Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Sunday - February 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-2   WIN (4/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/1)-(4/5/7/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/1)-(4/5/7/1/3)-(4/5/7/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/5/7/1)-(6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7/1)-(6/2)-(8/1/2/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
HOU-3   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/2)-(8/1/2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(8/1/2/4)-(8/9/10/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
HOU-4   WIN (8/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/2/4)-(8/1/2/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/1/2/4)-(8/1/2/4/3)-(8/1/2/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/1/2/4)-(8/9/10/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/2/4)-(8/9/10/4)-(4/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-5   WIN (8/9/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/10/4)-(8/9/10/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/9/10/4)-(8/9/10/4/2)-(8/9/10/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/9/10/4)-(4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/9/10/4)-(4/5/3)-(5/6/3/2/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-6   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3/6)-(4/5/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(5/6/3/2/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(5/6/3/2/1)-(2/10/6/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-7   WIN (5/6/3/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/2/1)-(5/6/3/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/2/1)-(5/6/3/2/1)-(5/6/3/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/6/3/2/1)-(2/10/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
HOU-8   WIN (2/10/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/10/6/4)-(2/10/6/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/10/6/4)-(2/10/6/4/5)-(2/10/6/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-2   02/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIXIE MOONSHINE Jan13 Dec09 Oct15     (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of CITRON LADY by LEMON DROP KID)
2  RAIL TOWN Jul24         (ashf)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 12.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of CHARMING BECKY by DIXIE UNION)
3  FLYING G Jan16 Dec07 Nov22     (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 4.50 ★    
  (by EARLY FLYER out of GALILEA by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
4  BOUGIE JOE Jan14 Dec10 Nov15     (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 2.00 47% 1.10    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of APPEALING CAT by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
5  SPOILER Nov26 Oct09       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 1.60 14% 5.90    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of A. P.'S GLORY by MINESHAFT)
6  NERKY ROSE Dec07 Oct06       (c)DE CRUZ 122 12.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CORDELHIA by AUSTRALIA (GB))
7  BAY BE GONE Feb03 Jan13 Nov25 Oct28 Sep17 (garza joaqu)MELANCON JANSEN 122 6.00 8% 11.60    
  (by KLIMT out of O'HEAT by UNUSUAL HEAT)
 
HOU-3   02/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  METALLIC SILVER Nov17 Jun17 May30 May07 Mar26 (roub)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 6.00 ★    
2  FREEZER BURN Jan21 Nov27 Nov09 Oct14 Sep28 (montano wilf)EDISON JOCELYN 118 12.00 7% 14.30    
3  ENFANT DE PACQUE Jan13 Aug27 Aug13     (carrizale)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 10.00    
SCR  IMAGINARY IMAGE         (sayre d)SANCHEZ M 123 4.50 42% 1.40    
5  MISS M J Jan13 Oct08 Sep25 Sep10 Aug27 (duhon pau)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 2.50    
6  SAILSINTHESUNSET Sep04 Aug20 Jul03 Jun05 May25 (roberts blair)DIEGO V 123 3.00 11% 8.40    
SCR  FACESTER Nov04 Oct19 Sep23 Sep07 Jul23 (williams steve)MORA GERARDO 123 3.50 16% 5.10    
 
HOU-4   02/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($11K) 45 M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELL PEPPER Jan27 Dec19 Nov25 Oct22   (winslow janine)DIEGO V 123 4.00 20% 3.90    
2  SIGNE Aug28 Aug14 Jul24 Jun26 May19 (swift a)JUDE JOHN 123 6.00 9% 9.60    
3  LIL' BIT OF CHROME Dec30 Nov22 Nov02 Sep29 Mar17 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 123 20.00 ★    
4  CUPID'S JOY Jan27 Jan16 Dec15 Dec07 Nov12 (davidson sarah)LANDEROS C 123 30.00 9% 10.10    
5  MY GOLDEN PRIZE Dec09 Sep01 May10 Apr19   (prui)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 20.00    
6  MUCHO MACHO BABY Jan14 Dec02 Sep24 Sep09   (govea ces)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 20.00    
7  CONTEMPO GRAY Nov12 Sep29 Aug20 Jul24 Jul08 (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 123 12.00    
8  SWEET DYNASTY Jan07 Dec15 Nov22 Nov04 Oct01 (glover tr)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 0.60 39% 1.60    
 
HOU-5   02/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3 F PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLONDES HAVEMO FUN Jan22 Jan07 Nov25 Oct13 Sep01 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 122 20.00    
2  IM THE BIGGER BEAR Jan13 Nov30 Nov12 Oct19 Sep30 (villafranco)WETHEY JR 122 10.00 ★    
3  CHA CHA DANCER Jan13 Dec15 Dec03 Nov12 Nov03 (young s)GONCALVES R 122 15.00    
4  CRIMSON LADY Jan13 Dec10 Nov03 Sep09   (broberg karl)ALVAREZ L 122 8.00 7% 13.60    
5  RAISE THE PRAISE Jan16 Dec29 Dec08 Aug29 Jul07 (pomier dev)DIEGO V 122 20.00    
6  ROSES ARE GRAY Jan13 Dec09 Nov07 Sep30 Sep14 (ashford ray)ELLIOTT S 122 6.00    
7  HIT'EM UP Jan07 Nov03 Oct12 Sep23 Sep09 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 30.00    
8  DRENCHED Jan27 Jan15 Oct07     (clary r)MORA GERARDO 122 3.50 41% 1.50    
9  TRIPLE L'S CUTTER Jan16 Dec22 Nov17 Oct22   (gelner j)CIVACI SAHIN 122 4.50 23% 3.30    
10  SUNNY SAN LEON Jan16 Nov21 Nov02 Sep30 Sep09 (gelner jayd)MELANCON JANSEN 122 2.50 8% 11.50    
 
HOU-6   02/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEXAS GOLD RUSH Dec21 Dec09 Nov09 Oct08 Sep13 (butle)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 20.00    
2  RECKLESS RED Jan14 Oct08 Sep28 Jul23 May01 (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 6.00    
3  RUNNING JESSE Sep11 Aug27 Jul04 Jun09 Mar18 (roubion steve)MORA GERARDO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  GRAMI'S BOY Jan15 May08 Mar23 Mar11 Feb19 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 1.40 32% 2.10    
5  SR. BI BI Jan07 Dec14 Dec03 Nov04 Oct15 (c)DE CRUZ 123 3.00 27% 2.70    
6  WITT AND WHISKEY Sep26 Sep06 Aug29 Aug22 Jun24 (davidson sa)HAMILTON WESTON 123 15.00 ★    
7  PROUD TO SERVE Feb03 Jan14 Aug27 Aug13 Jul17 (carrizale)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 20.00    
SCR  KLIMCO Jan21 Jan06 Dec02 Nov08 Sep11 (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 3.50 14% 6.20    
 
HOU-7   02/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEE SHE'S FANCY Jan27 Jan14 Sep28 Sep07 Aug19 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 122 12.00 6% 14.70    
2  KAUSE I'M DEVINE Jul09 Jun19 May28 Apr08 Mar19 (saavedra mary)DIEGO V 122 10.00 7% 14.30    
3  RECLUSIVE Jan27 Jan08 Sep25 Sep05 Feb23 (h)DE CRUZ 122 3.50 7% 12.90    
SCR  REUNION BLING Jul22 Jul09 Mar25 Mar02 Jan29 (diodoro robert)CIVACI SAHIN 122 15.00    
5  EAGLE EXPRESS Jan08 Sep02 Jul22 May22 Apr29 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.00 34% 2.00    
6  DIAMONDS N ACES Jan08 Jul04 Jun05 May22 May07 (whit)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
7  HIGH DEF RIDGE Jan21 Jan08 Sep17 Jul23 May13 (kotara ronald)SANCHEZ M 122 30.00    
8  PROUD VALENTINE Dec15 Sep30 Sep02 Jul21   (hebert matt)HAMILTON WESTON 122 4.00    
 
HOU-8   02/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL ASHLEY B. Jan07 Sep19 Aug01 May30 May09 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 119 10.00    
2  HUSHED COURT ROOM Nov07 Oct22 Oct08 Sep19 Sep10 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 119 6.00 42% 1.40    
3  MALIBU MIDNIGHT Jan13 Oct22 Sep30 Sep10 Jul08 (dupuy allen)HAMILTON WESTON 119 15.00    
4  LEGENDARYS FIRST Oct23 Oct05 Sep20 Sep13 Aug30 (montano wilfrido)MONTALVO C 119 8.00 6% 14.90    
5  SKYKAT Jan07 Oct22 Oct13 Sep29 Sep07 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 6.00 ★    
6  SHE'S FIRE AND ICE Nov03 Sep04 Aug19 Jul11 Jun28 (young scott)WETHEY JR 119 15.00 13% 6.80    
7  SWEET PERFECTION Jan13 Jul23 Jun18 Apr29 Apr08 (duhon paul)DIEGO V 119 30.00    
8  PRETTY IN PINK Jan15 Dec17 Oct20 Sep03 Jul16 (ashford ray)ELLIOTT S 119 10.00    
9  RED HOT MOON Jan06 Nov15 Sep30 Sep15 Aug25 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 2.50    
10  QUINN ELLA Jan15 Jan06 Dec16 Sep03 Jul16 (g)DE CRUZ 119 3.50 15% 5.60    
SCR  SUPER LEGS Jan07 Dec15 Nov22 Nov11 Sep29 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 119 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.