Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Saturday - October 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   10/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ARTISTIC REASON Oct05 Sep13 Aug25 Jul21 Jun04 (lynch catha)REYNOLDS AUSTIN 122 3.50    
MYSTIC LINK Sep24 Sep08 Aug27 Jun30 Jun15 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 2.50    
DAVIDIC LINE Sep08 Aug25 Jul13 Jun28 Jun15 (arriagada juan)CEDENO CAROL 122 6.00 25% 3.00    
TOUGH TICKETS Oct05 Sep15 Aug20 Jul26 Jun25 (wyner haro)SANCHEZ J 125 1.80 44% 1.30    
MYSTERY MO Sep28 Aug26 Aug05 Jul08 Jun18 (hollendorfer)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 8.00    
TAPPIN FOR GLORY Oct05 Sep09 Jul20 Jul08 Jun16 (contessa gary )GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00    
 
DEL-2   10/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIOLENT PASS Oct06 Sep02 Aug04 Jul06 Jun18 (lucas bonnie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 8.00 19% 4.20    
FORE ON SEVEN Sep25 Aug28 Jul13 Jun30 Jun04 (gorham michae)ALICEA JEREMY 111 10.00    
NANTUCKETER Sep30 Aug20 Jul30 Jun15 May07 (posadas pedr)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 8.00 21% 3.80    
WILLY MC Aug26 Jul30 Jul01 Jun03 Mar24 (cam)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 1.80    
INGREIDO Oct13 Oct01 Aug20 Jul01 Jun08 (miranda a)PARISH R 118 10.00    
BRACES Oct01 Sep15 Aug17 Jul27 Jul16 (mcmahon hu)SANCHEZ J 120 4.00 30% 2.30    
NOICATTARO Oct01 Aug31 Aug24 Jul12 Apr29 (lopez bern)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 15.00    
MR BOLDACIOUS Sep29 Sep08 Aug25 Jul23 Jun19 (compton greg)CEDENO CAROL 120 3.00    
 
DEL-3   10/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUN AT THE FORT Sep18         (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 121 5.00    
AGENT MULGANNON Oct15 Sep24 Aug31 Aug24 Aug17 (picon juan)SANCHEZ J 125 15.00    
FRONT DANCER Oct02 Sep07 Jul23 Jul13   (deiter kelly)ARROYO S 121 12.00    
LILTONYTWOPHONES Oct06 Sep24 Aug27 Aug05 Jun29 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 121 6.00 26% 2.90    
GUTHRIE HALL Oct06         (williams a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 15.00 7% 12.50    
PISTOL OR SHOTGUN Sep17 Aug20 Jul20     (moysey che)MENDOZA JHONATAN 121 15.00    
CARPE ALL DAY         (velazquez al)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 3.00 35% 1.90    
SAINTHOODFORBRIAN Sep30 Aug28       (klesaris steve)ROSE J 121 3.50 8% 11.50    
TAKE CHARGE TOO Sep11 Aug12 Jul15 Jun24 May26 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 121 4.00    
 
DEL-4   10/22/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIABLO D ORO Oct05 Sep19 Aug27 Aug10 Jul18 (diaz jorge)PEREZ M 125 4.00 23% 3.40    
RUTHENIAN Sep29 Sep15 Aug20 Aug06 Jul28 (iannotti t)SANCHEZ J 120 8.00 11% 8.20    
CASH KID Sep30 Sep10 Sep02 Aug22 Aug07 (sacco gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 2.00 25% 2.90    
ICE BAR Oct13 Sep11 Aug15 Jul12 Jun03 (morris ne)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
TRIPLE TITOS Oct05 Sep17 Aug24 Jul27 Jun23 (allen ferris)CEDENO CAROL 125 3.00    
IM YOUR PAPI Oct05 Sep22 Sep07 Aug25 Jul08 (nazario pe)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 6.00 13% 6.90    
SKATING DATE Sep08 Aug18 Jul23 Jun29 May28 (shuman mark)ARROYO S 120 10.00    
 
DEL-5   10/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 2 F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEST VIRGINIA GAL Sep23 Sep11 Aug27     (breen kell)SANCHEZ J 118 1.80    
1A  SIRENETTA Sep23 Sep11 Aug27 Jul31   (breen kell)SANCHEZ J 118 1.80 15% 5.70    
JACKIE'S QUEST Sep28 Jul28       (capuano g)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
PHARIBE Oct06 Sep28 Sep05 Aug10 Jul09 (lynch cathal)ARROYO S 122 2.50 11% 7.90    
SCR  TOUGH GAME Oct06 Sep07 Aug27 Aug10 Jul01 (ovando mel)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 8.00    
APRILS LUCK Oct12 Aug31 Aug21     (lucas bonnie)HIRALDO JOHN 122 8.00    
LADYNESS Oct12 Sep11 Aug31 Jul28   (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 3.50 54% 0.90    
 
DEL-6   10/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($42K) 2 F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRES MARIA'S DREAM Sep28 Sep07 Aug26 Aug10   (neilson wallac)HIRALDO JOHN 122 10.00    
PRIZE DEBATE Sep24         (rubley kelly)ARROYO S 122 4.00    
CALISUE Sep11         (sacco gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 8.00    
MIDNIGHT HEIRESS Sep24 Aug28 Aug12 Jul22 Jun24 (hollendor)RODRIGUEZ A 122 2.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  RAPID MISS TAPIT Sep02 Jul24 Jul01 Jun17   (schistl rafae)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 8.00    
HUMOR SENSE Oct12 Sep06 Aug10 Jul19   (ochoa gera)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 6.00 9% 9.90    
POR UNA CABEZA Sep24 Aug23       (matz micha)SANCHEZ J 122 3.00 14% 6.10    
 
DEL-7   10/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUSTYOURINSTINCT Oct08 Sep22 Sep08 Aug27 Aug03 (contessa gary )HIRALDO JOHN 122 12.00 23% 3.40    
IT'S SIZZLING TIME Sep24 Sep02 Aug14 Jul22 Jul06 (smith valr)SANCHEZ J 122 2.50    
ON THE COME UP Sep18 Aug14 Jul31 Jul04 Jun19 (farro patricia)CEDENO CAROL 118 3.50    
SAAFEN Sep23 Sep07       (rodriguez jesu)MENDEZ KEVIN 122 10.00 17% 4.80    
FLIPPING FISH Sep23 Sep05 Aug15 Aug07 Jul29 (rodriguez dar)SILVERA RUBEN 122 1.60 30% 2.40    
MAGICAL MOUSSE Jan15         (cruz jesu)RODRIGUEZ A 118 4.00    
 
DEL-8   10/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON CICCIO Oct06 Sep17 Aug31 Aug11 Aug03 (miranda a)PARISH R 125 4.00 5% 18.00    
SCR  ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS Oct07 Sep05 Aug19 Aug04 Jul01 (zerpa gilberto)MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.00 36% 1.80    
LUXURY BOY Oct08 Sep30 Aug23 Aug17 Aug02 (reardon c)CHATRIE E 118 10.00    
GREGORIA'S BAY Oct13 Oct05 Sep17 Aug25 Aug18 (galvan baltaz)SANTOS ADEMAR 125 3.00 36% 1.80    
MIGHTY FROSTED Oct08 Sep02 Jul24 Jun19 May27 (barboza vi)SANCHEZ J 125 6.00    
LIGHT WORK Oct08 Sep05       (simone mic)MENDOZA JHONATAN 121 8.00    
SCR  DAVID'S CUPID Oct08 Sep09 Aug18 Jul23 Jun30 (smith collie)ALICEA JEREMY 114 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.