Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Parx Racing
Wednesday - April 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRX-1   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1/4)-(6/2/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(3/2)-(6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-2   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/1/4)-(3/2/1/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/2)-(6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(6/4)-(3/5/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRX-3   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/4/2/1)-(6/4/2/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/4)-(3/5/4/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(3/5/4/1)-(1/7/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-4   WIN (3/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/1)-(3/5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/1)-(3/5/4/1)-(3/5/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/4/1)-(1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4/1)-(1/7/6)-(4/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-5   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/6)-(4/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6)-(4/7/3)-(8/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-6   WIN (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/3)-(4/7/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/3)-(4/7/3/2)-(4/7/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/3)-(8/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/3)-(8/1/4)-(6/7/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-7   WIN (8/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/4)-(8/1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/1/4)-(8/1/4/6)-(8/1/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/1/4)-(6/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/1/4)-(6/7/1)-(4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PRX-8   WIN (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/1)-(6/7/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/1)-(6/7/1/2)-(6/7/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/1)-(4) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1)-(4)-(9/7/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-9   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/8/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (4)-(4/8/3)-(4/8/3) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (4)-(9/7/10/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
PRX-10   WIN (9/7/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/10/6)-(9/7/10/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/10/6)-(9/7/10/6)-(9/7/10/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRX-1   04/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIVE AID Mar07 Feb15 Jan24 Jan17 Nov21 (pattershall m)PEREZ M 123 4.00 7% 13.60    
2  BOOM BOOM GIRL Mar20 Feb28 Feb06 Jan11 Dec20 (castillo sanchez)CASTILLO A 123 4.50 21% 3.70    
3  VALERIE FIRST Apr10 Mar13 Feb22 Jan25 Dec20 (lake a)ADORNO ABNER 123 6.00    
4  SPEIGHTSTER'S GOLD Apr10 Mar20 Feb27 Feb14 Jan25 (wyner harol)RAMOS C 118 6.00 ★    
5  THE BEAUTY'S TALE Apr03 Mar17 Jan13 Dec17 Dec02 (simone michae)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.50    
6  WHAT A BEAUT Mar17 Feb15 Jan11 Dec12 Nov29 (linder jr)VIVES SOFIA 113 6.00 44% 1.30    
7  QUASAR Mar21 Feb28 Jan30 Jan04 Dec21 (soto c)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 5.00    
 
PRX-2   04/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($23K) 3 F PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOW ACT SURPRISED Mar22 Mar07 Apr25     (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 121 3.50 ★    
2  WELL RESTED         (pessanha ney)CASTILLO A 121 15.00 28% 2.60    
3  THREE SPORT COATS Mar15 Feb23 Feb09 Jan05 Nov20 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 121 1.60 44% 1.30    
4  CONNELMAURA Mar15 Feb15 Jan05 Dec07 Oct26 (solis ja)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 10.00 ★    
5  BAHAMIAN SKY Apr04 Feb15 Jan08     (soto- marti)RAMOS C 116 10.00    
6  AZTEC BAY Mar20 Mar01 Feb08 Dec14 Aug23 (st uriah)VIVES SOFIA 111 15.00    
7  REGAL BEGINNING Apr21         (soto- martine)PEREZ M 121 6.00    
8  BIONIC KAT Apr04 Mar07 Feb21     (padilla hugo )MILAN GERARDO 121 4.50    
 
PRX-3   04/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIEMPO PERFECTO Apr11 Mar13 Feb20 Jan25 Jan11 (hogan william)PEREZ M 118 15.00 ★    
2  COUNTRY CAPTAIN Apr03 Feb15       (dominguez mario )CASTILLO A 123 4.50 ★    
3  STEVIE T Apr11 Mar29 Mar08 Feb21 Feb06 (diaz jorge)RIVERA D 123 6.00    
4  GIMMEBACKMYBULLETS Apr11 Mar18 Feb12 Jan27 Dec15 (lake scott )CONCEPCION AXEL 116 2.50 7% 13.30    
5  SOUL PROVIDER Apr03 Mar01 Feb01 Jan17 Jan02 (whylie o)BOWMAN ADAM 123 6.00    
6  DRUM AND DRUMMER Mar25 Mar08 Feb22 Jan29 Jan07 (rosado rober)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 4.00 60% 0.70    
7  SIR CUPID Mar29 Mar08 Feb15 Feb01 Jan17 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 123 3.50    
 
PRX-4   04/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STREET TAIL Mar20 Feb27 Sep06 Aug15 Aug01 (guerrero gu)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.00 5% 17.70    
2  KING'S HOUSE Apr11 Mar20 Jan24 Jan11 Dec16 (gonzalez-mi)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 123 4.50    
3  DIZZY GILLESPIE Apr11 Mar22 Mar01 Feb08 Feb01 (perez flore)RAMOS C 118 4.00 37% 1.70    
4  ROCKIN COWBOY Apr11 Mar23 Mar08 Feb01 Jan11 (nicholson juni)MOYA F 126 3.50 9% 9.80    
5  DON'T DARE ME Apr11 Mar20 Feb08 Nov30 Oct11 (guerrero g)TORRES A 118 5.00 23% 3.30    
6  POINTER Apr11 Mar01 Feb23 Jan18 Jan02 (diaz jorge)VIVES SOFIA 113 12.00    
7  AWE MUN Mar06 Feb20 Feb01 Jan02 Dec21 (thompson mart)PEREZ M 123 20.00    
 
PRX-5   04/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS CINNAMON Mar15 Feb08 Jan23 Dec05   (noble f)SILVERA RUBEN 121 4.00 40% 1.50    
2  ELEVENMONTHSLATER Mar14 Feb20 Feb06 Jan10 Dec14 (bedard alan)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 15.00    
3  ROYAL PARTY Mar15 Feb07 Nov29 Oct19 Sep24 (st uriah)VIVES SOFIA 111 12.00    
4  TEMPEST RISING Mar14 Feb20 Feb06     (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 20.00    
SCR  CHERU Mar26 Feb17 Dec14     (avila carl)OLIVERO A 121 3.00 14% 6.20    
6  SOCIAL LADY Mar22 Jan04 Nov23 Sep07 Aug22 (avila )GONZALEZ JR 121 8.00 6% 15.50    
7  KISS ME HARDY Mar01 Feb08 Jan23     (servis c)PENNINGTON F 121 3.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  CANNY LAND Feb08         (noble jame)SANCHEZ J 121 8.00 ★    
9  TEMPTED TO TOUCH Mar21 Feb21 Feb06 Dec14 Dec05 (whylie hero)RAMOS C 116 8.00    
 
PRX-6   04/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3 F PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAY AND GOLD Mar13 Jul27 May23     (dunn john)ADORNO ABNER 118 12.00    
2  LADY SICARIA Apr03 Mar13 Feb21 Jan23   (castillo sanchez)CASTILLO A 118 4.00 ★    
3  MAGIC MISS Mar29 Jan06 Oct16 Oct02   (noble jame)SANCHEZ J 118 3.50 9% 10.40    
4  WISHING ONA PRAYER Mar20         (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 121 6.00 48% 1.10    
5  HOWMUCHAREYOUWORTH Mar29 Mar13 Jan10 Dec28 Dec07 (wyner harold)OCASIO M 118 8.00    
SCR  BODIL Apr10 Feb15 Dec30 Oct24   (avil)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 3.00    
7  LUNA T Apr04 Mar20 Jan10 Nov14 Oct24 (lake a)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 4.50 16% 5.30    
 
PRX-7   04/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TONALA Sep13 Jul26 Jul11 Apr28 Apr01 (santaella-cal)OCASIO M 123 4.50 9% 10.40    
2  TWIRLING WIND Mar21 Feb22 Jan25 Jan17 Jan03 (tapsas eli)SANCHEZ J 123 15.00    
3  HEY IT'S TATI Apr10 Feb07 Jan30 Jan10 Nov29 (wyner harol)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 123 12.00    
4  HALLIGIRL Mar28 Feb28 Jan10 Dec13 Nov08 (rosado roberto )RUIZ ELISEO 113 5.00 7% 13.90    
5  SWEET LILLY FACTUM Apr10 Feb28 Feb08 Jan30 Jan10 (nicholson jun)PEREZ M 123 5.00    
6  CLASSY MISS Apr03 Mar15 Feb28 Feb08 Nov30 (perez ruperto)MILAN GERARDO 123 2.50 ★    
7  LULINDA'S HEART Mar28 Mar21 Feb08 Jan10 Dec20 (st uriah)VIVES SOFIA 113 15.00    
8  SEAMIALAUGH Mar20 Feb27 Jan27 Jan02 Nov21 (catalano)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 3.00 58% 0.70    
 
PRX-8   04/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BURN THE EVIDENCE (GB) Jan23 Dec05 Aug03 May14   (krebs st)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 126 6.00 19% 4.30    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of FILADY by SWEETSOUTHERNSAINT)
2  TEQUILAMADEMEDOIT Mar22 Feb21 Feb08 Jan16 Dec19 (bedard alan)SILVERA RUBEN 126 8.00 ★    
  (by AFLEET ALEX out of PARTY FEVER by STORMIN FEVER)
3  FLORIANOPOLIS         (mosco robert)OCASIO M 120 6.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of FLORIPA by TAPIT)
4  PRIVATE CABANA May31         (marquez cesa)LAPRIDA JEREMY 126 12.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of URBAN OASIS by CITY ZIP)
5  VIRAL VIDEO Mar27 Mar13 Feb21 Jan23 Dec05 (marquez cesar)TREJOS JOSEPH 126 5.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of CYBER CAFE by SKY CLASSIC)
6  MARVELOUSMOONDANCE Mar27 Feb21 Jan23 Nov29 Oct31 (aristone phil)RIVERA D 126 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by HARD SPUN out of NIJI'S GRAND GIRL by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
7  PALM ISLAND Jun19 Feb05       (crook-dema)SANCHEZ J 126 4.00 19% 4.20    
  (by UNCLE MO out of AFLEET MAGGI by AFLEET ALEX)
8  THREEPETE Mar27 Mar13       (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 126 10.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of MISS A. G. by POWER BY FAR)
SCR  DESANTIS Mar28 Mar06 Feb14 Jan24 Jan03 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 6.00 ★    
  (by PALACE out of CLASSE D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
PRX-9   04/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER EDGE Feb14 Jan17 Jan03 Oct31 Oct11 (pollara frank)OCASIO M 123 10.00    
2  JACOHARE Jan02 Dec06 Nov08 Oct25 Oct04 (milian carl)NUNEZ Y 123 15.00    
3  ROUGH SEA Mar18 Feb01 Jan17 Dec11 Nov12 (mosco robert)ADORNO ABNER 123 4.00 ★    
4  MAYTHEHORSEBWITHU Mar15 Jan30 Jan03 Nov29 Nov08 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00 10% 9.50    
SCR  RELATIVLEA Jan09 Nov30 Oct17 Sep21 Jul11 (solis jacint)TORRES A 118 20.00    
6  RON DON SCORESE Apr03 Mar13 Feb14 Jan17 Jan03 (rodriguez m)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 6.00    
SCR  MALIBU STAR Mar07 Feb01 Jan02 Dec06 Nov12 (padilla-prec)LAPRIDA JEREMY 123 1.80 57% 0.80    
8  FLAT OUT FLYING Nov15 Oct14 Oct01 Aug25 Jul14 (lynch cath)SANCHEZ J 123 4.50 ★    
 
PRX-10   04/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIRACLE SILVER Mar21 Mar04 Feb10 Jan18 Jan06 (nazario ped)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 20.00    
SCR  LOOK OUT LAMBO Mar29 Mar13 Feb21 Feb06 Jan10 (farro patric)HERNANDEZ ANDY 123 8.00 12% 7.60    
3  TACTICAL PLAN Apr05 Mar08 Feb20 Jan31 Jan04 (guerrero guada)CASTILLO A 123 10.00    
4  CRYPT Apr11 Mar29 Feb08 Dec13 Nov08 (diaz jorge)RIVERA D 123 15.00    
5  HARD STING Mar28 Feb18 Jan30 Jan02 Nov29 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 123 3.00    
6  SOCIAL GROUP Apr04 Mar15 Feb22 Feb13 Jan16 (montoya ma)SANCHEZ J 123 5.00 6% 14.40    
7  MUCHO MACHO EDDIE Mar29 Mar06 Feb20 Jan10 Dec16 (romero alex)DE KEMICH 116 10.00 20% 3.90    
8  OUTRAGEOUS BET Apr05 Mar29 Mar08 Feb06 Jan10 (tapsas elia)RAMOS C 118 15.00    
9  SUPER DUDE Mar28 Jan02 Nov30 Nov22 Oct24 (rodriguez migue)BOWMAN ADAM 123 2.50 25% 2.90    
10  LAVERY Apr04 Mar07 Feb13 Jan31 Nov30 (farro patric)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 6.00 8% 11.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.