9K) 3 F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILENT SKY Oct01         (attard kevin)STEIN JUSTIN 118 2.50 44% 1.30    
2  TELLTALE Apr29 Dec09 Nov27     (leblanc p)VIVES SOFIA 113 8.00 ★    
3  TENDER SITUATION         (casse mark)CARROLL DECLAN 121 6.00 ★    
4  TAYLORMOON         (kierans rene)NICHOLLS KEVEH 118 10.00    
5  SNOW LAKE Nov27         (paterson m)ANDERSON JODEIEN 118 20.00    
6  CRUMLIN BEAST Dec01 Nov12 Oct01 Sep11   (doyle j)MORAN DAVID 121 20.00    
7  WORRY LESS Apr29 Dec09 Nov27 Nov05   (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 121 3.50 ★    
8  SWEET NOLA Sep17         (carey julia)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 3.00 35% 1.90    
9  CRIMSON NIGHTS Apr29 Nov27 Oct29 Oct08   (cotey david)CHERNETZ SKYE 118 15.00    
 
WO-6   05/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($111K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAAKWA Apr23 Nov27 Nov18 Oct23 Oct07 (lopez shana)KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 6.00    
2  NIAGARA SKYLINE Oct23 Oct02 Sep02 Aug05 Jul08 (charalambous j)STEIN JUSTIN 123 12.00 6% 16.10    
3  AIM FOR THE SKY Apr23 Dec11 Nov27 Nov06 Oct21 (chircop stev)WALCOTT W 123 8.00 9% 9.60    
4  CHANCEL Apr23 Dec09 Nov04 Oct14 Sep25 (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 123 15.00    
SCR  NAPA SPIRIT (IRE) Apr23 Mar17 Feb15 Oct30 Oct16 (dunslow m)WILSON JAYNE 125 2.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  COTTON Apr29 Mar12 Nov19 Oct28 Oct02 (dre)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 3.00 20% 4.00    
7  THERE'S NO JOE Apr23 Nov24 Oct30 Oct09 Sep18 (vassilieva k)CARROLL DECLAN 123 12.00    
8  WIND OF CHANGE (BRZ) Dec31 Nov12 Sep04 Jul24   (joseph a)HUSBANDS P 123 3.50    
9  POSEIDON STEEL Dec11 Nov18 Oct20 Sep30 Aug12 (colbourne gordo)MUNGER RYAN 123 20.00 7% 13.90    
 
WO-7   05/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC12 FAST Jacques Cartier Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  READY FOR A FIGHT Apr23 Jan18 Jan01 Dec11 Nov24 (charalamb)WILSON JAYNE 120 20.00    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of IRISH TART by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  ARZAK Nov27 Oct01 Sep10 Aug05 Jul02 (trombetta mi)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 2.00 37% 1.70    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of DELIGHTFUL MELODY by TAPIT)
3  RED RIVER REBEL Nov27 Oct23 Sep25 Sep05 Aug13 (cole-simpson)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 20.00    
  (by RELOAD out of SPANI LOU by SPANIARD)
4  OLD CHESTNUT Apr30 Oct23 Oct09 Aug27 Jul03 (drexler mart)CARROLL DECLAN 120 10.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of POOL LAND by SILVER DEPUTY)
5  IRONSTONE Nov13 Oct23 Sep13 Aug21 Jul02 (arm)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 6.00 7% 12.40    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of CASEY'S DREAMIN' by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  ICE CHOCOLAT (BRZ) Apr22 Feb18 Nov27 Oct30 Oct08 (casse mark)CIVACI SAHIN 120 8.00    
  (by GOLDIKOVIC out of AMOR CHOCOLAT by NORTHERN AFLEET)
7  CANDY OVERLOAD Mar11 Feb04 Dec11 Nov27 Sep25 (casse mark)CIVACI SAHIN 122 4.00 23% 3.30    
  (by RELOAD out of MINI CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
8  ANARCHIST Apr22 Mar05 Feb11 Jan15 Jul31 (carroll josi)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 2.50 10% 8.60    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of VICARIOUS WON by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
WO-8   05/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($114K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARP RIDE Apr23 Apr02 Mar04 Oct30 Sep25 (drexler martin)CIVACI SAHIN 123 6.00 11% 8.10    
2  KAWACATOOSE Apr23 Sep04 Aug11 Jul10 Jun26 (mcdonald micha)BYNOE DESEAN 118 4.00    
3  SILENT POET Apr02 Nov27 Oct08 Sep03 Jul23 (gonzalez nicho)STEIN JUSTIN 123 1.00    
4  CLEAR DESTINATION Apr23 Dec11 Nov06 Oct09 Sep18 (dixon patrick)VIVES SOFIA 118 12.00    
5  HAVE A SOUPER DAY Apr29 Dec11 Nov13 Oct09 Sep04 (mat)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 8.00 15% 5.90    
6  SOUPER WATSON Dec11 Oct23 Oct09 Sep04 Jul17 (drexler mart)KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 3.00 38% 1.60    
 
WO-9   05/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONEY WON'T Apr30 Nov18 Nov06 Oct02 Aug25 (russo s)CHERNETZ SKYE 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
2  ROCKET JOE COPPER Dec11 Nov25 Oct23 Oct09 Sep17 (desruisse)WILSON JAYNE 122 15.00 15% 5.60    
3  MR. DAZZLE Apr23 Dec04 Nov06 Oct23 Sep16 (hall philip)WALCOTT W 122 20.00 ★    
SCR  MAXIMUS MOMENTUS Apr30 Dec02 Nov18 Nov06 Oct16 (armata ross)SALLES LEO 124 8.00    
5  DOT'S VISION Dec02 Nov18 Nov06 Sep05 Aug09 (love miche)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 112 20.00    
6  MAD DOG N JOE Nov27 Nov11 Oct27 Oct07 Sep23 (hinds austin)MORENO OMAR 122 20.00    
7  MAYITO Apr30 Nov27 Nov19 Nov03 Oct24 (loescher pa)WENC C 122 20.00    
8  TRICKY MAGICIAN Apr30 Dec10 Nov13 Oct23 Oct02 (armata vito)VIVES SOFIA 117 6.00    
9  CRAFTY CONQUEST May07 Apr04 Mar28 Mar09 Feb20 (robillard ju)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 4.00    
10  BEYOND BORDERS Nov25 Nov11 Oct14 Sep10 Jul22 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 122 20.00    
SCR  VETTORI KIN (BRZ) Mar24 Mar04 Jan25 Dec29 Dec01 (adamo anthon)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 10.00    
12  SAILOR'S PASSION Nov25 Nov04 Oct16 Oct02 Aug26 (armata jr)STEIN JUSTIN 122 10.00 9% 10.70    
13  MASTER SPY Apr30 Apr23 Dec10 Nov26 Nov12 (russo s)JADOO STEVE 122 12.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.