Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Friday - February 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (5/6/3/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/1/7)-(5/6/3/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/1/7)-(2/1)-(2/3/5) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
LRL-2   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/3/5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    DD (2/1)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(2/3/5)-(5/3/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-3   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(5/3/2/1)-(6/3/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-4   WIN (5/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/1)-(5/3/2/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2/1)-(6/3/1/2)-(6/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-5   WIN (6/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/2)-(6/1/3)-(2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-6   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(2/5)-(1/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-7   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5/4/3/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
LRL-8   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/7)-(1/2/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   02/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL ME MAESTRO Jan13 Dec16       (dilodovico)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 3.50 11% 8.20    
CRIMSON ROCKET Feb12 Jan21 Dec29 Dec04 Nov14 (magee kiero)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 5.00    
YOUNG TURK Feb12 Jan13 Dec17 Dec11 Nov20 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 126 6.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  LOOKIN FOR JUSTICE Feb12 Jan29 Dec31 Dec10 Nov11 (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 122 20.00    
AMPERSAND Dec17 Nov19 Oct20 Sep04 Jul24 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 2.00 36% 1.80    
ON THE ENGINE Jan29 Dec30 Dec02 Nov04 Oct15 (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 6.00 12% 7.60    
ORO DE MORO MORO Jan06 Dec11 Nov24 Nov04 Oct19 (sanchez-salo)BATISTA A 126 4.50 6% 15.60    
 
LRL-2   02/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($43K) 4UP ALL PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PRACTICAL SENSE Jan28 Jan22 Dec10 Nov02 Sep24 (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  PUDGE BOY PALACE Feb04 Jan06 Dec04 Nov18 Oct27 (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.50    
WHIZWIT Oct08 Sep03 Jul14 May26 Apr23 (perkins jr)BOYCE FOREST 126 4.00 43% 1.30    
NATAGAR Jan23 Dec18 May20 Apr09 Feb27 (dilodovico )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 3.00    
PER DIEM Feb05 Jan25 Jan07 Dec30 Sep24 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 5.00    
PHRA PHROM Feb12 Dec09 Nov18 Oct30 Oct23 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 122 12.00    
PATRIOTIC PARTY Jan06 Nov20 Oct23 Apr02   (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 126 3.00    
 
LRL-3   02/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 3 F PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARIA FROM MIAMI Feb03 Jan13 Nov25 Oct16 Oct08 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 2.50    
STORMIN' AMANDA Jan29 Jan18 Dec22     (salazar marco)ACOSTA D 124 3.00 51% 1.00    
FIVECOMMATWO Nov19 Oct22 Oct08 Sep11 Aug20 (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 124 3.00 18% 4.70    
TINSELTOWN TINA Feb03         (feliciano ben )ROSADO JOHAN 124 4.00    
LIL SPINNER Feb03 Jan16 Dec31 Dec02   (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 124 8.00 9% 10.20    
HEARTSANDDIAMONDS         (eppler mary )BARBOSA JEIRON 119 12.00    
PEACHESSWEETNOTION Feb03         (perri gina)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 15.00    
 
LRL-4   02/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DULCE KIARA Feb17 Feb04 Jan06 Nov24 Oct22 (demario cha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.50 11% 8.40    
LITTLE MS SCARLET Jan20 Dec29 Sep21 Aug08 Jul10 (gonzalez c)RIVERA R 112 8.00 18% 4.60    
IZZYBELLA Feb03 Oct14 Aug18 Aug03 Jun17 (simoff andre)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 1.80 21% 3.80    
LADY MACHO Jan27 Dec03 Nov10 Oct19 Sep10 (atkins )ORTIZ ORLANDO 119 12.00    
WITTY BANTER Jan28 Jan07 Dec17 Nov19 Oct30 (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
UNADULTERATED Jan28 Jan01 Dec18 Nov19 Oct29 (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 2.50    
 
LRL-5   02/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAUTILUS (BRZ) Feb04 Jan15 Jan07 Dec31 Nov25 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.50 22% 3.60    
WORKIN ON A DREAM Feb04 Jan15 Dec30 Jun04 May20 (graham l)BOYCE FOREST 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
DOPPELGANGER Jan27 Jul09 Jun11 May07 Apr02 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 1.60 23% 3.30    
ONE TEN Jan21 Dec31 Nov25 Nov14 Oct30 (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 123 6.00    
HOLY SYNCHRONICITY Feb11 Jan16 Dec18 Nov12 Oct27 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 123 10.00    
SHAFT'S BULLET Feb04 Jan06 Feb20     (capuano gary)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 2.00 26% 2.80    
JALEN JOURNEY Feb13 Feb04 Jan16 Jan01 Dec09 (cash l)ACOSTA D 119 15.00    
 
LRL-6   02/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. HUSTLE Feb11 Jan10 Dec13 Dec03 Nov07 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.50 9% 10.40    
PRAIRIE Jan21 Dec31 Dec14 Nov05 Oct13 (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 126 4.50    
YES SIR ROBERT Jan21 Jan07 Dec09 Nov27 Nov11 (maldonado jona)PEREZ XAVIER 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
LOCAL MOTIVE Jan16 Dec17 Nov26 Nov04 Oct08 (salzman e)ACOSTA D 123 8.00    
SCR  GOLDEN GULLEY Dec16 Nov26 Nov03 Oct07 Sep23 (capuano gary)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 10.00    
DIXIE DRAWL Feb17 Jan20 Dec31 Dec03 Oct13 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 5.00 61% 0.60    
TREASURE TRADITION Feb11 Jan16 Dec03 Nov21 Oct22 (jenkins rodney)MONTERREY R 123 12.00    
SCR  CLASSIER Jan02 Jan14       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.00    
 
LRL-7   02/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($70K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRAY FOR THE U S A Feb10 Jan25 Jan07 Dec10 Nov24 (frock char)RIVERA R 119 20.00    
RESPONSE TIME Feb04 Jan07 Dec04 Nov11 Oct23 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 2.00 51% 0.90    
CHEETARA (CHI) Oct29 Sep25 Aug16 Jul16 Jun04 (correas ignac)KARAMANOS A 123 3.50    
SHESALITTLE EDGY Jan27 May19 Apr29 Mar26 Mar04 (rodriguez)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 3.50    
PRINCESS KOKACHIN Feb04 Oct30 May20 Apr23 Mar13 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 2.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  COLLEGE KID Feb10 Jan21 Jan05 Nov02 Oct08 (kee j)ACOSTA D 123 20.00    
WHISKEY AND RYE Feb02 Jan07 Dec18 Oct23 Mar13 (robb j)CRUZ ANGEL 126 8.00    
 
LRL-8   02/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUSICAL CAT Feb03 Jan07 Nov25 Nov07 Sep28 (allen fer)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 6.00 19% 4.20    
GWYNEDD Feb03 Jan07 Aug27 Jun04 Apr22 (perkins be)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 126 3.50 15% 5.80    
SAPPHIRE BEAUTY Feb12 Jan29 Jan13 Oct29 Oct08 (sanchez-salo)BATISTA A 122 12.00    
THE HAUNTED ROOM Feb11 Jan15 Dec11 Oct29 Oct08 (sepulveda carlos)ACOSTA D 126 15.00    
SCR  ANILEATE Jan01 Dec03 Nov19 Oct16   (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 2.00 34% 1.90    
RED WINE TIME Jan20 Jan01 Nov25 Oct22 Mar19 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 126 2.50    
PERFORMANCEANXIETY Jan29 Jan15 Dec29 Dec04 Nov21 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 6.00 9% 10.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.