Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - November 24, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   11/24/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANK CARD         (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
2  JUBA BABY Oct13 Sep22       (curtis la)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 26% 2.80    
3  TAPTAP Nov03 Oct06 Sep22 Aug19 Jul28 (pyke joseph)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.00    
4  FAR MORE Nov03         (groves janice)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 3.50    
5  LITTLE O LITTLE E Nov03         (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 124 15.00    
6  BLUE MOUNTAIN         (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00 20% 4.00    
7  LADY GANGSTER Nov03         (kee willie )RAMGEET R 122 12.00    
 
CT-2   11/24/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARK DID IT Oct27 Sep30 Sep09 Aug26 Aug13 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.60 46% 1.20    
2  POLITICAL DECISION Nov11 Oct21 Oct07 Sep30 Sep09 (murtaugh j)CECIL Y 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  INGREIDO Nov05 Oct22 Oct13 Oct01 Aug20 (cruz jaime)ACOSTA D 120 2.00    
4  GOLDEN APPEAL Nov03 Oct12 Sep23 Sep14 Aug27 (craig e)PELTROCHE F 124 8.00 22% 3.60    
5  DIVINING DANCER Sep30 Sep09 Aug25 Jul29 Jul16 (covello and)RAMGEET R 120 10.00    
6  SNOW CANDY Nov11 Oct29 Oct12 Oct01 Sep18 (garibay and)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 12.00    
7  AKINGISALWAYSKING Nov02 Oct12 Oct01 Sep17 Aug30 (ovando me)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 5.00    
 
CT-3   11/24/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY BLONDE Oct29 Oct08 Sep23 Sep02   (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.80 33% 2.00    
2  WISHING FOR SPRING Nov11 Oct21       (casey w)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
3  BEST VIRGINIA Nov04 Oct13 Jul22     (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 6.00    
SCR  AWESOME MOON Nov04 Oct13 Sep23 Sep02   (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 20.00    
5  SPARKLEINYOUREYE Nov11         (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00    
6  NO DENYING DENIS Nov11 Oct21       (casey w)LARROSA G 122 10.00    
7  ISLE BE THERE Oct06         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00 9% 10.50    
8  JUNIPER GRACE         (montil)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00 8% 11.90    
9  LET'S DO THIS Nov04 Oct06 Sep02 Aug12 Jul22 (pickett cryst)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
10  AMELIA'S DREAM Nov04 Oct13 Sep17 Sep02   (runco c)CULLUM W 122 4.50 28% 2.50    
 
CT-4   11/24/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD PHOENIX (IRE) Nov05 Nov03 Oct01 Sep03 Jul24 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO null      
2  MAY MAYS CASTLE Oct27 Oct07 Sep16 Aug25 Jul30 (casey w)BOCACHICA O 120 4.50 ★    
3  DIVA GAL Oct22 Oct06 Sep10 Aug06 Jun18 (schottroffe edwar)CECIL Y 120 15.00    
SCR  PETTYFORURTHOUGHTS Nov16 Oct27 Oct18 Sep15 Aug25 (meehan eliza)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 12.00    
SCR  I SHALLBE RELEASED Nov18 Oct27 Sep24 Aug19 Jul30 (runco c)CULLUM W 120 5.00    
6  TENNIS TAP May04 Apr15 Mar18 Mar03 Feb10 (runco c)LEWIS M 110 2.50    
7  MY SISTER PAM Sep16 Aug26 Aug04 May25 May04 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 3.00    
8  HOOK THE CHAIN Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 Aug25 Aug05 (boggs joann)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   11/24/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEACEFUL WAY Oct13 Sep23 Sep01 Aug11 Jul29 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00    
2  HUFFLEPUFF Oct21 Oct09 Sep18 Aug13 Jul31 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00    
3  THUNDER PUNCH Sep23 Sep03 Aug12 Aug05 Jul01 (joy kevin)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.00 20% 3.90    
4  MY EXPENSIVE GIFT Oct13 Sep24 Jul22 Jul17 Jun30 (sandoval michae)BOCACHICA O 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  UNTOUCHED ELEGANCE Nov04 Oct09 Sep16 Sep04 Aug13 (farrior anthon)MONTANO JOSE 122 5.00    
6  SAFE REEZAN Sep28 Aug12 Jul01 Jun03 May12 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 122 4.50 7% 12.70    
7  SUPER WILDCAT Nov04 Oct13 Sep21 Sep02 Aug12 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 6.00    
8  ONE SMART COOKIE Oct13 Sep25 Sep03 Aug18 Jul23 (patterson k)RAMGEET R 120 3.50 48% 1.10    
 
CT-6   11/24/2022 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREE DANCER Nov02 Oct12 Aug28 Jul23 Jun24 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 3.00 48% 1.10    
2  SILARDI Aug20 Apr01 Mar06 Jan30 Jan02 (runco c)LEWIS M 110 6.00    
3  EMPEROROFTHEDARK Nov02 Oct26 Oct10 Sep14 Aug15 (treharne dave)PELTROCHE F 118 8.00    
SCR  FULLY CONNECTED Nov12 Oct12 Aug28 Aug06 Jul18 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00    
5  GOLDEN KEY Oct08 Sep14 Jul16 Jun11 May17 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 8.00    
6  INSIDE RISK Nov02 Oct20 Oct08 Sep22 Sep14 (caison l)CECIL Y 122 20.00    
7  NEWS FLASH Nov02 Oct12 Sep14 Aug12 Jul15 (keller chr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00 10% 9.10    
8  COWBOY AT HEART Oct19 Sep24 Jul29 Jun30 Jun18 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00 12% 7.50    
 
CT-7   11/24/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLIE POTATOES Nov03 Oct13 Sep07 Jul07 Jun16 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00 9% 9.70    
2  WICKED MAD Nov05 Oct21 Sep02 Aug20 Aug10 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 4.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  E J'S REVENGE Nov14 Nov03 Oct14 Sep17 Sep05 (murtaugh j)CECIL Y 120 20.00    
4  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Oct21 Sep03 Aug13 Jul04 May19 (scott lloy)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00    
5  TRUSTYOURINSTINCT Nov02 Oct22 Oct08 Sep22 Sep08 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80 27% 2.70    
6  JUNGLE WARRIOR Nov03 Sep29 Aug18 Aug06 Jul15 (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00 10% 9.50    
7  MORE PLEASE Nov03 Oct05 Sep21 Jul29 Jun18 (contreras j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00    
8  ACASHA'S INTUITION Oct26 Sep29 Aug19 Aug12 Jul29 (smith kenneth)ADAMS L 113 50.00    
9  HEARTNESS Oct19 Oct08 Sep22 Jul20 Jun20 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 4.50    
10  CLOSE THE CASE Sep29 Sep09 Aug17 Jul07 Jun27 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 120 5.00    
SCR  RIDICULOUS Oct08 Aug27 Aug13 Aug05 Jul24 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 12.00    
 
CT-8   11/24/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LET'S GET PHYSICAL Nov03 Sep29 Aug26 Jul15 Jun25 (sanderson )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 10.00    
2  OBANNON Oct14 Sep29 Sep22 Aug26 Aug05 (racanelli mar)RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00 ★    
3  LIL MR MATT Oct18 Sep27 Jul14 Jun13 May04 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  CHAMPAGNE JAM Nov03 Oct12 Sep01 May26 Apr28 (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 20.00    
5  HENRY STANDINGBEAR Oct20 Sep02 Aug06 Jul01 Jun09 (roman-salon n)SIMPSON JASON 122 30.00    
SCR  KNIGHT LEGEND Nov17 Sep19 Aug24 May02 Feb26 (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 118 8.00    
SCR  RUTHENIAN Nov16 Oct22 Sep29 Sep15 Aug20 (iannotti i)HO WESLEY 120 5.00    
8  GIVE IT A GO Nov11 Oct27 Oct06 Sep11 Sep03 (gonzal)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.50    
9  MAD GENIUS Nov07 Oct29 Oct02 Sep18 Feb20 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 3.00 47% 1.10    
10  EISELE Oct27 Sep23 Aug11 Jul11 Jun27 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 124 4.50 31% 2.30    
11  NEW SOUTH Sep24 Sep02 Aug06 Mar18 Feb25 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.