Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - November 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   11/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRISAETUM Nov01 Oct18 Oct05 Sep27 Sep13 (acquila)NAVARRO J 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
1A  COUSIN GREG Nov08 Oct18       (acquilano jam)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 2.50    
2  BEAUMONT BEAUX Nov08 Oct18 Sep27 Sep13 Aug22 (iorio jr)GOMEZ O 124 20.00 ★    
SCR  BEACH BOY AL Nov09 Aug31 Jul03 Mar05 Feb11 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 0.80 34% 1.90    
4  SUPER REIGN Nov14 Oct26 Oct10 Sep07 Aug24 (sells rachel)SONE Y 121 6.00    
5  SEATIGER Oct25 Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 Jul25 (grabowski john)COA J 124 5.00 20% 4.00    
6  HARDLY WORKING Oct04 Sep21 Aug30 Aug17 Aug03 (lopez d)ROHENA M 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-2   11/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($16K) 2 F PT-12:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLIDAY NECKLACE Nov07 Oct25 Oct12 Sep23 Aug26 (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 120 20.00    
2  SHUL Nov08         (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 120 12.00 ★    
SCR  FIVEALARM FREAKOUT         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 5.00 7% 14.00    
4  FRANKIE C Nov07 Oct25 Sep27 Sep05 Jul28 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 1.80 31% 2.20    
5  MOOLAH ROUGE Nov07 Oct25       (lecesse)NAVARRO J 120 2.50 ★    
6  CANCELLEDCAPTIVITY Oct25 Sep27       (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 120 2.00 39% 1.60    
 
FL-3   11/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($22.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOC ADVANTAGE Nov02 Oct18 Sep14 Aug08 Jul18 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 3.50 36% 1.80    
2  PRODUCTION CREDIT Nov09 Oct03 Sep14 Aug15 Jul18 (d'alessandro r)ALVARADO R 122 6.00    
3  N Y ANTHEM Nov08 Oct17 Sep25 Sep03 Aug08 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 2.50 20% 4.10    
4  MOMMIE'S JEWEL Nov02 Oct18 Oct05 Jul18 Jun20 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 122 6.00 15% 5.80    
5  BUREAUCRAT Oct17 Mar13 Feb05     (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 124 1.80 ★    
6  ACH DU LIEBER Oct25 Sep28 Sep14 Aug24 Aug09 (breed ro)DAVIS A 122 8.00 ★    
 
FL-4   11/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARSHIP MOZART Nov09         (ferraro antho)FRET STEVEN 124 2.00 11% 7.90    
2  SOUPER NORMAN D.         (dixon k)ALVARADO R 121 6.00 11% 8.20    
3  DON BERNARDO Sep28 Aug26 Jul09 Jun10   (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 121 5.00 ★    
4  SARATOGA SKY Nov09 Oct17 Sep27 Aug30 Aug09 (turetsky e)BAEZ JOSE 121 8.00    
5  ROMANOATSEE Nov09 Oct17       (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 124 2.50 49% 1.10    
6  DISENGAGE Nov10 Sep30 Sep15 Jul31 Jun23 (parker joseph)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 3.50 ★    
 
FL-5   11/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FROZEN Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOSAGE AND MIMOSAS Oct31 Oct19 Oct05 Sep12 Aug29 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 8.00    
2  TREATHERLIKESTAR Nov02 Oct19 Oct04 Sep14 Aug31 (fer)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.50 ★    
3  OUCH THAT HURT Oct31 Oct18 Oct04 Jul29   (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 124 3.00 29% 2.40    
4  EYE'S ON YOU Oct31 Oct18 Oct04 Aug31 Aug17 (shaffer ri)DE EMANUEL 120 5.00 7% 14.00    
5  R WORKING GIRL Nov02 Oct19 Oct11 Sep21 Sep06 (henry or)DAVIS A 120 6.00 25% 3.00    
6  PASSION POLICE Oct26 Oct10 Sep28 Sep14 Aug09 (dominguez car)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 12.00    
7  FAST FRAN Oct19 Sep28 Sep21 Aug29 Aug16 (shaffer ric)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 3.50 14% 6.20    
SCR  KAUFY FUTURES Oct26 Oct12 Sep26 Aug31 Jun22 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 120 12.00    
 
FL-6   11/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FROZEN Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BONANA FANNA FOE Oct24 Jan08       (englehar)DAVIS A 124 5.00    
2  WITT LASTING SPEED Nov07 Oct24       (progno mich)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 20.00    
3  ELEGANT TASTE         (bond brent)DE EMANUEL 121 6.00 27% 2.70    
4  STAR SPEAKER Nov07 Oct10       (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 8.00 ★    
5  RACING QUEEN Nov07 Oct20 Oct10 Sep26 Sep05 (huertas nir)CAMILO D 121 8.00 ★    
6  AFILADA Sep22 Aug06 Jun23 May13 Apr06 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 2.00 42% 1.40    
7  EMPIRE LILY Oct24 Sep05 Aug01 Jun27 May12 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 121 2.50 ★    
8  WABBIT SEASON Sep26         (tasso mark)CRUZ JOEL 121 15.00    
 
FL-7   11/21/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FROZEN Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALICIA'S WAY Oct26 Oct18 Sep26 Sep07 Jul26 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 5.00    
2  SALOON GIRL Nov07 Oct24 Oct04 Sep12 Aug23 (dean iii)BAEZ JOSE 121 4.00 16% 5.10    
3  TIVOLI GARDENS Nov07 Sep26 Aug09     (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 2.00 ★    
4  STAY HOME MAMA Nov07 Oct26 Oct10 Sep28 Sep14 (miller-s)DAVIS A 121 10.00 7% 13.80    
5  SARATOGA KISSES Nov07 Oct24 Oct12 Sep20 Sep12 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 118 3.00 34% 1.90    
6  TEACHER DRAMA Nov07 Oct24 Sep28 Sep08 Aug12 (sells rachel)COA J 121 12.00    
7  A DAB WILL DO Oct26 Oct10 Sep20 Aug24 Jul19 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 121 8.00 15% 5.90    
SCR  VITANZA Oct31 Oct10 Sep28 Aug09 Jul12 (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 121 20.00    
 
FL-8   11/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FROZEN Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVIOUS BANKER Oct31 Oct19 Sep14 Aug16 Aug01 (grusmark)DAVIS A 119 12.00    
2  CUGINE Nov08 Oct25 Oct12 Oct04 Sep20 (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 121 15.00 ★    
SCR  STORMY NEW YORK Nov02 Oct19 Oct03 Sep21 Aug31 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 20.00    
4  RUN CASPER RUN Oct25 Oct12 Aug10 Jun22 Jun07 (engleha)NAVARRO J 124 2.00 ★    
5  RICHIE'S B L Oct19 Sep21 Aug30 Aug03 Jul06 (wright t)BAEZ JOSE 122 10.00 ★    
6  QUAD PARTY Nov02 Oct03 Sep14 Aug31 Aug10 (tebbutt john)PEREZ E 119 6.00    
7  OUTSTANDING DEBT Nov09         (clarke dylan)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 20.00    
SCR  K. K. ICHIKAWA Oct13 Sep28 Sep06 Jul26 Jul05 (lec)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.00 67% 0.50    
9  EVRYBODYLUVSNORMAN Nov02 Sep21 Sep12 Aug29 Jun15 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 4.00 9% 9.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.