Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Friday - March 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/7)-(4/7/1/5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/7)-(3/2)-(1/2) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
LRL-2   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (3/2)-(1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(1/2)-(3/6/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LRL-3   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(3/6/2)-(6/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-4   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(6/7/2)-(1/3/10) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-5   WIN (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/2)-(6/7/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/2)-(1/3/10)-(4/1/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-6   WIN (1/3/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/10)-(1/3/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3/10)-(4/1/7)-(3/5/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-7   WIN (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/7)-(4/1/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-8   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-9   WIN (3/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/7)-(3/5/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   03/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICY MINISTER Mar18 Feb25 Feb04 Jan06 Nov24 (vera miguel)KARAMANOS A 126 1.40    
SCR  SALTY HEIR Mar03 Feb16 Feb01 Jan19 Dec01 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 15.00    
THE THINKER Feb04 Sep18 Sep05 Aug23 Jul12 (allen a )BUTTERFLY L 126 12.00    
SUPERSTITIEUX Mar03 Feb10 Jan20 Dec29 Nov26 (cox kenneth )BARBOSA JEIRON 121 3.50 35% 1.80    
LOVE MACHINE Feb25 Feb05 Jan16 Dec30 Nov27 (pickett crystal )CRUZ ANGEL 126 4.00    
NO ME DIGAS Feb26 Feb05 Jan26 Jan16 Dec31 (davis g)ACOSTA D 126 6.00    
BORN FOR VICTORY Feb23 Feb10 Nov20 Nov07 Oct20 (gonzalez cl)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 8.00 33% 2.00    
 
LRL-2   03/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINNY Mar03 Jan29 Nov05 Oct28 Sep30 (mancilla car)LEWIS M 116 6.00    
CAMP PENDLETON Mar04 Feb10 Jan22 Jan06 Dec04 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 123 3.50 18% 4.70    
HOT N SPICY LOVE Feb10 Jan22 Jan08 Dec20 Dec06 (magee kiero)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 1.80 22% 3.50    
THE ANGRY MAN Feb06 Jan10 Dec21 Dec05 Nov09 (gallim)GONZALEZ JR 123 30.00    
SCR  HONOR THE FLEET Mar03 Feb11 Jan18 Jan06 Nov25 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 1.60 35% 1.90    
SCR  BOOM BOOM KABOOM Feb23 Feb07 Jan17 Jan11 Jan04 (gallimore tre)PEREZ M 123 50.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TITAN'S WILL Feb19 Jan29 Aug01 Jul20 Jul07 (salzman jo)RIVERA R 116 10.00    
 
LRL-3   03/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRUISE ON BY         (casey m)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 5% 17.70    
CORRECTED PEDIGREE         (perri gina)CRUZ ANGEL 120 12.00 5% 17.70    
GREAT COCKTAIL         (cox kenneth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 8.00    
ELUSIVE IMAGE Mar10 Feb11 Jan13 Dec11 Nov13 (smith jason)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 12.00    
TROPHY ROOM Oct01 Sep18 Sep03 Aug25   (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 124 3.50    
CATCHING STARS Mar11 Feb10       (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 124 5.00    
DR. SNYDER Feb26 Jan22       (de horac)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 4.50    
SCR  MR. HOUGHTON Feb26         (perkins jr)BOYCE FOREST 124 1.80 59% 0.70    
 
LRL-4   03/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RAHMER Feb20 Feb12 Jan21 Jan01 Oct20 (barr donal)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 10.00    
BERKS Mar04 Jan31 Jan11 Dec18 Nov12 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.50 13% 6.60    
ROMINSKI Mar04 Feb11 Dec10 Oct08 Sep18 (magee kieron)CRUZ ANGEL 123 1.80 48% 1.10    
SEVEN ON THE ROCKS Nov20 Oct29 Oct06 Sep09 Jul15 (campbell willi)PEREZ XAVIER 126 8.00    
ALL THREES Mar04 Jun11 May27 May07 Apr16 (smith hamilton )GOMEZ KEVIN 126 4.00    
RAD PAISLEY Feb20 Jan16 Dec18 Dec03 Nov20 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 4.50 15% 5.60    
 
LRL-5   03/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRAY FOR THE U S A Feb24 Feb10 Jan25 Jan07 Dec10 (frock charl)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 10.00    
TIMELY TRADITION Mar02 Jan13 Dec14 Nov15 Oct21 (kravets bruce)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  PRETTY EDGY Mar05 Feb08 Jan14     (sillaman ri)GLASER LAURALEA 123 10.00 16% 5.20    
A GIRL NAMED JAC Mar03 Feb05 Jan16 Nov19 Oct09 (mcmahon hug)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.00    
UTTERLY ENCHANTING Feb17 Jan27 Jan06 Nov18 Oct22 (mancilla carlos)MONTERREY R 123 15.00    
R AVERIE LYNN Jan16 Jan03 Nov15 Oct21 Oct14 (gorham michae)ALVELO C 123 2.50 25% 3.00    
TAM CHAR Mar03 Feb03 Jan16 Dec29 Nov19 (frock charle)LEWIS M 116 3.00 21% 3.70    
 
LRL-6   03/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3 F PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUT OF LUCK Mar03         (smith hamil)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 8.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  FREE ADMISSION Sep11 Aug20 Jul15     (salzman joh)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 1.80 32% 2.10    
WINDS OF FORTUNE         (trombetta )RIVERA R 113 6.00 8% 12.00    
EXCLUSIVE ROSE Feb04 Jan15 Dec29 Dec10 Nov18 (juarez calixto)ARAUJO DENIS 120 30.00    
NAMI         (milosev)BRICENO GREGOR 124 12.00    
SCR  VOODOO PRIESTESS Feb26 Nov20       (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 20.00    
SCR  SURRENDERONSIXTEEN         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 4.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  DANCE DELILAH         (morgan car)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 124 20.00    
SCR  WEST COAST WILDCAT         (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 10.00    
10  ELLIE VICTORINA Mar19 Feb05 Jan22 Jan13 Dec31 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 124 20.00 6% 16.10    
11  AUNTIE RONA         (keefe timothy)ALVELO C 124 12.00    
12  LADY LANCER Mar03 Feb10 Jan07 Dec10 Nov26 (sepulveda carl)ROSADO JOHAN 124 15.00    
 
LRL-7   03/24/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($34.5K) 3 ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BONDED (IRE) Mar03 Feb03 Jan14 Dec09 Nov20 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 2.00 24% 3.10    
OROCOVIX Mar16 Mar03 Feb19 Feb11 Feb05 (sanchez-sa)RIVERA R 114 8.00    
HE'S ON FIRE Mar03 Feb11 Jan13 Dec10 Nov13 (mancilla ca)CONCEPCION AXEL 110 20.00    
FUN LOVIN CRIMINAL Feb25 Feb11 Jan22 Nov04 Oct27 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 3.00 26% 2.90    
BLOWN SAVE Mar10 Feb11 Jan14 Dec17 Nov06 (gonzalez )CARRASCO R 121 4.50    
SCR  SPECTRIER Mar10 Feb17 Jan27 Jan13 Dec30 (sanche)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 10.00 10% 9.00    
THTWASTHENTHISISNW Mar03 Feb25 Feb11 Jan22 Dec17 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.50 10% 8.80    
 
LRL-8   03/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($55K) Purse ($62K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN PYRAMID Mar07 Jan13 Nov28 Oct01 Sep03 (coletti edw)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00 7% 13.60    
DECO STRONG Mar07 Jan24 Jan04 Nov21 Oct19 (stites w)CRUZ ANGEL 123 3.50    
BENEATH THE STARS Mar12 Feb20 Feb02 Apr16 Mar30 (cash no)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 2.50 36% 1.80    
TODO SOLA Dec14 Nov15 Oct06 Sep07 Aug19 (beattie cod)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 4.50    
MOODY WOMAN Feb18 Feb04 Jan07 Nov26 Nov11 (mcmull)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 1.40 23% 3.30    
 
LRL-9   03/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 45 ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURTEIS Jan07 Aug14 Jul17 Jul01 May26 (dunham g)CULLUM W 122 15.00    
POPPY B Sep29         (de horac)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 20.00    
YOUR ANALYSIS Feb05 Jan08 Nov18 Oct02   (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 1.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  HERE AND NOFURTHER Mar11 Feb19 Jan28 Dec30 Nov25 (magee kier)RIVERA R 115 10.00    
SUCCEED Mar06 Feb05 Dec21 May28 May14 (cash no)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 3.50 30% 2.40    
RARE BREED Feb05 Nov24 Nov11 Oct23 Oct02 (graham l)MONTERREY R 122 15.00    
HAY DIDDLE DIDDLE Jan28 Jan07 Dec10 Nov03   (magee kiero)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.00 7% 12.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.