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The Longshot Specialist!
Parx Racing
Tuesday - February 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRX-1   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3/4/5)-(2/1/3/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(4/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(4/2/3)-(2/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-2   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3/5)-(4/2/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(2/1/4)-(3/4/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRX-3   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(3/4/5)-(7/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRX-4   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5/1/6)-(3/4/5/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(7/3)-(6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-5   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/3)-(7/3/6/4/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/3)-(7/3/6/4/2)-(7/3/6/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3)-(6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7/3)-(6/4)-(3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PRX-6   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/3/2/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/4/3/2/5)-(6/4/3/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4)-(3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(3/2)-(5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-7   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/2)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(5/4/6)-(3/12/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRX-8   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6/1)-(5/4/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(3/12/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(3/12/5)-(1/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRX-9   WIN (3/12/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/12/5)-(3/12/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/12/5)-(3/12/5)-(3/12/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/12/5)-(1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/12/5)-(1/3)-(5/9/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRX-10   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/4/2/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/4/2/6)-(1/3/4/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3)-(5/9/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
PRX-11   WIN (5/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/9/1)-(5/9/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/9/1)-(5/9/1/7)-(5/9/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRX-1   02/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT-11:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSE LEGACY Jan16 Dec06 Nov08 Oct24 Sep27 (guerrero c)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 2.00 14% 6.20    
2  YELLOW DRESS Jan16 Dec19 Nov16 Nov02 Sep14 (linder l)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 3.00 59% 0.70    
3  PEARLBDANCING Jan16 Dec19 Dec05 Nov01 Oct12 (bullock jorda)PEREZ M 121 4.50 5% 18.20    
4  PRINCESS EMMA JO Jan16 Dec06 Nov16 Jun17 May25 (aro michael )HADDOCK DEXTER 121 6.00 ★    
5  FRIEDER FANATIC Jan16 Dec19 Dec06 Jul25 Jul04 (polachek ja)DE KEMICH 114 12.00 ★    
6  BELLA MARIA Jan16 Jan04 Dec05 Oct24 Sep13 (hogan william)OCASIO M 121 10.00    
7  NANA'S BOOPA Jan25 Jan16 Dec19 Nov08 Oct12 (santaella-cald)TORRES JOMAR 121 6.00    
 
PRX-2   02/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT-12:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRONE SWARM Feb06 Jan18 Jan04 Dec06 Nov28 (diaz jorge)RUIZ ELISEO 111 15.00    
2  FRENCH TOAST Jan16 Dec20 Nov30 Nov02 Oct17 (brown ho)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 3.50 22% 3.60    
3  CURLIN'S THRILL Jan31 Jan18 Jan10 Dec14 Nov30 (diaz jorge)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 10.00 5% 18.20    
4  MYSTIC LINK Jan18 Dec21 Nov07 Oct22 Sep24 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 2.00 48% 1.10    
5  E T'S SUPER STAR Jan25 Jan13 Jan02 Dec19 Dec06 (bouchard les)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 4.50 ★    
SCR  O K GAME ON Feb02 Jan18 Dec20 Nov30 Nov08 (dukes harri)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  IN EQUALITY Jan24 Jan02 Nov30 Nov08 Oct18 (abrams ronal)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 4.00    
 
PRX-3   02/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT-12:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KERNESS Jan24 Jan03 Dec10     (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 2.00 21% 3.70    
2  DESANTIS Jan24 Jan03 Oct28 Oct09 Sep18 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 1.60 35% 1.80    
SCR  CHIP'S FRIEND Jan24         (pino michael)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 4.50 10% 8.60    
4  BUBBY PAPERMAKER         (whylie o)BOWMAN ADAM 121 8.00 6% 14.60    
SCR  BEN'S IMAGINE         (castillo mi)DE KEMICH 114 8.00 6% 14.60    
6  DOCTOR MAGIC Jan25         (whylie herold)MILAN GERARDO 121 5.00    
 
PRX-4   02/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRAFTY DON Jan23 Jan11 Nov05 Oct01 Sep02 (perez rupe)SANCHEZ J 121 12.00 ★    
2  RON DON SCORESE Jan17 Jan03 Dec13 Nov22 Nov15 (rodriguez m)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 3.50    
3  EXIT RIGHT Jan17 Jan02 Oct14 Sep24 Aug30 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 1.20 48% 1.10    
4  SILVER EDGE Jan17 Jan03 Oct31 Oct11 Sep26 (pollara fran)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 3.00 23% 3.40    
5  OFF THE MEDS Jan27 Jan06 Dec12 Nov15 Oct19 (farro patrici)RIVERA D 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  WILLY MC Feb01 Jan02 Dec13 Nov23 Oct22 (flores-coba f)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 8.00 ★    
 
PRX-5   02/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  B B'S ROCKET Feb01 Jan11 Dec14 Nov29 Nov08 (bouchard les)ORTIZ JONATHAN 111 8.00    
2  KENAI COOL Feb01 Jan11 Dec12 Nov14 Oct24 (crowell susan)PEREZ M 121 8.00 ★    
3  SMOOTH AS GLASS Jan30 Jun27 Apr23 Mar09 Feb09 (flores)GONZALEZ JR 121 5.00 11% 7.80    
4  CABRA CHICA Jan24 Jan18 Nov21 Oct24 Sep27 (vega richard)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 3.00 ★    
5  PENANCE Feb01 Jan11 Dec12 Nov14 Oct26 (pollara frank)RIVERA D 121 6.00    
6  ANGINETTI Feb01 Jan09 Dec12 Nov14 Oct24 (lee haleem )DE KEMICH 114 6.00 ★    
7  NOTHINS FREE Jan24 Jan09 Dec14 Nov14 Sep18 (correnti arm)TORRES A 114 2.00 60% 0.70    
 
PRX-6   02/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3 ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ECLIPTICAL DAVID Nov30 Sep22 Sep03     (caban car)FELIX M 121 15.00    
2  RUN FOR KARL Jan11 Jan03 Nov22 Oct04 Sep09 (romero rafael)BOWMAN ADAM 121 10.00 ★    
3  RUNNIN JOKE Dec06 Nov16       (hawthorne bo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 3.50 ★    
4  SHADOW CHASER Jan23 Jan11 Dec07 Sep18 Aug15 (flores-coba )LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 2.50 12% 7.50    
5  SHOW EM THE LIGHTS Jan31 Sep17 Aug26     (hamilton st)RAMOS C 116 5.00 ★    
6  BLACKWATER FALLS Jan31 Jan11 Dec08 Nov17 Nov04 (bryant donald)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 1.80 57% 0.80    
 
PRX-7   02/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOOM BOOM GIRL Feb06 Jan11 Dec20 Dec13 Nov16 (servis joh)SANCHEZ J 121 1.80 16% 5.30    
2  MY CORALENA Jan24 Jan09 Dec05 Nov15 Oct11 (hawthorne bo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 124 3.50 19% 4.40    
3  TRIBORD Jan17 Dec13 Nov16 Oct04 Sep07 (solis jacinto)BOWMAN ADAM 121 1.60 26% 2.80    
4  SPEIGHTSTER'S GOLD Jan25 Dec13 Nov14 Oct04 Sep14 (wyner harol)OCASIO JONATHAN 121 8.00 ★    
SCR  FRAME THIS Feb08 Jan10 Dec19 Nov28 Nov08 (simone michae)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 99.00 14% 6.30    
6  DON'T TELL FRANKIE Jan25 Jan09 Dec20 Nov29 Oct31 (pollara frank)RIVERA D 121 5.00    
7  YOURINDENIAL Jan25 Jan12 Dec13 Nov15 Oct19 (nicholson ju)ORTIZ JONATHAN 111 15.00    
 
PRX-8   02/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKE CHARGE ERICA Jan24 Jun02 Apr22 Feb13 Jan15 (crow)HUAYAS (JASON) 114 6.00 ★    
2  AKEMI Jan17 Jan03 Dec14 Nov23 Oct06 (cole-davis ti)TREJOS JOSEPH 124 8.00    
3  SPANIKOPITA Dec06 Nov21 Oct22 Oct05 Sep17 (cole-davis tina)BOWMAN ADAM 121 8.00    
4  DECOUPAGE Feb05 Oct27 Oct01 Sep08 Jun01 (velazquez daniel)CASTILLO A 124 2.50 11% 7.70    
5  NURTURING Feb07 Dec12 Nov23 Oct31 Sep14 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 1.60 57% 0.80    
6  ENCHANTING WAY Jan18 Dec06 Nov23 Nov09 Sep18 (padilla hugo )MILAN GERARDO 121 6.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  CLOUT CHASER Jan18 Jan03 Nov23 Oct19 Sep28 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 12.00 ★    
 
PRX-9   02/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUNEO Dec19 Oct11 Sep14 Sep05 Aug22 (flores-coba f)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 8.00    
SCR  FIELDER Jan31 Jan11 Dec10 Nov25 Nov04 (aristone ph)DE KEMICH 114 10.00 6% 15.00    
3  PASSAGE OF LINES Jan24 Jan02 Nov14 Oct19 Sep27 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 124 4.00 39% 1.60    
4  HARD WEST Jan16 Dec21 Nov30 Nov15 Oct17 (king cla)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 6.00    
5  MANOLETE Jan31 Jan11 Jan02 Dec12 Nov15 (rosado ro)VARGAS A 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  CATCH MY VIBE Jan16 Jan02 Nov01 Oct17 Sep28 (thompson martin)BOWMAN ADAM 121 20.00    
7  HIDE THE RANSOM Jan30 Jan23 Jan02 Dec09 Nov29 (diaz jorge)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 10.00    
8  MANAHAWKIN Jan31 Jan11 Nov21 Oct31 Sep14 (thompson marti)NGUYEN JASON 121 20.00    
9  GRAVEL ROAD Nov09 Sep07 May17 Jan31   (allen randy)ADORNO ABNER 121 15.00    
10  SPITTIN IMAGE Jan09 Nov29 Nov08 Oct17 Sep18 (padilla hugo )MILAN GERARDO 121 10.00    
11  CAJUN LOVER Jan23 Dec19 Dec05 Oct22 Oct05 (catalano m)SANCHEZ J 124 6.00    
12  LOVERBOY LOU Jan24 Jan09 Jul18 Jul02 Jun21 (abrams rona)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 4.50 16% 5.10    
13  SATCHEL DE RITCHES Jan16 Dec21 Dec05 Oct26 Oct05 (lee r)PENNINGTON F 121 8.00    
SCR  RUDY ROD Jan03 Dec14 Nov21 Sep26 Sep06 (velazquez alf)RANGEL JOEZER 121 5.00 11% 7.80    
 
PRX-10   02/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAMING OF GERRY Jan23 Jul23 Jun30 May25 May03 (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 2.00 56% 0.80    
2  WILL E SUTTON Jan07 Dec11 Nov12 Oct23 Oct13 (jacobson)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 6.00 ★    
3  ABUELO NUNO Feb01 Jan03 Nov29 Oct31 Oct10 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 121 4.00 19% 4.40    
4  GOOD CULTURE Jan23 Dec21 Nov30 Nov14 Oct24 (mosco robert)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 3.00 ★    
5  KODAPENDENT Jan23 Jan18 Dec21 Dec13 Nov22 (solis jacin)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 6.00    
6  LIAM'S BLUE MOON Jan18 Jan02 Dec12 Nov20 Oct15 (taylor jos)SANCHEZ J 124 4.50 ★    
 
PRX-11   02/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCARLET'S SONG         (aro c)CASTILLO A 124 6.00 9% 10.00    
SCR  YELOMA Oct08 Aug28 Jul31     (hogan william)OCASIO M 124 5.00 ★    
3  COUSIN MARIE Jun21 May30 May11     (dotolo david)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 15.00    
SCR  RUBY DOOBY DOO Nov04 Oct15 Oct01 Sep21 Sep12 (ashton patrick)MARIANO ABEL 124 8.00    
5  BET ON DRAMA Feb07 Jan09 Nov21 Nov02 Oct26 (flores-coba )LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 3.00 56% 0.80    
6  COLLEGE TRY Jan17 Nov02 Sep27     (pessanha ney)MOYA F 124 15.00    
7  SAY NO MORE Jan09 Dec07 Jun15 May14 Apr23 (nicholson jun)PEREZ M 124 6.00 ★    
8  WILD KEYLIMAR Feb07 Oct23       (castillo sa)RAMOS C 119 10.00    
9  ANGELOFTHEGALAXY Jan27 Dec20 Dec07 Oct26 Oct11 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 124 4.00 10% 9.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.