Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - March 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/5/4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/5/4/2)-(1/3/5/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(3/2/1)-(5/3/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-2   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1/5/7)-(3/2/1/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(5/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(5/3/4/1)-(3/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-3   WIN (5/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/1)-(5/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/1)-(5/3/4/1)-(5/3/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/4/1)-(3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4/1)-(3/5/4)-(2/6/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-4   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4/2)-(3/5/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(2/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(2/6/5/7)-(1/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-5   WIN (2/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7/3)-(2/6/5/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/6/5/7)-(1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5/7)-(1/2/6)-(4/6/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-6   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6/3/5)-(1/2/6/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(4/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(4/6/7/8)-(7/8/6/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
HAW-7   WIN (4/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/8)-(4/6/7/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/8)-(4/6/7/8/5)-(4/6/7/8/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/6/7/8)-(7/8/6/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7/8)-(7/8/6/1/5)-(2/1) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
HAW-8   WIN (7/8/6/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/6/1/5)-(7/8/6/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/8/6/1/5)-(7/8/6/1/5)-(7/8/6/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/8/6/1/5)-(2/1) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
HAW-9   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   03/05/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWICK OR TWEAT         (matthews dou)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 2.50 47% 1.10    
2  EVIE JEAN Dec16 Dec02 Nov18 Oct21 Oct01 (ryan a)LOPEZ A 124 4.50 ★    
3  LADA KALINA         (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 111 5.00 28% 2.50    
4  STRONGENOUGHSTORM Aug15 Aug02 Jul12     (reyes mar)ULLOA JOAN 124 8.00 ★    
5  ARNEIS Jan13 Dec30 Dec01 Nov03 Aug26 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 124 1.80 ★    
6  BUMPER GIRL Dec02 Jul01 Jun07 May19   (retana ga)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
 
HAW-2   03/05/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNDAY MISCHIEF Feb10 Dec29 Nov26 Oct29 Oct09 (campbell jo)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.00 5% 18.00    
2  FUTURE VISION Dec18 Dec04 Nov12 Oct16 Oct07 (juarez blas)DIEGO JAVIER 122 4.50 9% 10.40    
3  TRIPLE CHROME Feb22 Dec30 Dec07 Nov26 Oct23 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 1.80 57% 0.70    
4  WHERE'S LUCKY Feb04 Jan11 Jun25 May27 May06 (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 115 6.00    
5  TEA AFTER BALLET Dec30 Dec18 Dec04 Nov13 Oct28 (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00 ★    
6  DARE GOES DA DEVIL Dec30 Dec18 Dec04 Nov20 Nov13 (perez manny)LOPEZ A 122 12.00    
7  TOP NOTE Feb17 Jan28 Jan06 Dec16 Dec03 (claire alexis)FELIX E 116 6.00 ★    
 
HAW-3   03/05/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($17.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINING CAMP Dec31         (slager leonar)HERNANDEZ K 124 10.00 7% 12.60    
SCR  LARRY'S LUNCHBOX         (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 2.50 17% 5.00    
3  TEA WITH LEMON Dec31 Dec11 Dec03     (perez manny)FELIX E 124 6.00 15% 5.70    
4  READY MADE Dec31 Dec03 Nov19 Aug30 Aug16 (lynch e)ORM CORY 124 5.00 9% 10.10    
5  CUPID'S NUMBER         (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 118 1.80 32% 2.10    
6  GUST OF WIND Dec31 Dec11       (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 117 6.00    
 
HAW-4   03/05/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACKPOT BOY Nov19 Oct22 Mar17 Feb26   (perez manny)FELIX E 124 15.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of ICONIC SPIRIT by BERNSTEIN)
2  STAR NATION Jan28 Dec30 Dec09     (spagnola ida)HERNANDEZ K 117 5.00 ★    
  (by ALTERNATION out of BEAUTY STAR by SKY MESA)
3  SHARP AZ NAILS Feb03 Jan07 Dec09 Nov11 Sep13 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 117 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of SPRING by STRAVINSKY)
4  ANCIENT MAN Feb16 Dec31       (hughes w)LOPEZ A 124 12.00 8% 11.60    
  (by ZIVO out of BRAND ENHANCEMENT by GIROLAMO)
5  ACT A FOOL Jan13         (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 117 4.50 18% 4.60    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of POST SCRIPT by QUALITY ROAD)
6  RUSSIAN HAMMER Dec30 Dec17       (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 110 15.00    
  (by BELOMOR out of CUTE LEGGY LADY by MASTER COMMAND)
SCR  CRONUS Jan13 May07 Mar25 Mar04 Feb12 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 1.40 31% 2.30    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of RED MOON GIRL by MALIBU MOON)
 
HAW-5   03/05/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHOCOLATE BUNNY Dec10 Nov11 Jul20 Jun24 Jun04 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 115 15.00    
2  MINISTRY OF ART Feb12 Jan22 Dec18 Nov20 Oct09 (tracy tanner)FELIX E 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
3  BOURBON DELIGHT Jan19 Dec18 Dec10 Nov26 Nov12 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 15.00 ★    
4  PIRATE BIRD Nov11 Oct15 Sep30 Sep08 Aug28 (cook brian)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 6.00    
5  EMPTY HOLSTER Dec30 Dec10 Nov20 Oct21 Oct07 (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 3.00 17% 5.00    
6  GLOBAL EMPIRE Dec10 Nov20 Oct28 Sep20 Aug30 (quinonez max)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
7  ARGYBARGY BUCK Feb21 Feb03 Jan06 Dec08 Nov24 (martinez a)BAIRD T 122 5.00 10% 9.50    
 
HAW-6   03/05/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANNEL WON Jan20 Oct21 Aug17 Jun02 May11 (tracy tanner)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00 42% 1.40    
2  CHICKS FOR FREE Jan18 Dec17 Nov19 Aug12 Jul19 (manley steve)BAIRD T 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
3  TWO COOKIE RULE Dec31 Dec18 Nov26 Nov20 Oct30 (poulos dee)GILES EMMANUEL 115 4.50 ★    
4  TIZ DEJA BLUE Jan25 Jan12 Dec13 Nov14 Oct04 (delong be)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
5  CHRISTMAS PRESENT Dec31 Dec17 Dec02 Nov18 Nov11 (cook bria)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 6.00 ★    
6  D' YANK Dec31 Nov18 Nov06 Oct15 Sep25 (martinez a)FELIX E 122 5.00 11% 8.50    
7  Z U SOON Feb09 Jan23 Dec30 Dec09 Nov20 (winebaugh chery)REYES ANGEL 122 8.00    
 
HAW-7   03/05/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNOWMOBILE Dec09 Nov25 Nov11 Oct22   (perez manny)FELIX E 116 15.00    
2  TIZWOW Sep30 Sep06 Aug26 Aug09 Jul08 (retana gabe)ORTIZ ALVIN 116 12.00    
3  SMILE LIKE KYLE Jan28 Nov17 Sep09 May31 May10 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
4  HURTS SO BAD Jan16 Dec30 Dec16 Dec04 Nov19 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50 52% 0.90    
5  VALIANTLY DISCREET Dec30 Dec03 Nov19     (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.00 ★    
6  BEEASY Apr08 Mar11 Feb18 Jan09   (manley steve)BAIRD T 122 3.00 15% 5.70    
7  RACARINO Apr20 Apr03 Jan16     (gonzalez lilia)COLON H 122 6.00 6% 14.80    
8  U S HONOUR NAP Aug30 Aug16 Jul29 Jul15 Jun28 (becker scott)EMIGH A 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-8   03/05/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCY'S LOOKIN LEFT Feb15 Jan10 Dec11 Nov25 Nov11 (campbell )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 6.00 10% 9.20    
2  APOLLO U ANYWHERE Nov26 Nov11 Oct29 Oct15 Sep17 (quinonez ma)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 8.00    
3  PALACE MAGIC Dec17 Dec10 Nov18 Oct30 Sep26 (tracy tan)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 12.00    
4  FOOT RUB LOVE Feb25 Dec02 Nov21 Nov01 Oct09 (hernandez javier)ORM CORY 122 10.00    
5  SHEZ RECKLESS Feb08 Dec11 May28 May03 Apr03 (martinez a)BAIRD T 122 6.00 6% 15.70    
6  AVASARALA Jan04 Dec18 Nov27 Oct23 Sep24 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00 11% 8.10    
7  LONG TALL WOMAN Nov25 Nov11 Oct23 Oct09 Sep25 (hernandez arma)LEZCANO ABEL 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
8  GO STORMIN GIRL Dec31 Dec09 Nov11 Oct22 Sep24 (cook brian)GILES EMMANUEL 115 8.00 14% 6.30    
9  COOKIN ROSES Dec17 Dec03 Nov13 Oct28 Oct07 (quinonez max)HERNANDEZ K 122 15.00    
10  PRINCESS STELLA (IRE) Jan22 Dec16 Dec03 Oct16 Sep25 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 122 15.00    
 
HAW-9   03/05/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D'ARCHER Feb02 Jan11 Dec09 Nov18 Sep23 (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 12.00 11% 7.80    
2  CHOPPER Dec30 Dec18 Dec03 Nov18 Oct16 (cook brian)HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00 24% 3.20    
3  RISKY BOY Jan24 Jan14 Dec30 Dec17 Dec03 (shephard joh)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00    
4  BEL BIMBO Dec30 Dec09 Nov18 Oct30 Oct09 (castro isidro)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 30.00    
5  KING TITO Dec17 Nov18 Oct30 Oct21 Sep30 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00 ★    
6  GEMO RAIN Feb09 Dec17 Nov09 Oct24 Sep20 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 122 15.00    
7  DEVIL'S RULE Dec30 Dec17 Dec03 Nov13 Nov04 (cook bria)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 6.00    
SCR  RICHIESGOTSWAGGER Dec17 Dec03 Nov18 Nov04 Aug17 (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  D'FEVER Dec17 Nov18 Oct29 Oct09 Aug26 (dizeo dino)COLON H 122 4.00 ★    
10  GREELEYS ICE Dec30 Dec18 Oct21 Jun25 Jun11 (reyes martin)GILES EMMANUEL 115 20.00    
SCR  WILLING TO SPEED Dec02 Oct15 Sep30 Jun24 Jun04 (perez manny)LOPEZ A 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.