Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Friday - January 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-2   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6/1/3/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/6)-(5/6/1/3/4)-(5/6/1/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6)-(6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(6/3)-(7/2/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HOU-3   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/8/5/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/8/5/7)-(6/3/8/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3)-(7/2/1/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(7/2/1/4)-(2/1/5/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
HOU-4   WIN (7/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/4)-(7/2/1/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/4)-(7/2/1/4/3)-(7/2/1/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/1/4)-(2/1/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1/4)-(2/1/5/3)-(3/5/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-5   WIN (2/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3/7)-(2/1/5/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/5/3)-(3/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5/3)-(3/5/9)-(5/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-6   WIN (3/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/9)-(3/5/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/9)-(3/5/9)-(3/5/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/9)-(5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/9)-(5/4/2)-(3/5/8/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-7   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2/6/3)-(5/4/2/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(3/5/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(3/5/8/1)-(2/7/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-8   WIN (3/5/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/8/1)-(3/5/8/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/5/8/1)-(3/5/8/1/6)-(3/5/8/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/5/8/1)-(2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HOU-9   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-2   01/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GET WITT GONE Sep27 Sep13 Aug17 Aug01 Jun19 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 4.50 ★    
2  RYE RUNNER Dec16 Nov30 Nov12 Nov03 Sep21 (broberg kar)WETHEY JR 123 10.00    
3  GAMMA RAY Dec07 Nov14 Oct26 Sep29 Sep10 (eoff terry)MELANCON JANSEN 123 6.00 ★    
4  GOSPEL BUZZ Dec17 Dec07 Nov22 Oct25 Jul05 (willi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 20.00 ★    
5  FULL DINNER JACKET Dec08 Nov18 Nov07 Jun07 May07 (broberg karl)CIVACI SAHIN 123 1.00 49% 1.00    
6  BRAZIL NUT Dec10 Sep14 Aug24 Jul22 Jun26 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.50 19% 4.20    
 
HOU-3   01/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($14K) 45 ALL PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILBERT Oct28 Oct05 Aug19     (offolter joe)ALVAREZ L 123 4.50    
2  FORTHCOMING Sep18 Sep04       (h)DE CRUZ 123 10.00    
3  AIR FORCE ANGEL Sep10 Aug16 Jul26 Jul04 Jun10 (jacks e)DIEGO V 123 2.50 30% 2.30    
4  NOOGE Apr07 Mar09       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 15.00    
5  PICKINGUPSTRANGERS Nov30 Jun25 Jun16 Jun05 May01 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 123 12.00 ★    
6  SEARING Dec01         (bravo franc)MELANCON JANSEN 123 4.00 44% 1.30    
7  SWEET PRESENT Dec19 Oct29 Sep18 Sep10 Jul22 (rangel raul)HAMILTON WESTON 123 15.00 ★    
8  NORTHERN ORBIT Nov12 Oct13 Sep22 Sep01 Aug19 (pruitt m)LANDEROS C 123 3.50 ★    
SCR  DADA BOOM RIDGE Jan13 Jul21 Jun04 Mar03 Jan15 (kotara ro)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 30.00    
SCR  CRAZY RIDGE Sep25 Sep10 Aug09 Jul22 Jun05 (kota)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 20.00    
 
HOU-4   01/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3 ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING OF JERSEY Jan06         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 4.00 14% 5.90    
2  PERFECT PRANK Nov05 Oct08 Sep08 Aug06 Jul12 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 1.80 16% 5.30    
3  DOMINANT OKIE Dec16 Dec07 Nov14 Oct20 Sep30 (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 6.00 ★    
4  ACCRUAL Oct21 Sep03 Aug16     (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 10.00 10% 9.40    
5  LET'S TIE ONE ON Jul17 Jun19 May15     (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 15.00    
6  WELDON G Oct21 Aug27 May20     (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 122 8.00    
7  TAPITURE JONES Nov07 Oct14 Jul08 Jun05 May15 (asmussen steve)CIVACI SAHIN 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
HOU-5   01/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 45 M/F PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEARNING TO WIN Aug26         (calhoun willia)CIVACI SAHIN 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by MUNNINGS out of QUIERO GANAR by LASTING APPROVAL)
2  SENSEOFEXCELLENCE Mar12 Jan14       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.20 29% 2.40    
  (by STREET SENSE out of SHACKIN UP by SHACKLEFORD)
3  I'M ALL SHOOK UP Dec10         (hebert matt)DIEGO V 123 8.00 8% 11.20    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of DYNATAP by TAPIT)
4  MIZZ ALL AMERICAN         (garza joaqu)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 20.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of ALL AMERICAN MIZ by GRAND SLAM)
5  LIAM'S NESSY Dec10 Nov18 Oct14 Sep14 Aug26 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 123 4.00 14% 6.10    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of LOUGH NESS by QUALITY ROAD)
6  GOSPEL FLOW Nov30 Nov12       (williams )RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 30.00    
  (by I SPENT IT out of DUCHESS STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
7  LEXINGTON DIVA Jan07 Dec19 Dec02 Jul09   (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 8.00 ★    
  (by EL KINGDOM out of VALID ENCHANTMENT by TIZNOW)
 
HOU-6   01/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HALF OURS TO KEEP Jan06 Nov07 Oct21 Sep23 May19 (dupuy allen)HAMILTON WESTON 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NEW YEAR         (montano wilfrid)BENAVIDES D 123 20.00    
3  DEVAMANI (FR) Oct27 Oct07 Sep25 Aug21 May05 (diodoro robert)CIVACI SAHIN 123 0.80 41% 1.50    
4  DOC IRWIN Jan06 Dec10 Nov04 Oct06 Sep26 (broberg kar)WETHEY JR 123 12.00    
5  ENGLANDER Jan06 Nov08 Oct27 Sep21 Sep08 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 123 4.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  EZMOSH Oct12 Sep23 Aug26 Mar12 Feb16 (j)DE CRUZ 123 12.00    
7  COLLOQUIST Oct20 Sep25 Jan21     (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 123 15.00    
SCR  VARNISHED Dec01 Nov07 Oct14 Oct07 Sep25 (chacaltana )OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  EXETER Nov07 Oct26 Oct01 Sep09 Aug27 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 8.00 10% 9.30    
10  LETHAL MOVE Dec03 Oct27 Oct07 May01 Mar26 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 20.00    
 
HOU-7   01/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. NIGHTBLINGER Sep07 Aug27 Jul17 Jun23 May28 (clary jayla)HAMILTON WESTON 119 30.00    
2  QUARTERBACK DAK Nov12 Oct12 Aug27 Jul17 Jul04 (caldwell )CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 20.00 10% 9.30    
3  CADDO FOX Apr09 Mar03       (payne w)MORA GERARDO 119 8.00 ★    
4  GOLD PILOT May27 May07 Mar26 Feb19 Jan15 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 2.00 17% 4.80    
5  ALGEBRA Jun19 May27 Apr29 Mar26 Feb19 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 1.00 49% 1.00    
6  BLING'S BELLWETHER Nov08 Oct12 Sep28 Sep10 Aug26 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 119 4.50 ★    
7  MY GOLDEN M May29 May07 Mar26 Feb19 Jan30 (eche)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 15.00    
 
HOU-8   01/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABY BLUE EYES Dec15 Dec04 Nov10 Aug06 Jul15 (ashford)GONCALVES R 123 4.50 12% 7.40    
3  FEELING HAPPY Oct29 Oct08 Sep18 Jun03 May06 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 123 1.20 34% 2.00    
4  LOVEY DOVEY Jan08 Dec01 Jul24 Jun25 Jun04 (rossi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 10.00    
5  TIFFANY TWIST Dec14 Dec01 Nov02 Oct06 Feb05 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 123 3.50 18% 4.50    
6  KITTY'S QUEEN Oct07 Jul17 Jun17 May20 Apr30 (clary rena)DIEGO V 123 20.00 ★    
7  FAST AND FEMININE Dec10 Nov14 Oct26 Sep24 Sep07 (snipes rand)HAMILTON WESTON 123 8.00    
8  OUTLINING Oct02 Jul23 Jun28 May19   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 6.00 12% 7.00    
SCR  TEXAS ASCOT QUEEN Jan13 Jul09 Jun17 May27 Apr29 ( )TBA null      
 
HOU-9   01/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARLEA'S DREAM Oct27 Sep25 Aug06 Jun21 Apr30 (jacks e)DIEGO V 119 10.00    
2  DON'TASK DON'TTELL Nov08 Oct27 Oct12 Sep05 Jul23 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 1.60 24% 3.10    
3  GORDON ANTHONY Nov08 Oct26 Oct08 Sep17 Sep01 (duhon pau)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 119 20.00    
4  SEDUCTIVE U S A Nov24 Oct27 Oct20 Sep25 Sep04 (g)DE CRUZ 119 20.00 7% 14.20    
5  CAIRO WARRIOR Jan06 Sep25 Sep15 Aug20 Jul09 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 6.00    
SCR  PEACOCK KITTEN Jan07 Jul23 Mar26 Feb12   (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 119 10.00 14% 6.00    
7  NEWSCASTER Nov21 Oct27 Sep25     (craddoc)GONCALVES R 119 3.50 16% 5.30    
8  SHADRACK Dec17 Oct27 Sep25 Jul30 May22 (davis h)CIVACI SAHIN 119 4.50    
SCR  COWBOY MISCHIEF Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 Sep23   (young scott)WETHEY JR 119 30.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  JOHAN ZOFFANI (IRE) Nov08 Oct27 Oct12 May19 Mar12 (willis mind)MELANCON JANSEN 119 20.00    
11  OLIVER Nov19 Oct27 Oct12 Sep14 Aug19 (davis s)GONCALVES R 119 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.