Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Sunday - March 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/6/4/2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (1)-(8/3/5/7)-(2/4/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LRL-2   WIN (8/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/5/7)-(8/3/5/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    DD (8/3/5/7)-(2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/3/5/7)-(2/4/6)-(3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-3   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(3/4)-(4/3/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-4   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(4/3/7/2)-(9/5) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
LRL-5   WIN (4/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/2)-(4/3/7/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7/2)-(9/5)-(1/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-6   WIN (9/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/5)-(9/5/2/6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (9/5)-(1/5/4)-(2/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-7   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(2/3/6)-(3/2/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-8   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-9   WIN (3/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/5)-(3/2/1/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   03/26/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3 F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONNIE'S DANCE         (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.00 38% 1.70    
  (by LONG RIVER out of PASSIONATE DANCER by CAT THIEF)
CHERU Feb17 Dec14       (avila carl)OLIVERO A 124 4.50    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of TENGGARA by SUPER SAVER)
HAINT BLUE (FR) Mar11 Aug17       (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON null      
  (by DONE TALKING out of QUEEN MOON by LAWMAN (FR))
DETERMINED STELLA Feb23         (schoentha)CARRASCO R 124 12.00    
  (by TAPIT out of ORABELLA by MORE THAN READY)
JUST NORTH Dec26 Nov20       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 5.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of WINTER by AWESOME AGAIN)
BROOKLYN GIRL Mar03 Feb03 Jan22 Dec16 Nov06 (milosevic mil)ALVELO C 124 3.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of POP DITTY'S GIRL by AFLEET ALEX)
 
LRL-2   03/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT-12:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIMMI QUANDO Mar04 Jan25 Aug01 Jun20 May07 (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 122 12.00    
SCR  BUSTER BRUNO Mar08 Feb20 Feb01 Jan13 Aug10 (bentley fennek)CEDENO CAROL 122 20.00    
SUTTON VALLEY Mar05 Feb12 Jan12 Dec02 Oct13 (rodriguez)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 3.50 13% 6.50    
BOWIE TWO STEP Mar11 Feb08 Jan20 Dec29 Dec11 (garibay andres)ACOSTA D 122 15.00    
CRIMSON ROCKET Feb24 Feb12 Jan21 Dec29 Dec04 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 2.50 12% 7.30    
GILLIGAN Mar17 Jan08 Dec09 Nov12 Jun24 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 122 8.00    
ADDY'S LADDY T N T Mar05 Feb12 Jan19 Dec29 Nov26 (walters h)CARRASCO R 126 6.00 11% 8.30    
CALL ME MAESTRO Feb24 Jan13 Dec16     (dilodovico)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 2.00 30% 2.40    
 
LRL-3   03/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 45 ALL PT- 1:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWICE GOLD Sep11 Aug27 Aug06 Jul15 Jun25 (voss katharin)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 20.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of NANA KNOWS by GOLD TRIBUTE)
WOODLINE Jan26 Nov19 Jul19 Jun19 May28 (trombetta)CARRASCO R 126 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of BLIP N' TH BYE by TALE OF EKATI)
MONEY ROOM May14 Mar26 Feb27 Jan23   (hohlbein kerr)ALVELO C 126 10.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of FLY IN FOR THE WIN by BIRDSTONE)
CARVELLIAN QUEST Jul10 Jun05 May14 Apr07   (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 126 2.00 18% 4.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of DYNAMIC DEPUTY by DEPUTY MINISTER)
RUSH TO CANDY         (pickett crystal )CRUZ ANGEL 126 20.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of FLATTERING BEA by FLATTER)
TAKE CHARGE TOO Dec30 Dec09 Nov25 Oct22 Sep11 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 3.50 10% 8.90    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of NOBLE NATION by CAL NATION)
ST. JUDE         (perkins ben)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 4.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of ALY DOLL by WAR CHANT)
CLASSIC LEGEND Jan27 Nov20 Jul03     (cole c)DELGADO A 126 20.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of INDIAN LEGEND by CHEROKEE RUN)
 
LRL-4   03/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONDUCTANCE Mar05 Feb23 Jan13 Dec04 Nov04 (smith valr)RIVERA R 115 15.00    
LOOKIN SPUNKY Feb12 Jan22 Dec29 Dec04 Nov19 (eubanks an)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 8.00    
YAZZERA (PER) Mar16 Feb24       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 3.50 29% 2.50    
CLASSIC LYNNE Mar05 Feb03 Jan01 Oct07 Sep01 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 126 1.80 15% 5.50    
SCR  DYSFUNCTIONAL Mar21 Feb20 Feb04     (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 126 1.40 33% 2.00    
POET IN MY HEART Feb12 Feb03 Dec31 Dec04 Nov13 (albert lind)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 15.00    
 
LRL-5   03/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PELOTA Mar17 Mar05 Jan31 Jan17 Jan04 (sanchez-sa)RIVERA R 116 8.00    
FLAMING EAST Feb20 Jan21 Jan01 Dec11 Nov27 (gaudet la)CARRASCO R 123 5.00 6% 14.60    
BEYOND THE VICTORY May15 Apr22 Apr02     (libertini ja)LEWIS M 112 6.00 17% 4.90    
FREE SQUARE Mar05 Feb18 Feb05 Jan06 Dec17 (gaudet l)BUTTERFLY L 123 3.00 39% 1.60    
NO MORE TALK Feb26 Feb05 Jan06 Nov11 Oct22 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 12.00    
BACKATYA Mar03 Feb06 Dec29 Dec10 Nov27 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.00    
SPOTTED BULL Mar11 Feb26 Feb20 Jan29 Jan07 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 123 6.00 8% 11.20    
SCR  SHOOT THEMESSENGER Mar17 Feb25 Feb18 Jan28 Jan15 (mohan david)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 8.00    
UNCOMMON VALOR Feb12 Feb05 Jan16 Dec29 Nov11 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 119 15.00    
 
LRL-6   03/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANOLITO Mar05 Feb01 Jan11 Dec11 Nov21 (klesaris ro)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 15.00    
ASKIN FOR A BASKIN Mar07 Feb12 Jan28 Jan03 Dec17 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 123 6.00    
WHIZWIT Feb24 Oct08 Sep03 Jul14 May26 (perkins jr)BOYCE FOREST 123 10.00    
PHRA PHROM Mar18 Mar05 Feb24 Feb12 Dec09 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 123 20.00    
PIT STOP MAN Mar11 Mar05 Feb11 Jan27 Jan16 (cash norman )BARBOSA JEIRON 118 3.00 17% 5.00    
MAGIC MULE Mar05 Feb12 Jan22 Jan06 Dec16 (hohlbein kerry)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 4.50    
HE'S ORIENTATE Nov05 Oct21 Sep24 Jul22 Jul03 (heil nancy )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 15.00    
LADNEEDSAHANDLER Mar05 Feb20 Jan28 Jan01 Dec11 (salzman tim)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.50    
SPONSORED Jan22 Nov12 Oct02 Aug26 Jul10 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 123 3.50 54% 0.90    
 
LRL-7   03/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE MS SCARLET Feb24 Jan20 Dec29 Sep21 Aug08 (gonzalez cl)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.00 36% 1.80    
CONGRESS HALL Feb26 Feb04 Jan06 Jul28 Jul01 (mcfarlane)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 119 15.00    
IZZYBELLA Feb24 Feb03 Oct14 Aug18 Aug03 (simoff andrew)CEDENO CAROL 123 4.00    
RED QUEEN Feb03 Jan08 Dec31 Dec09 Dec02 (dove j)LEWIS M 112 10.00 9% 10.60    
DANCER'S MELODY Feb17 Feb03 Dec31 Nov24 Nov11 (mcmahon w )RIVERA R 112 5.00 25% 3.10    
GOLD TIME VIXEN Mar03 Feb23 Feb17 Jan28 Jan20 (kee wil)BRICENO GREGOR 123 10.00    
AWESOME VIEW Mar03 Feb10 Jan16 Dec29 Dec16 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.50    
 
LRL-8   03/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($54K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITALIAN DRESSING Mar03 Feb18 Feb05 Jan01 Dec02 (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 123 4.50    
GLOWSITY Feb24 Jan28 Dec18 Nov19 Oct29 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.40 32% 2.10    
CHARMING WAY Mar03 Oct06 Sep11 Aug14 Jul31 (meyers madison )GOMEZ KEVIN 123 8.00 32% 2.10    
SILVER CURRENCY Jan07 Nov14 Sep24 Sep07 Jul28 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 5.00    
SHE'SAROLLINGSTONE Jan13 Dec03 Nov11 Oct07 Sep16 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 123 2.50    
VIKING QUEEN Mar17 Feb19 Jan28 Jan08 Dec02 (mcmahon thoma)MONTERREY R 123 15.00 10% 9.50    
 
LRL-9   03/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3 F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEARTSANDDIAMONDS Feb24         (eppler mary)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 10.00 12% 7.60    
IMAGINETHEODDS Mar03 Feb05 Dec31 Oct16   (voss m)CRUZ ANGEL 124 4.00 14% 6.20    
GYMNAST Mar02 Feb11       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 0.60 46% 1.20    
PRINCESS LEXI Mar03 Feb05 Jan16     (mcfarlane )MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 12.00    
VOODOO PRIESTESS Feb26 Nov20       (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 10.00 6% 15.20    
COWGIRL HOP Mar16 Feb23 Feb09 Jan13   (pickett cr)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 124 8.00    
BUTTERMILK GIRLZ Mar05 Feb12 Jan27 Dec31 Dec02 (dove j)LEWIS M 113 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.