Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - April 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(4/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(4/3/5/7)-(2/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (4/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/5/7)-(2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5/7)-(2/5/4)-(3/6/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-3   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4/6)-(2/5/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(3/6/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(3/6/10)-(5/6/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-4   WIN (3/6/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/10)-(3/6/10/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/10)-(3/6/10/7/8)-(3/6/10/7/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/6/10)-(5/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/10)-(5/6/3)-(6/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-5   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(6/1)-(4/6/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-6   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/7/10/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/1)-(6/1/7/10/4)-(6/1/7/10/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1)-(4/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(4/6/7)-(8/1/6/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-7   WIN (4/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/7)-(4/6/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/7)-(4/6/7/8)-(4/6/7/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/6/7)-(8/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-8   WIN (8/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/6/4)-(8/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/6/4)-(8/1/6/4)-(8/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT-12:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARGE IT JENN Apr08 Mar05 Feb17 Dec22 Nov25 (rhone berne)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 4.00    
2  DIA DE SOL Apr14 Mar25 Mar18 Feb25 Jan27 (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 121 6.00 27% 2.80    
3  OUR FANTASY Apr08 Mar19 Mar08 Feb17 Dec11 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 119 1.60 28% 2.50    
4  MONIQUES DAREDEVIL Apr14 Mar29 Mar08 Feb19 Feb08 (machado a)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.50 19% 4.40    
5  TIMELESS GLORY Apr14 Mar12 Feb03 Jan18 Dec22 (granitz antho)SOSA LAUREANO 112 8.00    
6  CLASSY OF COURSE Apr14 Mar08 Feb05 Jan07 Dec22 (mcgoe)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 4.50    
 
TAM-2   04/26/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D'ORO BABY Mar31 Feb17 Jan21 Nov17 Nov05 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 118 8.00    
2  NO MORE FIRE Apr08 Mar10 Mar01 Nov06 Sep17 (barrett grantl)CAMACHO SAMY 126 8.00    
3  FROSTY SECRET Apr08 Mar10 Feb18 Jan22 Jan01 (manning dennis )CENTENO E 126 2.50 19% 4.20    
4  MARTINI'S AMICA Apr08 Mar22 Feb18 Jan05 Dec07 (romero rafa)QUINONEZ ALONSO 126 2.00 27% 2.70    
5  TEA'S DREAM Apr08 Mar08 Jan08 Dec21 Nov25 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 126 5.00 18% 4.40    
6  AMORE MOON Apr08 Mar15 Mar01 Jan26 Dec23 (ochoa gerard)JIMENEZ MANNY 126 6.00    
7  SONG OF THE HEART Apr12 Mar19 Feb25 Feb08 Jan11 (cascallares )MENESES MARCOS 126 20.00 6% 16.40    
8  SARA KALI Apr05 Mar04 Feb26 Jan20 Dec28 (cascallare)ORDONEZ R 118 12.00    
 
TAM-3   04/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIXTY ONE Mar25 Feb25 Feb05 Jan27 Jan07 (romero rafae)ARROYO S 120 10.00    
2  CREATIVE CLOUD Mar18 Feb04 Jan07 Dec09 Oct16 (delgado jo)ORDONEZ R 120 2.00 31% 2.20    
3  CATCHING FISH Mar25 Mar18 Feb19 Jan25 Jan06 (rivera xavier )SUAREZ JESUS 120 6.00    
4  IT'S FATE Apr05 Mar18 Feb18 Feb01 Dec30 (werneth rober)SOSA LAUREANO 113 4.50 14% 6.40    
5  ROYAL SQUEEZE Apr08 Mar29 Feb17 Jan22 Dec26 (jackson gary)MENESES MARCOS 120 4.00 28% 2.50    
6  FROLIC MAN Apr19 Mar25 Feb23 Jan27 Dec30 (pita daniel)FERRER C 122 4.00 ★    
7  LOUD N PROUD Apr14 Mar31 Mar12 Feb19 Feb04 (gatis chris)CAMACHO SAMY 122 10.00    
 
TAM-4   04/26/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($28K) 3 ALL PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLEASANT VALIANT Mar19 Feb17 Dec22 Nov25   (o'connel)GALLARDO A 119 6.00    
SCR  MR JACK Mar03 Dec10 Nov06     (barboza vict)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 1.60    
3  K'S PICK Apr07         (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 119 4.50 57% 0.80    
4  DENYING Apr08 Mar19 Mar08 Feb22 Feb10 (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 10.00    
5  HONOR LEO JEAN Apr01 Feb17 Jan22     (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 112 6.00    
6  GRATIA PRINCE Apr01 Mar12 Feb03 Dec30 Nov30 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 2.50 9% 9.70    
7  BRAMBLE BLAZE Apr08 Mar12 Feb17 Feb04 Dec07 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 119 5.00 ★    
8  HUASTECO Mar12 Feb17 Feb02 Jan01 Aug27 (gutierrez fa)ARROYO S 119 5.00 ★    
SCR  HEXAGON (IRE) Mar05 Nov20       (barboza vict)BATISTA A 119 6.00    
10  BIG LOUIE Apr07         (cascallares nes)CENTENO E 119 10.00 9% 10.30    
 
TAM-5   04/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 3 ALL PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME FLAY Apr08 Mar26 Feb26 Aug06 Jul03 (manning )GALLARDO A 118 3.00    
2  AXCEL Mar29         (manning denn)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 10.00    
3  ROAD MINISTER Apr08 Mar17       (chain pearl)SUAREZ JESUS 120 10.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  GRAND PICK Mar22 Jan28 Dec21 Oct30 Sep11 (barboza vict)MENESES MARCOS 118 5.00 18% 4.50    
5  COX CANYON Apr08 Mar29 Feb26 Feb05 Jan28 (o'connor robert)CENTENO E 122 2.50 36% 1.70    
6  GRAND MACALLAN Apr08 Feb26 Jan18 Dec03 Nov06 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 118 4.50 12% 7.10    
7  ENGLISH BOB Mar31 Mar16 Jan29 Dec23   (pita daniel)FERRER C 118 15.00    
8  MAJESTIC PHAROAH Mar15 Dec21 Nov30 Oct15 Sep17 (sweezey j)RODRIGUEZ A 118 6.00    
 
TAM-6   04/26/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOW WISH Feb24         (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 118 3.00 28% 2.60    
  (by MSHAWISH out of PAPA SIDS GIRL by SOUVENIR COPY)
2  WIN NO JOKE Jun18 May21 Apr23 Mar26 Feb19 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 125 4.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TESSIE FLIP by GRAND SLAM)
3  HASN'T HAD ENOUGH Jan29         (yanez r)MENA E 125 6.00    
  (by HE'S HAD ENOUGH out of SAMANTHA B. by DANCE BRIGHTLY)
4  HANDSOME RUNNER         (infante mi)MITCHELL RICHARD 125 15.00 ★    
  (by HANDSOME MIKE out of SET FREE TO FLY by ESSENCE OF DUBAI)
5  RAUL'S ENCANTO Mar09 Oct15       (ramirez jose )SOSA LAUREANO 111 30.00    
  (by GRAYDAR out of SAILING FREE by MIZZEN MAST)
6  PLAYGROUND LEGEND Oct29 Oct08 Sep18     (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50 50% 1.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of PALUXY PRINCESS by GHOSTZAPPER)
7  MOTOWN MIKA Mar31 Jan25 Dec03 Oct21 Sep24 (o'connor robert)CENTENO E 113 10.00 ★    
  (by MO TOWN out of TRIO OF MISCHIEF by CONGRATS)
8  NOT A PRAYER Mar17 Oct28       (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 20.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of R ANGEL KATELYN by HIGH COTTON)
9  EL GABRIELO Apr12 Apr02       (ramirez j)RODRIGUEZ A 118 10.00    
  (by KLIMT out of FLYING WENDY by NORTH LIGHT (IRE))
10  CANADIAN AUTHORITY         (rhone berne)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 6.00 ★    
  (by NYQUIST out of KARAKORUM ELEKTRA by FREUD)
 
TAM-7   04/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($29.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PICKIN' TIME Aug28 Jul16 May15     (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.00    
2  FEAST Feb18 Jan13 Dec08 Oct29 Sep04 (bennett s)FERRER C 119 5.00    
3  FIGURETI (CHI) Mar29 Feb25 Feb10 Jan19 Nov25 (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 119 8.00    
4  MAGICAL WARRIOR Mar26 Feb17 Jan07 Dec11 Oct15 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.50 39% 1.60    
5  GOLDEN BROWN Nov02 Oct07 Sep10 Aug28 Jul10 (mcburney )RODRIGUEZ A 119 6.00    
6  CHICKS DIG SCARS Apr05 Mar17 Feb22 Jan13 Dec14 (mcgoey m)GALLARDO A 119 6.00 22% 3.50    
7  HELIUM Jan25 Jan06 Sep28 Aug13 Jul09 (arriagada juan)MENA E 119 12.00 6% 14.70    
8  THEALLIGATORHUNTER Mar12 Feb26 Sep10 Aug13 Jul16 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 4.50 ★    
 
TAM-8   04/26/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LILY'S LEAD Mar26 Feb15 Jan18 Dec16 Dec10 (barbazon)GALLARDO A 119 4.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  HERE'S PERFECTION Mar24 Dec17       (wirth kenneth)ALICEA JEREMY 112 30.00 ★    
3  RAHTID Apr12 Mar01 Feb18 Dec14 Oct08 (lusk brian)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 30.00    
4  LIGEIA Mar15 Feb24 Feb08 Jan22 Jan01 (granitz anthony )FERRER C 119 2.00 5% 19.00    
5  DONNA LIRICA Apr01 Mar15 Mar01 Feb15 Feb01 (cordero anto)MENESES MARCOS 119 10.00    
6  THEUNCAPTUREDLADY Apr01 Mar15 Feb25 Feb01 Jan01 (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 19% 4.30    
7  RAINOUT Apr01 Mar01 Feb01 Sep02 Aug06 (lerman s)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 12.00    
8  BEASTIE GIRL Mar22 Mar08 Sep05 Aug09 Jul13 (rountree cat)BATISTA A 119 8.00 28% 2.60    
9  SHEMIGHTDANCESALSA Apr01 Mar15 Feb01 Jan01 Dec07 (knoll d)ALLEN D 119 10.00    
10  SIGN AND SEAL Apr01 Oct24 Oct10 Sep28 Sep05 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 112 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.