Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Sunday - March 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
FON-2   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/1/3)-(4/2/1/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FON-3   WIN (6/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3/5)-(6/4/2/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FON-4   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5/1/2)-(6/4/5/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FON-5   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2/3/7)-(4/1/2/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(4/1/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
FON-6   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5/6/2)-(4/1/5/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   03/05/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT CAVIAR Feb25 Feb10 Sep19 Sep09 Aug29 (lemburg mark)MARTINEZ A 125 4.50 10% 8.60    
2  LOT'SA SILVER Feb24 Feb11 Jan05 Dec19 Nov09 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.80 ★    
3  TRICKY MOM Feb09 Jan25 Dec02 Nov16 Oct29 (gonzalez isa)BETHKE A 125 3.50 44% 1.30    
4  SEGOVIANA Feb18 Feb10 Jan12 Dec27 Dec16 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.00 18% 4.70    
5  NEBRASKA RED Feb18 Feb10 Jul24 Jun19 May29 (mcclain stanle)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 6.00 ★    
 
FON-2   03/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($4.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARACTER COUNTS Feb12 Jan26 Jan01 Dec07 Oct05 (anderson da)MORALES ROBERTO 121 4.50 ★    
2  SLOOPY HANG ON Feb25 Feb19 Jan11 Dec21 Nov25 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.40 29% 2.40    
3  MISS GRAND SLAM Feb22 Nov11 Oct05 Aug23 Aug17 (chavez veroni)CARDOSO DAVID 121 12.00 ★    
4  WANDAS CAFE Feb25 Feb11 Feb20     (lemburg m)MEDINA ANGEL 125 1.80 34% 1.90    
SCR  PIZZA GIRL Feb25 Feb11 Sep24     (musquiz j)HAAR NATHAN 121 6.00 9% 10.40    
6  ITHOUGHTIKNEW Feb18 Sep19       (childs russell)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 8.00    
 
FON-3   03/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITCHY WINDSOR Feb24 May28 May20 May07 Apr15 (sorensen mike)RAMOS B 125 10.00    
2  GIGGLES AND SMOKE Feb12 Sep26 Sep20 Sep06 Jun18 (bliss dean)FACKLER CHRIS 125 5.00 16% 5.30    
3  BLUEBIRD DAY (IRE) Feb10 Jun03 May28 May15 Feb26 (ducheneaux j)BETHKE A 125 12.00 12% 7.20    
4  TAYLOR'S BEAUTY Feb24 Feb10 Jun18 May28 May07 (dieter)FLETCHER D 125 1.80 21% 3.80    
5  ZIPPORAH Feb25 Sep11 Jul26 Jul11 Apr16 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 ★    
6  CECILIA'S HOPE Feb24 Jan19 Nov09 Sep28 Aug17 (chavez juan)MARTINEZ A 125 2.50 27% 2.60    
 
FON-4   03/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($2.5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAYETTE WARRIOR Feb19 Oct01 Sep19 Sep05 Aug18 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 1.60 ★    
2  THREE RUN HOMER Feb24 Feb19 Dec18 Dec09 Nov27 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.00 ★    
3  HATTIES JEWEL Feb19 Feb11 Oct02 Aug27 Aug04 (bethke a)FACKLER CHRIS 125 10.00    
4  SANCOCHO (MEX) Feb19 Feb10 Jan23 Jan08   (castillo sa)MARTINEZ R 125 3.50 27% 2.70    
5  PODEROSO EQUS Oct02 Sep19 Sep11 Aug23 Jul17 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00 7% 13.00    
6  MATRICULATE Feb19 Jun17 Jun03 May27 May07 (rhodes lester)RAMOS B 125 5.00 40% 1.50    
 
FON-5   03/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIEF TY HE Feb19 Jun10 May30 May14 Apr22 (hemmer terrel)FACKLER CHRIS 125 5.00 8% 11.50    
2  DIAMANTE JOSE Feb19 Jun17 Jun04 May28 May01 (anderson da)MORALES ROBERTO 125 10.00 5% 18.30    
3  PRINCE B Feb19 Jun19 Jun10 May30 May14 (rivera gregor)CARDOSO DAVID 125 8.00 ★    
4  JUDGE'S BRIBE Feb19 May14 Apr22 Mar27 Mar06 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 1.60 62% 0.60    
5  HUSKER LEGACY Feb19 Jun17 Jun04 May28 May14 (compton jesse)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
6  P R WHY NOT Feb19 Jun10 May30 May20 Apr29 (luke l)BETHKE A 125 10.00    
7  PAISANO JIM Feb11 May14 Apr24 Apr03 Mar20 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 ★    
 
FON-6   03/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALEB ON THE GO Feb17 Jun17 May14 Apr24 Apr03 (wise jaso)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.00 27% 2.70    
2  PICKLES N ME Feb17 Jun18 Jun11 May28 Apr29 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 8.00 ★    
3  CHARED Feb17 Jun18 Jun11 May28 May20 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 10.00    
4  NAME THE PRICE Feb17 Apr30 Mar26 Mar12 Feb26 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.00 30% 2.30    
5  WANT TO BE COWBOY Feb17 Apr30 Apr24 Mar26 Mar12 (martinez kelli)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 3.00 15% 5.80    
6  LITTLE BITOTHUNDER Feb17 Jun11 Apr22 Mar27 Mar13 (rivera gregor)CARDOSO DAVID 125 6.00 ★    
7  REPORT TO DUTY Feb17 Jun19 May20 Apr29 Apr09 (musquiz j)HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00    
8  MR. BIG SHOT Feb18 Jun18 Jun10 May30 May14 (anderson c)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.