Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Friday - January 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(4/1)-(2/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LRL-2   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (4/1)-(2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(2/5)-(3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
LRL-3   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5/6/4/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(3)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LRL-4   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(6/3) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    PK3 (3)-(3/6/4)-(7/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LRL-5   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(7/9)-(1/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-6   WIN (7/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/9)-(7/9/2/5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/9)-(1/7/3)-(6/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LRL-7   WIN (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/3)-(1/7/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3)-(6/1)-(1/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-8   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LRL-9   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   01/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3 ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECTRIER Dec30         (howard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 8.00    
CALIFORNIA GHOST Dec30 Dec03 Nov21 Jun03 May23 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 124 2.00 10% 9.40    
ELUSIVE IMAGE Dec11 Nov13 Oct01     (sillaman ri)GLASER LAURALEA 120 3.00 16% 5.30    
RASCALLY REBEL Dec09 Nov27 Nov20 Nov04 Oct15 (serey jr)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 15.00    
HE'S ON FIRE Dec10 Nov13       (mancilla carlo)ROSADO JOHAN 124 15.00    
SIR SMOAK Dec13 Dec02 Nov09 Oct18 Sep22 (lingenfelter )TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
ANNIESALLINCLUSIVE Dec30 Dec10 Nov20 Oct09 Sep18 (delgado p)DELGADO A 120 6.00    
 
LRL-2   01/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CENTER MID MADDIE Dec17 Dec06 Nov14 Oct03 Aug23 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 5.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  NEVER CHANGE Dec17 Nov18 Oct27 Sep25 Aug28 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 5.00    
FORTH Dec29 Nov27 Oct30 Oct08 Jul27 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 122 12.00    
SCR  MAJESTIC FRONTIER Nov25 Nov07 Oct13 Sep23 Aug27 (robb j)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 4.50 7% 13.00    
UNION FLEET Dec16 Nov27 Nov07 Sep22 Sep01 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 126 2.00 43% 1.30    
YOUNG TURK Dec17 Dec11 Nov20 Oct15 Aug27 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 126 6.00    
SCR  AMPERSAND Dec17 Nov19 Oct20 Sep04 Jul24 (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 3.00 7% 12.70    
HIGHLAND DREAM Dec11 Nov21 Nov04 Sep25 Sep03 (lawrence jame)KARAMANOS A 122 10.00    
 
LRL-3   01/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 45 M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I CAN DO IT Dec04 Nov04 Oct06 Mar04 Feb10 (gamber robe)PAREDES JHOVANY 116 10.00    
THUNDER BOSS Dec04 Nov14 Oct06     (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 1.20 58% 0.70    
SMOKE N SIN Nov14         (vick m)DELGADO A 126 30.00    
BLUE MOON BUNNY Nov14 Oct30 Aug21 Jul22 May29 (mcmahon thoma)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 4.00    
BRZINA Dec04 Nov26 Nov05 Oct16 Sep18 (howard david)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 2.00 18% 4.70    
ISABELLA'S GLORY Dec02 Nov05 Apr08 Jan21 Jan02 (corrales jo)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 6.00    
 
LRL-4   01/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JETTIN OUT Dec02 Nov11 Oct26 Oct07 Sep03 (libertini j)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 12.00    
SCR  BERNIE'S ON FIRE Nov11 Sep25 Sep10 Aug26 Aug05 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 1.40 47% 1.10    
STAR LUCK Dec17 Nov29 Nov03 Oct17 Jun14 (volpe john)LEWIS M 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
CONFUSION BABY BOY Dec14 Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 Sep25 (frock char)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 10.00    
GREAT GO GO Jan01 Nov26 Nov02 Oct05 Jul14 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 6.00    
DIALING DIXIE Nov05 Oct14 Sep25 Sep11 Aug19 (frock charle)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 3.00    
SCR  BROOKS ROBINSON Dec12 Dec05 Oct12     (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 123 15.00 18% 4.50    
JIMMY THE KID Dec18 Dec04 Sep16 Sep02 Aug06 (sanchez-sal)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 5.00    
 
LRL-5   01/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAMPDEN LANE Nov26 Oct29 Oct08 Aug26 Aug07 (heil b)CEDENO CAROL 126 10.00    
NOTION TO TAPIT Jan06 Dec02 Nov11 Oct22 Oct01 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 122 15.00    
STAR SHOPPING Dec30 Nov20 Nov04 Oct20 Sep23 (robb troy)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 2.50 47% 1.10    
PRESSING CONCERN Jan01 Dec18 Dec10 Nov07 Nov02 (mohan da)BUTTERFLY L 122 20.00 9% 9.60    
TENAX Dec18 Nov21 Nov04 Apr23 Apr16 (burdick)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 8.00    
WINSTON'S GOLD Dec29 Nov26 Oct21 Sep30 Aug28 (bracciale v)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 3.50 12% 7.50    
CALL ME MAESTRO Dec16         (dilodovico)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 5.00    
JEBSTER Nov21 Oct20 Oct08 Oct02   (howard c)CRUZ ANGEL 126 4.00    
DR RAGS Dec30 Dec04 Nov14 Oct21 Sep25 (walters henry)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 15.00    
 
LRL-6   01/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 3 F PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOLVING PROGRESS         (trombetta m)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 12.00    
DEEDS OF LOVE         (allard edward )CEDENO CAROL 124 8.00    
MARIA FROM MIAMI Nov25 Oct16 Oct08 Aug28 Aug07 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 3.00    
SCR  HEARTSANDDIAMONDS         (eppler mary )BARBOSA JEIRON 119 15.00    
CALM N COLLECTED         (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 124 8.00    
SIX THE HARD WAY         (bailes rober)ARAUJO DENIS 124 15.00    
ELLIE VICTORINA Dec31 Dec02 Nov12 Oct16 Sep25 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 124 4.50 41% 1.40    
GOLDIENESS Aug25         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 6.00    
MAMA'S EYES Dec16 Sep02       (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
LRL-7   01/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($48K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE IS WISKY Dec09 Jun19 Jun12 Apr29 Apr09 (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
GAMESTONKS Jan07 Dec18 Oct22 Sep20 Feb26 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.00    
STARTWITHABANG Dec09 Nov19 Oct22 Oct07 Sep30 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 123 3.50 11% 7.70    
SHE'SAROLLINGSTONE Dec03 Nov11 Oct07 Sep16 Aug19 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 123 5.00    
THAT'S SOME KISS Dec16 Nov24 Oct21 Sep16 Aug21 (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 123 12.00    
DAILY PLANET Nov06 Oct20 Sep10 Jul20 Jun19 (milosevic mil)ALVELO C 123 20.00    
MIT MAZEL Jan01 Dec16 Nov21 Nov06 Sep30 (sanchez-salo)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 3.00 27% 2.80    
 
LRL-8   01/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($54K) 3 F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSY NANCY Dec12 Nov02 Oct19 Oct06 Sep23 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 2.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  MO MARTHA Dec17 Nov08 Oct06     (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 117 8.00    
CATS INTHE TIMBER Oct28 Sep23       (russell t)ROSE J 121 5.00    
PHAROAHS BABY GYAL Nov14 Oct06 Sep11     (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 4.00    
ANGEL ART Dec03 Nov19       (shuman mark)CEDENO CAROL 121 8.00    
COAL MINE Nov25 Oct19 Sep02 Aug04   (gonzalez )HERNANDEZ F 121 2.50 49% 1.00    
SCR  OJITOS BELLOS Jan07 Dec30 Dec10 Nov18   (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 117 30.00    
 
LRL-9   01/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 45 M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAPPHIRE BEAUTY Oct29 Oct08 Oct02 Aug26 Aug12 (frock charle)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 1.80 42% 1.40    
BIZZY BIZZY Dec29 Nov19 Oct29 Sep16 Jul23 (haughton)BUTTERFLY L 122 30.00    
CONDUCTANCE Dec04 Nov04 Oct23 Oct02 Sep04 (smith valrie)CRUZ ANGEL 122 10.00    
TIPSY TOURIST Dec29 Dec04 Nov13 Oct07 Sep16 (eubanks an)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 2.50 25% 3.10    
UNBRIDLED IRISH Dec29 Nov21 Oct13 Sep14 Aug26 (farrior anthon)ARAUJO DENIS 126 6.00    
COFFEE BEAN Dec29 Dec16 Dec11 Dec02 Nov04 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 122 5.00 7% 13.60    
KERFORD'S COMMISH Dec02 Oct14 Aug24     (nixon justin)KARAMANOS A 126 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.