Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Saturday - February 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/7/1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/5/7/1/6)-(3/5/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5)-(1/7/2/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(1/7/2/6)-(6/3) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
SA-2   WIN (1/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6/4)-(1/7/2/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/2/6)-(6/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2/6)-(6/3)-(6/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-3   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/4/7/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/4/7/1)-(6/3/4/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3)-(6/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(6/2/1)-(5/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
SA-4   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1/5/8)-(6/2/1/5/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(5/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(5/7)-(10/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
SA-5   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7/8/1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/7)-(5/7/8/1/6)-(5/7/8/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7)-(10/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/7)-(10/1)-(1/7/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
SA-6   WIN (10/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (10/1)-(10/1/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (10/1)-(10/1/2/8)-(10/1/2/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (10/1)-(1/7/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/1)-(1/7/2)-(4/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SA-7   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/5/6/2)-(1/7/5/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/7/2)-(4/3/5/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2)-(4/3/5/7)-(3/10/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SA-8   WIN (4/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7/6)-(4/3/5/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/3/5/7)-(3/10/7/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5/7)-(3/10/7/2)-(9/10/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
SA-9   WIN (3/10/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/10/7/2)-(3/10/7/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/10/7/2)-(3/10/7/2/6)-(3/10/7/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/10/7/2)-(9/10/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
SA-10   WIN (9/10/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/10/8)-(9/10/8/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/10/8)-(9/10/8/1/7)-(9/10/8/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   02/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DENDERA Dec02 Nov12 Oct02 Sep04 Aug21 (powell leo)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 ★    
2  CHARLOTTE HARBOR Nov18 Oct15 Sep11 Jul24 Jun18 (cerin vladim)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 4.00    
3  RUNNINWITHTHEBOYZ Jan13 Oct22 Sep11 Aug14   (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 3.00 63% 0.60    
4  ROCK THE BOURBON Nov20 Oct15 Sep05 Aug06 Jul04 (cerin vladi)HERRERA A 124 6.00    
5  JIBBER JABBER (IRE) Jan20 Nov18 Oct16 Sep01 Jul31 (saldana ree)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 6.00 9% 10.20    
6  TEEN DRAMA Nov18 Oct23 Aug21 Jul03 May30 (quinonez rol)DESORMEAUX J 124 12.00 ★    
7  CONTROL FUNCTION Jan28 Nov04 Sep02 Jan16   (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 4.00 ★    
 
SA-2   02/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BELL Dec30 Mar18 Feb25     (yakteen ti)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 52% 0.90    
2  ADAM'S CREED Jan13 Dec02 Oct28 Oct09 Aug28 (yakteen tim)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 5.00 7% 13.40    
3  BACK ON THE STREET Dec09 Oct28 Aug27 Jul31 Jun12 (bell r)FREY KYLE 124 6.00    
4  SHEMAKESCENTS Jan27 Dec09 Nov20 Nov04 Sep30 (brinkerhoff )CONTRERAS LUIS 124 10.00 ★    
5  ASYLUM Jul09 Jun25       (shidaker duff)MATIAS J 124 12.00    
6  NEVER SWAY Jan20 Nov04 Oct22 Sep30 Aug20 (pin)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 4.00 7% 13.50    
7  PARCO Jan27 Jan08 Dec17 Oct30 Sep24 (papaprodromo)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 117 2.00 13% 6.70    
 
SA-3   02/11/2023 4290ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($47K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMANDER KHAI Dec31 Nov27 Oct15 Sep10 Aug19 (glatt mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 6.00 ★    
2  EXCEED SPEED LIMIT Dec31 Nov05 Oct10 Sep03 Jul30 (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 6.00    
3  MONGOLIAN MEMORY Jan13 Mar11 Feb18 Jan28 Jan06 (metz jeffrey)FREY KYLE 122 12.00 11% 8.50    
4  SOUTHERN HORSE (ARG) Jun19 May13 Apr01 Mar05 Jan21 (d'amato ph)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 ★    
5  JETOVATOR Oct16 May15 Mar20     (eurton peter)MALDONADO E 122 3.00    
6  MESUT Jan13 Nov27 Nov06 Jan07   (gaines carla)BRAVO J 120 4.00 61% 0.60    
7  INCH Oct22 Aug25 Aug06 Jun11 May21 (mullins jeff)SMITH E 122 4.00 ★    
 
SA-4   02/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLACK MAGICIAN Jan21 Dec10 Nov25     (palma hector )PEREIRA TIAGO 122 12.00 5% 18.90    
2  CRYPTO RIDE Jan07 Dec18 Dec09 Oct22 Sep16 (lewis craig)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 3.00 34% 2.00    
3  TOP OF MY GAME Jan21 Dec10 Dec02 Nov13 Oct23 (knapp steve)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 6.00    
4  AMIGO G A Jan07 Dec18 Nov27 Sep09 Aug27 (quinonez rolan)CEDILLO ABEL 122 15.00    
5  ARMY STAR Jan21 Dec03 Oct14 Sep17   (capestro pa)HERRERA A 124 3.00 ★    
6  CROWNING GOLD Jan21 Dec03 Nov05 Sep05 Aug26 (koriner brian)SMITH E 122 2.50 36% 1.70    
7  MERIT SONG Jan07 Dec18 Dec03 Oct29 Sep09 (palma hecto)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 12.00    
8  GOLDENSPA Jan21 Nov19 Oct16 Aug11   (o'neill do)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 ★    
 
SA-5   02/11/2023 3960ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAPA TIGER Jan14 Dec11 Oct30 Oct08   (koriner bri)HERRERA A 124 5.00 ★    
2  PETRUCHIO Dec04 Nov11 Oct16 Sep01 Jul30 (o'neill dou)AGUILAR ARMANDO 113 12.00    
3  BRACE FOR IMPACT Jan02 Dec04 Nov06 Jan15   (hea)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 8.00    
4  THANKS MAGGIO (ARG) Jan21 Jan02 Nov27 Oct21 Sep17 (psarras andre)PYFER JESSICA 120 20.00    
5  CONSTANT CONFLICT Jan02 Nov20 Oct02 Sep01 Aug04 (harris andrew)MALDONADO E 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
6  RELAXED ARTIST (IRE) Oct09 Sep10 Feb26     (glatt mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 3.00 ★    
7  MISSED CALL Jan02 Dec11 Oct08 Sep10 Aug14 (aguirre pa)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 35% 1.90    
8  KIMMER Jan02 Dec11 Nov05 Oct15 Sep24 (vallej)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 5.00 ★    
 
SA-6   02/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HANDSOME GARY Jan08 Dec04 Nov20 Oct30 Oct07 (wong jonathan)FREY KYLE 122 6.00 6% 14.50    
2  AFTERNOON HEAT         (vallej)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 12.00 ★    
3  WINDING Jan22 Aug22       (uranga jesus)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 10.00    
4  SIERRA PASS Sep25 Sep17 Sep01 Aug18 Jul23 (stutts r)MATIAS J 122 30.00    
5  GOLDEN IMAGE Jan21 Dec11 Aug14 Jul28   (dun)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 30.00    
SCR  SAULS CALL Feb25 Jan21       (miyadi steven)CEDILLO ABEL 122 3.00 25% 2.90    
7  MIGHTY MATT Jan15 Dec18 Nov20 Oct21 Sep24 (periban jor)AGUILAR ARMANDO 115 6.00    
8  WHOA BUDDY Feb04 Jan07 Dec17 Dec09 Nov19 (naranjo salv)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 115 20.00 ★    
9  MIDNIGHT SPECIAL Jan21 Dec02 Nov06 Oct07 Sep18 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 6.00    
10  OIL CAN KNIGHT Dec18 Dec09 Nov18     (pineda g)MALDONADO E 124 3.50 46% 1.20    
11  HEAD FOR BUSINESS Dec18 Oct10 Sep11 Mar18 Feb25 (uranga jesu)RAMIREZ RICARDO 122 12.00    
12  LIAR LIAR (IRE) Sep23 Jul10 Jun26 May29 May06 (uranga jesu)HERRERA A 122 15.00    
 
SA-7   02/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALIGATO Jan07 Nov26 Oct16 Jan15 Jan01 (glatt mark)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 53% 0.90    
2  BALADI Jan20 Dec31 Dec11 Nov11 Sep10 (palma hector )PEREIRA TIAGO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  SARWAR (FR)         (powell leon)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 6.00    
4  REMOTE Jan20 Oct28 Sep06 Aug10 Jul14 (hanson ryan)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 5.00    
5  TIME TO PARTY Dec26 Nov27 Nov11 Oct16 Oct09 (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 122 4.00 ★    
6  RECKLESS SPIRIT Nov20 Oct07 Aug14 Jul01 Jun05 (d'amato p)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 5.00 ★    
7  SILVER SURFER (GB)         (d'amat)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 4.00 10% 9.40    
8  ALTRUIST Dec31         (d'a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 12.00    
 
SA-8   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KRAHENBUHL Dec11 Nov18 Oct23 Sep25   (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 122 4.00    
2  GOT THUNDER Jan15 Jul09 May30 Apr17 Mar05 (sadler john )CONTRERAS LUIS 122 8.00    
3  LETSGETLUCKY Aug27 Jul30 Apr16 Mar07 Jan15 (korine)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
4  SPIRIT OF MAKENA Sep11 Aug05       (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
5  MURRAY Jul22         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50 20% 4.10    
6  I GOT NO MUNNY Jan15 Jul23       (gla)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 8.00 ★    
7  ANARCHIST Jan15 Jul31 Jul03 Apr24 Mar27 (o'neill d)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 8.00 15% 5.70    
8  MY HARBORS DREAM Jan15 Nov26 Aug25 Aug14 Jul16 (brinkerhoff v)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 15.00    
 
SA-9   02/11/2023 4290ft TURF RC11 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 7:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SATIN DOLL Jan08 Dec14 Oct28 Aug13 Jul23 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 120 10.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of CLIFF'S SECRET by THE CLIFF'S EDGE)
2  RAGTIME ROSE Dec30 Dec03 Oct22 Oct01   (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 12.00 10% 9.10    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CORDEROSA by ALDEBARAN)
3  HAVANA ANGEL (IRE) Nov12 Sep10       (powell leo)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 25% 3.10    
  (by UNKNOWN out of CLARAMARA by EPAULETTE (AUS))
4  MANHATTAN JUNGLE (IRE) Dec30 Nov04       (mccarthy )DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 2.50    
  (by BUNGLE INTHEJUNGLE (GB) out of SKYLIGHT by SKY KINGDOM)
5  PLEASANT WAVE Dec30 Nov18 Oct01     (papaprodromo)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 20.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of OAK TREES DANCING by FORESTRY)
6  DECORATED MY LIFE (IRE) Dec30 Dec03       (callaghan simon)BRAVO J 120 8.00 ★    
  (by MEHMAS out of DORIS MARIE by CREACHADOIR (IRE))
7  ITZEL Jan20 Dec02       (miller pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 6.00 16% 5.40    
  (by MO TOWN out of CATCH THAT SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
8  EXCELIA (IRE) Jan08 Oct09 Sep10     (d'a)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 6.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of NARUKO by STREET CRY (IRE))
9  NAUGHTY LOTTIE Dec30 Nov19 Oct08 Aug26 Jul09 (desormeaux j)DESORMEAUX J 120 12.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of SCARLET EMERALD by DESERT PARTY)
10  FUN MONEY Jan29 Jan08 Nov27 Oct29 Oct10 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 6.00 22% 3.60    
  (by MRAZEK out of SAUDI CHROMA by LUCKY PULPIT)
SCR  HAPPY GAL (FR) Jan08 Nov12 Oct07 Sep08 Aug04 (o'neill doug)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 20.00    
  (by HABITAT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
SA-10   02/11/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3 ALL PT- 8:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'LL DO         (yakteen tim)FREY KYLE 122 15.00 ★    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of TIZNOW'S SMILE by TIZNOW)
2  PRECISION STRIKE         (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 122 6.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of INCENTIVE by MR. GREELEY)
3  AZURE STAR (IRE) Dec30 Nov12       (blacker daniel)CEDILLO ABEL 122 20.00    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of BLUE PARAIBA by SEA THE STARS (IRE))
4  VEGAS BURNER Jan22 Dec26 Nov26     (papaprodr)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of BLACK VALENTINE by CINDAGO)
5  CALM SEA Nov26         (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 122 10.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SURRENDER by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  NINETEENEIGHTYFOUR         (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 12.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of ATHENA TWO O FOUR by EL PRADO (IRE))
7  SURF AFFAIR         (drysdale nei)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 12.00 ★    
  (by IRISH SURF out of GIRLFRIENONTHESIDE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
8  BOSS SULLY         (koriner bria)CONTRERAS LUIS 117 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by STREET BOSS out of ETERNALLY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
9  VALIANCER Jan21 Dec31 Dec04 Oct29 Oct10 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 4.00 32% 2.10    
  (by TAPITURE out of WAR ANGEL by DECLARATION OF WAR)
10  NUCLEAR         (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 24% 3.10    
  (by JUSTIFY out of TRUE FEELINGS by REGAL REMARK)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.