Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - December 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   12/03/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($18.5K) 2 ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOBLE AND KIND Oct08 Sep03       (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00 12% 7.20    
COPAZO Aug01         (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 119 15.00    
SECRETARY OF WAR Oct07 Aug19 Aug04     (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 119 1.50 39% 1.60    
ADIOS BUCCANEER         (o'connell k)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 8.00    
SCR  PERSONAL FINANCE         (sacco )ROJAS EDUARDO 119 10.00    
BALLINDINE Oct07         (dini mike)ALLEN D 119 1.60 29% 2.50    
CLASSIC BOURBON Sep18 Aug27       (antonucci m)FERRER C 119 20.00    
 
TAM-2   12/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 1:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GROVELAND Oct08         (harty eoin)CASTANON L 119 6.00 11% 7.80    
KINGFISH STEVENS Sep24         (lewis l)ALLEN D 119 12.00    
JAY BIRD         (harty eoin)ARROYO S 119 8.00    
SHIP THE GOODS         (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.00    
DREAM KNIGHT Oct15 Aug13       (joseph s)GALLARDO A 119 3.50 16% 5.30    
THREE FOLD         (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 119 15.00    
RICHIESONAROLL Oct13 Aug29 Aug01     (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00 8% 12.30    
DROPKICK MURPHY Oct23         (vinson g)MORALES PABLO 119 2.00 44% 1.30    
 
TAM-3   12/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME PIC Nov19 Oct16 Sep09 Aug07 Jul17 (smith rob)CAMACHO JR 120 4.50    
FINAL EPISODE Nov19 Oct16 Sep24     (mingue)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 20.00    
DREAMING OF SNOW Sep06         (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  A NITE IN CAIRO Oct03 Aug20 Jul26     (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 8.00    
DORTH VADER Oct29 Oct01 Aug21 Aug05   (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 124 1.60 34% 1.90    
LADY RADLER Oct28 Sep07 Aug10 Jun29   (campbell)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 17% 5.00    
 
TAM-4   12/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 2 ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING SPARROW Sep30 Sep11       (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
COCO SHELL Oct20 Aug29 Aug01     (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 6.00    
DIXIEMAGIC Oct21 Sep12 Aug27 Jul29   (arnett g)LOZADA CARLOS 120 3.00 5% 17.50    
ASTONISHING ANABEL Oct16 Oct07 Sep09 Aug12 Jul17 (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 119 1.80 59% 0.70    
BELMAR SUMMER Oct29 Sep11 Sep02 Aug13 Jul31 (sacco gregory )SUAREZ ANGEL 117 10.00    
HONEYBUNNYBOOBOO Oct13 Sep20 Sep06     (davis scoote)ARROYO S 119 15.00 5% 18.20    
OKLETSGO Oct07 Sep10 Aug22     (sacco gregory )MARIN SAMUEL 122 4.00    
 
TAM-5   12/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 2 F PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO BEER BUZZ Oct30 Oct09 Sep11 Aug28 Aug13 (fisher david)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 6.00 22% 3.50    
O ANNIE Oct23         (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 12.00 12% 7.70    
MIGHTY MADI Oct23 Aug17       (rarick lynn)DELGADO DAVID 119 15.00    
SUMMER NITRO Sep30         (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 4.00    
THAT'S MY CAT Nov20 Oct23       (lorito mario)ARROYO S 119 8.00    
SUNSHINE GIRL Oct06 Sep10       (bennett s)FERRER C 119 8.00    
WICKLOW GAL Nov11 Oct09 Oct01 Sep02 Aug13 (miller rory )BATISTA A 119 10.00    
LADYNESS Nov25 Oct22 Oct12 Sep11 Aug31 (sacco gregory)MORALES PABLO 119 1.80 39% 1.60    
ANNA'S IMAGE Oct21 Sep18 Aug21 Aug07 Jul23 (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 119 8.00    
 
TAM-6   12/03/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 2 ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIRD MOON Oct28         (lerman)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 2.50 6% 16.00    
FOREVER SAUCY Aug31         (ochoa ge)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 10.00    
LUCID Oct07         (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 119 20.00    
HE'S CONNECTED Sep25 Sep04       (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 20.00    
GODS GLORY Oct27 Aug14       (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 119 3.50 13% 6.80    
SICILIANO Nov04         (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 119 20.00    
POSSIBLEMENTE Sep24         (rodriguez dari)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 1.80 11% 8.40    
DAD'S ON A ROLL         (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 5.00 49% 1.10    
 
TAM-7   12/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 2 F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUMOR SENSE Oct22 Oct12 Sep06 Aug10 Jul19 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 119 6.00 10% 8.90    
DESTINY COCO         (morales guil)MENESES MARCOS 119 20.00    
SONG OF AMERICA Oct14 Sep06 Jul13     (campbell)GALLARDO A 119 6.00    
PATIENCE WORTH Oct07         (harty eoin)MORALES PABLO 119 10.00    
ROYAL DAME Oct22 Sep28       (lorito mario)CASTANON L 119 10.00    
WHITE HOT GOLD         (sacco d)FERRER C 119 4.50 5% 18.00    
ONE TOUGH DAME         (ubide max)ALONSO LUIS 119 20.00    
FREE SHOT Nov25 Oct12 Sep19 Aug27   (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.00    
OPUS FORTY TWO Oct28 Sep17       (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 119 2.00 62% 0.60    
 
TAM-8   12/03/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 2 F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEVER JOKE Aug28         (brown)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 1.60 37% 1.70    
SAWEETIE GIRL Oct28         (garcia rodo)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 30.00    
CALISUE Oct22 Sep11       (sacco gregor)ARROYO S 119 10.00 8% 12.00    
MOTOWN MIKA Oct21 Sep24 Sep17     (o'connor robert)CENTENO E 119 15.00    
EIN GEDI (IRE) Oct08         (motion graha)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 3.00 20% 4.00    
HIGH DONNA Oct27 Sep06       (escobar alis)BATISTA A 119 30.00    
ELSINORE         (harty eoin)MORALES PABLO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
I'M A SURE THING         (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.50 9% 9.70    
SHE'S SO BEARRISH Sep11 Aug20       (dini mike)FERRER C 119 10.00    
10  MISSION OF JOY Sep11         (motion h)GALLARDO A 119 12.00    
 
TAM-9   12/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HANDSOME PLAYBOY Oct04 Sep03       (bennett geral)MORALES PABLO 120 15.00    
SHAQ DIESEL Oct30 Oct09 Sep03 Jul23   (richards ren)BATISTA A 120 10.00    
KNOX Oct01 Aug06 Jun03     (joseph saffie )CASTANON L 120 4.00 9% 10.30    
APOCALYPSO Oct01 Sep03 Aug06     (joseph saffie )CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50 30% 2.30    
DREAMING OF KONA Oct17         (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 6.00    
LOVE ME NOT Nov04 Sep17 Sep03 Aug12   (sacco gregory )SUAREZ ANGEL 120 12.00    
SUPER CHOW Oct29 Sep10 Aug13 Jul02   (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 124 1.20 35% 1.80    
 
TAM-10   12/03/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 2 ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLICK EVANS Oct17         (motion graha)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 20.00    
NOW AND LATER Oct18         (mcgaughey cla)MORALES PABLO 119 8.00    
CLASSIC CREATION Sep03 Aug07       (terranov)GALLARDO A 119 3.00    
SUMMER BEE Oct16 Sep30 Sep03     (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 5.00    
E MINOR         (hamm timothy)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 20.00    
DUKE OF GLOUCESTER Oct28 Sep29 Sep06 Aug11 Jul19 (williams a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 119 15.00    
PIKE PLACE Oct15 Sep17       (harty eoin)CASTANON L 119 12.00    
WILD GUESS Oct12         (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.50 23% 3.40    
A WESTERN YARN Oct29 Aug22 Jul21     (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 119 6.00    
10  TUDDENHAM MILL (IRE)         (delac)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 4.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  OH CHIC Oct18 Sep21       (motion graha)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 4.50 26% 2.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.